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ARENA Football Game Matchup Report

Friday, 4/25/2008 at 7:00 PM				KANSAS CITY (1-6) at GRAND RAPIDS (2-5)
Game Matchups \| FoxSheet				Results				Offensive Statistics				Defensive Statistics
Teams	Line	PF	PA	SU	ATS	O/U/P	TO	RY	RYPA	PY	PYPC	RY	RYPA	PY	PYPC
101: KANSAS CITY	114.5	49.1	58.4	1-6	5-2-0	3-3-1	-10	31.3	3.3	252.7	7.0	30.9	2.7	235.9	7.4
102: GRAND RAPIDS	-5.5	58.7	62.0	2-5	4-3-0	4-3-0	+3	31.9	3.5	253.3	8.1	24.0	3.2	285.3	7.9

Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.

	Power Rating
	Estimate	Edge
KANSAS CITY
GRAND RAPIDS	-1

Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.

KANSAS CITY - Recent ATS Trends
	Against the spread			Over/Under			Straight Up
	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996
Description	W-L	W-L	W-L	O-U	O-U	O-U	W-L	W-L	W-L
as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points	1-0	9-10	9-10	0-1	8-10	8-10	0-1	2-17	2-17
in all games	5-2	22-18	22-18	3-3	17-21	17-21	1-6	14-26	14-26
against conference opponents	3-1	14-15	14-15	1-2	9-18	9-18	1-3	10-19	10-19
when playing on a Friday	1-0	5-4	5-4	1-0	4-5	4-5	0-1	2-7	2-7
when playing with 6 or less days rest	3-0	15-9	15-9	1-1	9-13	9-13	1-2	8-16	8-16
versus division opponents	2-1	8-12	8-12	1-1	7-11	7-11	1-2	5-15	5-15
off a division game	3-0	10-10	10-10	1-1	6-13	6-13	1-2	5-15	5-15
after playing a game on a Saturday	2-1	8-9	8-9	2-1	8-8	8-8	0-3	4-13	4-13
in April games	3-0	9-3	9-3	1-1	5-5	5-5	1-2	5-7	5-7
revenging a loss vs opponent	3-1	7-9	7-9	1-2	7-7	7-7	1-3	4-12	4-12
off a win versus a division rival	0-0	2-2	2-2	0-0	0-4	0-4	0-0	1-3	1-3
when playing against a team with a losing record	1-0	8-5	8-5	1-0	7-5	7-5	0-1	8-5	8-5
in weeks 5 through 9	4-0	7-7	7-7	1-2	4-9	4-9	1-3	4-10	4-10
when the total is greater than or equal to 110	1-0	4-0	4-0	0-1	1-3	1-3	0-1	3-1	3-1
as an underdog	5-0	15-11	15-11	2-2	12-12	12-12	1-4	5-21	5-21
as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points	0-0	0-3	0-3	0-0	0-2	0-2	0-0	0-3	0-3
in road games	1-1	10-8	10-8	1-1	6-11	6-11	0-2	5-13	5-13
in road games where the total is greater than or equal to 110	0-0	1-0	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0

GRAND RAPIDS - Recent ATS Trends
	Against the spread			Over/Under			Straight Up
	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996
Description	W-L	W-L	W-L	O-U	O-U	O-U	W-L	W-L	W-L
as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points	0-1	0-2	9-23	0-1	1-1	18-8	0-1	0-2	18-14
in all games	4-3	18-21	70-90	4-3	23-16	68-59	2-5	11-28	63-101
against conference opponents	4-1	16-12	46-57	3-2	18-10	46-37	2-3	10-18	39-67
when playing on a Friday	0-1	1-4	16-17	0-1	4-1	14-7	0-1	0-5	17-18
when playing with 6 or less days rest	2-2	10-16	42-54	1-3	16-10	48-30	1-3	6-20	40-57
versus division opponents	2-1	9-8	33-37	1-2	9-8	28-27	1-2	5-12	29-42
off a division game	3-0	7-9	30-39	3-0	10-6	30-23	2-1	3-13	24-46
after playing a game on a Sunday	1-1	3-7	15-22	0-2	6-4	14-18	0-2	2-8	13-24
in April games	1-2	5-7	14-17	1-2	6-6	14-14	0-3	3-9	13-20
off a loss versus a division rival	1-0	4-6	17-23	1-0	5-5	14-16	1-0	2-8	11-29
after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses	2-0	11-5	30-29	1-1	10-6	23-26	1-1	8-8	19-41
when playing against a team with a losing record	0-1	7-3	23-32	0-1	7-3	22-17	0-1	4-6	21-34
in weeks 5 through 9	2-2	7-6	26-24	2-2	8-5	21-17	1-3	3-10	20-30
when the total is greater than or equal to 110	2-3	7-9	15-19	2-3	9-7	17-16	1-4	4-12	14-20
as a favorite	1-1	2-2	18-32	1-1	3-1	26-16	1-1	2-2	32-21
as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points	0-0	0-0	6-8	0-0	0-0	5-6	0-0	0-0	10-4
in home games	2-2	10-10	34-48	3-1	17-3	41-24	1-3	9-11	38-46
in home games where the total is greater than or equal to 110	1-2	4-5	7-12	2-1	7-2	13-6	1-2	4-5	10-9

Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.

KANSAS CITY - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team					Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	Yards	YPP	TO	Score	Half	Yards	YPP	TO
All Games	1-6	-7.8	5-2	3-3	49.1	26.1	284.0	(6.3)	2.9	58.4	27.4	266.7	(6.2)	1.4
Road Games	0-2	-3.6	1-1	1-1	55.0	27.0	296.5	(5.9)	2.5	60.0	22.0	281.5	(6.8)	1.5
Last 3 Games	1-2	-0.9	3-0	1-1	53.3	28.0	290.0	(6.4)	1.7	57.3	27.0	242.7	(5.7)	1.7
Division Games	1-2	-2.2	2-1	1-1	49.7	26.7	291.7	(6.6)	2.7	64.7	33.7	270.0	(6.1)	1.3

KANSAS CITY - Current Season Statistics
					Rushing		Passing				Total
	PPG	Half	FD	TOP	ATT-YDS	YPR	CMP-ATT	PCT	YDS	PYA	ATT-YDS	YPP	YPPT
Offense (All Games)	49.1	26.1	19.4	30:24	10-31	(3.3)	22-36	60.6%	253	(7)	45-284	(6.3)	(5.8)
Opponents Defensive Avg.	54.4	26.6	20.1	30:07	7-17	(2.4)	23-37	63.2%	265	(7.2)	44-282	(6.4)	(5.2)
Offense Road Games	55.0	27.0	20.0	33:09	9-13	(1.4)	26-41	64.6%	283	(6.9)	50-296	(5.9)	(5.4)
Defense (All Games)	58.4	27.4	20.4	29:36	12-31	(2.7)	21-32	67.1%	236	(7.4)	43-267	(6.2)	(4.6)
Opponents Offensive Avg.	55	26.2	20.8	30:52	7-15	(2.3)	24-37	64.6%	274	(7.3)	44-289	(6.6)	(5.2)
Defense Road Games	60.0	22.0	17.0	26:51	9-35	(3.7)	20-32	62.5%	246	(7.7)	41-281	(6.8)	(4.7)

GRAND RAPIDS - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team					Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	Yards	YPP	TO	Score	Half	Yards	YPP	TO
All Games	2-5	-2.9	4-3	4-3	58.7	26.6	285.1	(7)	2.4	62.0	33.4	309.3	(7.1)	2.9
Home Games	1-3	-2	2-2	3-1	58.2	28.5	270.0	(6.8)	2.2	66.0	35.2	301.2	(7)	2.0
Last 3 Games	0-3	-3.8	1-2	1-2	47.3	15.0	260.0	(6.7)	3.7	64.3	36.3	326.3	(7.6)	2.7
Division Games	1-2	+0.9	2-1	1-2	59.7	26.3	333.3	(7.3)	1.7	57.0	29.0	313.7	(7.7)	3.3

GRAND RAPIDS - Current Season Statistics
					Rushing		Passing				Total
	PPG	Half	FD	TOP	ATT-YDS	YPR	CMP-ATT	PCT	YDS	PYA	ATT-YDS	YPP	YPPT
Offense (All Games)	58.7	26.6	19.4	30:59	9-32	(3.5)	20-31	64.5%	253	(8.1)	41-285	(7)	(4.9)
Opponents Defensive Avg.	53.1	25.5	19.9	31:32	7-19	(2.6)	23-37	62.7%	262	(7.1)	44-281	(6.4)	(5.3)
Offense Home Games	58.2	28.5	18.5	31:10	8-31	(3.6)	19-31	62.1%	239	(7.7)	39-270	(6.8)	(4.6)
Defense (All Games)	62.0	33.4	20.7	28:46	7-24	(3.2)	24-36	65.4%	285	(7.9)	44-309	(7.1)	(5)
Opponents Offensive Avg.	55.3	27.8	20.3	30:37	7-17	(2.4)	23-36	63.9%	270	(7.4)	44-287	(6.6)	(5.2)
Defense Home Games	66.0	35.2	20.7	28:23	7-21	(2.8)	23-36	65.0%	280	(7.8)	43-301	(7)	(4.6)

Average power rating of opponents played: KANSAS CITY 50.6, GRAND RAPIDS 51.4

Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.

Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.

All games in this series since 1996

KANSAS CITY is 2-1 against the spread versus GRAND RAPIDS since 1996

KANSAS CITY is 2-1 straight up against GRAND RAPIDS since 1996

2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996

Games over the last 3 seasons

KANSAS CITY is 2-1 against the spread versus GRAND RAPIDS over the last 3 seasons

KANSAS CITY is 2-1 straight up against GRAND RAPIDS over the last 3 seasons

2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at GRAND RAPIDS since 1996

KANSAS CITY is 1-0 against the spread versus GRAND RAPIDS since 1996

KANSAS CITY is 1-0 straight up against GRAND RAPIDS since 1996

1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996

Games played at GRAND RAPIDS over the last 3 seasons.

KANSAS CITY is 1-0 against the spread versus GRAND RAPIDS over the last 3 seasons

KANSAS CITY is 1-0 straight up against GRAND RAPIDS over the last 3 seasons

1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

								Rushing	Passing		Turnovers		Penalties
Date	Teams	Score	Line	Result	Half	FD	TOP	ATT-YDS	CMP-ATT	YDS	FL	INT	PEN-YDS
3/24/2008	GRAND RAPIDS	92	103	SU ATS	48	26	31:26	13-48	25-28	325	0	0	9-45
	KANSAS CITY	52	-6	Over	31	21	28:34	11-67	19-36	277	3	2	5-25
6/2/2007	KANSAS CITY	66	-3	SU ATS	21	23	30:08	7-32	29-39	314	0	2	14-82
	GRAND RAPIDS	53	113.5	Over	37	17	29:52	10-33	15-30	151	1	2	13-72
4/14/2007	GRAND RAPIDS	41	110	Under	26	21	31:08	14-25	23-30	217	3	0	9-49
	KANSAS CITY	52	-9	SU ATS	36	17	28:52	9-18	22-32	241	1	0	10-111

Team Line Action - Where the money is going!

Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.

As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring GRAND RAPIDS in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in KANSAS CITY games 45.2% of the time since 1996. (14-17)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in KANSAS CITY games 45.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (14-17)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in GRAND RAPIDS games 52.4% of the time since 1996. (54-49)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in GRAND RAPIDS games 57.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (19-14)
No Edge.

As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in KANSAS CITY games 40% of the time since 1996. (12-18)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in KANSAS CITY games 40% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (12-18)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in GRAND RAPIDS games 53.4% of the time since 1996. (47-41)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in GRAND RAPIDS games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (16-16)
No Edge.

Key Player Injuries

KANSAS CITY

No significant injuries.

GRAND RAPIDS

[FB] Alan Krutulis injured last game, "?". - Knee - 04/20/08

[OL] Fitu Tuua missed last game, "?". - Ankle - 04/20/08

[OL] TJ Watkins missed last game, "?". - Ankle - 04/20/08

[FB] Whitney Bell IR - Ankle - 04/12/08

[FB] Chris Ryan IR - Groin - 03/14/08

[OLO] Marcus Keys IR - Undisclosed - 04/12/08

The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping