StatFox.com - ARENA - Game Matchups

ARENA Football Game Matchup Report

Monday, 5/5/2008 at 8:00 PM				CHICAGO (7-2) at TAMPA BAY (3-5)
Game Matchups \| FoxSheet				Results				Offensive Statistics				Defensive Statistics
Teams	Line	PF	PA	SU	ATS	O/U/P	TO	RY	RYPA	PY	PYPC	RY	RYPA	PY	PYPC
165: CHICAGO	107	59.7	46.1	7-2	5-4-0	5-4-0	+9	20.3	2.4	257.7	8.1	13.7	2.5	267.6	6.3
166: TAMPA BAY	+4.5	54.0	56.6	3-5	2-6-0	5-3-0	-6	10.1	1.4	277.6	7.6	8.5	1.2	258.5	7.4

Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.

	Power Rating
	Estimate	Edge
CHICAGO	-7
TAMPA BAY

Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.

CHICAGO - Recent ATS Trends
	Against the spread			Over/Under			Straight Up
	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996
Description	W-L	W-L	W-L	O-U	O-U	O-U	W-L	W-L	W-L
as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points	3-1	9-5	20-19	3-1	7-9	19-23	3-1	12-4	31-11
in all games	5-4	27-16	67-60	5-4	23-24	56-73	7-2	31-16	79-53
when playing on Monday night	1-1	5-1	6-1	1-1	4-3	5-3	2-0	6-1	7-1
against National Conference, Southern Division Opponents	0-1	1-3	9-8	1-0	2-2	8-8	0-1	1-3	9-8
off a division game	3-1	14-5	30-23	2-2	8-13	27-27	4-0	16-5	38-18
in May games	0-0	6-1	16-13	0-0	3-5	12-17	0-0	6-2	19-11
in non-conference games	0-2	5-6	21-18	2-0	7-5	18-21	0-2	4-8	22-18
off a win versus a division rival	3-1	12-2	19-15	2-2	7-8	18-17	4-0	13-2	24-12
after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins	2-1	14-4	21-19	2-1	10-10	21-22	2-1	15-5	24-19
when playing against a team with a losing record	1-2	8-4	21-21	1-2	7-7	21-23	3-0	13-1	34-10
when playing against a team with a losing record after 8 or more games	0-0	4-2	11-11	0-0	3-4	9-14	0-0	6-1	17-6
in weeks 10 through 13	0-0	4-3	14-12	0-0	4-4	13-15	0-0	3-5	15-13
when the total is between 105 and 109.5 points	2-3	7-6	13-14	3-2	7-8	12-18	3-2	10-5	19-11
as a favorite	4-3	18-9	40-34	3-4	14-17	33-45	6-1	25-6	57-22
as a road favorite of 3.5 to 7 points	1-1	2-3	4-5	1-1	2-4	5-5	1-1	3-3	6-4
in road games	2-2	14-9	34-34	2-2	13-11	33-34	3-1	13-11	34-35
in road games where the total is between 105 and 109.5 points	1-2	3-3	5-8	2-1	5-2	8-6	2-1	5-2	8-6

TAMPA BAY - Recent ATS Trends
	Against the spread			Over/Under			Straight Up
	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996
Description	W-L	W-L	W-L	O-U	O-U	O-U	W-L	W-L	W-L
as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points	1-1	4-7	15-16	0-2	3-8	13-17	1-1	4-7	10-21
in all games	2-6	18-23	106-85	5-3	24-16	77-58	3-5	19-22	120-72
when playing on Monday night	0-0	0-0	3-2	0-0	0-0	2-1	0-0	0-0	3-2
when playing with 8 days rest	0-1	0-2	8-7	1-0	2-0	10-2	0-1	0-2	8-7
against American Conference, Central Division Opponents	0-1	2-2	19-11	1-0	3-1	14-7	1-0	3-1	23-9
off a division game	0-2	8-11	43-40	1-1	10-8	37-25	0-2	8-11	53-37
after playing a game on a Saturday	1-3	9-14	52-34	3-1	14-8	28-26	2-2	11-12	64-32
in May games	0-0	3-3	27-14	0-0	4-2	19-11	0-0	3-3	33-14
in non-conference games	0-2	5-5	39-25	2-0	6-4	26-17	1-1	6-4	45-24
off a win versus a division rival	0-1	3-6	28-24	1-0	6-3	23-14	0-1	3-6	31-22
when playing against a team with a winning record	1-1	7-5	49-30	0-2	4-8	30-29	1-1	6-6	50-35
when playing against a team with a winning record after 8 or more games	0-0	2-2	31-18	0-0	1-3	17-19	0-0	1-3	30-22
in weeks 10 through 13	0-0	5-3	28-16	0-0	3-5	15-15	0-0	4-4	32-16
when the total is between 105 and 109.5 points	0-3	2-7	12-11	2-1	6-3	12-11	0-3	2-7	9-14
as an underdog	1-1	8-13	29-27	0-2	11-10	26-25	1-1	7-14	22-34
as a home underdog of 3.5 to 7 points	0-0	1-1	3-3	0-0	1-1	3-3	0-0	1-1	3-3
in home games	1-2	10-10	57-40	3-0	12-7	39-28	1-2	11-9	68-30
in home games where the total is between 105 and 109.5 points	0-1	2-2	7-4	1-0	3-1	6-5	0-1	2-2	7-4

Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.

CHICAGO - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team					Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	Yards	YPP	TO	Score	Half	Yards	YPP	TO
All Games	7-2	+1.8	5-4	5-4	59.7	28.6	278.0	(6.9)	1.8	46.1	21.7	281.2	(5.9)	2.8
Road Games	3-1	+0.8	2-2	2-2	58.5	26.5	274.7	(6.9)	1.7	46.5	19.0	293.5	(6.1)	3.0
Last 3 Games	3-0	+2	1-2	1-2	56.3	27.7	281.0	(6.7)	2.3	48.7	22.0	293.7	(6.3)	2.0

CHICAGO - Current Season Statistics
					Rushing		Passing				Total
	PPG	Half	FD	TOP	ATT-YDS	YPR	CMP-ATT	PCT	YDS	PYA	ATT-YDS	YPP	YPPT
Offense (All Games)	59.7	28.6	19.6	27:37	8-20	(2.4)	21-32	66.0%	258	(8.1)	40-278	(6.9)	(4.7)
Opponents Defensive Avg.	56.1	28.8	20.3	29:19	8-22	(2.9)	23-36	62.5%	269	(7.5)	44-291	(6.7)	(5.2)
Offense Road Games	58.5	26.5	19.5	26:44	9-23	(2.5)	20-31	65.9%	252	(8.2)	40-275	(6.9)	(4.7)
Defense (All Games)	46.1	21.7	20.3	31:38	6-14	(2.5)	26-42	62.2%	268	(6.3)	48-281	(5.9)	(6.1)
Opponents Offensive Avg.	55	27.4	20.8	30:25	7-22	(2.9)	24-37	64.7%	264	(7.1)	45-285	(6.4)	(5.2)
Defense Road Games	46.5	19.0	20.5	31:46	4-18	(4)	26-44	58.9%	275	(6.3)	48-293	(6.1)	(6.3)

TAMPA BAY - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team					Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	Yards	YPP	TO	Score	Half	Yards	YPP	TO
All Games	3-5	-15	2-6	5-3	54.0	24.7	287.7	(6.6)	2.2	56.6	27.0	267.0	(6.4)	1.5
Home Games	1-2	-9.6	1-2	3-0	59.3	31.0	297.0	(7.3)	1.7	59.0	26.7	273.3	(6.4)	1.3
Last 3 Games	1-2	-8.7	1-2	2-1	52.3	28.7	302.7	(7.2)	1.7	56.7	24.7	255.0	(6.5)	1.7

TAMPA BAY - Current Season Statistics
					Rushing		Passing				Total
	PPG	Half	FD	TOP	ATT-YDS	YPR	CMP-ATT	PCT	YDS	PYA	ATT-YDS	YPP	YPPT
Offense (All Games)	54.0	24.7	20.9	29:59	7-10	(1.4)	24-36	65.1%	278	(7.6)	43-288	(6.6)	(5.3)
Opponents Defensive Avg.	53.6	26.4	20.4	30:40	7-19	(2.7)	23-36	63.4%	270	(7.4)	43-289	(6.6)	(5.4)
Offense Home Games	59.3	31.0	21.7	28:48	5-5	(1)	24-35	67.0%	292	(8.3)	41-297	(7.3)	(5)
Defense (All Games)	56.6	27.0	20.2	29:59	7-8	(1.2)	24-35	68.0%	258	(7.4)	42-267	(6.4)	(4.7)
Opponents Offensive Avg.	54.2	27.4	20.1	30:22	7-19	(2.7)	23-37	63.5%	270	(7.4)	44-290	(6.6)	(5.3)
Defense Home Games	59.0	26.7	20.7	31:12	7-8	(1.1)	25-36	71.0%	265	(7.4)	43-273	(6.4)	(4.6)

Average power rating of opponents played: CHICAGO 48.6, TAMPA BAY 49.9

Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.

Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.

All games in this series since 1996

TAMPA BAY is 1-1 against the spread versus CHICAGO since 1996

TAMPA BAY is 1-1 straight up against CHICAGO since 1996

1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996

Games over the last 3 seasons

There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

All games played at TAMPA BAY since 1996

TAMPA BAY is 1-0 against the spread versus CHICAGO since 1996

TAMPA BAY is 1-0 straight up against CHICAGO since 1996

1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996

Games played at TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons.

There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Team Line Action - Where the money is going!

Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.

As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring Nobody in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CHICAGO games 44.6% of the time since 1996. (45-56)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CHICAGO games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (18-18)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TAMPA BAY games 46.6% of the time since 1996. (48-55)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TAMPA BAY games 36.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (14-24)
No Edge.

As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CHICAGO games 58.7% of the time since 1996. (54-38)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CHICAGO games 59.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (19-13)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TAMPA BAY games 58.2% of the time since 1996. (53-38)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TAMPA BAY games 61.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (22-14)
No Edge.

Key Player Injuries

CHICAGO

(!) [QB] Sherdrick Bonner missed last game, "?". - Knee - 04/25/08

[FB/LB] Matt Kinsinger out indefinitely. - Knee - 03/07/08

TAMPA BAY

[OL/DL] Ernest Certain IR - Back - 04/12/08

[DB] Byron Jones IR - Knee - 03/05/08

[DL] Clifford Dukes IR - Hamstring - 04/22/08

[LB] Terrence Royal IR - Shoulder - 04/22/08

The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping