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ARENA Football Game Matchup Report

Friday, 4/25/2008 at 9:00 PM				CHICAGO (6-2) at COLORADO (3-4)
Game Matchups \| FoxSheet				Results				Offensive Statistics				Defensive Statistics
Teams	Line	PF	PA	SU	ATS	O/U/P	TO	RY	RYPA	PY	PYPC	RY	RYPA	PY	PYPC
105: CHICAGO	105.5	59.0	45.4	6-2	4-4-0	4-4-0	+9	20.6	2.4	254.9	8.1	14.9	2.4	259.6	6.2
106: COLORADO	+8	52.1	56.7	3-4	2-5-0	4-1-2	-3	9.7	2.2	259.6	6.0	20.4	2.6	268.9	7.1

Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.

	Power Rating
	Estimate	Edge
CHICAGO	-8
COLORADO

Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.

CHICAGO - Recent ATS Trends
	Against the spread			Over/Under			Straight Up
	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996
Description	W-L	W-L	W-L	O-U	O-U	O-U	W-L	W-L	W-L
as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points	2-1	8-5	19-19	2-1	6-9	18-23	2-1	11-4	30-11
in all games	4-4	26-16	66-60	4-4	22-24	55-73	6-2	30-16	78-53
against conference opponents	4-2	21-10	45-42	2-4	15-19	37-52	6-0	26-8	56-35
when playing on a Friday	2-0	4-2	8-8	0-2	0-6	4-10	2-0	3-3	7-9
when playing with 6 or less days rest	2-2	16-11	43-43	1-3	11-17	37-50	3-1	15-13	47-41
versus division opponents	2-2	12-7	28-27	1-3	8-12	19-35	4-0	15-5	36-20
off a division game	2-1	13-5	29-23	1-2	7-13	26-27	3-0	15-5	37-18
after playing a game on a Sunday	1-1	8-9	31-31	0-2	7-10	23-38	2-0	8-9	35-27
in April games	0-3	5-6	15-12	1-2	7-5	13-13	2-1	7-5	17-11
off a win versus a division rival	2-1	11-2	18-15	1-2	6-8	17-17	3-0	12-2	23-12
after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins	1-1	13-4	20-19	1-1	9-10	20-22	1-1	14-5	23-19
when playing against a team with a losing record	0-2	7-4	20-21	0-2	6-7	20-23	2-0	12-1	33-10
in weeks 5 through 9	1-3	5-6	16-18	1-3	4-9	14-22	3-1	9-4	22-14
when the total is between 105 and 109.5 points	1-3	6-6	12-14	2-2	6-8	11-18	2-2	9-5	18-11
as a favorite	3-3	17-9	39-34	2-4	13-17	32-45	5-1	24-6	56-22
as a road favorite of 3.5 to 7 points	1-1	2-3	4-5	1-1	2-4	5-5	1-1	3-3	6-4
in road games	1-2	13-9	33-34	1-2	12-11	32-34	2-1	12-11	33-35
in road games where the total is between 105 and 109.5 points	0-2	2-3	4-8	1-1	4-2	7-6	1-1	4-2	7-6

COLORADO - Recent ATS Trends
	Against the spread			Over/Under			Straight Up
	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996
Description	W-L	W-L	W-L	O-U	O-U	O-U	W-L	W-L	W-L
as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points	0-2	4-6	14-13	1-1	5-5	11-16	0-2	4-6	10-17
in all games	2-5	18-23	47-46	4-1	23-16	46-46	3-4	23-19	50-45
against conference opponents	1-2	12-16	28-34	2-0	16-12	34-29	1-2	15-14	32-32
when playing on a Friday	2-0	8-3	12-6	2-0	5-5	10-8	2-0	9-2	14-5
when playing with 6 or less days rest	2-1	13-11	31-22	3-0	15-9	30-24	2-1	16-9	33-22
versus division opponents	0-2	8-10	15-24	1-0	8-9	19-19	0-2	10-8	19-20
off a division game	0-1	7-10	19-19	1-0	10-6	19-18	0-1	9-8	21-17
after playing a game on a Saturday	0-2	5-5	12-11	1-0	6-3	11-11	1-1	7-3	13-10
in April games	2-1	9-4	15-11	2-0	8-4	15-10	2-1	10-3	15-11
revenging a loss vs opponent	0-2	4-8	16-16	1-1	9-2	18-13	0-2	4-8	13-19
off a loss versus a division rival	0-1	2-5	9-10	1-0	2-5	8-11	0-1	3-4	10-9
when playing against a team with a winning record	1-1	9-6	26-14	2-0	9-5	17-22	1-1	8-7	21-19
in weeks 5 through 9	2-2	8-6	15-13	3-0	7-6	13-14	2-2	9-5	17-11
when the total is between 105 and 109.5 points	1-1	7-3	15-9	1-0	5-5	12-12	1-1	9-2	18-7
as an underdog	1-2	8-9	27-24	2-1	10-7	26-26	1-2	7-10	21-31
as a home underdog of 3.5 to 7 points	0-0	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-0	1-0	0-0	0-0	0-1
in home games	1-2	8-11	23-21	2-0	11-7	23-21	2-1	13-7	28-18
in home games where the total is between 105 and 109.5 points	0-0	2-2	6-4	0-0	4-1	6-5	0-0	4-1	9-2

Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.

CHICAGO - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team					Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	Yards	YPP	TO	Score	Half	Yards	YPP	TO
All Games	6-2	+0.8	4-4	4-4	59.0	28.6	275.5	(6.9)	1.7	45.4	21.7	274.5	(5.7)	2.9
Road Games	2-1	-0.2	1-2	1-2	56.3	26.0	267.0	(6.8)	1.7	44.7	18.3	279.7	(5.8)	3.3
Last 3 Games	2-1	-1.2	0-3	1-2	53.3	25.3	275.3	(6.6)	2.0	50.3	24.0	266.7	(5.6)	3.0
Division Games	4-0	+3	2-2	1-3	59.5	31.0	275.0	(7.1)	1.7	41.0	20.0	283.2	(5.9)	2.0

CHICAGO - Current Season Statistics
					Rushing		Passing				Total
	PPG	Half	FD	TOP	ATT-YDS	YPR	CMP-ATT	PCT	YDS	PYA	ATT-YDS	YPP	YPPT
Offense (All Games)	59.0	28.6	19.4	28:15	8-21	(2.4)	21-32	65.6%	255	(8.1)	40-275	(6.9)	(4.7)
Opponents Defensive Avg.	57.3	29.2	20.2	29:20	7-21	(2.8)	22-36	63.1%	270	(7.6)	43-291	(6.8)	(5.1)
Offense Road Games	56.3	26.0	19.0	28:06	10-24	(2.4)	19-29	64.8%	243	(8.3)	39-267	(6.8)	(4.7)
Defense (All Games)	45.4	21.7	20.2	32:08	6-15	(2.4)	26-42	62.6%	260	(6.2)	48-274	(5.7)	(6)
Opponents Offensive Avg.	55.8	26.9	20.8	31:38	7-20	(2.7)	24-37	64.8%	269	(7.3)	44-289	(6.5)	(5.2)
Defense Road Games	44.7	18.3	20.3	33:09	6-23	(4)	25-43	58.6%	257	(6)	48-280	(5.8)	(6.3)

COLORADO - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team					Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	Yards	YPP	TO	Score	Half	Yards	YPP	TO
All Games	3-4	-1.4	2-5	4-1	52.1	25.7	269.3	(5.6)	1.7	56.7	29.3	289.3	(6.3)	1.3
Home Games	2-1	+0.8	1-2	2-0	56.0	25.3	286.7	(5.9)	1.3	51.7	27.3	287.0	(6.1)	1.7
Last 3 Games	2-1	+0.9	2-1	2-0	63.0	28.0	297.3	(5.6)	2.0	58.3	33.3	303.7	(7.1)	2.3
Division Games	0-2	-2.3	0-2	1-0	44.0	26.5	228.5	(4.5)	1.5	62.5	34.0	274.0	(6.9)	0.5

COLORADO - Current Season Statistics
					Rushing		Passing				Total
	PPG	Half	FD	TOP	ATT-YDS	YPR	CMP-ATT	PCT	YDS	PYA	ATT-YDS	YPP	YPPT
Offense (All Games)	52.1	25.7	22.0	30:24	4-10	(2.2)	28-43	64.5%	260	(6)	48-269	(5.6)	(5.2)
Opponents Defensive Avg.	53.1	26.1	21.1	30:26	7-17	(2.5)	25-39	64.8%	278	(7.2)	45-295	(6.5)	(5.5)
Offense Home Games	56.0	25.3	23.3	32:25	4-12	(2.9)	28-45	63.4%	275	(6.2)	49-287	(5.9)	(5.1)
Defense (All Games)	56.7	29.3	22.1	29:30	8-20	(2.6)	23-38	61.4%	269	(7.1)	46-289	(6.3)	(5.1)
Opponents Offensive Avg.	54.3	27.8	19.4	30:37	8-21	(2.7)	22-35	62.0%	264	(7.4)	43-285	(6.6)	(5.2)
Defense Home Games	51.7	27.3	22.0	27:35	5-9	(2)	24-42	57.9%	278	(6.6)	47-287	(6.1)	(5.6)

Average power rating of opponents played: CHICAGO 48.6, COLORADO 48.9

Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.

Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.

All games in this series since 1996

CHICAGO is 8-4 against the spread versus COLORADO since 1996

CHICAGO is 8-4 straight up against COLORADO since 1996

8 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996

Games over the last 3 seasons

CHICAGO is 4-2 against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons

CHICAGO is 4-2 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons

4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at COLORADO since 1996

CHICAGO is 4-3 against the spread versus COLORADO since 1996

CHICAGO is 4-3 straight up against COLORADO since 1996

4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996

Games played at COLORADO over the last 3 seasons.

CHICAGO is 2-1 against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons

CHICAGO is 2-1 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons

2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

								Rushing	Passing		Turnovers		Penalties
Date	Teams	Score	Line	Result	Half	FD	TOP	ATT-YDS	CMP-ATT	YDS	FL	INT	PEN-YDS
3/22/2008	COLORADO	35	97.5	Over	28	17	28:53	2--2	31-50	256	0	1	7-38
	CHICAGO	70	-10	SU ATS	40	23	30:28	9-29	23-29	240	0	0	7-71
6/18/2007	CHICAGO	66	-2.5	SU ATS	35	16	26:59	5-73	23-33	242	0	0	13-61
	COLORADO	57	101.5	Over	24	27	33:01	8-25	26-43	246	1	2	5-40
5/7/2007	COLORADO	48	102.5	Over	33	20	25:54	3-1	22-32	337	1	1	10-59
	CHICAGO	59	-8	SU ATS	28	23	34:06	10-19	28-39	272	0	0	6-45
5/28/2006	CHICAGO	63	110	SU ATS	33	17	30:04	11-16	20-35	247	0	1	8-56
	COLORADO	46	-3.5	Under	14	21	21.36	9-6	25-37	337	3	2	4-25
3/10/2006	COLORADO	49	-1	SU ATS	28	22	29:56	3-22	26-41	291	1	0	8-40
	CHICAGO	42	106	Under	27	18	30:04	6-12	26-42	293	1	0	7-37
1/29/2006	CHICAGO	56	102	Over	28	23	37:34	19-52	22-32	265	1	0	1-5
	COLORADO	65	-4	SU ATS	28	17	22:26	2-4	22-32	291	0	1	4-11

Team Line Action - Where the money is going!

Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.

As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring Nobody in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CHICAGO games 44% of the time since 1996. (44-56)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CHICAGO games 48.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (17-18)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in COLORADO games 52.1% of the time since 1996. (38-35)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in COLORADO games 59.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (19-13)
No Edge.

As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CHICAGO games 58.2% of the time since 1996. (53-38)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CHICAGO games 58.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (18-13)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in COLORADO games 53.6% of the time since 1996. (37-32)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in COLORADO games 61.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (16-10)
No Edge.

Key Player Injuries

CHICAGO

[DL] John Moyer missed last game, "?". - Foot - 04/20/08

[FB/LB] Matt Kinsinger out indefinitely. - Knee - 03/07/08

[DB] Jonathan Ordway missed last game, "?". - Groin - 04/20/08

COLORADO

[FB] Kevin Nagle missed last game, "?". - Knee - 04/19/08

[K] Clay Rush injured last game, "?". - Concussion - 04/19/08

[WR] Aaron Hosack missed last game, "?". - Knee - 04/19/08

[DB] Zach Norton out indefinitely. - Shoulder - 04/10/08

The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping