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ARENA Football Game Matchup Report

Sunday, 5/18/2008 at 3:00 PM				GEORGIA (5-5) at NEW YORK (6-4)
Game Matchups \| FoxSheet				Results				Offensive Statistics				Defensive Statistics
Teams	Line	PF	PA	SU	ATS	O/U/P	TO	RY	RYPA	PY	PYPC	RY	RYPA	PY	PYPC
163: GEORGIA	108	58.4	54.8	5-5	4-6-0	6-4-0	-2	20.5	2.8	306.4	8.1	11.6	1.6	279.3	7.4
164: NEW YORK	-3	50.4	47.8	6-4	6-3-1	3-7-0	+10	9.7	2.0	258.0	6.6	22.3	3.1	232.6	6.7

Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.

	Power Rating
	Estimate	Edge
GEORGIA	-5
NEW YORK

Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.

GEORGIA - Recent ATS Trends
	Against the spread			Over/Under			Straight Up
	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996
Description	W-L	W-L	W-L	O-U	O-U	O-U	W-L	W-L	W-L
in games where the line is +3 to -3	4-2	9-7	21-19	3-3	8-7	16-22	4-2	9-7	21-19
in all games	4-6	24-21	58-53	6-4	25-20	52-56	5-5	29-17	64-49
against conference opponents	2-4	20-14	40-36	3-3	17-16	34-38	2-4	21-13	44-32
when playing on a Sunday	0-0	6-2	21-12	0-0	5-3	14-19	0-0	7-1	22-11
when playing with 6 or less days rest	2-4	14-15	32-36	4-2	16-12	33-33	3-3	18-11	37-32
against National Conference, Eastern Division Opponents	1-1	7-7	13-13	1-1	7-7	13-13	1-1	7-7	13-13
after playing a Monday game	0-0	0-1	1-1	0-0	1-0	1-1	0-0	1-0	2-0
in May games	2-0	5-4	14-11	1-1	2-7	11-14	2-0	5-4	13-13
after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins	0-1	9-7	15-16	1-0	9-6	16-14	0-1	10-6	17-15
when playing against a team with a winning record	2-1	10-7	27-20	2-1	7-9	20-27	2-1	10-7	25-23
when playing against a team with a winning record after 8 or more games	2-0	8-5	17-15	1-1	4-8	12-20	2-0	8-5	16-17
in weeks 10 through 13	2-0	5-4	10-14	1-1	3-5	8-15	2-0	6-3	11-13
in the last 4 weeks of the regular season	0-0	4-4	12-9	0-0	2-5	9-11	0-0	4-4	11-10
when the total is between 105 and 109.5 points	1-1	5-5	7-8	1-1	4-6	5-10	1-1	6-4	8-7
as an underdog	4-3	7-5	26-18	3-4	6-6	16-27	4-3	7-5	22-23
as a road underdog of 3 points or less	1-1	3-1	7-4	1-1	2-2	5-5	1-1	3-1	7-4
in road games	1-3	10-11	29-24	3-1	13-8	24-28	1-3	12-10	28-27
in road games where the total is between 105 and 109.5 points	0-1	2-4	4-4	1-0	2-4	2-6	0-1	2-4	4-4

NEW YORK - Recent ATS Trends
	Against the spread			Over/Under			Straight Up
	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996
Description	W-L	W-L	W-L	O-U	O-U	O-U	W-L	W-L	W-L
in games where the line is +3 to -3	0-2	8-9	22-28	1-1	10-7	29-19	0-2	8-9	22-28
in all games	6-3	22-20	62-59	3-7	22-20	62-56	6-4	21-22	60-63
against conference opponents	4-2	14-15	40-39	3-3	17-11	45-32	3-3	12-17	39-41
when playing on a Sunday	3-1	8-7	28-20	1-3	8-7	21-25	2-2	6-9	23-25
against National Conference, Southern Division Opponents	1-0	7-5	13-15	1-0	7-4	16-10	1-0	7-5	13-15
after playing a game on a Saturday	1-1	3-10	20-28	2-1	6-8	22-27	2-1	5-9	21-29
in May games	0-0	4-3	16-11	0-1	5-3	15-13	1-0	5-3	17-12
after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins	2-0	5-4	14-14	1-2	6-4	17-11	3-0	6-4	16-13
in weeks 10 through 13	0-0	6-2	13-15	0-1	5-4	13-15	1-0	7-2	14-15
in the last 4 weeks of the regular season	0-0	6-2	18-9	0-0	7-1	17-9	0-0	6-2	19-8
when the total is between 105 and 109.5 points	0-0	5-5	12-10	0-0	4-6	12-10	0-0	4-6	10-12
as a favorite	2-1	9-8	32-30	2-2	11-7	33-30	3-1	11-7	38-25
as a home favorite of 3 points or less	0-0	3-4	8-11	0-0	4-3	12-7	0-0	3-4	8-11
in home games	5-0	12-10	31-31	1-4	9-13	29-31	4-1	11-11	33-29
in home games where the total is between 105 and 109.5 points	0-0	4-3	9-7	0-0	2-5	9-7	0-0	3-4	8-8

Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.

GEORGIA - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team					Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	Yards	YPP	TO	Score	Half	Yards	YPP	TO
All Games	5-5	-0.9	4-6	6-4	58.4	30.0	326.9	(7.2)	1.9	54.8	28.6	290.9	(6.5)	1.7
Road Games	1-3	-3	1-3	3-1	56.0	31.2	317.5	(6.9)	2.2	58.5	33.0	256.0	(6)	1.2
Last 3 Games	2-1	+0.1	2-1	2-1	63.3	38.0	362.0	(7.6)	2.0	55.7	32.0	287.0	(6.6)	1.7

GEORGIA - Current Season Statistics
					Rushing		Passing				Total
	PPG	Half	FD	TOP	ATT-YDS	YPR	CMP-ATT	PCT	YDS	PYA	ATT-YDS	YPP	YPPT
Offense (All Games)	58.4	30.0	21.4	28:24	7-20	(2.8)	24-38	64.4%	306	(8.1)	45-327	(7.2)	(5.6)
Opponents Defensive Avg.	55.1	27.3	20.4	30:51	7-19	(2.7)	23-36	64.6%	271	(7.5)	43-290	(6.7)	(5.3)
Offense Road Games	56.0	31.2	21.7	29:17	6-10	(1.7)	26-40	63.6%	307	(7.6)	46-317	(6.9)	(5.7)
Defense (All Games)	54.8	28.6	20.8	31:36	7-12	(1.6)	24-37	65.1%	279	(7.4)	45-291	(6.5)	(5.3)
Opponents Offensive Avg.	54.6	27.6	20.7	30:12	7-18	(2.5)	24-37	64.1%	275	(7.4)	44-293	(6.6)	(5.4)
Defense Road Games	58.5	33.0	20.0	30:43	8-5	(0.6)	22-35	64.0%	251	(7.2)	43-256	(6)	(4.4)

NEW YORK - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team					Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	Yards	YPP	TO	Score	Half	Yards	YPP	TO
All Games	6-4	+6.6	6-3	3-7	50.4	24.3	267.7	(6.1)	1.8	47.8	20.3	254.9	(6.1)	2.8
Home Games	4-1	+5.5	5-0	1-4	52.4	26.2	261.4	(6)	1.4	39.4	14.0	244.0	(5.6)	3.2
Last 3 Games	3-0	+4.2	2-0	1-2	58.0	31.7	247.0	(6.3)	1.0	44.7	20.0	237.7	(5.5)	2.7

NEW YORK - Current Season Statistics
					Rushing		Passing				Total
	PPG	Half	FD	TOP	ATT-YDS	YPR	CMP-ATT	PCT	YDS	PYA	ATT-YDS	YPP	YPPT
Offense (All Games)	50.4	24.3	20.0	31:29	5-10	(2)	24-39	62.0%	258	(6.6)	44-268	(6.1)	(5.3)
Opponents Defensive Avg.	55.8	28.8	21	30:46	7-21	(2.8)	24-37	65.9%	279	(7.6)	44-300	(6.8)	(5.4)
Offense Home Games	52.4	26.2	20.4	31:16	5-13	(2.6)	24-39	62.4%	249	(6.4)	44-261	(6)	(5)
Defense (All Games)	47.8	20.3	19.0	28:31	7-22	(3.1)	21-35	59.6%	233	(6.7)	42-255	(6.1)	(5.3)
Opponents Offensive Avg.	53.7	26.3	20.3	30:13	8-24	(2.9)	23-36	63.7%	267	(7.5)	44-291	(6.6)	(5.4)
Defense Home Games	39.4	14.0	16.8	28:44	8-24	(3.1)	19-35	54.8%	220	(6.2)	43-244	(5.6)	(6.2)

Average power rating of opponents played: GEORGIA 48.5, NEW YORK 46.7

Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.

Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.

All games in this series since 1996

NEW YORK is 6-3 against the spread versus GEORGIA since 1996

NEW YORK is 7-2 straight up against GEORGIA since 1996

4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1996

Games over the last 3 seasons

NEW YORK is 1-1 against the spread versus GEORGIA over the last 3 seasons

NEW YORK is 1-1 straight up against GEORGIA over the last 3 seasons

1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at NEW YORK since 1996

GEORGIA is 3-2 against the spread versus NEW YORK since 1996

NEW YORK is 3-2 straight up against GEORGIA since 1996

3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996

Games played at NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons.

NEW YORK is 1-1 against the spread versus GEORGIA over the last 3 seasons

NEW YORK is 1-1 straight up against GEORGIA over the last 3 seasons

1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

								Rushing	Passing		Turnovers		Penalties
Date	Teams	Score	Line	Result	Half	FD	TOP	ATT-YDS	CMP-ATT	YDS	FL	INT	PEN-YDS
5/21/2006	GEORGIA	72	104.5	SU ATS	37	24	32:32	8-19	28-39	362	1	0	10-57
	NEW YORK	69	-1	Over	35	20	27:28	1-1	27-36	387	1	1	8-49
5/6/2006	GEORGIA	35	-3	Under	21	21	28:13	4-16	24-38	266	2	0	19-99
	NEW YORK	47	105	SU ATS	27	18	31:47	14-27	20-27	191	1	0	10-57

Team Line Action - Where the money is going!

Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.

As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring NEW YORK in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in GEORGIA games 47.6% of the time since 1996. (50-55)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in GEORGIA games 40.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (15-22)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NEW YORK games 58.5% of the time since 1996. (55-39)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NEW YORK games 56.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (21-16)
No Edge.

As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in GEORGIA games 36.7% of the time since 1996. (33-57)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in GEORGIA games 38.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (14-22)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NEW YORK games 47.2% of the time since 1996. (42-47)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NEW YORK games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (18-18)
No Edge.

Key Player Injuries

GEORGIA

[DB] David Crocker IR - Back - 03/05/08

[DB] Hamin Milligan missed last game, "?". - Shoulder - 05/14/08

[WR/DB] Charles Pauley IR - Thigh - 04/12/08

[FB/LB] Frank Trentadue IR - Leg - 03/21/08

NEW YORK

[OL] Joe Laudano IR - Knee - 04/26/08

[DB] Angel Estrada IR - Knee - 04/26/08

The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping