Welcome: Login to StatFox |  Register |  Login to FoxSheets
StatFox.com - Sports Handicapping Community

The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping

BIG EAST 2005-06 Preview

The Big East has been given the nickname “The King Of All Conferences”, now that the smoke has cleared from the massive changeover. In all, the Big East now consists of 16 teams, 15 of which have reached the Final Four at one time or another. Could it be overload? Yes, quite possibly. Could it be damaging to some of the league’s mid-level teams’ hopes on Selection Sunday? Almost assuredly. No league has ever been given more than 7 bids to the NCAA’s, so either a new precedent could be set in March, or there will be several unhappy schools vying for the NIT title. Among those that could be in that group are Notre Dame, Pittsburgh, Cincinnati, Depaul, and Marquette.

Those teams considered favorites in the Big East and locks for the tourney come March are Connecticut, Villanova, Syracuse, Louisville, and West Virginia. Connecticut shared the regular season league title with Boston College last year and won the conference tournament. Georgetown is a school that could be a ‘tweener at this point, while South Florida, Seton Hall, Providence, and St. John’s could be in for long seasons in the NCAA’s new super-conference. Here is the StatFox Big East projected order of finish in 2005-06, as well as a deeper look at each team:

 


8 Free Picks & Analysis from Sports Advisors
Top Consensus Picks ThePlatinumSheet.com
FoxSheets.com
The FoxSheets - the most advanced sports handicapping information available on the internet.
SportsBook.net
SportsBook.net is a FREE Contest and Sports Information website, where you can play the latest Vegas Casino poker games for FREE and access live odds straight from Vegas.

StatFox Projected Finish
1-Connecticut [ 10-1 ]
2-Villanova [ 10-1 ]
3-West Virginia [ 50-1 ]
4-Louisville [ 15-1 ]
5-Syracuse [ 50-1 ]
6-Cincinnati [ 100-1 ]
7-Georgetown [ 150-1 ]
8-Notre Dame [ 200-1 ]
9-Pittsburgh [ 200-1 ]
10-DePaul [ 200-1 ]
11-Rutgers [ Field (50-1) ]
12-Marquette [ 200-1 ]
13-St. John's  [ Field (50-1) ]
14-Seton Hall [ Field (50-1) ]
15-Providence [ Field (50-1) ]
16-South Florida [ Field (50-1) ]
Odds Courtesy of SportsBook.com 

CINCINNATI
Coach: Mick Cronin  |  Ret. Starters: 4
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 75.9 (33) Defensive - 64.5 (66)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 43.8% (172) Defensive - 37.4% (2)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 34.9% (159) Defensive - 34.3% (158)
FREE THROW %: Team - 69.0% (165) Opponent - 67.2% (96)
REBOUNDS: Team - 41.1 (6) Opponent - 36.9 (262)
StatFox Preview: A new era will unfold, at least temporarily, as interim coach Andy Kennedy takes the hot seat on the Cincinnati bench. To ease the transition for Kennedy is an experienced team, with a solid returning core of players. Names like F Eric Hicks, F James White, F Armein Kirkland and PG Jihad Muhammad, are back and will likely enjoy the more physical brand of Big East basketball. It will not be hard to figure the Bearcats will continue to dish out a lot more punishment than it takes. The loss of NBA draft choice Jason Maxiell will be difficult to replace. Kennedy is hoping the incoming group of recruits can supply a bit more offense, led by DeAndre Coleman. Cincinnati won’t finish in first place; however 20 wins and another tournament berth are in reach for the Bearcats.
Top Team Trends

* Since '01-'02, CINCINNATI is 14-21 ATS off a win against a conference rival.

* Since '01-'02, CINCINNATI is 3-5 ATS as a road favorite of 3.5 to 6 points.

* CINCINNATI was 4-7 ATS off a win against a conference rival last season.

* CINCINNATI was 5-3 ATS in January games last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 25-8  (75.8%) 13-14-2  (48.1%) 15-14-0
Home Games 18-3  (85.7%) 7-9-1  (43.8%) 8-9-0
Away Games 7-5  (58.3%) 6-5-1  (54.5%) 7-5-0
as Favorite 21-5  (80.8%) 12-12-2  (50.0%) 14-12-0
as Underdog 0-3  (0.0%) 1-2-0  (33.3%) 1-2-0
as Home Favorite 14-3  (82.4%) 7-9-1  (43.8%) 8-9-0
as Away Favorite 7-2  (77.8%) 5-3-1  (62.5%) 6-3-0
as Away Underdog 0-3  (0.0%) 1-2-0  (33.3%) 1-2-0
CONNECTICUT
Coach: Jim Calhoun  |  Ret. Starters: 5
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 78 (16) Defensive - 66.8 (123)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 46.0% (52) Defensive - 37.9% (3)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 34.7% (169) Defensive - 30.7% (16)
FREE THROW %: Team - 70.0% (125) Opponent - 67.2% (92)
REBOUNDS: Team - 45.6 (1) Opponent - 34.3 (147)
StatFox Preview: Coach Jim Calhoun had one offseason distraction that actually put a smile on his face. After a year of dealing with more issues then 10 coaches, the long-time leader was inducted into the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame. On other fronts, both his point guards, Marcus Williams and A.J. Price, have gotten themselves in trouble in the off-season and their status remains in question as the season approaches. No such problems exist on the rest of the team, where Josh Boone returns at center as a shot-blocking machine and strong inside scorer. Dependable Denham Brown and Rashad Anderson are back for their final seasons. The star of the UConn program can be 6’9 Rudy Gay who all the tools imaginable to be a Top 10 player in the country as a sophomore. As per usual, Calhoun added a truckload of high caliber recruits. The pieces to the puzzle are in place to be a Final Four contender.
Top Team Trends

* Since '01-'02, CONNECTICUT is 2-4 ATS in a road game where the total is 140 to 144.5.

* Since '01-'02, CONNECTICUT is 5-3 ATS in conference tournament games.

* Since '01-'02, CONNECTICUT is 7-3 ATS against teams with a losing record.

* CONNECTICUT was 7-4 ATS after scoring 80 points or more last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 23-8  (74.2%) 16-11-0  (59.3%) 17-10-0
Home Games 16-5  (76.2%) 9-8-0  (52.9%) 12-5-0
Away Games 7-3  (70.0%) 7-3-0  (70.0%) 5-5-0
as Favorite 17-6  (73.9%) 13-10-0  (56.5%) 16-7-0
as Underdog 2-2  (50.0%) 3-1-0  (75.0%) 1-3-0
as Home Favorite 12-4  (75.0%) 8-8-0  (50.0%) 12-4-0
as Home Underdog 0-1  (0.0%) 1-0-0  (100.0%) 0-1-0
as Away Favorite 5-2  (71.4%) 5-2-0  (71.4%) 4-3-0
as Away Underdog 2-1  (66.7%) 2-1-0  (66.7%) 1-2-0
DEPAUL
Coach: Jerry Wainwright  |  Ret. Starters: 2
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 68.4 (178) Defensive - 64.1 (54)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 44.1% (158) Defensive - 42.6% (120)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 34.9% (158) Defensive - 35.0% (192)
FREE THROW %: Team - 68.3% (184) Opponent - 70.7% (259)
REBOUNDS: Team - 36.8 (79) Opponent - 31.8 (46)
StatFox Preview: The best word to describe the off-season for DePaul is “upheaval”. If the losses of super seniors were not hard enough to take, the loss of Coach Dave Leitao was an even bigger jolt. With DePaul left to scramble for a new head coach, they were able to secure Jerry Wainwright from Richmond. Wainwright had many over-achieving teams at Richmond with a tough-minded defensive style that should nicely in the Big East. The cupboard is not empty on the backline where Cliff Clinkscales is presumed to be a better scorer as well as a distributor of the ball. Junior Sammy Mejia must be ready to lead from the start of the season and be the “primetime” player he is capable of being. Marlon Brumfield returns at center whose bruising style should work in the rough and tumble conference. Wainwright will need young players to fill the other positions and augment a bench. Middle of this large pack is where the Blue Demons will be in inaugural Big East season.
Top Team Trends

* Since '01-'02, DEPAUL is 2-4 ATS against Big East conference opponents.

* Since '01-'02, DEPAUL is 5-3 ATS as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick.

* Since '01-'02, DEPAUL is 8-5 ATS when playing with 5 or 6 days rest.

* DEPAUL was 4-8 ATS after a non-conference game last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 20-11  (64.5%) 14-16-0  (46.7%) 14-16-0
Home Games 15-3  (83.3%) 8-9-0  (47.1%) 9-8-0
Away Games 5-8  (38.5%) 6-7-0  (46.2%) 5-8-0
as Favorite 16-3  (84.2%) 8-11-0  (42.1%) 9-10-0
as Underdog 3-7  (30.0%) 6-4-0  (60.0%) 5-5-0
as Home Favorite 13-2  (86.7%) 6-9-0  (40.0%) 8-7-0
as Home Underdog 1-1  (50.0%) 2-0-0  (100.0%) 1-1-0
as Away Favorite 3-1  (75.0%) 2-2-0  (50.0%) 1-3-0
as Away Underdog 2-6  (25.0%) 4-4-0  (50.0%) 4-4-0
GEORGETOWN
Coach: John Thompson III  |  Ret. Starters: 4
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 64.4 (260) Defensive - 61.1 (20)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 45.3% (85) Defensive - 41.5% (65)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 36.5% (84) Defensive - 33.5% (104)
FREE THROW %: Team - 70.4% (115) Opponent - 71.4% (277)
REBOUNDS: Team - 31.2 (301) Opponent - 31.8 (44)
StatFox Preview: The last year has been nothing but a joy for Georgetown and its followers. New coach John Thompson III came in with low expectations and came through with a 19-win season. Two possible departures did not happen, which only adds to the strength of this 2005 addition. 6’6 swingman Darrel Owens was granted another year of eligibility and returns with his hard nose approach. Brandon Bowman is the backbone for the Hoyas, being the leading scorer at 15.2 PPG and second leading glass eater. Additionally, he led the team in steals and minutes. Jeff Green, who shared the Big East Rookie of the Year honors with UConn’s Rudy Gay, returns as the teams’ leading rebounder and 2nd leading point producer. Jonathan Wallace and Ashanti Cook fill up the back stripe nicely for the Hoyas. With a full year of running the Princeton-style offense, the effectiveness of Thompson’s team should only rise. G-Town looks like a tournament team, with an upper half finish in store.
Top Team Trends

* Since '01-'02, GEORGETOWN is 4-2 ATS in November games.

* Since '01-'02, GEORGETOWN is 7-13 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games.

* Since '01-'02, GEORGETOWN is 8-14 ATS after scoring 60 points or less.

* GEORGETOWN was 5-3 ATS off a win against a conference rival last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 19-13  (59.4%) 16-12-1  (57.1%) 10-18-0
Home Games 13-5  (72.2%) 8-7-0  (53.3%) 1-13-0
Away Games 6-8  (42.9%) 8-5-1  (61.5%) 9-5-0
as Favorite 11-4  (73.3%) 8-7-0  (53.3%) 3-11-0
as Underdog 5-9  (35.7%) 8-5-1  (61.5%) 7-7-0
as Home Favorite 10-2  (83.3%) 8-4-0  (66.7%) 1-10-0
as Home Underdog 0-3  (0.0%) 0-3-0  (0.0%) 0-3-0
as Away Favorite 1-2  (33.3%) 0-3-0  (0.0%) 2-1-0
as Away Underdog 5-6  (45.5%) 8-2-1  (80.0%) 7-4-0
LOUISVILLE
Coach: Rick Pitino  |  Ret. Starters: 4
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 80.7 (7) Defensive - 64.1 (58)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 46.7% (37) Defensive - 38.9% (8)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 39.8% (10) Defensive - 33.1% (84)
FREE THROW %: Team - 72.3% (62) Opponent - 67.1% (90)
REBOUNDS: Team - 38.8 (27) Opponent - 33.0 (92)
StatFox Preview: Rick Pitino did it again last year, bringing another team to the Final Four, before losing to Illinois. The Cardinals were unified in their resolve in following the great coach. The losses were prominent, but this is Rick Pitino and Louisville we’re talking about. Taquan Dean is a sharpshooter, who drilled 44.7% of his treys and will be at full strength after a bout with mono during the season. Juan Palacios comes back for a 2nd go-round with the ‘Ville. Last year he came through with 9.7 PPG and 6.5 boards. Transfer C David Padgett broke a bone in his foot and is expected to return sometime in December. Last season Pitino showed his adaptability with the Cardinals playing a great deal of zone defense. With the type of athletes he has this campaign expect more “Pitino ball”, which includes pushing the ball on offense and full court pressure defense. By the end of the Big East season this will be one of the top four teams.
Top Team Trends

* Since '01-'02, LOUISVILLE is 4-2 ATS on Tuesday nights.

* Since '01-'02, LOUISVILLE is 5-10 ATS off a loss against a conference rival.

* Since '01-'02, LOUISVILLE is 5-3 ATS in a road game where the total is 145 to 149.5.

* LOUISVILLE was 4-2 ATS when the total is 150 to 159.5 last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 33-5  (86.8%) 18-17-0  (51.4%) 18-17-0
Home Games 20-3  (87.0%) 10-11-0  (47.6%) 12-9-0
Away Games 13-2  (86.7%) 8-6-0  (57.1%) 6-8-0
as Favorite 28-4  (87.5%) 16-16-0  (50.0%) 18-14-0
as Underdog 2-1  (66.7%) 2-1-0  (66.7%) 0-3-0
as Home Favorite 18-3  (85.7%) 10-11-0  (47.6%) 12-9-0
as Away Favorite 10-1  (90.9%) 6-5-0  (54.5%) 6-5-0
as Away Underdog 2-1  (66.7%) 2-1-0  (66.7%) 0-3-0
MARQUETTE
Coach: Tom Crean  |  Ret. Starters: 5
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 67.1 (218) Defensive - 64.8 (72)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 42.4% (237) Defensive - 40.9% (46)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 36.7% (76) Defensive - 33.4% (102)
FREE THROW %: Team - 71.0% (94) Opponent - 66.8% (77)
REBOUNDS: Team - 37.1 (72) Opponent - 31.1 (29)
StatFox Preview: Sadly for Marquette fans, the Travis Deiner era has concluded with his hard-nosed never give up attitude now vying for a NBA position. Coach Tom Crean is left but with two starters. Long-range specialist Steve Novak is back to rain bombs upon opposing defenses with his uncanny 3-point accuracy. (46%) Joe Chapman also returns and is a known quantity hitting treys. The point guard and the rest of the frontcourt positions are reed-thin. Coach Crean brought in a strong recruiting class in hopes of shoring up this area. The Golden Eagles maiden voyage into the Big East will not be a pretty one, as they look to build towards the future.
Top Team Trends

* Since '01-'02, MARQUETTE is 19-9 ATS after a non-conference game.

* Since '01-'02, MARQUETTE is 4-2 ATS vs poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 PPG after 15+ games.

* Since '01-'02, MARQUETTE is 6-10 ATS in all tournament games.

* MARQUETTE was 3-5 ATS in non-conference games last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 19-12  (61.3%) 11-14-0  (44.0%) 10-13-1
Home Games 15-6  (71.4%) 6-10-0  (37.5%) 4-10-1
Away Games 4-6  (40.0%) 5-4-0  (55.6%) 6-3-0
as Favorite 11-4  (73.3%) 6-9-0  (40.0%) 5-8-1
as Underdog 2-8  (20.0%) 5-5-0  (50.0%) 5-5-0
as Home Favorite 9-4  (69.2%) 4-9-0  (30.8%) 3-8-1
as Home Underdog 1-2  (33.3%) 2-1-0  (66.7%) 1-2-0
as Away Favorite 2-0  (100.0%) 2-0-0  (100.0%) 2-0-0
as Away Underdog 1-6  (14.3%) 3-4-0  (42.9%) 4-3-0
NOTRE DAME
Coach: Mike Brey  |  Ret. Starters: 3
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 67.3 (207) Defensive - 64.1 (55)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 41.0% (280) Defensive - 42.4% (103)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 38.4% (27) Defensive - 35.4% (213)
FREE THROW %: Team - 72.3% (60) Opponent - 65.7% (43)
REBOUNDS: Team - 35.4 (147) Opponent - 35.7 (211)
StatFox Preview: The old tale of “you live by the sword, you die by the sword” was apparent last year in South Bend. The Irish were totally reliant upon three-point shooting to carry them. What they ended up with is a 17-12 record and a shocking first round NIT home loss. Chris Thomas took the heat for last year, fairly or not, and has since graduated. Coach Mike Brey is thought of as a blunt and nice guy, who has had teams generally underachieve the last couple of years. The backcourt is set with dead-eyes Chris Quinn and Colin Falls who both averaged 12.6 PPG. What they lack in quickness they make up in shooting and effort. C Torin Francis hopefully can have an injury free season and give the Irish an inside presence it’s lacked. Experienced Rick Cornett, Omari Israel and Rob Furz will be called upon to help in the frontcourt, to better balance the floor for Notre Dame. This is a tricky team to figure with an anywhere from a 5th to 10th place finish possible.
Top Team Trends

* Since '01-'02, NOTRE DAME is 3-6 ATS on Tuesday nights.

* Since '01-'02, NOTRE DAME is 6-9 ATS in all tournament games.

* NOTRE DAME was 3-5 ATS after a non-conference game last season.

* NOTRE DAME was 6-3 ATS off a win against a conference rival last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 17-12  (58.6%) 12-12-1  (50.0%) 13-12-0
Home Games 13-6  (68.4%) 3-11-1  (21.4%) 10-5-0
Away Games 4-6  (40.0%) 9-1-0  (90.0%) 3-7-0
as Favorite 8-5  (61.5%) 2-10-1  (16.7%) 9-4-0
as Underdog 4-7  (36.4%) 9-2-0  (81.8%) 3-8-0
as Home Favorite 8-5  (61.5%) 2-10-1  (16.7%) 9-4-0
as Home Underdog 1-1  (50.0%) 1-1-0  (50.0%) 1-1-0
as Away Underdog 3-6  (33.3%) 8-1-0  (88.9%) 2-7-0
PITTSBURGH
Coach: Jamie Dixon  |  Ret. Starters: 2
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 72.3 (91) Defensive - 63.5 (46)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 47.1% (32) Defensive - 40.4% (32)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 37.9% (40) Defensive - 33.9% (127)
FREE THROW %: Team - 65.9% (246) Opponent - 70.5% (253)
REBOUNDS: Team - 38.1 (45) Opponent - 29.6 (10)
StatFox Preview: Last year’s Pittsburgh team had aspirations of reaching the Final Four with talent aplenty back. Instead of returning to at least the Sweet 16 like it had the previous two years, the Panthers came down with a case of “Senior and NBA-it is”. The perception was the team felt it could play hard when it needed to and play on autopilot the rest of the time. Coach Jamie Dixon, who seems uncomfortable in the public eye, did his best to prod the group along, to no avail as they feel quickly and decidedly to Pacific in round one of the NCAA’s. Carl Krauser brings back his 16 PPG and will need to guide a much younger Pitt team this year. SG Antonio Graves is back, after making 46.2% of his 3-balls. Despite bring in a Top 25 recruiting class Dixon will have to magically make a representative frontcourt appear. Place the Panthers in the bottom half of the Big East this season.
Top Team Trends

* Since '01-'02, PITTSBURGH is 6-9 ATS when playing with 5 or 6 days rest.

* Since '01-'02, PITTSBURGH is 7-4 ATS against teams with a losing record.

