StatFox.com - ARENA - Game Matchups

ARENA Football Game Matchup Report

Saturday, 4/26/2008 at 7:30 PM				TAMPA BAY (2-5) at ORLANDO (6-2)
Game Matchups \| FoxSheet				Results				Offensive Statistics				Defensive Statistics
Teams	Line	PF	PA	SU	ATS	O/U/P	TO	RY	RYPA	PY	PYPC	RY	RYPA	PY	PYPC
111: TAMPA BAY	113.5	54.9	58.9	2-5	1-6-0	5-2-0	-10	7.6	1.2	292.9	7.9	9.6	1.4	258.4	7.3
112: ORLANDO	-5.5	59.0	56.9	6-2	5-2-1	6-2-0	-7	13.6	1.9	294.3	7.9	17.6	2.4	267.0	7.6

Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.

	Power Rating
	Estimate	Edge
TAMPA BAY
ORLANDO	-10

Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.

TAMPA BAY - Recent ATS Trends
	Against the spread			Over/Under			Straight Up
	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996
Description	W-L	W-L	W-L	O-U	O-U	O-U	W-L	W-L	W-L
as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points	0-1	3-7	14-16	0-1	3-7	13-16	0-1	3-7	9-21
in all games	1-6	17-23	105-85	5-2	24-15	77-57	2-5	18-22	119-72
when the total is greater than or equal to 110	0-1	3-4	4-5	0-1	0-7	1-8	0-1	4-3	5-4
as an underdog	0-1	7-13	28-27	0-1	11-9	26-24	0-1	6-14	21-34
as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points	0-0	2-4	10-10	0-0	2-4	9-10	0-0	2-4	6-14
in road games	0-4	7-13	48-45	2-2	12-8	38-29	1-3	7-13	51-42
in road games where the total is greater than or equal to 110	0-1	1-2	2-2	0-1	0-3	1-3	0-1	1-2	2-2
against conference opponents	1-4	12-18	66-60	3-2	18-11	51-40	1-4	12-18	82-54
when playing on a Saturday	0-3	10-13	49-36	1-2	12-10	28-23	1-2	11-12	60-36
versus division opponents	1-1	9-9	49-34	2-0	12-5	36-24	1-1	9-9	57-33
in April games	0-3	5-6	16-18	2-1	4-6	10-16	0-3	4-7	17-17
after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses	0-3	2-8	12-12	2-1	6-3	13-9	0-3	2-8	14-12
when playing against a team with a winning record	0-1	6-5	48-30	0-1	4-7	30-28	0-1	5-6	49-35
in weeks 5 through 9	0-4	5-8	31-25	2-2	7-6	22-20	0-4	5-8	35-27

ORLANDO - Recent ATS Trends
	Against the spread			Over/Under			Straight Up
	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996
Description	W-L	W-L	W-L	O-U	O-U	O-U	W-L	W-L	W-L
as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points	1-1	8-5	31-31	2-0	4-8	16-32	1-1	11-2	43-19
in all games	5-2	23-20	105-89	6-2	18-24	60-79	6-2	26-18	122-74
when the total is greater than or equal to 110	4-0	4-1	4-1	3-1	3-2	3-2	4-0	4-1	4-1
as a favorite	3-1	14-10	61-52	3-2	9-15	33-51	4-1	18-7	81-34
as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points	1-0	4-0	12-9	1-0	1-3	6-12	1-0	4-0	15-6
in home games	3-0	12-8	52-41	2-1	6-12	25-42	3-0	14-6	66-28
in home games where the total is greater than or equal to 110	2-0	2-0	2-0	1-1	1-1	1-1	2-0	2-0	2-0
against conference opponents	2-2	16-15	73-61	3-2	10-20	42-56	3-2	20-12	95-51
when playing on a Saturday	2-1	8-3	28-26	2-2	4-8	16-18	3-1	9-3	31-28
when playing with 6 or less days rest	3-0	12-11	61-54	3-1	10-12	36-49	4-0	14-10	77-49
versus division opponents	2-1	11-8	47-37	2-1	5-13	26-36	2-1	13-6	59-34
off a division game	1-0	7-11	43-41	1-1	6-12	28-33	2-0	11-8	61-31
after playing a game on a Saturday	1-1	4-7	26-26	2-1	5-6	12-24	2-1	7-5	37-21
in April games	3-0	9-2	21-11	3-0	4-5	12-14	3-0	10-1	23-10
off a win versus a division rival	0-0	3-8	27-24	0-1	4-7	19-18	1-0	6-6	34-19
after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins	3-0	8-5	39-30	3-1	7-6	27-27	4-0	9-5	46-31
when playing against a team with a losing record	2-0	9-5	30-27	1-2	6-8	22-24	3-0	12-3	47-17
in weeks 5 through 9	3-0	7-5	27-28	3-1	5-7	19-23	4-0	9-4	38-23

Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.

TAMPA BAY - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team					Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	Yards	YPP	TO	Score	Half	Yards	YPP	TO
All Games	2-5	-16.9	1-6	5-2	54.9	24.9	300.4	(6.9)	2.4	58.9	28.9	268.0	(6.3)	1.0
Road Games	1-3	-7.3	0-4	2-2	51.5	20.2	303.0	(6.6)	3.0	58.7	30.5	264.0	(6.3)	0.7
Last 3 Games	0-3	-12.4	0-3	2-1	52.7	27.7	340.0	(7.7)	1.7	60.0	27.0	239.7	(6.3)	0.0
Division Games	1-1	-4.5	1-1	2-0	62.0	22.5	246.0	(5.5)	4.5	62.0	34.0	273.5	(6.1)	2.0

TAMPA BAY - Current Season Statistics
					Rushing		Passing				Total
	PPG	Half	FD	TOP	ATT-YDS	YPR	CMP-ATT	PCT	YDS	PYA	ATT-YDS	YPP	YPPT
Offense (All Games)	54.9	24.9	21.9	29:24	6-8	(1.2)	25-37	66.3%	293	(7.9)	44-300	(6.9)	(5.5)
Opponents Defensive Avg.	53.4	26.2	20.6	30:42	7-18	(2.6)	24-37	63.9%	272	(7.4)	44-290	(6.6)	(5.4)
Offense Road Games	51.5	20.2	22.0	29:52	7-9	(1.3)	25-39	65.8%	294	(7.6)	46-303	(6.6)	(5.9)
Defense (All Games)	58.9	28.9	19.9	30:34	7-10	(1.4)	24-36	66.7%	258	(7.3)	42-268	(6.3)	(4.6)
Opponents Offensive Avg.	53.6	26	19.6	30:17	7-16	(2.5)	23-37	62.3%	269	(7.3)	43-286	(6.6)	(5.3)
Defense Road Games	58.7	30.5	19.2	30:05	6-11	(1.7)	22-35	63.4%	253	(7.1)	42-264	(6.3)	(4.5)

ORLANDO - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team					Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	Yards	YPP	TO	Score	Half	Yards	YPP	TO
All Games	6-2	+2.7	5-2	6-2	59.0	30.4	307.9	(6.9)	2.2	56.9	27.9	284.6	(6.7)	1.4
Home Games	3-0	+3.8	3-0	2-1	58.7	31.0	274.7	(6.5)	3.3	54.0	28.0	321.7	(6.3)	1.0
Last 3 Games	3-0	+4	3-0	3-0	65.7	35.0	301.7	(6.5)	2.7	58.0	25.0	267.3	(6.9)	2.0
Division Games	2-1	-1.1	2-1	2-1	56.0	29.7	300.3	(7)	2.3	53.7	31.7	299.3	(6.5)	2.0

