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BIG 12 2005-06 Preview

You know when scanning the list of predictions in any yearly Big 12 basketball race that if Kansas is not listed among the contenders, it must be a strong year for the conference. Yes, you red that right, the Jayhawks are not expected to compete for the league crown this year, not with teams like Texas, Oklahoma, Iowa State, and Texas Tech poised for stellar seasons. Kansas has not only lost talent, but it may have lost some of its moxie in being upended by Bucknell in the first round of the 2005 NCAA tourney. Speaking of which, the Big 12 comes off a difficult season in which none of its teams advanced past the Sweet 16 round of the tourney. Look for better numbers in the coming March.

Most of the preseason All-Big 12 honors are reserved for players from the aforementioned favorites. Oklahoma is loaded up front, Iowa State boasts a strong backcourt, and Texas has an awesome blend of everything. In addition, all three of those teams, plus Texas Tech, boast a strong home court advantage, so holding serve will be of utmost importance in pursuit of the conference crown. In the end, it could come down to the season’s final game, when the Longhorns host the Sooners in Austin. Here is a look at how StatFox sees the Big 12 playing out in 2005-06:


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StatFox Projected Finish
1-Texas [ 10-1 ]
2-Oklahoma [ 12-1 ]
3-Iowa State [ 100-1 ]
4-Texas Tech [ 100-1 ]
5-Oklahoma State [ 40-1 ]
6-Kansas [ 40-1 ]
7-Texas A&M [ 200-1 ]
8-Nebraska [ 300-1 ]
9-Colorado [ Field (50-1) ]
10-Kansas State [ 300-1 ]
11-Missouri [ 200-1 ]
12-Baylor [ Field (50-1) ]
Odds Courtesy of SportsBook.com 

BAYLOR
Coach: Scott Drew  |  Ret. Starters: 5
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 66.5 (228) Defensive - 71.7 (246)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 44.4% (143) Defensive - 49.2% (328)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 36.7% (81) Defensive - 37.7% (306)
FREE THROW %: Team - 70.0% (126) Opponent - 75.0% (330)
REBOUNDS: Team - 27.8 (323) Opponent - 33.0 (93)
StatFox Preview: The nightmare just won’t quite end for Baylor. After swiping clean everything and everyone that was involved in the terrible tragedy in Waco, the NCAA handed down more judgments against Baylor. The Bears will only play conference games and be allowed into the Big 12 post-season tournament, that’s it. The program was placed on probation until 2010, in part because of past transgressions from the tennis program. The upside is four starters return that include PG Aaron Brown. The 6’3 Aussie was the top scoring freshmen in the conference at 18.3 PPG. The other starting spots are being filled by F Tim Bush and F Richard Herd. Tommy Swanson is back to man the pivot at 11.9 PPG and a shade fewer than six boards a night. Coach Scott Drew is hoping to survive the worst punishment since SMU got the death penalty back in 1987. All the Bears can hope for is to continue to improve.
Top Team Trends

* Since '01-'02, BAYLOR is 15-7 ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses.

* Since '01-'02, BAYLOR is 23-14 ATS off a loss against a conference rival.

* Since '01-'02, BAYLOR is 3-5 ATS on Tuesday nights.

* BAYLOR was 4-2 ATS in January games last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 9-19  (32.1%) 11-8-0  (57.9%) 8-10-1
Home Games 8-9  (47.1%) 5-3-0  (62.5%) 4-4-0
Away Games 1-10  (9.1%) 6-5-0  (54.5%) 4-6-1
as Favorite 1-0  (100.0%) 1-0-0  (100.0%) 0-1-0
as Underdog 1-17  (5.6%) 10-8-0  (55.6%) 8-9-1
as Home Favorite 1-0  (100.0%) 1-0-0  (100.0%) 0-1-0
as Home Underdog 0-7  (0.0%) 4-3-0  (57.1%) 4-3-0
as Away Underdog 1-10  (9.1%) 6-5-0  (54.5%) 4-6-1
COLORADO
Coach: Jeff Bzdelik  |  Ret. Starters: 4
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 71.6 (106) Defensive - 73.9 (287)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 43.5% (192) Defensive - 43.6% (177)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 35.3% (142) Defensive - 32.1% (48)
FREE THROW %: Team - 62.9% (301) Opponent - 72.5% (308)
REBOUNDS: Team - 36.2 (106) Opponent - 38.0 (293)
StatFox Preview: Good News: Colorado returns its entire starting line-up from a year ago. Bad News: Last year’s team was 4-12 in the Big 12. Good News: Ricardo Patten returns for 11th season in Boulder. Bad News: Buffaloes have first losing season since 1998. Good News: 10 seniors are on the roster. Bad News: There is no more with Richard Roby returning. Roby was the first freshman to lead Colorado in scoring since Chauncey Billups. Under Patten’s guidance the Buff’s have always been at their best when they have had a star player like Roby. For Colorado to make a noteworthy climb in the standings, they’ll have to play better defense, as they were the worst in the conference last year. They also were dead last in free throw shooting at 62.9% per game. Improvement in those areas alone adds up to a better year in Boulder and a return to the winning side of the ledger.
Top Team Trends

* Since '01-'02, COLORADO is 14-7 ATS in February games.

* Since '01-'02, COLORADO is 4-2 ATS as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points.

* Since '01-'02, COLORADO is 8-4 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games.

* COLORADO was 4-2 ATS vs good offensive teams - scoring 77+ PPG last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 14-16  (46.7%) 13-13-0  (50.0%) 11-14-1
Home Games 9-6  (60.0%) 4-7-0  (36.4%) 6-5-0
Away Games 5-10  (33.3%) 9-6-0  (60.0%) 5-9-1
as Favorite 4-3  (57.1%) 3-4-0  (42.9%) 3-4-0
as Underdog 6-13  (31.6%) 10-9-0  (52.6%) 8-10-1
as Home Favorite 4-3  (57.1%) 3-4-0  (42.9%) 3-4-0
as Home Underdog 1-3  (25.0%) 1-3-0  (25.0%) 3-1-0
as Away Underdog 5-10  (33.3%) 9-6-0  (60.0%) 5-9-1
IOWA ST
Coach: Greg McDermott  |  Ret. Starters: 3
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 68.1 (183) Defensive - 64.7 (70)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 43.7% (178) Defensive - 41.5% (67)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 29.2% (314) Defensive - 30.7% (17)
FREE THROW %: Team - 68.3% (183) Opponent - 67.6% (109)
REBOUNDS: Team - 36.2 (110) Opponent - 36.2 (234)
StatFox Preview: The Cyclones caused quite a stir last year after starting 8-8 and running off 10 wins in 13 games in advancing to the 2nd round of the tournament before be routed by eventual champion North Carolina. Iowa State returns the best backcourt in the Big 12 with Curtis Stinson and Will Blalock. The exciting duo is supplemented by Tasheed Carr, who is instant offense. Stinson is a sure fire NBA guard who only needs to improve his long range shooting. Blalock was fourth in the conference in assist/turnover margin, along with scoring 12.3 PPG. Iowa State will be young in the frontcourt, 6’9 freshman Shawn Taggart expected to play an important role. With the quality and experience at guard, Coach Wayne Morgan is hoping the big men will learn quickly on the run. If they do, the Cyclones can move up a couple of notches in the Big 12.
Top Team Trends

* Since '01-'02, IOWA ST is 26-16 ATS against teams with a winning record after 15 or more games.

* Since '01-'02, IOWA ST is 6-3 ATS when playing on a neutral court.

* IOWA ST was 12-6 ATS after a conference game last season.

* IOWA ST was 8-4 ATS against teams with a winning record after 15 or more games last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 19-12  (61.3%) 16-11-0  (59.3%) 11-16-0
Home Games 14-3  (82.4%) 8-5-0  (61.5%) 5-8-0
Away Games 5-9  (35.7%) 8-6-0  (57.1%) 6-8-0
as Favorite 11-2  (84.6%) 9-4-0  (69.2%) 4-9-0
as Underdog 4-10  (28.6%) 7-7-0  (50.0%) 7-7-0
as Home Favorite 9-2  (81.8%) 7-4-0  (63.6%) 3-8-0
as Home Underdog 1-1  (50.0%) 1-1-0  (50.0%) 2-0-0
as Away Favorite 2-0  (100.0%) 2-0-0  (100.0%) 1-1-0
as Away Underdog 3-9  (25.0%) 6-6-0  (50.0%) 5-7-0
KANSAS
Coach: Bill Self  |  Ret. Starters: 4
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 75 (41) Defensive - 65.2 (83)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 47.6% (28) Defensive - 38.8% (5)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 36.7% (77) Defensive - 31.9% (42)
FREE THROW %: Team - 69.5% (147) Opponent - 67.5% (105)
REBOUNDS: Team - 37.8 (52) Opponent - 34.4 (153)
StatFox Preview: Bill Self was thought to be quite a catch for Kansas after Roy Williams could no longer say no to his alma mater. Roy’s boys and Self had conflict from the start, as last year’s class appeared to tune him out in dropping six of their last nine games. The final straw was losing to Bucknell in the tournament’s first round. Four seniors graduated and J.R. Giddens, along with Alex Galindo transferred out. This will make the Jayhawks one of the youngest teams among all the D-1 schools. Christian Moody is back as the center for Kansas. Senior Jeff Hawkins will be asked to be a guiding light with all the youngsters from the guard position. Coach Self has brought in arguably the nation’s best class to Lawrence. Mario Chalmers, Julian Wright and Micah Downs are all tasty McDonald’s All-Americans. If anything, this team might remind people of the 2000 class that had Gooden, Collison and Hinrich. No question the Jayhawks will tumble in the standings, its where will they be come March that will prove the value of Bill Self.
Top Team Trends

* Since '01-'02, KANSAS is 2-4 ATS in conference tournament games.

* Since '01-'02, KANSAS is 4-2 ATS as a road favorite of 6.5 to 9 points.

* KANSAS was 2-4 ATS on Wednesday games last season.

* KANSAS was 5-10 ATS in home lined games last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 23-7  (76.7%) 12-16-1  (42.9%) 16-13-0
Home Games 17-3  (85.0%) 6-12-1  (33.3%) 9-10-0
Away Games 6-4  (60.0%) 6-4-0  (60.0%) 7-3-0
as Favorite 21-5  (80.8%) 11-14-1  (44.0%) 15-11-0
as Underdog 1-2  (33.3%) 1-2-0  (33.3%) 1-2-0
as Home Favorite 16-2  (88.9%) 6-11-1  (35.3%) 8-10-0
as Home Underdog 0-1  (0.0%) 0-1-0  (0.0%) 1-0-0
as Away Favorite 5-3  (62.5%) 5-3-0  (62.5%) 7-1-0
as Away Underdog 1-1  (50.0%) 1-1-0  (50.0%) 0-2-0
KANSAS ST
Coach: Frank Martin  |  Ret. Starters: 2
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 69.1 (165) Defensive - 65.9 (102)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 43.9% (165) Defensive - 43.2% (151)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 37.9% (41) Defensive - 34.8% (180)
FREE THROW %: Team - 68.4% (179) Opponent - 68.3% (145)
REBOUNDS: Team - 35.4 (144) Opponent - 33.1 (96)
StatFox Preview: The key to any college sport is the ability to recruit good players that can make their mark on the program. Coach Jim Woolridge has proven to be an above average recruiter, the problem being the best players don’t stick around four years. Each year a recruit has left the program that originally signed, thus making each season a Manhattan project. Evidently Woolridge has not related to his players once on campus, causing their departure. After five years of no post-season play, the K-State crowd feels it is time for him to deliver. F Cartier Martin is back after averaging 10.4 PPG. The backline boasts Clent Stewart who dished out four assists per game and Lance Harris who was one of the Big 12’s best deep shooters, drilling 41.4% beyond the arc. The Wildcats hopefully don’t turn into the mildcats and finish 10th or worse in the Big 12.
Top Team Trends

* Since '01-'02, KANSAS ST is 22-14 ATS against teams with a winning record after 15 or more games.

* Since '01-'02, KANSAS ST is 7-4 ATS vs good offensive teams - scoring 77+ PPG.

* KANSAS ST was 4-2 ATS in non-conference games last season.

* KANSAS ST was 8-5 ATS against teams with a winning record after 15 or more games last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 17-12  (58.6%) 13-11-0  (54.2%) 11-13-0
Home Games 13-5  (72.2%) 7-6-0  (53.8%) 7-6-0
Away Games 4-7  (36.4%) 6-5-0  (54.5%) 4-7-0
as Favorite 8-2  (80.0%) 6-4-0  (60.0%) 4-6-0
as Underdog 4-10  (28.6%) 7-7-0  (50.0%) 7-7-0
as Home Favorite 8-2  (80.0%) 6-4-0  (60.0%) 4-6-0
as Home Underdog 0-3  (0.0%) 1-2-0  (33.3%) 3-0-0
as Away Underdog 4-7  (36.4%) 6-5-0  (54.5%) 4-7-0
MISSOURI
Coach: Mike Anderson  |  Ret. Starters: 4
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 64.4 (263) Defensive - 66.3 (111)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 40.9% (286) Defensive - 43.7% (181)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 30.6% (295) Defensive - 36.3% (260)
FREE THROW %: Team - 68.3% (187) Opponent - 71.1% (269)
REBOUNDS: Team - 35.0 (162) Opponent - 34.6 (160)
StatFox Preview: Missouri might have suffered the worst blow of all to the Quin Snyder program, apathy. Last year the new Paige Center only had one sell-out all year, when Kansas came to town. The Tigers finished .500 and were quickly discarded in the NIT tournament. Sophomore Linas Kleiza tested the NBA waters and was drafted in the first round. This leaves Mizzou without a reliable every night performer. SG Jimmy McKinney is back after a below average junior season. Thomas Gardner is the leading returning scorer at 10.4 PPG. Sophomores Jason Horton and Marshall Brown both have the ability to step up their respective games and be key contributors. This is a critical year for Coach Snyder and Missouri, to see if he can have the Tigers on the prowl again for an NCAA bid.
Top Team Trends

* Since '01-'02, MISSOURI is 4-2 ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses.

* Since '01-'02, MISSOURI is 6-9 ATS after scoring 80 points or more.

* MISSOURI was 2-4 ATS in a home game where the total is 130 to 134.5 last season.

* MISSOURI was 5-8 ATS in non-conference games last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 16-17  (48.5%) 14-17-0  (45.2%) 12-19-0
Home Games 15-8  (65.2%) 8-13-0  (38.1%) 8-13-0
Away Games 1-9  (10.0%) 6-4-0  (60.0%) 4-6-0
as Favorite 9-5  (64.3%) 3-11-0  (21.4%) 4-10-0
as Underdog 5-12  (29.4%) 11-6-0  (64.7%) 8-9-0
as Home Favorite 9-5  (64.3%) 3-11-0  (21.4%) 4-10-0
as Home Underdog 4-3  (57.1%) 5-2-0  (71.4%) 4-3-0
as Away Underdog 1-9  (10.0%) 6-4-0  (60.0%) 4-6-0
NEBRASKA
Coach: Doc Sadler  |  Ret. Starters: 3
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 68 (184) Defensive - 63.9 (50)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 42.5% (234) Defensive - 41.4% (61)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 31.7% (273) Defensive - 32.5% (59)
FREE THROW %: Team - 66.0% (241) Opponent - 67.9% (127)
REBOUNDS: Team - 38.4 (36) Opponent - 33.5 (107)
StatFox Preview: Coach Barry Collier managed to save his job based on hope rather then results. In five seasons, Collier is 70-77 in Lincoln. His last two years he finally has recruited the type of athletes and players that can compete in the Big 12, rather than the kind he had at Butler U. 6’11 Aleks Maric made a huge impression in Nebraska by securing 6.3 rebounds and scoring 8 PPG as a freshman. Fellow first year starter G Joe McCray lacked no fear in playing aggressively and not putting up a shot he didn’t like. He is now the future of the Cornhuskers hoops program. Jason Dourisseau is the quickest player on the team who can cause positive disorder. Coach Collier believes he finally has the point guard he needs in first year player Jamel White. JC transfer Marcus Perry could make a positive offensive contribution right away for the Huskers. Perry and White are part of what is regarded as a Top 25 recruiting class in Nebraska. Collier and crew are hoping that talent leads them to the road of competing in the Big 12.
Top Team Trends

* Since '01-'02, NEBRASKA is 14-21 ATS against teams with a winning record after 15 or more games.

* Since '01-'02, NEBRASKA is 4-2 ATS when playing with 5 or 6 days rest.

* NEBRASKA was 2-4 ATS in non-conference games last season.

* NEBRASKA was 3-5 ATS against teams with a winning record after 15 or more games last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 14-14  (50.0%) 10-13-0  (43.5%) 12-11-0
Home Games 10-6  (62.5%) 5-6-0  (45.5%) 4-7-0
Away Games 4-8  (33.3%) 5-7-0  (41.7%) 8-4-0
as Favorite 5-5  (50.0%) 5-5-0  (50.0%) 4-6-0
as Underdog 4-9  (30.8%) 5-8-0  (38.5%) 8-5-0
as Home Favorite 4-4  (50.0%) 4-4-0  (50.0%) 2-6-0
as Home Underdog 1-2  (33.3%) 1-2-0  (33.3%) 2-1-0
as Away Favorite 1-1  (50.0%) 1-1-0  (50.0%) 2-0-0
as Away Underdog 3-7  (30.0%) 4-6-0  (40.0%) 6-4-0
OKLAHOMA
Coach: Jeff Capel  |  Ret. Starters: 3
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 75.2 (39) Defensive - 63.3 (43)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 47.6% (26) Defensive - 43.0% (144)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 37.2% (62) Defensive - 29.2% (5)
FREE THROW %: Team - 69.0% (166) Opponent - 70.0% (232)
REBOUNDS: Team - 35.5 (139) Opponent - 31.5 (39)
StatFox Preview: Oklahoma finally caught the Jayhawks last year, tying them for the top position in the Big 12. That is quite an accomplishment one year after having “the gang that couldn’t shoot straight”. The three top scorers from Kelvin Sampson’s team all return with dreams of moving past the 2nd round of the NCAA tournament. Seniors Kevin Bookout and Taj Grey will be leading the way for the Sooners. Gray who was an All Big-12 performer led Oklahoma in scoring and rebounding. Bookout is a beefy big man who has a nice touch around the basket with either hand. SG Terrell Everett was a true triple threat player with nearly 5 boards, 5 assists and 12.5 PPG. 6’3 Chris Walker figures to get the first look at the point guard slot, with Nate Carter the best of the new class earning his way into the starting line-up at small forward. The Sooners are primed to make another run at the Big 12 title and go further in the Big Dance.
Top Team Trends

* Since '01-'02, OKLAHOMA is 10-17 ATS in non-conference games.

* Since '01-'02, OKLAHOMA is 5-3 ATS when playing with 5 or 6 days rest.

* Since '01-'02, OKLAHOMA is 9-18 ATS after a non-conference game.

* OKLAHOMA was 3-6 ATS when playing on a neutral court last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 25-8  (75.8%) 13-16-0  (44.8%) 15-14-0
Home Games 19-3  (86.4%) 9-9-0  (50.0%) 9-9-0
Away Games 6-5  (54.5%) 4-7-0  (36.4%) 6-5-0
as Favorite 19-6  (76.0%) 11-14-0  (44.0%) 13-12-0
as Underdog 1-2  (33.3%) 1-2-0  (33.3%) 2-1-0
as Home Favorite 15-3  (83.3%) 9-9-0  (50.0%) 9-9-0
as Away Favorite 4-3  (57.1%) 2-5-0  (28.6%) 4-3-0
as Away Underdog 1-2  (33.3%) 1-2-0  (33.3%) 2-1-0
OKLAHOMA ST
Coach: Sean Sutton  |  Ret. Starters: 3
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 78.3 (14) Defensive - 65.2 (82)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 49.7% (7) Defensive - 44.5% (220)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 42.6% (1) Defensive - 34.8% (186)
FREE THROW %: Team - 78.0% (2) Opponent - 69.3% (194)
REBOUNDS: Team - 34.2 (209) Opponent - 29.1 (6)
StatFox Preview: One of the best chapters in Oklahoma State basketball history closed when six seniors graduated after a one-point loss to Arizona in the Sweet 16. A great story emerged as JamesOn Curry came through for the Cowboys with a phenomenal shooting touch. Curry who had his scholarship pulled at North Carolina after trouble with the law, got his head straighten out and made almost 50% of this three point attempts for Okie State once league play commenced. He will be asked to being the guiding light of a young, but extremely talented Cowboys team. The story goes that revered Coach Eddie Sutton did not want to leave his son Sean having to waddle thru a Big 12 season with such a youthful team in his first year as coach, which is why he came back. Of course being 19 wins shy of 800 probably played a contributing factor. Commit these names to memory, Terrel Harris, Kenny Cooper, Byron Eaton and Keith Brumbaugh. These will be the Cowboys names you will be hearing about starting this year and in the future. Oklahoma State may drop a few spots, but don’t think for a second the Sutton gang is not brewing up trouble for teams coming to Stillwater.
Top Team Trends

* Since '01-'02, OKLAHOMA ST is 3-5 ATS against teams with a losing record.

* Since '01-'02, OKLAHOMA ST is 4-8 ATS vs good offensive teams - scoring 77+ PPG after 15+ games.

* OKLAHOMA ST was 5-9 ATS off a win against a conference rival last season.

* OKLAHOMA ST was 7-3 ATS after a non-conference game last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 26-7  (78.8%) 15-14-0  (51.7%) 15-14-0
Home Games 17-3  (85.0%) 7-10-0  (41.2%) 10-7-0
Away Games 9-4  (69.2%) 8-4-0  (66.7%) 5-7-0
as Favorite 22-5  (81.5%) 14-13-0  (51.9%) 14-13-0
as Underdog 0-2  (0.0%) 1-1-0  (50.0%) 1-1-0
as Home Favorite 14-3  (82.4%) 7-10-0  (41.2%) 10-7-0
as Away Favorite 8-2  (80.0%) 7-3-0  (70.0%) 4-6-0
as Away Underdog 0-2  (0.0%) 1-1-0  (50.0%) 1-1-0
TEXAS
Coach: Rick Barnes  |  Ret. Starters: 4
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 76.9 (23) Defensive - 68.5 (160)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 45.6% (67) Defensive - 39.4% (16)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 38.8% (24) Defensive - 32.0% (43)
FREE THROW %: Team - 69.7% (138) Opponent - 68.8% (168)
REBOUNDS: Team - 40.3 (13) Opponent - 34.8 (171)
StatFox Preview: Out of necessity, people can become stronger and more self sufficient when faced with adversity. That is what happened to Texas last year. P.J. Tucker was an academic casualty and LaMarcus Aldridge had a season ending hip injury that left the Longhorns without two of its best players and little or no depth. Freshman PG Daniel Gibson stopped jacking up three’s and became a leader, making himself and his teammates better. F Brad Buckman went to work and became the every night performer that was expected of him when he hit the Austin campus. Kenton Paulino played steady as ever, as this depleted team gathered together and fought their way to a winning record in the Big 12 and a tournament bid. Now Tucker and Aldridge are back, with fine support players as Coach Rick Barnes attempts to return to the Final Four for the 2nd time in four years. Everything in positioned for just such an event to happen.
Top Team Trends

* Since '01-'02, TEXAS is 2-4 ATS in a road game where the total is 145 to 149.5.

* Since '01-'02, TEXAS is 4-8 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent.

* Since '01-'02, TEXAS is 7-11 ATS after allowing 80 points or more.

* TEXAS was 4-2 ATS after allowing 60 points or less last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 20-11  (64.5%) 14-12-0  (53.8%) 11-14-0
Home Games 14-4  (77.8%) 5-8-0  (38.5%) 5-8-0
Away Games 6-7  (46.2%) 9-4-0  (69.2%) 6-6-0
as Favorite 13-7  (65.0%) 9-11-0  (45.0%) 8-11-0
as Underdog 2-4  (33.3%) 5-1-0  (83.3%) 3-3-0
as Home Favorite 8-4  (66.7%) 4-8-0  (33.3%) 5-7-0
as Home Underdog 1-0  (100.0%) 1-0-0  (100.0%) 0-1-0
as Away Favorite 5-3  (62.5%) 5-3-0  (62.5%) 3-4-0
as Away Underdog 1-4  (20.0%) 4-1-0  (80.0%) 3-2-0
TEXAS A&M
Coach: Mark Turgeon  |  Ret. Starters: 3
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 73.6 (64) Defensive - 63.5 (47)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 48.6% (14) Defensive - 39.4% (17)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 39.1% (20) Defensive - 34.0% (132)
FREE THROW %: Team - 68.3% (185) Opponent - 68.3% (147)
REBOUNDS: Team - 35.5 (141) Opponent - 31.8 (45)
StatFox Preview: What Coach Billy Gillispie accomplished in his first season at College Station was magical. With the magic he performed, he could probably do a week’s show at Caesar’s. The 14-game turnaround was the best in the country. The four largest crowds ever to see a basketball game at A&M happened last year. This is a program on the rise, thanks to Gillispie. Naturally expectations are altered, which the hyper positive coach welcomes. However, the Aggies did take a substantial hit when Antoine Wright left early to go to the next level. Enough quality returns to make up for his loss. Everything starts with Acie Law IV, who nearly quit, but instead became one of the league’s best playmakers and will be counted on as a leader this season. The Aggies have a monster in 6-9 Joseph Jones who can throw around plenty of weight and muscle after showing he is a force with 12.7 PPG and 7.3 boards as a freshman. Tough-minded determination is the trademarks of Chris Walker and Dominique Kirk, who both started 25 plus games last year. Don’t bet against the Aggies having another successful season behind Billy Gillispie.
Top Team Trends

* Since '01-'02, TEXAS A&M is 15-8 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent.

* Since '01-'02, TEXAS A&M is 5-8 ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses.

* Since '01-'02, TEXAS A&M is 5-8 ATS after scoring 60 points or less.

* TEXAS A&M was 6-3 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 21-10  (67.7%) 12-9-1  (57.1%) 10-11-1
Home Games 17-4  (81.0%) 7-5-0  (58.3%) 5-6-1
Away Games 4-6  (40.0%) 5-4-1  (55.6%) 5-5-0
as Favorite 9-2  (81.8%) 6-4-1  (60.0%) 6-4-1
as Underdog 3-8  (27.3%) 6-5-0  (54.5%) 4-7-0
as Home Favorite 7-2  (77.8%) 6-3-0  (66.7%) 5-3-1
as Home Underdog 1-2  (33.3%) 1-2-0  (33.3%) 0-3-0
as Away Favorite 2-0  (100.0%) 0-1-1  (0.0%) 1-1-0
as Away Underdog 2-6  (25.0%) 5-3-0  (62.5%) 4-4-0
TEXAS TECH
Coach: Pat Knight  |  Ret. Starters: 3
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 76.8 (25) Defensive - 69.3 (187)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 47.6% (25) Defensive - 43.3% (158)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 37.8% (45) Defensive - 37.2% (293)
FREE THROW %: Team - 75.6% (9) Opponent - 66.5% (68)
REBOUNDS: Team - 35.0 (159) Opponent - 35.8 (214)
StatFox Preview: Let’s take a quick look in the way-back machine. The year before Bobby Knight arrived, nine wins. The years since have read 23, 22, 23, and 22 wins. As if you did not already know, this guy can coach. Of course what makes this all that much more impressive is that this is being done in Lubbock, not your typical hoops hotbed. Under the General, you do it the right way or you don’t do it at all. The Red Raiders were among the Big 12’s best in FG and 3-point shooting. Other intricacies like free throw attempts and free throw percentage and assist to turnover ratios are part of Coach Knight’s recipe for success. A strong backcourt returns with Martin Zeno and Jarrius Jackson. Zeno was an afterthought to come to Lubbock and ended up starting 24 games in his 1st year, with Jackson the 2nd leading scorer from last year. The Techsters welcome eight new recruits that collectively caught national attention in publications across the country. These are the glory days of Red Raiders basketball, sit back and enjoy with the General in charge.
Top Team Trends

Since '01-'02, TEXAS TECH is 12-18 ATS off a win against a conference rival.

Since '01-'02, TEXAS TECH is 14-8 ATS in January games.

TEXAS TECH was 3-5 ATS vs good offensive teams - scoring 77+ PPG last season.

TEXAS TECH was 4-7 ATS after scoring 80 points or more last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 22-11  (66.7%) 14-15-0  (48.3%) 14-15-0
Home Games 15-4  (78.9%) 7-8-0  (46.7%) 7-8-0
Away Games 7-7  (50.0%) 7-7-0  (50.0%) 7-7-0
as Favorite 14-3  (82.4%) 9-8-0  (52.9%) 9-8-0
as Underdog 4-7  (36.4%) 5-6-0  (45.5%) 5-6-0
as Home Favorite 10-2  (83.3%) 6-6-0  (50.0%) 6-6-0
as Home Underdog 1-1  (50.0%) 1-1-0  (50.0%) 1-1-0
as Away Favorite 4-1  (80.0%) 3-2-0  (60.0%) 3-2-0
as Away Underdog 3-6  (33.3%) 4-5-0  (44.4%) 4-5-0