* PITTSBURGH was 3-5 ATS vs good defensive teams - allowing <=64 PPG after 15+ games last season.

* PITTSBURGH was 4-8 ATS in home lined games last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 20-9  (69.0%) 9-15-0  (37.5%) 15-9-0
Home Games 14-4  (77.8%) 5-8-0  (38.5%) 9-4-0
Away Games 6-5  (54.5%) 4-7-0  (36.4%) 6-5-0
as Favorite 12-6  (66.7%) 5-13-0  (27.8%) 12-6-0
as Underdog 4-2  (66.7%) 4-2-0  (66.7%) 3-3-0
as Home Favorite 10-3  (76.9%) 5-8-0  (38.5%) 9-4-0
as Away Favorite 2-3  (40.0%) 0-5-0  (0.0%) 3-2-0
as Away Underdog 4-2  (66.7%) 4-2-0  (66.7%) 3-3-0
PROVIDENCE
Coach: Tim Welsh  |  Ret. Starters: 4
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 74.5 (53) Defensive - 72.3 (261)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 46.1% (48) Defensive - 42.3% (95)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 34.7% (170) Defensive - 32.2% (50)
FREE THROW %: Team - 70.8% (100) Opponent - 69.9% (223)
REBOUNDS: Team - 35.6 (135) Opponent - 36.0 (224)
StatFox Preview: If Coach Tim Welsh thought last year was difficult, he really has his work cut out for him this year. All-Big East performer Ryan Gomes returned with an undistinguished group, as false expectations gave way to a losing season. Now the talented Gomes has graduated, leaving an enormous void. The closest thing to a top end player the Friars have is senior G Donnie McGrath, who scored 9.7 PPG and doled out 3.8 assists. The top returning point maker is Dwight Brewington at 13.3 PPG. Beyond that Coach Welsh has his work cut out for him, with nearly all the new C-USA imports better then Providence.
Top Team Trends

* Since '01-'02, PROVIDENCE is 13-21 ATS on Saturday games.

* Since '01-'02, PROVIDENCE is 4-7 ATS after scoring 60 points or less.

* Since '01-'02, PROVIDENCE is 8-5 ATS against teams with a losing record.

* PROVIDENCE was 6-10 ATS after a conference game last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 14-17  (45.2%) 11-17-0  (39.3%) 20-8-0
Home Games 9-9  (50.0%) 4-11-0  (26.7%) 12-3-0
Away Games 5-8  (38.5%) 7-6-0  (53.8%) 8-5-0
as Favorite 10-5  (66.7%) 7-8-0  (46.7%) 12-3-0
as Underdog 2-10  (16.7%) 4-8-0  (33.3%) 7-5-0
as Home Favorite 7-5  (58.3%) 4-8-0  (33.3%) 10-2-0
as Home Underdog 0-3  (0.0%) 0-3-0  (0.0%) 2-1-0
as Away Favorite 3-0  (100.0%) 3-0-0  (100.0%) 2-1-0
as Away Underdog 2-7  (22.2%) 4-5-0  (44.4%) 5-4-0
RUTGERS
Coach: Fred Hill  |  Ret. Starters: 3
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 64.9 (248) Defensive - 69.9 (202)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 40.7% (290) Defensive - 46.5% (298)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 32.5% (252) Defensive - 35.7% (235)
FREE THROW %: Team - 70.8% (101) Opponent - 67.3% (99)
REBOUNDS: Team - 32.6 (272) Opponent - 36.8 (257)
StatFox Preview: If Rutgers had anymore bad luck than last season, they could have put in for federal relief. Bad bounces, bad timing and too many tight losses made 2004-05 season one to forget. Coach Gary Waters will have the key ingredient to build on for this year’s turnaround in hot-shooting Quincy Douby. He is among the six of eight top scorers returning for the Scarlet Knights. Douby will be matched with Marquis Webb who his known for gritty play and suffocating defense. Ollie Bailey packs a wallop on his 230-pound frame, as he scored nearly ten points per game and garnered 4.4 rebounds. Byron Joynes is the starting center who has dropped a few pounds to increase agility. Coach Waters is thrilled to have 6’8 F Adrian Hill back after a knee injury ended his season. With a little luck, an 8th place finish is possible for Rutgers, if not 12th place looks like the right number.
Top Team Trends

* Since '01-'02, RUTGERS is 13-8 ATS on Wednesday games.

* Since '01-'02, RUTGERS is 2-4 ATS in all neutral court games.

* Since '01-'02, RUTGERS is 6-3 ATS against teams with a losing record.

* RUTGERS was 4-6 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 10-19  (34.5%) 11-15-0  (42.3%) 15-10-0
Home Games 7-8  (46.7%) 5-7-0  (41.7%) 7-5-0
Away Games 3-11  (21.4%) 6-8-0  (42.9%) 8-5-0
as Favorite 3-2  (60.0%) 2-3-0  (40.0%) 2-3-0
as Underdog 3-17  (15.0%) 8-12-0  (40.0%) 12-7-0
as Home Favorite 3-2  (60.0%) 2-3-0  (40.0%) 2-3-0
as Home Underdog 0-6  (0.0%) 2-4-0  (33.3%) 4-2-0
as Away Underdog 3-11  (21.4%) 6-8-0  (42.9%) 8-5-0
S FLORIDA
Coach: Stan Heath  |  Ret. Starters: 3
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 67.6 (196) Defensive - 66.5 (117)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 44.2% (157) Defensive - 41.3% (58)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 35.6% (130) Defensive - 32.7% (70)
FREE THROW %: Team - 69.7% (141) Opponent - 71.0% (268)
REBOUNDS: Team - 34.1 (210) Opponent - 34.3 (149)
StatFox Preview: South Florida started to compete with a number of teams in C-USA , closing the season with wins over Cincinnati, Charlotte and Houston. The Bulls will be tackling a more arduous task in moving into the Big East. What path they would be best suited to follow is that of former Big East member Virginia Tech. The Hokies were a “Welcome” mat when they first entered the league, until gradually they became competent and started winning at home and were no bargain on the road. Coach Ray McCullum, who starts his third season in Tampa, has only one returning starter 6’10 Solomon Jones. The rail-thin C led the team in blocked shot with 64 playing 24 minutes a game. Purdue transfer Melvin Buckley offers the best chance of someone who can consistently score, with top recruit Frane Markusovic, from Croatia being the other. The guards are experienced and adequate. The Big East learning curve starts this season.
Top Team Trends

* Since '01-'02, S FLORIDA is 12-7 ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses.

* Since '01-'02, S FLORIDA is 7-12 ATS in January games.

* S FLORIDA was 11-7 ATS after a conference game last season.

* S FLORIDA was 4-2 ATS vs good defensive teams - allowing <=64 PPG after 15+ games last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 14-16  (46.7%) 15-8-0  (65.2%) 14-9-0
Home Games 10-6  (62.5%) 4-5-0  (44.4%) 4-5-0
Away Games 4-10  (28.6%) 11-3-0  (78.6%) 10-4-0
as Favorite 4-2  (66.7%) 3-3-0  (50.0%) 3-3-0
as Underdog 4-12  (25.0%) 12-4-0  (75.0%) 10-6-0
as Home Favorite 3-2  (60.0%) 2-3-0  (40.0%) 2-3-0
as Home Underdog 1-2  (33.3%) 2-1-0  (66.7%) 1-2-0
as Away Favorite 1-0  (100.0%) 1-0-0  (100.0%) 1-0-0
as Away Underdog 3-10  (23.1%) 10-3-0  (76.9%) 9-4-0
SETON HALL
Coach: Bobby Gonzalez  |  Ret. Starters: 3
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 62.7 (288) Defensive - 63.8 (49)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 40.2% (301) Defensive - 40.9% (47)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 34.1% (192) Defensive - 34.2% (144)
FREE THROW %: Team - 71.1% (92) Opponent - 69.5% (203)
REBOUNDS: Team - 36.9 (78) Opponent - 33.8 (126)
StatFox Preview: The Seton Hall Pirates will have to come together quickly for Coach Louis Orr in order to avoid last year’s 4-12 Big East record. The centerpiece was thought to be G Justin Cerasoli who was in Orr’s doghouse as much as he was on the floor. Not unexpectedly, he transferred leaving Coach Orr to start from scratch. Where the Hall starts is senior F Kelly Whitney, who returns as the team’s leading scorer and rebounder. 6’10 Grant Billmeier will be needed to evolve his game and be more of a factor in the pivot. Donald Copeland whose versatility at guard is a blessing, will play either backcourt position until one of the spots is filled proficiently. The upcoming season does not appear to be a banner year for the Pirates.
Top Team Trends

* Since '01-'02, SETON HALL is 3-6 ATS in all tournament games.

* Since '01-'02, SETON HALL is 5-3 ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses.

* Since '01-'02, SETON HALL is 7-13 ATS when playing with one or less days rest.

* SETON HALL was 4-2 ATS in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.5 last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 12-16  (42.9%) 8-16-0  (33.3%) 11-13-0
Home Games 9-7  (56.3%) 2-10-0  (16.7%) 6-6-0
Away Games 3-9  (25.0%) 6-6-0  (50.0%) 5-7-0
as Favorite 6-1  (85.7%) 3-4-0  (42.9%) 3-4-0
as Underdog 2-14  (12.5%) 5-11-0  (31.3%) 7-9-0
as Home Favorite 4-1  (80.0%) 1-4-0  (20.0%) 3-2-0
as Home Underdog 1-5  (16.7%) 1-5-0  (16.7%) 2-4-0
as Away Favorite 2-0  (100.0%) 2-0-0  (100.0%) 0-2-0
as Away Underdog 1-9  (10.0%) 4-6-0  (40.0%) 5-5-0
ST JOHNS
Coach: Norm Roberts  |  Ret. Starters: 2
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 64.4 (261) Defensive - 66.8 (122)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 43.0% (211) Defensive - 42.7% (126)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 31.3% (283) Defensive - 34.7% (179)
FREE THROW %: Team - 67.1% (218) Opponent - 67.7% (119)
REBOUNDS: Team - 35.9 (123) Opponent - 34.0 (135)
StatFox Preview: Thought to be easily the worst team in the Big East last season, St. John’s was more than competitive, despite winning just three conference games. If you had put a few of your hard earned dollars on the line, there was no better team to do that with then the Johnnies. They were the best team in the land in this category with an 18-6 mark. Norm Roberts understands the dynamics of the St. John’s tradition and is working diligently to bring that feeling back. This year he has everyone returning, including dynamic Darryl Hill. The 6’0 junior scored 20.7 PPG and is the league’s best returning scorer. The Red Storm’s three-guard attack is supplemented by Ryan Williams and defensive dynamo Cedric Jackson. Low post performer Lamont Hamilton brings his 13.3 PPG back, along with his team high 7.5 RPG. 6’6 Dexter Gray is a defensive stopper, who will be pushed for playing time by freshman Anthony Mason Jr. Other key additions included 6’11 newcomer Tomas Jasiulionis and Jermaine Maybank who missed last season due to injury. Rebuilding a program left for dead in no easy feat, however, St. John’s looks to have the right man in Roberts.
Top Team Trends

* Since '01-'02, ST JOHNS is 13-8 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent.

* Since '01-'02, ST JOHNS is 20-10 ATS on Saturday games.

* Since '01-'02, ST JOHNS is 5-3 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points.

* ST JOHNS was 6-3 ATS after a non-conference game last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 9-18  (33.3%) 18-6-0  (75.0%) 10-12-2
Home Games 9-7  (56.3%) 10-3-0  (76.9%) 5-7-1
Away Games 0-11  (0.0%) 8-3-0  (72.7%) 5-5-1
as Favorite 3-0  (100.0%) 2-1-0  (66.7%) 0-3-0
as Underdog 4-17  (19.0%) 16-5-0  (76.2%) 10-9-2
as Home Favorite 3-0  (100.0%) 2-1-0  (66.7%) 0-3-0
as Home Underdog 4-6  (40.0%) 8-2-0  (80.0%) 5-4-1
as Away Underdog 0-11  (0.0%) 8-3-0  (72.7%) 5-5-1
SYRACUSE
Coach: Jim Boeheim  |  Ret. Starters: 2
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 74.9 (44) Defensive - 64.6 (69)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 48.3% (18) Defensive - 39.0% (10)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 31.2% (284) Defensive - 32.6% (62)
FREE THROW %: Team - 66.7% (225) Opponent - 67.7% (120)
REBOUNDS: Team - 38.0 (47) Opponent - 34.1 (137)
StatFox Preview: Gerry McNamara is back for his 8th season at Syracuse (it just seems like it) and will be called upon to carry the load early for the Orangemen. Newly elected basketball Hall of Fame Coach Jim Boeheim has to replace three seniors including Hakim Warrick. That will be impossible, nonetheless Boeheim is looking to spread the wealth around behind 6’9 front liner Terrance Roberts will need to improve his inside presence, and junior Louie McCroskey, who came on strong down the stretch for Syracuse. Matt Gorman red-shirted last year, returns to contribute in the frontcourt. Coach Boeheim is hoping that two Wright’s don’t make a wrong with Josh and Dayshawn Wright ready to enter the Big East wars. One freshman who could make an immediate impact is Eric Devendorf who has a terrific perimeter game to help the Orange who finished last in three-point shooting in the league. Look for business as usual under Coach Boeheim, with a solid Big East finish and a NCAA tournament berth.
Top Team Trends

* Since '01-'02, SYRACUSE is 3-5 ATS revenging a home loss vs opponent.

* Since '01-'02, SYRACUSE is 4-7 ATS on Wednesday games.

* Since '01-'02, SYRACUSE is 6-3 ATS in a neutral court game where the total is 135 to 139.5.

* Since '01-'02, SYRACUSE is 8-4 ATS when playing with 5 or 6 days rest.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 27-7  (79.4%) 15-16-0  (48.4%) 16-14-0
Home Games 20-4  (83.3%) 9-12-0  (42.9%) 10-10-0
Away Games 7-3  (70.0%) 6-4-0  (60.0%) 6-4-0
as Favorite 22-3  (88.0%) 13-12-0  (52.0%) 13-11-0
as Underdog 2-4  (33.3%) 2-4-0  (33.3%) 3-3-0
as Home Favorite 17-3  (85.0%) 9-11-0  (45.0%) 10-9-0
as Home Underdog 0-1  (0.0%) 0-1-0  (0.0%) 0-1-0
as Away Favorite 5-0  (100.0%) 4-1-0  (80.0%) 3-2-0
as Away Underdog 2-3  (40.0%) 2-3-0  (40.0%) 3-2-0
VILLANOVA
Coach: Jay Wright  |  Ret. Starters: 2
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 73 (76) Defensive - 62.4 (34)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 43.6% (186) Defensive - 39.5% (18)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 35.9% (105) Defensive - 31.8% (41)
FREE THROW %: Team - 73.6% (31) Opponent - 71.7% (291)
REBOUNDS: Team - 37.4 (62) Opponent - 33.2 (98)
StatFox Preview: A few teams may come into the season more highly rated then Villanova, but NOBODY will have fewer question marks then the Wildcats. This team is loaded and ready to wreak havoc across the basketball landscape. At guard it starts with Randy Foye, who led the Wildcats late season charge. Allan Ray led ‘Nova in scoring with 16.2 PPG and 6’1 Mike Nardi directed the ‘Cats attack from the point guard. Curtis Sumpter and Jason Fraser both are scheduled to return from injuries to be solid frontcourt mainstays. Their health could be the difference between a Final Four appearance or not. The frontline also has the likes of Will Sheridan whose rugged 6’8 frame creates an imposing figure. Supporting Sumpter and Fraser are 5th year seniors Chris Charles and Marcus Austin whose size and skill will make Villanova even more dangerous. 6’9 Dante Cunningham, who was the Washington Post Metro Player of the Year, will be a valuable backup for the ‘Cats this season. Coach Jay Wright knows it and so do the Villanova faithful, it’s Indianapolis or bust this season.
Top Team Trends

* Since '01-'02, VILLANOVA is 15-7 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent.

* Since '01-'02, VILLANOVA is 21-11 ATS in non-conference games.

* Since '01-'02, VILLANOVA is 39-23 ATS against teams with a winning record.

* Since '01-'02, VILLANOVA is 5-3 ATS vs poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 PPG.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 24-8  (75.0%) 17-11-0  (60.7%) 17-11-0
Home Games 16-4  (80.0%) 9-7-0  (56.3%) 11-5-0
Away Games 8-4  (66.7%) 8-4-0  (66.7%) 6-6-0
as Favorite 17-4  (81.0%) 12-9-0  (57.1%) 12-9-0
as Underdog 2-4  (33.3%) 4-2-0  (66.7%) 4-2-0
as Home Favorite 11-4  (73.3%) 8-7-0  (53.3%) 10-5-0
as Home Underdog 1-0  (100.0%) 1-0-0  (100.0%) 1-0-0
as Away Favorite 6-0  (100.0%) 4-2-0  (66.7%) 2-4-0
as Away Underdog 1-4  (20.0%) 3-2-0  (60.0%) 3-2-0
W VIRGINIA
Coach: Bob Huggins  |  Ret. Starters: 3
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 71.5 (109) Defensive - 67.3 (134)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 45.0% (107) Defensive - 45.1% (251)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 36.0% (100) Defensive - 36.1% (252)
FREE THROW %: Team - 74.2% (22) Opponent - 72.7% (312)
REBOUNDS: Team - 30.4 (316) Opponent - 34.3 (151)
StatFox Preview: The Mountaineers closed the regular season 17-10 and had hoped to win a game or two in the Big East tourney and maybe get a NCAA bid. West Virginia instead turned the tables upside down and shot lights out for 3 ½ games before succumbing to Syracuse in the Big East finals. That earned a spot in the Big Dance, in which they proceeded to win three more games and actually have Louisville down 20 before running out of gas and losing to the Cardinals. A seasoned group is back who went through all the good and bad times. Team leader Mike Gansey returns to play either guard or small forward. 6’11 Kevin Pittsnogle, who epitomized West Virginia’s late run, is back to drill long shots and work on a few inside moves to improve his NBA stock. Frank Young determined play with benefit the Mountaineers in the frontcourt. Guards Joe Herber and J.D. Collins are the starters with the coach’s son Patrick Beilein offering a supporting role. This entire team has a vast understanding of this offense, as Coach John Beilein will need players off the bench to do some of the dirty work. West Virginia has enough marksmen to offset bad shooting nights, which will be enough to grab a NCAA seat and an upper division spot in the Big East.
Top Team Trends

Since '01-'02, W VIRGINIA is 16-7 ATS vs good offensive teams - scoring 77+ PPG.

Since '01-'02, W VIRGINIA is 4-2 ATS in conference tournament games.

Since '01-'02, W VIRGINIA is 6-3 ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses.

W VIRGINIA was 5-3 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 24-11  (68.6%) 17-15-0  (53.1%) 18-14-0
Home Games 14-4  (77.8%) 7-8-0  (46.7%) 4-11-0
Away Games 10-7  (58.8%) 10-7-0  (58.8%) 14-3-0
as Favorite 12-4  (75.0%) 6-10-0  (37.5%) 6-10-0
as Underdog 9-7  (56.3%) 11-5-0  (68.8%) 12-4-0
as Home Favorite 10-3  (76.9%) 6-7-0  (46.2%) 3-10-0
as Home Underdog 1-1  (50.0%) 1-1-0  (50.0%) 1-1-0
as Away Favorite 2-1  (66.7%) 0-3-0  (0.0%) 3-0-0
as Away Underdog 8-6  (57.1%) 10-4-0  (71.4%) 11-3-0