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ARENA Football Game Matchup Report

Saturday, 5/10/2008 at 8:00 PM				GRAND RAPIDS (3-6) at DALLAS (8-1)
Game Matchups \| FoxSheet				Results				Offensive Statistics				Defensive Statistics
Teams	Line	PF	PA	SU	ATS	O/U/P	TO	RY	RYPA	PY	PYPC	RY	RYPA	PY	PYPC
109: GRAND RAPIDS	102	56.8	59.4	3-6	5-4-0	4-5-0	+3	37.3	4.0	237.2	7.7	22.8	2.9	289.1	7.5
110: DALLAS	-12.5	47.7	44.6	8-1	5-4-0	2-7-0	-2	25.8	2.8	250.0	6.9	24.3	3.3	253.6	7.0

Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.

	Power Rating
	Estimate	Edge
GRAND RAPIDS
DALLAS	-13

Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.

GRAND RAPIDS - Recent ATS Trends
	Against the spread			Over/Under			Straight Up
	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996
Description	W-L	W-L	W-L	O-U	O-U	O-U	W-L	W-L	W-L
as an underdog of 10 or more points	1-0	6-4	18-16	0-1	3-7	12-16	0-1	1-9	4-30
in all games	5-4	19-22	71-91	4-5	23-18	68-61	3-6	12-29	64-102
when playing on a Saturday	0-1	6-12	32-46	0-1	9-9	34-30	0-1	4-14	28-52
against National Conference, Eastern Division Opponents	0-1	2-5	13-14	0-1	3-4	9-13	0-1	1-6	14-14
off a division game	4-1	8-10	31-40	3-2	10-8	30-25	3-2	4-14	25-47
in May games	0-1	3-4	17-24	0-1	4-3	15-14	0-1	2-5	17-24
in non-conference games	0-2	2-9	24-33	1-1	5-6	22-22	0-2	1-10	24-34
off a loss versus a division rival	2-0	5-6	18-23	1-1	5-6	14-17	2-0	3-8	12-29
when playing against a team with a winning record	1-1	6-12	28-30	1-1	9-9	25-26	0-2	3-15	21-37
when playing against a team with a winning record after 8 or more games	0-0	4-7	17-19	0-0	5-6	14-18	0-0	3-8	11-25
in weeks 10 through 13	0-1	4-5	14-26	0-1	4-5	16-17	0-1	3-6	12-29
when the total is between 100 and 104.5 points	1-0	6-5	14-18	1-0	8-3	19-13	1-0	4-7	14-19
as an underdog	3-3	16-20	52-59	3-3	20-16	42-44	1-5	9-27	31-81
as a road underdog of 10.5 to 14 points	0-0	5-2	9-8	0-0	3-4	7-8	0-0	1-6	3-14
in road games	2-2	8-12	36-43	1-3	6-14	27-36	1-3	2-18	25-56
in road games where the total is between 100 and 104.5 points	1-0	4-2	7-10	1-0	3-3	10-8	1-0	2-4	7-11

DALLAS - Recent ATS Trends
	Against the spread			Over/Under			Straight Up
	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996
Description	W-L	W-L	W-L	O-U	O-U	O-U	W-L	W-L	W-L
as a favorite of 10 or more points	0-2	3-9	4-13	1-1	6-6	8-9	2-0	11-1	15-1
in all games	5-4	27-17	55-53	2-7	19-25	54-51	8-1	37-7	69-39
when playing on a Saturday	3-2	12-9	19-25	2-3	11-10	24-18	5-0	17-4	28-17
when playing with 6 or less days rest	3-2	16-9	35-33	2-3	14-11	39-28	5-0	22-3	45-24
against American Conference, Central Division Opponents	1-0	5-2	8-8	0-1	3-4	10-7	1-0	7-0	12-4
off a division game	3-2	13-5	26-17	1-4	8-10	21-21	5-0	16-2	32-11
after playing a game on a Saturday	3-2	13-7	23-20	0-5	7-13	21-22	4-1	17-3	28-16
in May games	0-1	4-3	10-13	0-1	2-5	10-12	1-0	6-1	10-13
in non-conference games	2-0	8-4	16-19	1-1	5-7	17-16	2-0	12-0	22-12
off a win versus a division rival	2-1	10-4	16-10	1-2	7-7	12-13	3-0	12-2	19-7
when playing against a team with a losing record	0-2	2-6	11-16	0-2	3-5	15-12	2-0	7-1	20-6
when playing against a team with a losing record after 8 or more games	0-1	2-3	5-10	0-1	2-3	9-6	1-0	4-1	9-5
in weeks 10 through 13	0-1	6-2	11-11	0-1	1-7	11-12	1-0	8-0	15-7
when the total is between 100 and 104.5 points	0-2	4-7	17-19	1-1	4-7	18-17	2-0	8-3	21-15
as a favorite	4-3	21-15	31-39	1-6	14-22	31-36	7-0	31-5	48-21
as a home favorite of 10.5 to 14 points	0-1	1-6	1-7	1-0	5-2	5-3	1-0	6-1	6-1
in home games	3-1	11-12	22-34	1-3	9-14	27-27	4-0	19-4	35-20
in home games where the total is between 100 and 104.5 points	0-1	1-6	3-14	1-0	3-4	7-9	1-0	4-3	7-10

Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.

GRAND RAPIDS - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team					Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	Yards	YPP	TO	Score	Half	Yards	YPP	TO
All Games	3-6	-3	5-4	4-5	56.8	27.6	274.6	(6.9)	2.4	59.4	32.6	311.9	(6.7)	2.8
Road Games	1-3	-2	2-2	1-3	51.5	23.2	284.7	(6.9)	2.5	58.2	33.7	320.5	(6.9)	3.2
Last 3 Games	1-2	-0.1	2-1	0-3	50.7	28.7	256.3	(6.3)	2.3	52.0	28.7	317.7	(6.3)	2.7

GRAND RAPIDS - Current Season Statistics
					Rushing		Passing				Total
	PPG	Half	FD	TOP	ATT-YDS	YPR	CMP-ATT	PCT	YDS	PYA	ATT-YDS	YPP	YPPT
Offense (All Games)	56.8	27.6	18.6	29:41	9-37	(4)	20-31	63.8%	237	(7.7)	40-275	(6.9)	(4.8)
Opponents Defensive Avg.	54.1	26.4	20.1	30:57	8-22	(2.9)	23-36	62.8%	259	(7.2)	44-281	(6.4)	(5.2)
Offense Road Games	51.5	23.2	18.7	29:26	10-33	(3.4)	20-32	64.6%	251	(7.9)	41-285	(6.9)	(5.5)
Defense (All Games)	59.4	32.6	21.6	30:07	8-23	(2.9)	25-39	64.6%	289	(7.5)	46-312	(6.7)	(5.2)
Opponents Offensive Avg.	53.8	26.8	20.6	30:48	7-18	(2.5)	24-37	63.5%	267	(7.1)	45-285	(6.4)	(5.3)
Defense Road Games	58.2	33.7	22.7	30:34	7-22	(3)	27-39	68.2%	299	(7.6)	46-320	(6.9)	(5.5)

DALLAS - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team					Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	Yards	YPP	TO	Score	Half	Yards	YPP	TO
All Games	8-1	+7.5	5-4	2-7	47.7	23.1	275.8	(6.1)	1.9	44.6	24.4	277.9	(6.4)	1.7
Home Games	4-0	+4	3-1	1-3	52.5	26.2	270.0	(5.9)	0.7	42.7	21.2	260.7	(6.3)	2.0
Last 3 Games	2-1	+1	1-2	0-3	43.7	20.0	276.7	(6.2)	2.7	48.7	31.3	284.7	(6.7)	1.0

DALLAS - Current Season Statistics
					Rushing		Passing				Total
	PPG	Half	FD	TOP	ATT-YDS	YPR	CMP-ATT	PCT	YDS	PYA	ATT-YDS	YPP	YPPT
Offense (All Games)	47.7	23.1	20.3	30:10	9-26	(2.8)	22-36	61.1%	250	(6.9)	45-276	(6.1)	(5.8)
Opponents Defensive Avg.	52.6	26	21	30:55	7-20	(2.7)	24-37	64.0%	273	(7.3)	44-292	(6.6)	(5.6)
Offense Home Games	52.5	26.2	20.5	31:40	9-19	(2)	22-36	60.3%	251	(6.9)	46-270	(5.9)	(5.1)
Defense (All Games)	44.6	24.4	20.2	29:50	7-24	(3.3)	23-36	64.8%	254	(7)	43-278	(6.4)	(6.2)
Opponents Offensive Avg.	54.4	27.1	20.4	30:57	7-18	(2.7)	24-37	64.4%	273	(7.3)	44-291	(6.6)	(5.3)
Defense Home Games	42.7	21.2	18.2	28:20	4-15	(3.4)	22-37	61.2%	245	(6.7)	41-261	(6.3)	(6.1)

Average power rating of opponents played: GRAND RAPIDS 48.9, DALLAS 51.4

Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.

Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.

All games in this series since 1996

DALLAS is 2-2 against the spread versus GRAND RAPIDS since 1996

DALLAS is 3-1 straight up against GRAND RAPIDS since 1996

3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1996

Games over the last 3 seasons

DALLAS is 1-0 against the spread versus GRAND RAPIDS over the last 3 seasons

DALLAS is 1-0 straight up against GRAND RAPIDS over the last 3 seasons

1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at DALLAS since 1996

GRAND RAPIDS is 2-1 against the spread versus DALLAS since 1996

DALLAS is 2-1 straight up against GRAND RAPIDS since 1996

2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1996

Games played at DALLAS over the last 3 seasons.

DALLAS is 1-0 against the spread versus GRAND RAPIDS over the last 3 seasons

DALLAS is 1-0 straight up against GRAND RAPIDS over the last 3 seasons

1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

								Rushing	Passing		Turnovers		Penalties
Date	Teams	Score	Line	Result	Half	FD	TOP	ATT-YDS	CMP-ATT	YDS	FL	INT	PEN-YDS
4/15/2006	GRAND RAPIDS	25	102	Under	7	13	31:21	11-11	18-33	139	1	0	3-19
	DALLAS	55	-15.5	SU ATS	36	16	28:39	11-27	18-28	285	0	0	9-93

Team Line Action - Where the money is going!

Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.

As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring DALLAS in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in GRAND RAPIDS games 52.4% of the time since 1996. (55-50)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in GRAND RAPIDS games 57.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (20-15)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DALLAS games 50% of the time since 1996. (39-39)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DALLAS games 47.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (16-18)
No Edge.

As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in GRAND RAPIDS games 53.3% of the time since 1996. (48-42)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in GRAND RAPIDS games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (17-17)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in DALLAS games 49.4% of the time since 1996. (42-43)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in DALLAS games 43.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (16-21)
No Edge.

Key Player Injuries

GRAND RAPIDS

[FB] Chris Ryan IR - Groin - 03/14/08

[FB] Whitney Bell IR - Ankle - 04/12/08

[FB] Alan Krutulis is out indefinitely. - Knee - 04/23/08

[OL] Fitu Tuua missed last game, "?". - Ankle - 05/05/08

[OL] TJ Watkins missed last game, "?". - Ankle - 05/05/08

[OL] Marcus Keys IR - Knee - 04/12/08

DALLAS

[DB] DaShane Dennis IR - Foot - 03/30/08

[QB] Jason Fife IR - Undisclosed - 04/12/08

[DB] Chris Brown IR - Achilles - 02/28/08

The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping