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ARENA Football Game Matchup Report

Saturday, 4/26/2008 at 7:00 PM				CLEVELAND (4-3) at NEW YORK (4-4)
Game Matchups \| FoxSheet				Results				Offensive Statistics				Defensive Statistics
Teams	Line	PF	PA	SU	ATS	O/U/P	TO	RY	RYPA	PY	PYPC	RY	RYPA	PY	PYPC
109: CLEVELAND	112.5	58.6	61.1	4-3	3-2-2	6-1-0	0	26.6	3.0	289.6	8.0	20.3	2.6	307.6	8.0
110: NEW YORK	-5.5	49.5	48.9	4-4	5-3-0	3-5-0	+8	9.5	2.0	262.6	6.7	22.8	3.0	246.5	7.2

Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.

	Power Rating
	Estimate	Edge
CLEVELAND
NEW YORK	-12

Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.

CLEVELAND - Recent ATS Trends
	Against the spread			Over/Under			Straight Up
	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996
Description	W-L	W-L	W-L	O-U	O-U	O-U	W-L	W-L	W-L
as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0
in all games	3-2	3-2	3-2	6-1	6-1	6-1	4-3	4-3	4-3
when the total is greater than or equal to 110	1-1	1-1	1-1	1-1	1-1	1-1	1-1	1-1	1-1
as an underdog	3-1	3-1	3-1	3-1	3-1	3-1	2-2	2-2	2-2
as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0
in road games	2-1	2-1	2-1	3-1	3-1	3-1	2-2	2-2	2-2
in road games where the total is greater than or equal to 110	1-1	1-1	1-1	1-1	1-1	1-1	1-1	1-1	1-1
against conference opponents	2-1	2-1	2-1	3-1	3-1	3-1	2-2	2-2	2-2
when playing on a Saturday	2-0	2-0	2-0	3-0	3-0	3-0	2-1	2-1	2-1
when playing with 6 or less days rest	0-2	0-2	0-2	3-1	3-1	3-1	2-2	2-2	2-2
versus division opponents	2-0	2-0	2-0	3-0	3-0	3-0	2-1	2-1	2-1
after playing a game on a Saturday	0-2	0-2	0-2	1-1	1-1	1-1	0-2	0-2	0-2
in April games	2-1	2-1	2-1	3-0	3-0	3-0	1-2	1-2	1-2
in weeks 5 through 9	2-1	2-1	2-1	3-0	3-0	3-0	1-2	1-2	1-2

NEW YORK - Recent ATS Trends
	Against the spread			Over/Under			Straight Up
	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996
Description	W-L	W-L	W-L	O-U	O-U	O-U	W-L	W-L	W-L
as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points	1-0	3-2	16-12	1-0	3-2	12-16	1-0	4-1	20-8
in all games	5-3	21-20	61-59	3-5	22-18	62-54	4-4	19-22	58-63
when the total is greater than or equal to 110	1-1	3-5	14-13	0-2	3-5	13-15	1-1	3-5	13-15
as a favorite	1-1	8-8	31-30	2-0	11-5	33-28	1-1	9-7	36-25
as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points	1-0	2-0	6-4	1-0	1-1	3-7	1-0	2-0	8-2
in home games	4-0	11-10	30-31	1-3	9-12	29-30	3-1	10-11	32-29
in home games where the total is greater than or equal to 110	1-0	2-1	8-4	0-1	1-2	4-8	1-0	2-1	8-4
against conference opponents	3-2	13-15	39-39	3-2	17-10	45-31	2-3	11-17	38-41
when playing on a Saturday	1-0	6-7	20-28	0-1	6-7	26-21	1-0	6-7	22-26
versus division opponents	2-2	6-10	26-24	2-2	10-6	29-21	1-3	4-12	25-26
in April games	3-0	10-3	17-13	2-1	7-5	14-12	3-0	8-5	16-14
revenging a loss vs opponent	3-0	11-6	23-25	1-2	10-7	27-19	2-1	10-7	21-27
after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins	1-0	4-4	13-14	1-0	6-2	17-9	1-0	4-4	14-13
when playing against a team with a winning record	1-0	7-6	20-22	0-1	7-6	24-18	0-1	5-8	18-25
in weeks 5 through 9	4-0	9-5	23-14	2-2	6-7	18-19	3-1	7-7	22-16

Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.

CLEVELAND - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team					Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	Yards	YPP	TO	Score	Half	Yards	YPP	TO
All Games	4-3	+0.9	3-2	6-1	58.6	28.3	316.1	(7)	2.3	61.1	29.9	327.9	(7.1)	2.3
Road Games	2-2	+0.3	2-1	3-1	54.2	24.5	315.5	(7)	2.5	61.7	32.0	318.5	(7.2)	2.0
Last 3 Games	1-2	-1.1	2-1	3-0	66.7	34.3	358.7	(7.4)	2.0	65.3	31.0	309.3	(6.6)	2.3
Division Games	2-1	+1	2-0	3-0	57.0	25.7	293.3	(6.9)	1.7	54.7	26.7	311.3	(6.8)	1.7

CLEVELAND - Current Season Statistics
					Rushing		Passing				Total
	PPG	Half	FD	TOP	ATT-YDS	YPR	CMP-ATT	PCT	YDS	PYA	ATT-YDS	YPP	YPPT
Offense (All Games)	58.6	28.3	21.1	29:40	9-27	(3)	23-36	64.4%	290	(8)	45-316	(7)	(5.4)
Opponents Defensive Avg.	54.4	26.7	21	30:37	6-16	(2.5)	24-38	63.9%	277	(7.3)	44-293	(6.6)	(5.4)
Offense Road Games	54.2	24.5	20.0	29:56	6-20	(3.1)	24-39	61.3%	295	(7.6)	45-315	(7)	(5.8)
Defense (All Games)	61.1	29.9	21.9	30:20	8-20	(2.6)	26-39	68.5%	308	(8)	46-328	(7.1)	(5.4)
Opponents Offensive Avg.	53.1	27	20.1	30:11	6-14	(2.4)	24-38	62.7%	270	(7)	44-284	(6.4)	(5.4)
Defense Road Games	61.7	32.0	19.7	30:04	10-25	(2.4)	24-34	69.3%	294	(8.6)	44-318	(7.2)	(5.2)

NEW YORK - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team					Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	Yards	YPP	TO	Score	Half	Yards	YPP	TO
All Games	4-4	+4.6	5-3	3-5	49.5	22.6	272.1	(6.2)	1.9	48.9	21.2	269.2	(6.4)	2.9
Home Games	3-1	+4.5	4-0	1-3	51.5	24.0	253.0	(5.9)	1.7	39.5	12.5	252.7	(5.8)	3.5
Last 3 Games	3-0	+5.5	3-0	2-1	63.7	32.0	275.0	(6.8)	1.3	41.7	14.7	280.7	(7.1)	3.3
Division Games	1-3	-1.2	2-2	2-2	46.0	21.7	254.5	(5.6)	1.5	50.2	22.2	270.0	(6.7)	2.5

NEW YORK - Current Season Statistics
					Rushing		Passing				Total
	PPG	Half	FD	TOP	ATT-YDS	YPR	CMP-ATT	PCT	YDS	PYA	ATT-YDS	YPP	YPPT
Offense (All Games)	49.5	22.6	20.4	31:43	5-9	(2)	24-39	62.2%	263	(6.7)	44-272	(6.2)	(5.5)
Opponents Defensive Avg.	55.5	28.4	20.6	30:34	7-19	(2.6)	24-36	64.8%	273	(7.5)	43-292	(6.7)	(5.3)
Offense Home Games	51.5	24.0	20.0	31:25	5-12	(2.3)	24-38	62.9%	241	(6.4)	43-253	(5.9)	(4.9)
Defense (All Games)	48.9	21.2	19.1	28:17	7-23	(3)	21-34	60.6%	246	(7.2)	42-269	(6.4)	(5.5)
Opponents Offensive Avg.	54.3	25.7	20.2	30:24	8-22	(2.8)	23-36	63.5%	266	(7.5)	44-288	(6.6)	(5.3)
Defense Home Games	39.5	12.5	16.7	28:35	8-21	(2.7)	19-36	54.5%	231	(6.5)	44-253	(5.8)	(6.4)

Average power rating of opponents played: CLEVELAND 48, NEW YORK 47.1

Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.

Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.

All games in this series since 1996

NEW YORK is 5-5 against the spread versus CLEVELAND since 1996

CLEVELAND is 6-5 straight up against NEW YORK since 1996

4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996

Games over the last 3 seasons

CLEVELAND is 1-0 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons

CLEVELAND is 1-0 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons

1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at NEW YORK since 1996

NEW YORK is 2-2 against the spread versus CLEVELAND since 1996

NEW YORK is 2-2 straight up against CLEVELAND since 1996

2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996

Games played at NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons.

There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

								Rushing	Passing		Turnovers		Penalties
Date	Teams	Score	Line	Result	Half	FD	TOP	ATT-YDS	CMP-ATT	YDS	FL	INT	PEN-YDS
3/3/2008	NEW YORK	49	-1	Over	21	25	37:08	5-13	28-47	297	1	2	10-100
	CLEVELAND	61	102.5	SU ATS	30	20	22:52	12-62	18-23	234	2	1	13-111

Team Line Action - Where the money is going!

Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.

As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring NEW YORK in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CLEVELAND games 41.2% of the time since 1996. (35-50)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CLEVELAND games 32.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (10-21)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NEW YORK games 58.1% of the time since 1996. (54-39)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NEW YORK games 55.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (20-16)
No Edge.

As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CLEVELAND games 55.4% of the time since 1996. (46-37)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CLEVELAND games 57.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (19-14)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NEW YORK games 46.6% of the time since 1996. (41-47)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NEW YORK games 48.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (17-18)
No Edge.

Key Player Injuries

CLEVELAND

No significant injuries.

NEW YORK

[DB] Angel Estrada injured last last game, "?". - Knee - 04/18/08

The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping