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BIG TEN 2005-06 Preview

It seems that each and every season, the Big Ten goes in as the most maligned conference in most experts’ well thought of opinions. It seems that each and every March, this league proves those prognosticators wrong. Last year was supposed to be one of those “down years” for this league, yet it produced two Final Four teams in Michigan State and Illinois, and almost had another as Wisconsin fell just short of eventual champion North Carolina in the Elite Eight round. In fact, if you look back, almost half (7) of the 16 Final Four games over the past eight seasons have involved at least one team from the Big Ten, so this conference is making big noise in March. Expect it to do so once again this year, as Michigan State comes back loaded, and Indiana, Illinois, Iowa, and Wisconsin are each backed by large expectations.

Michigan State’s starting five is as good as anyone nationally, as Paul Davis, Shannon Brown, and Maurice Ager all return after averaging double digits in scoring a year ago. Each should be recognized among the All-Conference mentions at the end of the season. Elsewhere, Illinois loses two heads of its three headed monster guard attack of last season, but Dee Brown returns and is a player of the year candidate. Iowa and Indiana are coming into their own as well, and Wisconsin has proved that it cannot be overlooked under Bo Ryan. Don’t be surprised to see Ohio State and Michigan to be much improved over last year’s results as well. On the opposite end, rebuilding is in order for Penn State, Northwestern, and Purdue in the first year of the post-Gene Keady era. This is how StatFox projects the Big Ten to finish in 2005-06:


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StatFox Projected Finish
1-Michigan State [ 12-1 ]
2-Michigan [ 100-1 ]
3-Indiana [ 40-1 ]
4-Illinois [ 30-1 ]
5-Ohio State [ 100-1 ]
6-Wisconsin [ 75-1 ]
7-Iowa [ 100-1 ]
8-Minnesota [ 200-1 ]
9-Northwestern [ 300-1 ]
10-Purdue [ 300-1 ]
11-Penn State [ Field (50-1) ]
Odds Courtesy of SportsBook.com 

ILLINOIS
Coach: Bruce Weber  |  Ret. Starters: 3
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 77 (21) Defensive - 61.1 (19)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 48.4% (16) Defensive - 41.5% (66)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 39.2% (16) Defensive - 35.8% (239)
FREE THROW %: Team - 72.8% (45) Opponent - 64.5% (20)
REBOUNDS: Team - 34.3 (195) Opponent - 31.4 (34)
StatFox Preview: What a stupendous year the Illini had last season. Led by the three pronged guard attack, Bruce Weber’s team had an answer for every question except one, Sean May of the national champions. The losses were heavy, but some quality still returns to Champaign. Big Ten Player of the Year Dee Brown is back for his senior season, after breaking his foot in the NBA tryouts in Chicago. F/C Jerry Augustine returns to add flexibility and speed to the Illini attack, with his 10 PPG and 7.6 boards per game. Rich McBride was often the first player off the bench last year and will get to show his ability as a starter this year. In addition, transfer 6’8 Marcus Arnold should add size and beef to the Illinois front-line. With the Big 10 down this year, the Illini will not be nearly as talented, yet will still have an opportunity to finish in the top four spots in the conference.
Top Team Trends

* Since '01-'02, ILLINOIS is 10-5 ATS on Wednesday games.

* Since '01-'02, ILLINOIS is 4-7 ATS vs poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 PPG.

* ILLINOIS was 4-2 ATS on Wednesday games last season.

* ILLINOIS was 8-5 ATS in non-conference games last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 37-2  (94.9%) 17-14-1  (54.8%) 11-19-2
Home Games 27-1  (96.4%) 11-9-1  (55.0%) 7-13-1
Away Games 10-1  (90.9%) 6-5-0  (54.5%) 4-6-1
as Favorite 29-1  (96.7%) 16-13-1  (55.2%) 10-18-2
as Underdog 0-1  (0.0%) 0-1-0  (0.0%) 0-1-0
as Home Favorite 20-0  (100.0%) 11-8-1  (57.9%) 7-12-1
as Home Underdog 0-1  (0.0%) 0-1-0  (0.0%) 0-1-0
as Away Favorite 9-1  (90.0%) 5-5-0  (50.0%) 3-6-1
INDIANA
Coach: Dan Dakich  |  Ret. Starters: 3
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 63.8 (275) Defensive - 63.6 (48)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 42.5% (235) Defensive - 42.0% (82)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 33.7% (207) Defensive - 33.1% (87)
FREE THROW %: Team - 71.4% (83) Opponent - 73.8% (328)
REBOUNDS: Team - 31.0 (305) Opponent - 33.7 (119)
StatFox Preview: Indiana ended up having one of the youngest teams in the Big Ten last season and will look to build off that nucleus, despite the loss of leading scorer Bracey Wright. The Hoosier’s top performer entered the NBA draft and was taken in the second round by Minnesota. However, the slack should be picked up by two sophomores who played extremely well at the end of last year. D.J. White averaged 13.3 PPG and shot 57.7% from the field. He could become one of the better rebounders in the Big Ten with consistent effort. Robert Vaden showed exceptional progress his freshman season with an average of 10.2 PPG. Senior Marshall Strickland will be expected to carry the load in directing the Hoosiers. Coach Mike Davis job is in a tenuous position, since anything less then a NCAA tournament berth could end his stay in Bloomington as the head man. He will be ecstatic to play Marco Killingsworth, the Auburn transfer.
Top Team Trends

* Since '01-'02, INDIANA is 13-21 ATS on Saturday games.

* Since '01-'02, INDIANA is 2-4 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points.

* INDIANA was 3-5 ATS on Wednesday games last season.

* INDIANA was 6-3 ATS after a non-conference game last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 15-14  (51.7%) 17-10-0  (63.0%) 14-12-1
Home Games 13-5  (72.2%) 11-5-0  (68.8%) 8-7-1
Away Games 2-9  (18.2%) 6-5-0  (54.5%) 6-5-0
as Favorite 9-3  (75.0%) 7-5-0  (58.3%) 5-6-1
as Underdog 4-11  (26.7%) 10-5-0  (66.7%) 9-6-0
as Home Favorite 9-3  (75.0%) 7-5-0  (58.3%) 5-6-1
as Home Underdog 2-2  (50.0%) 4-0-0  (100.0%) 3-1-0
as Away Underdog 2-9  (18.2%) 6-5-0  (54.5%) 6-5-0
IOWA
Coach: Todd Lickliter  |  Ret. Starters: 3
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 72.9 (77) Defensive - 67.3 (133)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 45.9% (54) Defensive - 41.9% (79)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 37.6% (49) Defensive - 34.9% (189)
FREE THROW %: Team - 69.1% (159) Opponent - 66.6% (69)
REBOUNDS: Team - 36.4 (100) Opponent - 35.3 (198)
StatFox Preview: Coach Steve Alford hopes he has put all the off-court dramas behind him for the upcoming campaign. This year he welcomes back F Greg Brunner who averaged a Hawkeye best 14.7 PPG and was also first with 7.8 rebounds per game. Swingman Adam Haluska has the kind of game that coaches like. He can take it to the rack to score and draw fouls, or take defenders downtown with his long range shooting skills. Jeff Horner is one of the best passers in the conference and is a tremendous free throw shooter. With this fine talent returning, the difference maker could be C Erek Hansen who needs to be a factor for Iowa at 6’11. This thin frame has been a detriment in a physical league like the Big 10. Coach Alford will be seeking a top five finish in the conference and another bid to the dance.
Top Team Trends

* Since '01-'02, IOWA is 3-5 ATS against Big 12 conference opponents.

* Since '01-'02, IOWA is 7-4 ATS after scoring 60 points or less.

* Since '01-'02, IOWA is 8-5 ATS vs poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 PPG after 15+ games.

* IOWA was 5-3 ATS after scoring 80 points or more last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 21-12  (63.6%) 14-18-0  (43.8%) 14-15-3
Home Games 16-3  (84.2%) 7-11-0  (38.9%) 6-11-1
Away Games 5-9  (35.7%) 7-7-0  (50.0%) 8-4-2
as Favorite 17-3  (85.0%) 8-12-0  (40.0%) 8-11-1
as Underdog 3-9  (25.0%) 6-6-0  (50.0%) 6-4-2
as Home Favorite 14-1  (93.3%) 6-9-0  (40.0%) 5-10-0
as Home Underdog 1-2  (33.3%) 1-2-0  (33.3%) 1-1-1
as Away Favorite 3-2  (60.0%) 2-3-0  (40.0%) 3-1-1
as Away Underdog 2-7  (22.2%) 5-4-0  (55.6%) 5-3-1
MICHIGAN
Coach: John Beilein  |  Ret. Starters: 1
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 61.6 (300) Defensive - 64 (51)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 44.3% (148) Defensive - 42.9% (136)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 30.9% (291) Defensive - 34.4% (161)
FREE THROW %: Team - 72.2% (68) Opponent - 69.8% (217)
REBOUNDS: Team - 31.2 (303) Opponent - 32.3 (59)
StatFox Preview: In the words of singer Roy Orbison “It’s now or never” for Michigan to show what they have under 5th year Coach Tommy Amaker. The program seemingly has the talent off two Top-10 recruiting classes. Athletically skilled and scoring challenged, the Wolverines finished 10th scoring and 3-pointers made. The loss of SG Daniel Horton certainly hurt, with his troubles with the law. Plus the losses of swingman Lester Abram, F Graham Brown, C Chris Hunter and F Brent Petway for some or most of the season, all contributed to the Wolverines' demise that saw them losing 13 of their last 14 games. Presuming everyone returns healthy and wise, Michigan has the talent in place to contend. On the presumption that coach Amaker can turn the attitude around, with every key contributor back, 2005-06 should be a much better year for Ann Arbor fans.
Top Team Trends

* Since '01-'02, MICHIGAN is 4-7 ATS when playing with one or less days rest.

* Since '01-'02, MICHIGAN is 5-9 ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses.

* MICHIGAN was 2-4 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent last season.

* MICHIGAN was 4-7 ATS after a non-conference game last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 13-18  (41.9%) 10-17-0  (37.0%) 11-16-0
Home Games 11-8  (57.9%) 5-10-0  (33.3%) 6-9-0
Away Games 2-10  (16.7%) 5-7-0  (41.7%) 5-7-0
as Favorite 9-2  (81.8%) 3-8-0  (27.3%) 3-8-0
as Underdog 1-15  (6.3%) 7-9-0  (43.8%) 8-8-0
as Home Favorite 8-2  (80.0%) 3-7-0  (30.0%) 3-7-0
as Home Underdog 0-5  (0.0%) 2-3-0  (40.0%) 3-2-0
as Away Favorite 1-0  (100.0%) 0-1-0  (0.0%) 0-1-0
as Away Underdog 1-10  (9.1%) 5-6-0  (45.5%) 5-6-0
MICHIGAN ST
Coach: Tom Izzo  |  Ret. Starters: 5
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 78.5 (13) Defensive - 65.4 (89)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 48.7% (13) Defensive - 42.8% (134)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 35.5% (136) Defensive - 35.5% (218)
FREE THROW %: Team - 77.7% (3) Opponent - 67.0% (85)
REBOUNDS: Team - 36.6 (90) Opponent - 29.7 (13)
StatFox Preview: After a 2003 season in which Michigan State played more like Michigan Tech, the Spartans rebounded to play basketball the Tom Izzo way. Aggressive inside play, marked with defensive toughness and a more up-tempo flavor, Michigan State made it to the Final 4 before losing to eventual champion North Carolina. Izzo’s team has lost a number of players to graduation that were conducive to the team’s success last season. However, three main cogs will be back on the East Lansing campus in hopes of securing a Big Ten title. C Paul Davis took it upon himself to become bigger and stronger, after being pushed around by Big 10 types, last year. Guard Maurice Ager also returns after leading the team with an average of 13.8 PPG and only needs to improve on his 40.8% shooting to be a real factor in this conference. Freshman Drew Neitzel was thrown into the fray and played well at times and struggled at others. His continued improvement will only make the Spartans better. The #1 asset to this program is Tom Izzo; look for him to assemble another contending team in 2005-06.
Top Team Trends

* Since '01-'02, MICHIGAN ST is 3-5 ATS revenging a home loss vs opponent.

* Since '01-'02, MICHIGAN ST is 6-11 ATS vs good offensive teams - scoring 77+ PPG.

* Since '01-'02, MICHIGAN ST is 8-5 ATS against teams with a losing record.

* MICHIGAN ST was 8-4 ATS off a win against a conference rival last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 26-7  (78.8%) 17-11-0  (60.7%) 13-14-1
Home Games 17-2  (89.5%) 9-5-0  (64.3%) 8-5-1
Away Games 9-5  (64.3%) 8-6-0  (57.1%) 5-9-0
as Favorite 20-3  (87.0%) 16-7-0  (69.6%) 10-12-1
as Underdog 1-3  (25.0%) 1-3-0  (25.0%) 2-2-0
as Home Favorite 12-1  (92.3%) 9-4-0  (69.2%) 7-5-1
as Away Favorite 8-2  (80.0%) 7-3-0  (70.0%) 3-7-0
as Away Underdog 1-3  (25.0%) 1-3-0  (25.0%) 2-2-0
MINNESOTA
Coach: Tubby Smith  |  Ret. Starters: 5
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 68 (189) Defensive - 62.9 (38)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 45.2% (96) Defensive - 42.5% (113)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 34.9% (157) Defensive - 31.7% (38)
FREE THROW %: Team - 70.5% (114) Opponent - 70.5% (252)
REBOUNDS: Team - 34.1 (212) Opponent - 31.4 (33)
StatFox Preview: Minnesota caught everyone off guard with last year’s performance. Evidently coach Dan Monson and his Golden Gophers were the only one’s who did not have them finishing just above Penn State near the Big 10 cellar. JC transfer Vincent Grier made a huge difference after losing Kris Humphries to the NBA. Grier knocked down 17.9 PPG and has the capabilities to average into the 20’s for the new season. He made quite a name for himself by playing colossal defense in his first year in the Big ten wars. Grier will be joined by Dan Coleman did a nice job as a freshman starter, averaging 8.3 PPG and nearly four boards per game. C Spencer Tollackson will be expected to put to better use his 6’9 275-pound frame, to become more a space eater and defender for the Gophers. Senior guard Adam Boone returns from injury and seeks to make an immediate impact on Minnesota fortunes. Coach Monson’s has a big upside, with continued improvement across the board expected.
Top Team Trends

* Since '01-'02, MINNESOTA is 23-13 ATS against teams with a winning record after 15 or more games.

* Since '01-'02, MINNESOTA is 8-13 ATS after scoring 60 points or less.

* MINNESOTA was 4-2 ATS in all tournament games last season.

* MINNESOTA was 7-4 ATS off a win against a conference rival last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 21-11  (65.6%) 17-10-0  (63.0%) 10-15-1
Home Games 15-5  (75.0%) 10-5-0  (66.7%) 6-8-0
Away Games 6-6  (50.0%) 7-5-0  (58.3%) 4-7-1
as Favorite 10-2  (83.3%) 8-4-0  (66.7%) 7-5-0
as Underdog 6-9  (40.0%) 9-6-0  (60.0%) 3-10-1
as Home Favorite 9-2  (81.8%) 8-3-0  (72.7%) 6-5-0
as Home Underdog 1-3  (25.0%) 2-2-0  (50.0%) 0-3-0
as Away Favorite 1-0  (100.0%) 0-1-0  (0.0%) 1-0-0
as Away Underdog 5-6  (45.5%) 7-4-0  (63.6%) 3-7-1
NORTHWESTERN
Coach: Bill Carmody  |  Ret. Starters: 3
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 59 (318) Defensive - 62 (30)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 45.2% (95) Defensive - 45.1% (247)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 32.7% (243) Defensive - 36.0% (245)
FREE THROW %: Team - 61.0% (321) Opponent - 68.2% (143)
REBOUNDS: Team - 27.5 (326) Opponent - 32.9 (82)
StatFox Preview: Northwestern has missed out on potential post-season play the last two years, by finishing a single game under .500. Coach Bill Carmody stated goal is to win 20 games this year and play in the post season. He will be helped by the return of top point producer F Vedran Vukusic who finished with 16.8 PPG. Carmody is hoping to increase the pace of the game, with the ‘Cats last in the conference in scoring at 59 PPG. The additional scoring supports needs to come from G Mohamed Hachad and former McDonald’s All-American C Mike Thompson next year. If Kentucky transfer Bernard Cote works out, the Wildcats have a chance to be significantly better. If Northwestern can find a way to make more shots, finishing above .500 overall is a doable achievement.
Top Team Trends

* Since '01-'02, NORTHWESTERN is 2-4 ATS revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more.

* Since '01-'02, NORTHWESTERN is 5-10 ATS in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.5.

* Since '01-'02, NORTHWESTERN is 9-14 ATS after a non-conference game.

* NORTHWESTERN was 4-2 ATS against teams with a losing record last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 15-16  (48.4%) 13-13-0  (50.0%) 13-12-0
Home Games 13-5  (72.2%) 9-4-0  (69.2%) 5-7-0
Away Games 2-11  (15.4%) 4-9-0  (30.8%) 8-5-0
as Favorite 8-2  (80.0%) 6-4-0  (60.0%) 5-5-0
as Underdog 2-14  (12.5%) 7-9-0  (43.8%) 8-7-0
as Home Favorite 7-0  (100.0%) 6-1-0  (85.7%) 3-4-0
as Home Underdog 1-5  (16.7%) 3-3-0  (50.0%) 2-3-0
as Away Favorite 1-2  (33.3%) 0-3-0  (0.0%) 2-1-0
as Away Underdog 1-9  (10.0%) 4-6-0  (40.0%) 6-4-0
OHIO ST
Coach: Thad Matta  |  Ret. Starters: 1
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 71 (121) Defensive - 64.1 (57)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 46.1% (50) Defensive - 42.0% (81)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 36.2% (94) Defensive - 32.4% (53)
FREE THROW %: Team - 65.6% (254) Opponent - 73.4% (324)
REBOUNDS: Team - 33.0 (259) Opponent - 34.8 (169)
StatFox Preview: First year Coach Thad Matta did a miraculous job in swiftly turning around the fortunes of the Ohio State program. Matta won 20 games with essentially the same cast of characters from the previous season. Now in his 2nd year, things are looking as rosy as the scarlet in the uniforms. Senior C Terence Dials returns to complete his eligibility and be a force in the middle, he moves well and knows how to get his body in the right position to make a tough shot. Matt Sylvester needs to assert himself, with his silky smooth jump shot, no reason for him not to be a dependable 12-16 point scorer in Matta’s offense. Jamar Butler will receive first crack at the PG position. He was excellent in sharing the duties last season and had a 2 ˝ to 1 assist to turnover ratio. For Ohio State, the song that best describes them is by Timbuck3 “The future’s so bright I gotta wear shades”. Ohio State has to wait to the official signing date in October; however they already have locked up the best recruiting class for the following season. It is upward and onward for the Buckeyes.
Top Team Trends

* Since '01-'02, OHIO ST is 3-5 ATS after scoring 80 points or more.

* Since '01-'02, OHIO ST is 6-9 ATS in all tournament games.

* Since '01-'02, OHIO ST is 7-4 ATS against teams with a losing record after 15 or more games.

* OHIO ST was 6-3 ATS off a win against a conference rival last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 20-12  (62.5%) 18-12-0  (60.0%) 12-17-1
Home Games 17-3  (85.0%) 12-6-0  (66.7%) 5-12-1
Away Games 3-9  (25.0%) 6-6-0  (50.0%) 7-5-0
as Favorite 16-3  (84.2%) 13-6-0  (68.4%) 5-13-1
as Underdog 2-9  (18.2%) 5-6-0  (45.5%) 7-4-0
as Home Favorite 14-3  (82.4%) 11-6-0  (64.7%) 5-11-1
as Home Underdog 1-0  (100.0%) 1-0-0  (100.0%) 0-1-0
as Away Favorite 2-0  (100.0%) 2-0-0  (100.0%) 0-2-0
as Away Underdog 1-9  (10.0%) 4-6-0  (40.0%) 7-3-0
PENN ST
Coach: Ed DeChellis  |  Ret. Starters: 3
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 63.4 (281) Defensive - 70.7 (225)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 40.8% (288) Defensive - 45.3% (256)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 33.0% (236) Defensive - 37.2% (292)
FREE THROW %: Team - 69.5% (145) Opponent - 68.1% (138)
REBOUNDS: Team - 35.1 (153) Opponent - 33.0 (94)
StatFox Preview: Faze fifteen, or whatever it is, takes place again as Penn State undertakes the task of playing competitive basketball in the Big 10 conference. Coach Ed DeChellis brought in six freshmen, of which four saw significant playing time on the hardwood for the Nittany Lions. This tact alienated other players, including 6’9 Aaron Johnson, one of the top rebounders in the country at 9.9 RPG. Clearly Johnson was not pleased in Happy Valley, as he transferred out. Junior PG Ben Luber does return with the task of leading this youthful squad. Geary Claxton finished as the team's leading scorer as a freshman. Claxton led the Lions with 12.7 PPG and will need considerable help to pull Penn State out of last place in the conference. Putting the ball in the basket has to be a priority for a team that last in shooting percentage and 288th in the nation. The only way is up, as coach DeChellis takes his shot in building a winning program at State College.
Top Team Trends

* Since '01-'02, PENN ST is 12-21 ATS in road lined games.

* Since '01-'02, PENN ST is 17-27 ATS off a loss against a conference rival.

* Since '01-'02, PENN ST is 6-3 ATS vs poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 PPG.

* PENN ST was 4-6 ATS in road lined games last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 7-23  (23.3%) 10-14-1  (41.7%) 10-11-1
Home Games 5-13  (27.8%) 4-8-1  (33.3%) 4-6-1
Away Games 2-10  (16.7%) 6-6-0  (50.0%) 6-5-0
as Favorite 1-2  (33.3%) 1-2-0  (33.3%) 0-0-0
as Underdog 2-19  (9.5%) 9-11-1  (45.0%) 10-10-1
as Home Favorite 0-2  (0.0%) 0-2-0  (0.0%) 0-0-0
as Home Underdog 1-9  (10.0%) 4-5-1  (44.4%) 4-5-1
as Away Favorite 1-0  (100.0%) 1-0-0  (100.0%) 0-0-0
as Away Underdog 1-10  (9.1%) 5-6-0  (45.5%) 6-5-0
PURDUE
Coach: Matt Painter  |  Ret. Starters: 3
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 62.9 (285) Defensive - 68.1 (152)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 42.1% (247) Defensive - 44.8% (232)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 29.6% (308) Defensive - 40.5% (330)
FREE THROW %: Team - 67.9% (195) Opponent - 66.4% (66)
REBOUNDS: Team - 33.4 (240) Opponent - 33.0 (89)
StatFox Preview: No matter how you felt about Purdue basketball, last year was set-up for failure. The athletic department let venerable Gene Keady ride the pine on what was a farewell tour of the Big Ten, with his replacement Matt Painter sitting right next to him. That is an awkward situation, however you want to view. Keady’s recruiting efforts had slipped in the last five years, despite his dogged determination to win. Painter takes over with a couple of worthwhile pieces to the puzzle in C Carl Landry, who is coming off a season ending knee injury and G David Teague who is a productive player, averaging 14 PPG. Beyond that 6’10 Matt Kiefer needs to maximize his talents and bring more emotion to the table to help his Boiler mates. Another long season is presumed as Matt Painter attempts to paint the program with his own touch.
Top Team Trends

* Since '01-'02, PURDUE is 2-4 ATS in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.5.

* Since '01-'02, PURDUE is 4-6 ATS when playing with 5 or 6 days rest.

* Since '01-'02, PURDUE is 8-13 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent.

* PURDUE was 3-5 ATS vs good offensive teams - scoring 77+ PPG last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 7-21  (25.0%) 9-19-0  (32.1%) 11-16-0
Home Games 7-10  (41.2%) 6-11-0  (35.3%) 8-9-0
Away Games 0-11  (0.0%) 3-8-0  (27.3%) 3-7-0
as Favorite 6-3  (66.7%) 4-5-0  (44.4%) 5-4-0
as Underdog 1-18  (5.3%) 5-14-0  (26.3%) 6-12-0
as Home Favorite 6-3  (66.7%) 4-5-0  (44.4%) 5-4-0
as Home Underdog 1-7  (12.5%) 2-6-0  (25.0%) 3-5-0
as Away Underdog 0-11  (0.0%) 3-8-0  (27.3%) 3-7-0
WISCONSIN
Coach: Bo Ryan  |  Ret. Starters: 2
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 67.4 (205) Defensive - 60.2 (12)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 44.0% (161) Defensive - 42.5% (112)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 39.1% (21) Defensive - 29.9% (8)
FREE THROW %: Team - 67.7% (200) Opponent - 67.7% (114)
REBOUNDS: Team - 34.7 (176) Opponent - 31.0 (26)
StatFox Preview: Wisconsin took eventual champion North Carolina to the limit in their Elite 8 match-up before falling 88-82. Coach Bo Ryan has proved several things since he came to the Madison campus four years ago. The guy can flat out coach, teach and recruit with the best in the Big Ten. Adding FAlando Tucker proves he can bring in top end talent. Tucker will be a strong Big Ten Player of the Year candidate, as he has added a dimension to the frontcourt not seen in these parts. He will be complimented by Kammron Taylor, who did a solid job of running the offense last season. What the big boys upfront do will determine the fate of the Badgers. Highly touted Brian Butch is a heralded player who struggled during his redshirt freshman season. He needs to step up this year along with Greg Steimsma and Jason Chappell for Wisconsin to contend for the Big 10 title.
Top Team Trends

Since '01-'02, WISCONSIN is 14-7 ATS against teams with a losing record.

Since '01-'02, WISCONSIN is 2-4 ATS as a road favorite of 3.5 to 6 points.

WISCONSIN was 10-5 ATS in non-conference games last season.

WISCONSIN was 5-3 ATS vs good offensive teams - scoring 77+ PPG last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 25-9  (73.5%) 17-16-1  (51.5%) 14-20-0
Home Games 20-1  (95.2%) 11-10-0  (52.4%) 9-12-0
Away Games 5-8  (38.5%) 6-6-1  (50.0%) 5-8-0
as Favorite 22-4  (84.6%) 13-13-0  (50.0%) 11-15-0
as Underdog 3-5  (37.5%) 4-3-1  (57.1%) 3-5-0
as Home Favorite 18-0  (100.0%) 9-9-0  (50.0%) 8-10-0
as Home Underdog 2-1  (66.7%) 2-1-0  (66.7%) 1-2-0
as Away Favorite 4-4  (50.0%) 4-4-0  (50.0%) 3-5-0
as Away Underdog 1-4  (20.0%) 2-2-1  (50.0%) 2-3-0