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Week 16 Friday, 1/2/2009 8:15 PM

(BCS) Sugar Bowl - Louisiana Superdome - New Orleans, LA

Board		Open	Latest
259	UTAH	47	45
260	ALABAMA	-10.5	-9.5

	UTAH - Local News Coverage
	ALABAMA - Local News Coverage

Starters and Lettermen returning for the 2009 season:

Team	Coach	Offensive	Defensive	Lettermen
UTAH	Kyle Whittingham	8*	6	55

Team	Coach	Offensive	Defensive	Lettermen
ALABAMA	Nick Saban	7*	6	49

Power Rating Line

The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.

	Power Rating
	Estimate	Edge
UTAH
ALABAMA	-3

Team Trends and Angles

All team trends listed below apply to the current game.

UTAH - Recent ATS Trends
	Against the spread			Over/Under			Straight Up
	Current	Last 3	Since 1992	Current	Last 3	Since 1992	Current	Last 3	Since 1992
Description	W-L	W-L	W-L	O-U	O-U	O-U	W-L	W-L	W-L
in a bowl game	0-0	1-1	8-3	0-0	1-1	3-7	0-0	2-0	8-3
against SEC opponents	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0
when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest	0-1	3-2	23-9	0-1	3-2	8-12	1-0	5-0	26-6
after playing a conference game	5-1	15-7	69-58	4-2	13-9	38-32	7-0	18-5	87-44
after a bye week	0-1	3-2	23-11	0-1	3-2	9-13	1-0	5-0	26-8
in dome games	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0
in games played on a neutral field	0-0	1-1	8-3	0-0	1-1	3-7	0-0	2-0	8-3
in games played on turf	0-0	0-1	16-19	0-0	0-1	5-3	0-0	0-1	24-14
in January games	0-0	0-0	1-0	0-0	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-0	1-0
in non-conference games	2-1	6-6	38-23	3-0	8-4	16-19	4-0	11-3	47-23
off a win against a conference rival	5-1	12-4	47-36	4-2	8-8	20-27	7-0	13-4	58-28
after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins	6-3	14-6	48-38	7-2	10-10	20-27	10-0	17-4	62-27
when playing against a team with a winning record	2-1	9-4	37-26	2-1	6-7	22-22	3-0	10-3	39-24
as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points	0-0	1-2	22-9	0-0	0-3	7-16	0-0	1-2	18-14
in all games	7-4	22-14	106-85	9-2	21-15	53-51	12-0	29-9	135-67
in all lined games	7-4	22-14	106-85	9-2	21-15	53-51	11-0	27-9	128-64
as an underdog	2-0	6-3	40-19	1-1	4-5	15-21	2-0	5-4	32-28
as a neutral field underdog of 7.5 to 10 points	0-0	0-0	2-1	0-0	0-0	2-0	0-0	0-0	1-2
on a neutral field where the total is between 42.5 and 45	0-0	0-0	2-0	0-0	0-0	0-2	0-0	0-0	2-0

ALABAMA - Recent ATS Trends
Against the spread Over/Under Straight Up
Current Last 3 Since 1992 Current Last 3 Since 1992 Current Last 3 Since 1992
Description W-L W-L W-L O-U O-U O-U W-L W-L W-L
in a bowl game 0-0 1-1 6-5 0-0 2-0 6-5 0-0 1-1 7-4
against Mountain West conference opponents 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest 1-1 2-2 20-14 0-2 3-2 18-15 2-0 3-2 23-11
after playing a conference game 5-3 11-11 65-67 1-7 11-13 46-56 7-1 13-11 87-52
in dome games 1-1 1-1 3-1 0-2 0-2 1-2 1-1 1-1 3-1
in games played on a neutral field 1-1 2-3 9-10 0-2 2-3 9-10 1-1 2-3 10-9
in games played on turf 1-1 2-1 6-6 0-2 1-2 3-4 1-1 2-1 10-2
in January games 0-0 0-0 4-1 0-0 0-0 3-2 0-0 0-0 4-1
in non-conference games 3-1 6-7 30-33 1-3 5-8 17-21 4-0 11-3 53-16
off a loss against a conference rival 0-0 3-6 25-27 0-0 5-5 21-23 0-0 3-7 29-26
when playing against a team with a winning record 3-2 7-7 48-49 2-3 8-8 40-44 4-1 5-11 47-53
as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points 3-0 5-3 25-20 2-1 5-3 21-14 3-0 7-1 37-8
in all games 9-4 17-19 95-105 4-9 18-20 65-80 12-1 25-14 137-72
in all lined games 9-4 17-19 95-105 4-9 18-20 65-80 12-1 24-14 132-71
as a favorite 7-3 11-14 60-77 3-7 11-14 38-48 10-0 21-4 113-24
as a neutral field favorite of 7.5 to 10 points 0-0 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 1-0
on a neutral field where the total is between 42.5 and 45 0-0 0-1 0-2 0-0 0-1 0-2 0-0 0-1 0-2

