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ARENA Football Game Matchup Report

Friday, 5/2/2008 at 9:00 PM				GRAND RAPIDS (3-5) at COLORADO (3-5)
Game Matchups \| FoxSheet				Results				Offensive Statistics				Defensive Statistics
Teams	Line	PF	PA	SU	ATS	O/U/P	TO	RY	RYPA	PY	PYPC	RY	RYPA	PY	PYPC
153: GRAND RAPIDS	117	60.4	59.0	3-5	5-3-0	4-4-0	+4	37.8	4.1	243.3	7.9	25.3	3.2	285.4	7.6
154: COLORADO	PK	52.1	57.8	3-5	2-6-0	5-1-2	-3	9.0	2.3	268.5	6.1	20.1	2.6	270.3	7.2

Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.

	Power Rating
	Estimate	Edge
GRAND RAPIDS
COLORADO	-3

Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.

GRAND RAPIDS - Recent ATS Trends
	Against the spread			Over/Under			Straight Up
	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996
Description	W-L	W-L	W-L	O-U	O-U	O-U	W-L	W-L	W-L
in games where the line is +3 to -3	1-1	2-3	15-19	2-0	5-0	15-13	1-1	2-3	18-20
in all games	5-3	19-21	71-90	4-4	23-17	68-60	3-5	12-28	64-101
against conference opponents	5-1	17-12	47-57	3-3	18-11	46-38	3-3	11-18	40-67
when playing on a Friday	1-1	2-4	17-17	0-2	4-2	14-8	1-1	1-5	18-18
when playing with 6 or less days rest	3-2	11-16	43-54	1-4	16-11	48-31	2-3	7-20	41-57
versus division opponents	3-1	10-8	34-37	1-3	9-9	28-28	2-2	6-12	30-42
off a division game	4-0	8-9	31-39	3-1	10-7	30-24	3-1	4-13	25-46
in May games	0-0	3-3	17-23	0-0	4-2	15-13	0-0	2-4	17-23
off a win versus a division rival	1-0	2-3	12-16	1-0	4-1	15-7	1-0	1-4	13-16
when playing against a team with a losing record	1-1	8-3	24-32	0-2	7-4	22-18	1-1	5-6	22-34
when playing against a team with a losing record after 8 or more games	0-0	3-1	12-19	0-0	2-2	12-13	0-0	1-3	12-19
in weeks 10 through 13	0-0	4-4	14-25	0-0	4-4	16-16	0-0	3-5	12-28
when the total is greater than or equal to 110	3-3	8-9	16-19	2-4	9-8	17-17	2-4	5-12	15-20
as an underdog	3-2	16-19	52-58	3-2	20-15	42-43	1-4	9-26	31-80
in road games	2-1	8-11	36-42	1-2	6-13	27-35	1-2	2-17	25-55
in road games where the total is greater than or equal to 110	1-1	3-4	8-7	0-2	2-5	4-10	0-2	0-7	4-11

COLORADO - Recent ATS Trends
	Against the spread			Over/Under			Straight Up
	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996
Description	W-L	W-L	W-L	O-U	O-U	O-U	W-L	W-L	W-L
in games where the line is +3 to -3	1-2	6-5	18-13	2-0	5-4	17-13	1-2	6-5	18-14
in all games	2-6	18-24	47-47	5-1	24-16	47-46	3-5	23-20	50-46
against conference opponents	1-3	12-17	28-35	3-0	17-12	35-29	1-3	15-15	32-33
when playing on a Friday	2-1	8-4	12-7	3-0	6-5	11-8	2-1	9-3	14-6
when playing with 6 or less days rest	2-2	13-12	31-23	4-0	16-9	31-24	2-2	16-10	33-23
versus division opponents	0-3	8-11	15-25	2-0	9-9	20-19	0-3	10-9	19-21
off a division game	0-2	7-11	19-20	2-0	11-6	20-18	0-2	9-9	21-18
in May games	0-0	3-4	9-9	0-0	3-3	7-10	0-0	3-4	9-9
off a loss versus a division rival	0-2	2-6	9-11	2-0	3-5	9-11	0-2	3-5	10-10
after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses	1-1	3-3	8-11	2-0	5-1	11-8	1-1	3-3	7-12
when playing against a team with a losing record	1-1	5-8	10-17	1-0	7-5	15-11	1-1	7-6	15-12
when playing against a team with a losing record after 8 or more games	0-0	2-5	4-11	0-0	3-4	7-8	0-0	3-4	7-8
in weeks 10 through 13	0-0	4-4	11-9	0-0	5-2	12-7	0-0	5-3	11-9
when the total is greater than or equal to 110	0-0	2-7	4-11	0-0	5-4	6-9	0-0	1-8	2-13
as an underdog	1-3	8-10	27-25	3-1	11-7	27-26	1-3	7-11	21-32
as a home underdog of 3 points or less	0-0	0-1	5-4	0-0	1-0	7-3	0-0	0-1	5-5
in home games	1-3	8-12	23-22	3-0	12-7	24-21	2-2	13-8	28-19
in home games where the total is greater than or equal to 110	0-0	1-2	2-5	0-0	0-3	1-6	0-0	1-2	2-5

Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.

GRAND RAPIDS - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team					Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	Yards	YPP	TO	Score	Half	Yards	YPP	TO
All Games	3-5	-1.9	5-3	4-4	60.4	28.4	281.0	(7)	2.5	59.0	31.4	310.6	(6.8)	3.0
Road Games	1-2	-0.9	2-1	1-2	59.3	24.0	305.3	(7.3)	2.7	56.7	31.0	320.0	(7.2)	4.0
Last 3 Games	1-2	0	2-1	1-2	60.0	28.7	261.0	(6.9)	2.7	56.0	30.3	331.3	(7)	2.7
Division Games	2-2	+1.9	3-1	1-3	62.7	30.0	313.0	(7.3)	2.0	52.2	26.0	315.2	(7)	3.5

GRAND RAPIDS - Current Season Statistics
					Rushing		Passing				Total
	PPG	Half	FD	TOP	ATT-YDS	YPR	CMP-ATT	PCT	YDS	PYA	ATT-YDS	YPP	YPPT
Offense (All Games)	60.4	28.4	19.2	30:12	9-38	(4.1)	20-31	64.9%	243	(7.9)	40-281	(7)	(4.7)
Opponents Defensive Avg.	54.1	26.1	19.8	30:11	8-22	(2.8)	23-36	62.8%	256	(7.1)	44-278	(6.3)	(5.1)
Offense Road Games	59.3	24.0	20.7	30:44	10-33	(3.3)	22-32	67.7%	272	(8.5)	42-305	(7.3)	(5.1)
Defense (All Games)	59.0	31.4	20.6	29:35	8-25	(3.2)	24-38	63.1%	285	(7.6)	45-311	(6.8)	(5.3)
Opponents Offensive Avg.	54.2	27.3	20.2	30:40	8-19	(2.5)	23-37	63.1%	269	(7.3)	44-287	(6.5)	(5.3)
Defense Road Games	56.7	31.0	20.7	29:16	7-28	(3.8)	24-37	65.8%	292	(7.9)	44-320	(7.2)	(5.6)

COLORADO - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team					Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	Yards	YPP	TO	Score	Half	Yards	YPP	TO
All Games	3-5	-2.4	2-6	5-1	52.1	25.1	277.5	(5.8)	1.7	57.7	29.1	290.4	(6.4)	1.4
Home Games	2-2	-0.2	1-3	3-0	55.0	24.2	298.7	(6.2)	1.5	55.0	27.5	289.7	(6.4)	1.7
Last 3 Games	1-2	-1.1	1-2	2-0	58.0	25.7	289.7	(5.8)	2.0	62.0	31.3	304.7	(7.1)	1.7
Division Games	0-3	-3.3	0-3	2-0	46.7	24.7	264.0	(5.3)	1.7	63.3	32.0	282.0	(7)	1.0

COLORADO - Current Season Statistics
					Rushing		Passing				Total
	PPG	Half	FD	TOP	ATT-YDS	YPR	CMP-ATT	PCT	YDS	PYA	ATT-YDS	YPP	YPPT
Offense (All Games)	52.1	25.1	21.9	30:03	4-9	(2.2)	28-44	63.8%	268	(6.1)	48-277	(5.8)	(5.3)
Opponents Defensive Avg.	52.9	26.1	21.1	30:29	7-19	(2.8)	25-39	64.7%	275	(7.1)	46-294	(6.4)	(5.5)
Offense Home Games	55.0	24.2	22.7	31:13	3-10	(3)	28-45	62.4%	289	(6.4)	48-299	(6.2)	(5.4)
Defense (All Games)	57.7	29.1	22.0	28:39	8-20	(2.6)	23-37	62.2%	270	(7.2)	45-290	(6.4)	(5)
Opponents Offensive Avg.	54.2	27.3	19.4	29:20	8-21	(2.7)	22-35	61.9%	261	(7.4)	43-283	(6.6)	(5.2)
Defense Home Games	55.0	27.5	21.7	26:20	5-11	(2.2)	24-40	60.2%	278	(6.9)	45-290	(6.4)	(5.3)

Average power rating of opponents played: GRAND RAPIDS 49.4, COLORADO 49

Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.

Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.

All games in this series since 1996

COLORADO is 4-4 against the spread versus GRAND RAPIDS since 1996

COLORADO is 5-4 straight up against GRAND RAPIDS since 1996

7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996

Games over the last 3 seasons

GRAND RAPIDS is 3-1 against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons

COLORADO is 2-2 straight up against GRAND RAPIDS over the last 3 seasons

3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at COLORADO since 1996

COLORADO is 2-2 against the spread versus GRAND RAPIDS since 1996

COLORADO is 3-2 straight up against GRAND RAPIDS since 1996

4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996

Games played at COLORADO over the last 3 seasons.

GRAND RAPIDS is 2-0 against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons

COLORADO is 1-1 straight up against GRAND RAPIDS over the last 3 seasons

1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

								Rushing	Passing		Turnovers		Penalties
Date	Teams	Score	Line	Result	Half	FD	TOP	ATT-YDS	CMP-ATT	YDS	FL	INT	PEN-YDS
5/26/2007	COLORADO	56	-6	Over	23	27	32:51	5-5	29-47	357	1	1	6-62
	GRAND RAPIDS	58	111	SU ATS	28	16	27:09	2-9	22-35	265	0	1	11-53
3/4/2007	GRAND RAPIDS	44	103	SU ATS	20	16	32:41	9-13	21-36	167	1	0	10-66
	COLORADO	42	-10.5	Under	28	26	27:19	1-1	27-45	300	2	2	12-77
4/8/2006	COLORADO	73	-6	SU ATS	42	19	31:41	14-69	21-29	238	0	1	12-98
	GRAND RAPIDS	48	104	Over	14	18	28:19	2-8	19-34	187	1	3	5-24
3/5/2006	GRAND RAPIDS	54	102	ATS	27	24	32:01	8-0	30-42	348	0	0	8-45
	COLORADO	66	-13.5	SU Over	31	19	27:59	8-15	19-32	283	0	1	6-38

Team Line Action - Where the money is going!

Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.

As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring GRAND RAPIDS in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in GRAND RAPIDS games 52.9% of the time since 1996. (55-49)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in GRAND RAPIDS games 58.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (20-14)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in COLORADO games 52.7% of the time since 1996. (39-35)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in COLORADO games 60.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (20-13)
No Edge.

As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in GRAND RAPIDS games 52.8% of the time since 1996. (47-42)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in GRAND RAPIDS games 48.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (16-17)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in COLORADO games 54.3% of the time since 1996. (38-32)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in COLORADO games 63% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (17-10)
No Edge.

Key Player Injuries

GRAND RAPIDS

[FB] Alan Krutulis is out indefinitely. - Knee - 04/23/08

[OL] Fitu Tuua missed last game, "?". - Ankle - 04/25/08

[OL] TJ Watkins missed last game, "?". - Ankle - 04/25/08

[FB] Whitney Bell IR - Ankle - 04/12/08

[FB] Chris Ryan IR - Groin - 03/14/08

[OL] Marcus Keys IR - Knee - 04/12/08

COLORADO

[WR] Aaron Hosack missed last game, "?". - Knee - 04/25/08

[FB] Kevin Nagle missed last game, "?". - Knee - 04/25/08

[DB] Zach Norton out indefinitely. - Shoulder - 04/10/08

The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping