StatFox.com - Sports Handicapping Community

The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping


Welcome: Login |  Register |  Login to FoxSheets

ACC 2005-06 Preview

It’s been a long time since the ACC wasn’t recognized by most experts as the nation’s most elite league, but with the growth of the Big East, and the personnel losses suffered by this conference since March, that is exactly the case for this season. In fact, of the primary contenders in the ACC, only one, Duke, was given preseason top 10 consideration. The Blue Devils, led by All-Americans JJ Redick and Sheldon Williams, look like a shoe-in for the regular season and conference tourney titles. Boston College, Wake Forest, and Maryland all appear to be teams on the next level.

When you think about all of the talent that this league lost since April, it is amazing. Thankfully, the ACC was able to capitalize on that talent as North Carolina captured the national title, the 10th for the conference. The Tar Heels are in ultra-rebuilding mode for 2005-06, having lost their top 7 scorers. However, don’t cry the powder blues for Roy Williams & Co., as strong recruiting should keep the program winning, just not at last year’s pace. Wake Forest, Georgia Tech, and NC State find themselves in similar predicaments as UNC, having lost not only great players, but team leaders as well in Chris Paul (WF), Jarrett Jack (GT) and Julius Hodge (NCS). Here is a look at the StatFox projections and each of the teams in the ACC for 2005-06:


8 Free Picks & Analysis from Sports Advisors
Top Consensus Picks ThePlatinumSheet.com
FoxSheets.com
The FoxSheets - the most advanced sports handicapping information available on the internet.
SportsBook.net
SportsBook.net is a FREE Contest and Sports Information website, where you can play the latest Vegas Casino poker games for FREE and access live odds straight from Vegas.

StatFox Projected Finish
1-Duke [ 3-1 ]
2-N.C. State [ 150-1 ]
3-Maryland [ 40-1 ]
4-Wake Forest [ 100-1 ]
5-Boston College [ 40-1 ]
6-No. Carolina [ 50-1 ]
7-Miami [ 100-1 ]
8-Clemson [ 300-1 ]
9-Virginia Tech [ 200-1 ]
10-Florida State [ 300-1 ]
11-Georgia Tech [ 100-1 ]
12-Virginia [ 500-1 ]
Odds Courtesy of SportsBook.com 

BOSTON COLLEGE
Coach: Al Skinner  |  Ret. Starters: 3
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 72.5 (87) Defensive - 64.5 (64)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 45.6% (69) Defensive - 41.4% (62)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 34.2% (191) Defensive - 35.7% (232)
FREE THROW %: Team - 71.2% (90) Opponent - 69.9% (222)
REBOUNDS: Team - 37.9 (49) Opponent - 33.0 (95)
StatFox Preview: Boston College, in retrospect, had an outstanding season in tying for the Big East regular season title. The Eagles were always at their best in tight ballgames, consistently finding ways to win when the contest was in the balance. Boston College’s surprising upset loss to UW-Milwaukee in the 2nd round of the NCAA Tournament took some of the luster of the fantastic campaign. B.C. troubles did not end there though, with rising soph. Sean Williams, slated to move in as the starter at center this year, was suspended from the team and the school after he was charged with marijuana possession in late May. His suspension could be lifted by Coach Skinner at some point this season. Additionally, teammate Akida McLain was arrested after passing counterfeit cash in Pittsburgh. The strength of last years team returns in big-time bookend forwards Craig Smith and Jared Dudley. Smith was named team MVP for the second straight year after averaging 18 PPG and 8.5 boards. Dudley, a junior, was a force with 16.5 PPG and 7.7 rebounds. Both players were first-team All-Big East performers. The competition steps up on a nightly basis in the ACC and the Eagles are well equipped to perform admirably in the initial sojourn thru the Atlantic Coast conference.
Top Team Trends

* Since '01-'02, BOSTON COLLEGE is 11-7 ATS in March games.

* Since '01-'02, BOSTON COLLEGE is 23-10 ATS in road lined games.

* Since '01-'02, BOSTON COLLEGE is 9-4 ATS when playing on a neutral court.

* BOSTON COLLEGE was 2-4 ATS on Wednesday games last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 25-5  (83.3%) 12-12-1  (50.0%) 14-10-0
Home Games 17-3  (85.0%) 5-9-1  (35.7%) 7-7-0
Away Games 8-2  (80.0%) 7-3-0  (70.0%) 7-3-0
as Favorite 17-3  (85.0%) 9-10-1  (47.4%) 10-9-0
as Underdog 3-2  (60.0%) 3-2-0  (60.0%) 4-1-0
as Home Favorite 12-3  (80.0%) 5-9-1  (35.7%) 7-7-0
as Away Favorite 5-0  (100.0%) 4-1-0  (80.0%) 3-2-0
as Away Underdog 3-2  (60.0%) 3-2-0  (60.0%) 4-1-0
CLEMSON
Coach: Oliver Purnell  |  Ret. Starters: 4
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 71.7 (102) Defensive - 69.3 (188)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 44.3% (147) Defensive - 43.7% (184)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 33.2% (227) Defensive - 36.6% (274)
FREE THROW %: Team - 59.9% (326) Opponent - 68.0% (134)
REBOUNDS: Team - 37.5 (56) Opponent - 35.3 (197)
StatFox Preview: The Tigers under first year coach Oliver Purnell decided that youth should be served. Clemson brought in five super freshmen to blend in with Sharrod Ford and Shawan Robinson. Ford has since graduated, with Robinson the returning leading scorer and soph. Cliff Hammonds the team’s next top scoring threat. The key was having the team buying into Coach Purnell’s hustling, scrappy style of basketball. Ball handling will be a major point of emphasis the Tigers have targeted for improvement. Their 17.7 turnovers per game were the worst in the ACC and Clemson was 10th in the league with a 0.82 assists-to-turnover ratio. To move up in the conference, the Tigers have to do a better job of hanging onto the ball. Improved free throwing shooting alone could bring a couple extra wins after last year’s miserable 59.9% effort. The loss of Ford negates an inside presence and the surprise transfer of Cheyenne Moore takes away a versatile performer. Clemson still returns 6 of its 9 top scorers and has Troy Mathis back after his suspension. Moving up in the ACC standing might be difficult, despite better overall talent then a season ago.
Top Team Trends

* Since '01-'02, CLEMSON is 4-2 ATS in a road game where the total is 135 to 139.5.

* Since '01-'02, CLEMSON is 9-5 ATS on Wednesday games.

* CLEMSON was 4-2 ATS vs good offensive teams - scoring 77+ PPG after 15+ games last season.

* CLEMSON was 6-3 ATS in non-conference games last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 16-16  (50.0%) 16-11-1  (59.3%) 14-14-0
Home Games 11-7  (61.1%) 5-8-1  (38.5%) 7-7-0
Away Games 5-9  (35.7%) 11-3-0  (78.6%) 7-7-0
as Favorite 7-3  (70.0%) 5-4-1  (55.6%) 5-5-0
as Underdog 5-12  (29.4%) 11-6-0  (64.7%) 9-8-0
as Home Favorite 6-2  (75.0%) 4-3-1  (57.1%) 4-4-0
as Home Underdog 1-4  (20.0%) 1-4-0  (20.0%) 3-2-0
as Away Favorite 1-1  (50.0%) 1-1-0  (50.0%) 1-1-0
as Away Underdog 4-8  (33.3%) 10-2-0  (83.3%) 6-6-0
DUKE
Coach: Mike Kryzewski  |  Ret. Starters: 4
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 78.2 (15) Defensive - 65.2 (85)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 44.5% (129) Defensive - 39.0% (11)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 38.0% (35) Defensive - 30.6% (13)
FREE THROW %: Team - 71.3% (88) Opponent - 71.5% (281)
REBOUNDS: Team - 38.3 (38) Opponent - 36.8 (258)
StatFox Preview: The Dukies had to overcome several defections in order to finish with such a solid record and 3rd place in the ACC regular season. Duke loses PG Daniel Ewing and Shavlik Randolph, and that’s all. Coach Mike Krzyzewski could have lost a great deal more, however C Sheldon Williams and J.J. Redick decided to give it the old college try one more time. Plus, Coach K landed his best recruiting class in years with Josh McRoberts who was named the McDonald's All-American Player of the Year, walking into the vacated PF spot. What Duke has assembled is a combination of stars and complimentary players, like SF Lee Melchionni and defensive ace Sean Dockery. With enough young talent to build a solid bench, this team has the look of a pre-season number 1. Coach K will need to find someone to take the point guard position, with this being the only apparent weakness. Once again, high expectations for Duke, as they attempt to go back to the Final Four.
Top Team Trends

* Since '01-'02, DUKE is 2-4 ATS in a road game where the total is 155 to 159.5.

* DUKE was 10-6 ATS against teams with a winning record after 15 or more games last season.

* DUKE was 4-2 ATS on Wednesday games last season.

* DUKE was 7-4 ATS vs good offensive teams - scoring 77+ PPG last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 27-6  (81.8%) 19-13-0  (59.4%) 12-19-0
Home Games 20-2  (90.9%) 13-9-0  (59.1%) 8-14-0
Away Games 7-4  (63.6%) 6-4-0  (60.0%) 4-5-0
as Favorite 24-4  (85.7%) 15-13-0  (53.6%) 11-16-0
as Underdog 1-2  (33.3%) 3-0-0  (100.0%) 1-2-0
as Home Favorite 19-2  (90.5%) 12-9-0  (57.1%) 8-13-0
as Home Underdog 1-0  (100.0%) 1-0-0  (100.0%) 0-1-0
as Away Favorite 5-2  (71.4%) 3-4-0  (42.9%) 3-3-0
as Away Underdog 0-2  (0.0%) 2-0-0  (100.0%) 1-1-0
FLORIDA ST
Coach: Leonard Hamilton  |  Ret. Starters: 4
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 68.6 (170) Defensive - 70 (204)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 45.2% (87) Defensive - 43.0% (141)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 35.9% (109) Defensive - 33.8% (124)
FREE THROW %: Team - 66.5% (232) Opponent - 67.3% (100)
REBOUNDS: Team - 33.2 (248) Opponent - 34.7 (166)
StatFox Preview: Florida State will get it right again one of these years; unfortunately we never know when that will be. Season after season the Seminoles pull an upset or two, like last year in beating Wake Forest at home and winning at NC State. That is usually blended in with losses to the teams like Texas A&M-Corpus Christi and Florida International (which occurred last season) seemingly every season. FSU lost leading scorer Von Wafer, but Coach Leonard Hamilton is evidently not that concerned with a good recruiting class coming in. Wafer was as talented as he was troubled, as the team followed his lead in defensive indifference in allowing 70 PPG. With a great deal of depth and flexibility on the roster, Coach Hamilton should be moving up the ACC standings after last season’s dismal failure.
Top Team Trends

* Since '01-'02, FLORIDA ST is 10-6 ATS vs good defensive teams - allowing <=64 PPG.

* Since '01-'02, FLORIDA ST is 22-13 ATS against teams with a winning record after 15 or more games.

* Since '01-'02, FLORIDA ST is 9-5 ATS off a win against a conference rival.

* FLORIDA ST was 5-3 ATS after scoring 60 points or less last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 12-19  (38.7%) 13-12-1  (52.0%) 11-15-0
Home Games 9-8  (52.9%) 5-6-1  (45.5%) 5-7-0
Away Games 3-11  (21.4%) 8-6-0  (57.1%) 6-8-0
as Favorite 3-4  (42.9%) 2-5-0  (28.6%) 3-4-0
as Underdog 5-14  (26.3%) 11-7-1  (61.1%) 8-11-0
as Home Favorite 3-3  (50.0%) 2-4-0  (33.3%) 2-4-0
as Home Underdog 2-4  (33.3%) 3-2-1  (60.0%) 3-3-0
as Away Favorite 0-1  (0.0%) 0-1-0  (0.0%) 1-0-0
as Away Underdog 3-10  (23.1%) 8-5-0  (61.5%) 5-8-0
GEORGIA TECH
Coach: Paul Hewitt  |  Ret. Starters: 3
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 74.1 (58) Defensive - 66.7 (119)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 45.2% (88) Defensive - 39.1% (13)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 33.3% (222) Defensive - 31.5% (28)
FREE THROW %: Team - 69.1% (161) Opponent - 65.9% (47)
REBOUNDS: Team - 39.1 (22) Opponent - 36.8 (260)
StatFox Preview: One of the finest classes the Georgia Tech program has ever seen has moved on. The top six scorers from a year ago will not return, with C Theodis Tarver as the only senior on the squad. Among the returnees, swingman Anthony Morrow is the leading returning scorer with a modest 5.7 points PPG average. The Yellow Jackets will bring in four Top 125 recruits to Atlanta, led by Lewis Clinch and D'Andre Bell. Coach Paul Hewitt loves his players to play defense, which is why the Techsters were 2nd in field goal allowed in the conference and 3rd in scoring defense. His coaching theories will be tested with such a young team and a top half finish in the ACC would be a surprise.
Top Team Trends

* Since '01-'02, GEORGIA TECH is 25-15 ATS after a non-conference game.

* Since '01-'02, GEORGIA TECH is 4-2 ATS in a road game where the total is 150 to 154.5.

* Since '01-'02, GEORGIA TECH is 6-3 ATS on Tuesday nights.

* GEORGIA TECH was 4-6 ATS off a win against a conference rival last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 20-12  (62.5%) 13-16-0  (44.8%) 10-17-1
Home Games 14-3  (82.4%) 7-7-0  (50.0%) 5-8-1
Away Games 6-9  (40.0%) 6-9-0  (40.0%) 5-9-0
as Favorite 15-4  (78.9%) 9-10-0  (47.4%) 8-9-1
as Underdog 2-7  (22.2%) 4-5-0  (44.4%) 2-7-0
as Home Favorite 10-2  (83.3%) 6-6-0  (50.0%) 4-7-1
as Home Underdog 1-0  (100.0%) 1-0-0  (100.0%) 1-0-0
as Away Favorite 5-2  (71.4%) 3-4-0  (42.9%) 4-2-0
as Away Underdog 1-7  (12.5%) 3-5-0  (37.5%) 1-7-0
MARYLAND
Coach: Gary Williams  |  Ret. Starters: 2
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 81.9 (5) Defensive - 76 (311)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 43.9% (163) Defensive - 40.7% (43)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 33.3% (226) Defensive - 34.4% (163)
FREE THROW %: Team - 72.6% (51) Opponent - 66.8% (79)
REBOUNDS: Team - 43.3 (2) Opponent - 40.1 (319)
StatFox Preview: For the first time in eight years, the Terps failed to win 20 games in a season. Maryland’s string of 11 consecutive NCAA bids also came to a halt. The up and down season was exemplified by two wins over Duke and three losses to below average Clemson. For Coach Gary Williams, last year’s NIT semi-final loss hopefully set the building blocks for a return to typical Maryland basketball. With 4 starters returning and 9 of the top 10 players back, Williams wants to reinstitute pressure defense and a faster offensive flow to the Terrapins game. Being tied with Virginia for the worst defensive team in the ACC at 76 PPG, will not work two years in a row for Williams and his reformulated staff. The Terps do maintain a strong home court advantage, 16-3 SU record and an impressive 10-3 ATS mark. With the return of Ekene Ibekwe, Nik Caner-Medley and Mike Jones, significant improvement is expected for the Maryland faithful and a return to the NCAA tournament is expected.
Top Team Trends

* Since '01-'02, MARYLAND is 2-4 ATS as a road favorite of 3.5 to 6 points.

* Since '01-'02, MARYLAND is 5-10 ATS in December games.

* MARYLAND was 3-5 ATS in February games last season.

* MARYLAND was 6-3 ATS in non-conference games last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 19-13  (59.4%) 12-14-0  (46.2%) 13-13-0
Home Games 16-5  (76.2%) 10-5-0  (66.7%) 8-7-0
Away Games 3-8  (27.3%) 2-9-0  (18.2%) 5-6-0
as Favorite 11-9  (55.0%) 9-11-0  (45.0%) 11-9-0
as Underdog 2-4  (33.3%) 3-3-0  (50.0%) 2-4-0
as Home Favorite 9-4  (69.2%) 8-5-0  (61.5%) 7-6-0
as Home Underdog 1-1  (50.0%) 2-0-0  (100.0%) 1-1-0
as Away Favorite 2-5  (28.6%) 1-6-0  (14.3%) 4-3-0
as Away Underdog 1-3  (25.0%) 1-3-0  (25.0%) 1-3-0
MIAMI
Coach: Frank Haith  |  Ret. Starters: 3
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 71.4 (113) Defensive - 69.7 (198)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 43.0% (210) Defensive - 42.6% (118)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 35.1% (151) Defensive - 36.2% (257)
FREE THROW %: Team - 67.3% (212) Opponent - 66.1% (55)
REBOUNDS: Team - 39.6 (19) Opponent - 35.4 (199)
StatFox Preview: Miami was one of the early season surprises in the ACC, as the talented backcourt quickly became attuned to new coach Frank Haith's preferred playing style and flourished. The rigors of the ACC took their toll late in the year as the ‘Canes withered to a 1-6 finish. Besides establishing a solid work ethic with the players, Haith was able to have the South Florida residents care about his team. Attendance jumped 95%, which included five sellouts with all the big boys from the conference in town. In college basketball guard play is mandatory for success and for the upcoming season Miami will have one of the best in the country. Junior guard Guillermo Diaz who was second in the league at 18 PPG, returns along with running mate Robert Hite who delivered 17.3 PPG. Anthony Harris completes the trio with 12.4 PPG. Soph. C Anthony King surprised the league finishing 5th in rebounding and 2nd in blocks for Miami. Coach Haith brought in additional size and bulk to help this team hold-up for the long run. The Hurricanes will not catch anyone by surprise this season, with their backcourt that should not be a problem.
Top Team Trends

* Since '01-'02, MIAMI is 4-2 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games.

* Since '01-'02, MIAMI is 5-8 ATS after scoring 60 points or less.

* MIAMI was 2-4 ATS after allowing 80 points or more last season.

* MIAMI was 5-8 ATS in home lined games last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 16-13  (55.2%) 14-11-0  (56.0%) 10-14-0
Home Games 11-7  (61.1%) 5-9-0  (35.7%) 4-9-0
Away Games 5-6  (45.5%) 9-2-0  (81.8%) 6-5-0
as Favorite 7-3  (70.0%) 3-7-0  (30.0%) 3-7-0
as Underdog 6-9  (40.0%) 11-4-0  (73.3%) 7-7-0
as Home Favorite 6-2  (75.0%) 2-6-0  (25.0%) 2-6-0
as Home Underdog 2-4  (33.3%) 3-3-0  (50.0%) 2-3-0
as Away Favorite 1-1  (50.0%) 1-1-0  (50.0%) 1-1-0
as Away Underdog 4-5  (44.4%) 8-1-0  (88.9%) 5-4-0
N CAROLINA
Coach: Roy Williams  |  Ret. Starters: 3
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 88 (1) Defensive - 70.3 (218)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 49.9% (5) Defensive - 40.1% (26)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 40.3% (7) Defensive - 34.1% (133)
FREE THROW %: Team - 72.5% (53) Opponent - 71.1% (272)
REBOUNDS: Team - 40.9 (7) Opponent - 33.3 (102)
StatFox Preview: It was David Byrne of the group Talking Heads who had the line “My God, what have I done” from the song “Once in a lifetime”. That is probably what Roy Williams is thinking privately after last year’s successful run to the NCAA title. To say the Tar Heels are starting fresh is like saying green bananas are not quite ripe. North Carolina has to replace its EIGHT top scorers. The lone returnee of note is senior F David Noel who would be the only recognizable name if you watched the Tar Heels last year. One benefit of this for Roy Williams, who finally corralled his first National Championship, is there will be no expectations of repeating for the upcoming season. No question UNC will take hits this season, however with Williams as the coach this will be a team you will not want to play late in the season.
Top Team Trends

* Since '01-'02, N CAROLINA is 18-8 ATS vs good defensive teams - allowing <=64 PPG.

* Since '01-'02, N CAROLINA is 4-7 ATS on Tuesday nights.

* N CAROLINA was 13-6 ATS after a non-conference game last season.

* N CAROLINA was 9-5 ATS in home lined games last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 33-4  (89.2%) 21-15-0  (58.3%) 17-18-0
Home Games 23-1  (95.8%) 14-9-0  (60.9%) 13-9-0
Away Games 10-3  (76.9%) 7-6-0  (53.8%) 4-9-0
as Favorite 32-4  (88.9%) 21-15-0  (58.3%) 17-18-0
as Home Favorite 22-1  (95.7%) 14-9-0  (60.9%) 13-9-0
as Away Favorite 10-3  (76.9%) 7-6-0  (53.8%) 4-9-0
NC STATE
Coach: Sidney Lowe  |  Ret. Starters: 4
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 73.1 (69) Defensive - 66.1 (109)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 45.5% (74) Defensive - 43.2% (155)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 37.0% (68) Defensive - 32.4% (56)
FREE THROW %: Team - 70.5% (113) Opponent - 69.7% (213)
REBOUNDS: Team - 32.0 (284) Opponent - 34.3 (150)
StatFox Preview: What does Coach Herb Sendik do to replace his leading scorer, rebounder and passer from the team that made the Elite 8? Fortunately, this was all one player, as Julius Hodge used up his eligibility. He left a team that is poised to do more damage in the ACC in 2005. Coach Sendik now in his 10th year at the helm for the Wolfpack, returns a competent backcourt in PG Tony Bethel and Engin Atsur. The two played very well from February on out for N.C. State last season. Up front, Ilian Evtimov can run the Wolfpack offense from the high post with his passing skills and post-up shooting game. He will have big Andrew Brackman down in the low blocks to pass to. Brackman’s 6’10 frame can be dangerous near the basket. NC State looks deep and talented with the best chance to make a run at Duke for the ACC crown.
Top Team Trends

* Since '01-'02, NC STATE is 12-18 ATS in non-conference games.

* Since '01-'02, NC STATE is 34-21 ATS after a conference game.

* NC STATE was 4-2 ATS revenging a home loss vs opponent last season.

* NC STATE was 8-4 ATS as an underdog last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 21-14  (60.0%) 17-15-1  (53.1%) 16-17-0
Home Games 12-6  (66.7%) 8-8-0  (50.0%) 7-9-0
Away Games 9-8  (52.9%) 9-7-1  (56.3%) 9-8-0
as Favorite 14-7  (66.7%) 9-11-1  (45.0%) 8-13-0
as Underdog 5-7  (41.7%) 8-4-0  (66.7%) 8-4-0
as Home Favorite 9-3  (75.0%) 6-6-0  (50.0%) 4-8-0
as Home Underdog 1-3  (25.0%) 2-2-0  (50.0%) 3-1-0
as Away Favorite 5-4  (55.6%) 3-5-1  (37.5%) 4-5-0
as Away Underdog 4-4  (50.0%) 6-2-0  (75.0%) 5-3-0
VIRGINIA
Coach: Dave Leitao  |  Ret. Starters: 3
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 72.8 (81) Defensive - 76 (310)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 43.0% (212) Defensive - 44.8% (234)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 30.9% (292) Defensive - 37.7% (305)
FREE THROW %: Team - 68.9% (169) Opponent - 67.0% (84)
REBOUNDS: Team - 35.6 (138) Opponent - 37.7 (289)
StatFox Preview: The Pete Gillen era ended awkwardly both for him and the university. Most insiders believed that Gillen needed to produce a high grade season in order to keep his job. It was clear by January that the talent was not up to ACC standards and the Cavs were doomed for failure. For reasons known only to those within the walls of this Thomas Jefferson school, Virginia was not able to hire a coach until April, when they landed former DePaul head man Dave Leitao. The former UConn assistant will have returning talent in All-ACC freshman Sean Singletary, as well as hot and cold shooting guard J.R. Reynolds. The frontcourt is painfully thin and will be a problem for the Cavs this season. The team will be moving into a new basketball building in two years and wants to make sure the program is headed in the right direct to fill the seats and luxury boxes. It will not happen this year, as Leitao will need time to place his stamp on the program.
Top Team Trends

* Since '01-'02, VIRGINIA is 3-5 ATS against Big East conference opponents.

* Since '01-'02, VIRGINIA is 5-3 ATS after scoring 60 points or less.

* Since '01-'02, VIRGINIA is 8-15 ATS on Wednesday games.

* VIRGINIA was 4-6 ATS against teams with a winning record after 15 or more games last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 14-15  (48.3%) 8-19-1  (29.6%) 14-13-1
Home Games 11-5  (68.8%) 4-10-1  (28.6%) 10-5-0
Away Games 3-10  (23.1%) 4-9-0  (30.8%) 4-8-1
as Favorite 10-1  (90.9%) 2-8-1  (20.0%) 6-5-0
as Underdog 2-14  (12.5%) 5-11-0  (31.3%) 8-7-1
as Home Favorite 9-1  (90.0%) 2-7-1  (22.2%) 6-4-0
as Home Underdog 0-4  (0.0%) 1-3-0  (25.0%) 4-0-0
as Away Favorite 1-0  (100.0%) 0-1-0  (0.0%) 0-1-0
as Away Underdog 2-10  (16.7%) 4-8-0  (33.3%) 4-7-1
VIRGINIA TECH
Coach: Seth Greenberg  |  Ret. Starters: 2
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 68.5 (175) Defensive - 68.7 (168)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 42.7% (226) Defensive - 44.4% (214)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 35.0% (154) Defensive - 34.8% (187)
FREE THROW %: Team - 64.2% (283) Opponent - 66.4% (64)
REBOUNDS: Team - 33.7 (225) Opponent - 37.1 (272)
StatFox Preview: Seth Greenberg has been a well-respected coach flying just under the radar in terms of big time popularity. In basketball circles he is well thought off, but took a curious job before last season at a football factory like Virginia Tech. Nobody was certain how the football team would do in the ACC, however everyone was sure that the Hokies would be a 10th place team or worse team. Well in the words of Gomer Pyle “Surprise, surprise”. Greenberg squeezes every ounce of ability out of a group that appeared limited in ability at the beginning of the 2004 campaign. The Blacksburg community embraced the basketball program, sold out every ACC contest and raised attendance 33%. Virginia Tech has a rough defensive guard combination in backcourt of soph. Zabian Dowdell and junior Jamon Gordon. The Hokies were 4th in the league in points allowed and will be tested this upcoming season. Tech is still weak up front, with not a lot of help coming from the recruiting side. No surprises this year as they will be hard pressed to match last year’s .500 record in conference.
Top Team Trends

* Since '01-'02, VIRGINIA TECH is 4-6 ATS as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points.

* Since '01-'02, VIRGINIA TECH is 5-3 ATS in all tournament games.

* Since '01-'02, VIRGINIA TECH is 6-3 ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses.

* VIRGINIA TECH was 4-2 ATS after scoring 60 points or less last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 16-14  (53.3%) 15-10-1  (60.0%) 10-14-2
Home Games 13-5  (72.2%) 10-5-0  (66.7%) 6-9-0
Away Games 3-9  (25.0%) 5-5-1  (50.0%) 4-5-2
as Favorite 6-2  (75.0%) 5-3-0  (62.5%) 3-3-2
as Underdog 7-11  (38.9%) 10-7-1  (58.8%) 7-11-0
as Home Favorite 5-1  (83.3%) 4-2-0  (66.7%) 3-3-0
as Home Underdog 5-4  (55.6%) 6-3-0  (66.7%) 3-6-0
as Away Favorite 1-1  (50.0%) 1-1-0  (50.0%) 0-0-2
as Away Underdog 2-7  (22.2%) 4-4-1  (50.0%) 4-5-0
WAKE FOREST
Coach: Dino Gaudio  |  Ret. Starters: 1
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 84.9 (3) Defensive - 74 (289)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 49.1% (11) Defensive - 43.6% (178)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 39.9% (9) Defensive - 37.0% (284)
FREE THROW %: Team - 68.4% (180) Opponent - 69.1% (186)
REBOUNDS: Team - 40.3 (14) Opponent - 32.9 (87)
StatFox Preview: Wake Forest was pleasing to the eye to watch last season, flying up and down the floor, scoring 84.9 PPG. As aesthetically wonderful as that was, the Deacons never played defense. Chris Paul headed for the “bucks” after two years at Wake and his presence will be missed. His lack of effort on the defensive side of the ball will not. Coach Skip Prosser will return the ACC’s # 4 and # 5 scorers from last season in F Eric Williams and SG Justin Gray. The Deacons also have three of their top four reserves back from last year's squad. Wake has a great deal of experience up front and is thin in the backcourt. How quickly Prosser can find a successor to for Paul at the point will determine the Demon Deacons fate.
Top Team Trends

Since '01-'02, WAKE FOREST is 14-21 ATS off a win against a conference rival.

Since '01-'02, WAKE FOREST is 19-31 ATS after a conference game.

WAKE FOREST was 10-16 ATS against teams with a winning record last season.

WAKE FOREST was 5-8 ATS off a win against a conference rival last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 27-6  (81.8%) 13-18-0  (41.9%) 17-12-1
Home Games 17-2  (89.5%) 7-10-0  (41.2%) 11-4-1
Away Games 10-4  (71.4%) 6-8-0  (42.9%) 6-8-0
as Favorite 22-4  (84.6%) 10-16-0  (38.5%) 13-11-1
as Underdog 3-2  (60.0%) 3-2-0  (60.0%) 4-1-0
as Home Favorite 13-2  (86.7%) 5-10-0  (33.3%) 9-4-1
as Home Underdog 2-0  (100.0%) 2-0-0  (100.0%) 2-0-0
as Away Favorite 9-2  (81.8%) 5-6-0  (45.5%) 4-7-0
as Away Underdog 1-2  (33.3%) 1-2-0  (33.3%) 2-1-0