Team Statistics

Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.

UTAH - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team					Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	Yards	YPP	TO	Score	Half	Yards	YPP	TO
All Games	12-0	+6.4	7-4	9-2	37.4	20.7	403.6	(5.7)	1.4	17.2	9.9	295.9	(4.7)	2.3
Road Games	6-0	+3.4	4-2	5-1	38.2	21.5	396.2	(5.3)	2.0	14.5	7.2	227.7	(3.8)	2.7
Last 3 Games	3-0	+2	3-0	2-1	41.3	22.7	403.3	(5.6)	0.3	16.0	11.3	385.0	(5.6)	3.7
Dome Games	0-0	0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	(0)	0	0	0	0	(0)	0

UTAH - Current Season Statistics
					Rushing		Passing				Total
	PPG	Half	FD	TOP	ATT-YDS	YPR	CMP-ATT	PCT	YDS	PYA	ATT-YDS	YPP	YPPT
Offense (All Games)	37.4	20.7	21.6	32:12	39-167	(4.2)	21-31	67.6%	237	(7.6)	70-404	(5.7)	(10.8)
Opponents Defensive Avg.	27.4	13.8	19.1	30:59	37-152	(4.1)	18-30	59.8%	215	(7.2)	67-367	(5.5)	(13.4)
Offense Road Games	38.2	21.5	21.2	34:07	44-163	(3.7)	20-30	66.7%	233	(7.6)	74-396	(5.3)	(10.4)
Defense (All Games)	17.2	9.9	16.2	27:48	32-104	(3.3)	17-32	54.6%	191	(6.1)	63-296	(4.7)	(17.2)
Opponents Offensive Avg.	24.3	12.7	18.9	30:01	38-151	(4)	17-30	58.1%	201	(6.7)	68-352	(5.2)	(14.5)
Defense Road Games	14.5	7.2	12.8	25:53	32-81	(2.5)	14-27	51.2%	146	(5.4)	59-228	(3.8)	(15.7)

ALABAMA - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team					Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	Yards	YPP	TO	Score	Half	Yards	YPP	TO
All Games	12-1	+8.6	9-4	4-9	31.2	18.8	367.2	(5.7)	1.2	13.0	4.9	256.9	(4.2)	1.8
Road Games	5-1	+5.6	5-1	3-3	33.3	21.0	366.2	(5.7)	1.2	19.2	7.3	289.0	(4.6)	2.0
Last 3 Games	2-1	0	2-1	0-3	29.3	10.7	366.3	(5.7)	0.3	12.7	8.0	231.7	(4.2)	1.3
Dome Games	1-1	+0.7	1-1	0-2	27.0	16.5	371.0	(5.4)	0.5	20.5	10.0	273.0	(4.9)	1.0

ALABAMA - Current Season Statistics
					Rushing		Passing				Total
	PPG	Half	FD	TOP	ATT-YDS	YPR	CMP-ATT	PCT	YDS	PYA	ATT-YDS	YPP	YPPT
Offense (All Games)	31.2	18.8	19.1	32:07	41-196	(4.8)	14-23	58.2%	171	(7.3)	65-367	(5.7)	(11.8)
Opponents Defensive Avg.	22.6	11.3	17.4	30:51	35-136	(3.9)	17-30	56.3%	189	(6.4)	65-325	(5)	(14.4)
Offense Road Games	33.3	21.0	19.7	32:03	40-191	(4.7)	14-23	60.3%	175	(7.4)	64-366	(5.7)	(11)
Defense (All Games)	13.0	4.9	13.5	27:49	28-79	(2.8)	17-33	51.4%	178	(5.4)	61-257	(4.2)	(19.8)
Opponents Offensive Avg.	24.5	12.7	18	30:08	36-147	(4.1)	17-29	56.3%	200	(6.8)	65-347	(5.3)	(14.1)
Defense Road Games	19.2	7.3	15.7	27:56	28-87	(3.1)	18-34	53.6%	202	(5.9)	63-289	(4.6)	(15.1)

Average power rating of opponents played: UTAH 33.2, ALABAMA 42.4

Current Season Results And Upcoming Games

Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.

UTAH - Season Results
Date	Opponent	Score	SU	Line	ATS	Tot.	O/U
8/30/2008	@ MICHIGAN	25-23	W	3	W	43	O
9/6/2008	UNLV	42-21	W	-21.5	L	44	O
9/13/2008	@ UTAH ST	58-10	W	-24.5	W	50.5	O
9/20/2008	@ AIR FORCE	30-23	W	-9.5	L	50.5	O
9/27/2008	WEBER ST	37-21	W		-		-
10/2/2008	OREGON ST	31-28	W	-11.5	L	53	O
10/11/2008	@ WYOMING	40-7	W	-21.5	W	41	O
10/18/2008	COLORADO ST	49-16	W	-21	W	49.5	O
11/1/2008	@ NEW MEXICO	13-10	W	-7.5	L	45.5	U
11/6/2008	TCU	13-10	W	1.5	W	42	U
11/15/2008	@ SAN DIEGO ST	63-14	W	-28	W	53	O
11/22/2008	BYU	48-24	W	-6.5	W	56	O
1/2/2009	*ALABAMA

ALABAMA - Season Results
Date	Opponent	Score	SU	Line	ATS	Tot.	O/U
8/30/2008	*CLEMSON	34-10	W	4.5	W	46	U
9/6/2008	TULANE	20-6	W	-29	L	45.5	U
9/13/2008	W KENTUCKY	41-7	W	-26	W	47.5	O
9/20/2008	@ ARKANSAS	49-14	W	-9	W	47.5	O
9/27/2008	@ GEORGIA	41-30	W	6	W	46	O
10/4/2008	KENTUCKY	17-14	W	-15	L	44.5	U
10/18/2008	OLE MISS	24-20	W	-12.5	L	47	U
10/25/2008	@ TENNESSEE	29-9	W	-6	W	41	U
11/1/2008	ARKANSAS ST	35-0	W	-24	W	49	U
11/8/2008	@ LSU	27-21	W	-3.5	W	46	O
11/15/2008	MISSISSIPPI ST	32-7	W	-21	W	42.5	U
11/29/2008	AUBURN	36-0	W	-15	W	40.5	U
12/6/2008	*FLORIDA	20-31	L	10	L	54	U
1/2/2009	*UTAH

Head-to-Head Series History

Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.

All games in this series since 1992

There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Games over the last 3 seasons

There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Team Line Action - Where the money is going!

Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to "wise guy\'s" selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a "read" on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.

As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring UTAH in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in UTAH games 51.6% of the time since 1992. (83-78)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in UTAH games 53.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (16-14)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ALABAMA games 51.4% of the time since 1992. (92-87)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ALABAMA games 62.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (20-12)
No Edge.

As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in UTAH games 47.7% of the time since 1992. (41-45)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in UTAH games 51.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (16-15)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ALABAMA games 45.1% of the time since 1992. (55-67)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ALABAMA games 46.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (15-17)
No Edge.

Key Player Injuries

UTAH

[DT] Lei Talamaivao is expected to miss entire season - Ankle - 09/07/08

[LB] Matt Martinez is out for the season. - Bicep - 09/17/08

ALABAMA

[LB] Ezekial Knight expected to miss entire season. - Illness - 07/17/08

[LB] Jimmy Johns has been suspended from the team. - Disciplinary - 07/01/

[QB] Nick Fanuzzi has transferred. - None - 08/26/08

[WR] Will Oakley is "?" - Shoulder - 12/08/08

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