ORLANDO - Current Season Statistics
					Rushing		Passing				Total
	PPG	Half	FD	TOP	ATT-YDS	YPR	CMP-ATT	PCT	YDS	PYA	ATT-YDS	YPP	YPPT
Offense (All Games)	59.0	30.4	21.5	29:41	7-14	(1.9)	26-37	68.8%	294	(7.9)	44-308	(6.9)	(5.2)
Opponents Defensive Avg.	54.1	27	21.1	31:49	6-14	(2.2)	25-39	64.6%	283	(7.3)	45-297	(6.6)	(5.5)
Offense Home Games	58.7	31.0	21.0	27:11	6-4	(0.7)	24-36	65.1%	271	(7.4)	42-275	(6.5)	(4.7)
Defense (All Games)	56.9	27.9	20.5	30:46	7-18	(2.4)	22-35	63.2%	267	(7.6)	42-285	(6.7)	(5)
Opponents Offensive Avg.	57.7	28.3	19.9	29:03	7-18	(2.7)	23-36	64.4%	277	(7.8)	42-295	(7)	(5.1)
Defense Home Games	54.0	28.0	23.3	34:02	8-22	(2.7)	26-43	59.2%	300	(6.9)	51-322	(6.3)	(6)

Average power rating of opponents played: TAMPA BAY 49.7, ORLANDO 52.4

Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.

Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.

All games in this series since 1996

ORLANDO is 13-13 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY since 1996

ORLANDO is 16-12 straight up against TAMPA BAY since 1996

11 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996

Games over the last 3 seasons

ORLANDO is 4-0 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons

ORLANDO is 4-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons

3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at ORLANDO since 1996

ORLANDO is 7-5 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY since 1996

ORLANDO is 9-4 straight up against TAMPA BAY since 1996

6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996

Games played at ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons.

ORLANDO is 2-0 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons

ORLANDO is 2-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons

2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

								Rushing	Passing		Turnovers		Penalties
Date	Teams	Score	Line	Result	Half	FD	TOP	ATT-YDS	CMP-ATT	YDS	FL	INT	PEN-YDS
4/14/2007	TAMPA BAY	37	99	Under	9	23	29:36	4-10	29-43	292	3	1	10-57
	ORLANDO	61	-6	SU ATS	35	17	30:24	13-25	19-26	188	1	1	8-73
3/2/2007	ORLANDO	52	-1.5	SU ATS	28	19	31:12	12-20	24-34	317	0	0	6-32
	TAMPA BAY	27	98	Under	12	17	28:48	4-13	24-37	271	1	2	7-35
4/22/2006	TAMPA BAY	13	104	Under	0	14	25:57	3-0	20-40	214	0	1	5-25
	ORLANDO	52	-3.5	SU ATS	28	20	34:03	13-40	23-32	255	0	0	9-58
2/19/2006	ORLANDO	67	94.5	SU ATS	40	18	29:59	13-23	21-35	299	1	0	3-25
	TAMPA BAY	64	-6.5	Over	28	27	30:01	5--6	36-52	458	4	0	2-10

Team Line Action - Where the money is going!

Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.

As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring Nobody in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TAMPA BAY games 47.1% of the time since 1996. (48-54)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TAMPA BAY games 37.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (14-23)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ORLANDO games 50% of the time since 1996. (51-51)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ORLANDO games 45.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (16-19)
No Edge.

As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TAMPA BAY games 57.8% of the time since 1996. (52-38)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TAMPA BAY games 60% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (21-14)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ORLANDO games 47.2% of the time since 1996. (42-47)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ORLANDO games 41.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (14-20)
No Edge.

Key Player Injuries

TAMPA BAY

[DB] Byron Jones IR - Knee - 03/05/08

[WR] Sedrick Robinson is out indefinitely. - Knee - 04/04/08

[OL/DL] Ernest Certain IR - Back - 04/12/08

ORLANDO

No significant injuries.

The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping