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SEC 2005-06 Preview

If any one of the major college basketball conferences has fallen on hard times, it is the SEC. This league has failed to send team to the Final Four for the last five seasons, and began the 2005-06 campaign with just two of its teams listed among the preseason top 25. Furthermore, none of the SEC’s departing players were drafted in the first round of this year’s draft, and over a half dozen early departures went unselected. What does this conference have to do to get back on top? Well, probably turn to Kentucky, as it is the only school that might have legitimate aspirations of spending the first weekend of April in Indianapolis.

The Wildcats are normally a favorite in this league’s East Division, so projecting them on top again in 2005-06 is not difficult. Florida is without its top two scorers of a year ago, but still should be talented enough to make the Big Dance. Elsewhere in the East, bids could be hard to come by, but Vandy is a possibility and there is some optimism in Tennessee from the arrival of new Head Coach Bruce Pearl, who was hired away from last year’s Cinderella, Wisconsin-Milwaukee. In the West, the team talent is a little more balanced but not as top heavy. Alabama is a frontrunner in that division, and hopes to finally take that next step towards becoming an elite program. In Arkansas, coach Stan Heath has revived the program to where it now expected to be back in the tournament for the coming years. Finally, the other potential contender, LSU, looks decent on paper but will have to move on without SEC Player of the Year Brandon Bass, who left for the NBA. This is a look at how StatFox envisions the SEC stacking up in 2005-06:


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StatFox Projected Finish
SEC East
1-Kentucky [ 15-1 ]
2-Vanderbilt [ 200-1 ]
3-So. Carolina [ 100-1 ]
4-Florida [ 100-1 ]
5-Tennessee [ 200-1 ]
6-Georgia [ Field (50-1) ]
SEC West
1-Alabama [ 75-1 ]
2-LSU [ 100-1 ]
3-Arkansas [ 100-1 ]
4-Mississippi State [ 75-1 ]
5-Mississippi [ Field (50-1) ]
6-Auburn [ Field (50-1) ]
Odds Courtesy of SportsBook.com 

ALABAMA
Coach: Mark Gottfried  |  Ret. Starters: 3
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 75.8 (34) Defensive - 65.1 (81)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 48.3% (17) Defensive - 40.5% (36)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 39.4% (11) Defensive - 36.6% (275)
FREE THROW %: Team - 73.6% (29) Opponent - 65.0% (24)
REBOUNDS: Team - 37.2 (68) Opponent - 31.5 (38)
StatFox Preview: The Crimson Tide failed at the end of the year, putting a bittersweet taste in the mouths of Bama fans after a 24-win season. For whatever reason, the more talent Alabama has, the more maddening it seems to play. Coach Gottfried, who just received a fat contract, might be one of those coaches who does more with less, than he does in the opposite scenario. This year he has good quality players coming back. C Jermareo Davidson made the correct decision in coming back for his junior year after averaging 7.9 rebounds, which is the 2nd best returning number in the SEC. Chuck Davis will man one of the forward posts, as his scoring average has gone up every year on the Alabama campus. PG Ron Steele made quite a name for himself in the SEC as a freshman, tying for the best assist/turnover margin and leading the league in assists. The Tide will put last year’s disappointment behind them and build on the positive, in hopes of going back to the Elite 8 like they did in 2004.
Top Team Trends

* Since '01-'02, ALABAMA is 18-10 ATS off a win against a conference rival.

* Since '01-'02, ALABAMA is 4-2 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points.

* Since '01-'02, ALABAMA is 7-13 ATS vs good offensive teams - scoring 77+ PPG.

* ALABAMA was 7-3 ATS vs good defensive teams - allowing <=64 PPG after 15+ games last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 24-8  (75.0%) 15-14-0  (51.7%) 13-15-0
Home Games 15-4  (78.9%) 10-8-0  (55.6%) 11-7-0
Away Games 9-4  (69.2%) 5-6-0  (45.5%) 2-8-0
as Favorite 18-2  (90.0%) 12-8-0  (60.0%) 11-8-0
as Underdog 3-6  (33.3%) 3-6-0  (33.3%) 2-7-0
as Home Favorite 14-2  (87.5%) 10-6-0  (62.5%) 11-5-0
as Home Underdog 0-2  (0.0%) 0-2-0  (0.0%) 0-2-0
as Away Favorite 4-0  (100.0%) 2-2-0  (50.0%) 0-3-0
as Away Underdog 3-4  (42.9%) 3-4-0  (42.9%) 2-5-0
ARKANSAS
Coach: John Pelphrey  |  Ret. Starters: 5
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 71.6 (105) Defensive - 62.8 (36)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 45.7% (64) Defensive - 41.0% (54)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 37.2% (57) Defensive - 30.9% (18)
FREE THROW %: Team - 66.3% (234) Opponent - 66.2% (57)
REBOUNDS: Team - 34.3 (192) Opponent - 33.3 (103)
StatFox Preview: After one of the most successful pre-seasons in school history, Arkansas was beaten up in SEC play. That did not sit well with Coach Stan Heath or AD Frank Broyles. However, the Razorbacks now return the second most starters in the SEC and had their first All-Conference player since 1995 in Ronnie Brewer. The rangy 6’7 swingman did it all for Arkansas. Besides being a solid point producer at 16.2 PPG, he was 2nd in the SEC in steals and 5th in field goal percentage. Seniors Eric Ferguson and Dontell Jefferson return to the backcourt, with 2nd year C Darien Townes coming off 17 double figure scoring games also coming back. 7’0 Steven Hill was second in block shots in the league and only needs to work on being more aggressive offensively. Coach Heath is expecting big production from G Jonathon Modica who regressed as a junior. The Razorback fans yearn for the “40 minutes of hell” days. It will be up to Coach Heath to deliver the desired results.
Top Team Trends

* Since '01-'02, ARKANSAS is 11-22 ATS on Saturday games.

* Since '01-'02, ARKANSAS is 5-10 ATS revenging a home loss vs opponent.

* ARKANSAS was 2-4 ATS vs good defensive teams - allowing <=64 PPG last season.

* ARKANSAS was 6-11 ATS against teams with a winning record last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 18-12  (60.0%) 8-17-0  (32.0%) 10-13-0
Home Games 15-5  (75.0%) 6-9-0  (40.0%) 5-9-0
Away Games 3-7  (30.0%) 2-8-0  (20.0%) 5-4-0
as Favorite 13-4  (76.5%) 7-10-0  (41.2%) 6-9-0
as Underdog 0-8  (0.0%) 1-7-0  (12.5%) 4-4-0
as Home Favorite 10-3  (76.9%) 5-8-0  (38.5%) 4-8-0
as Home Underdog 0-2  (0.0%) 1-1-0  (50.0%) 1-1-0
as Away Favorite 3-1  (75.0%) 2-2-0  (50.0%) 2-1-0
as Away Underdog 0-6  (0.0%) 0-6-0  (0.0%) 3-3-0
AUBURN
Coach: Jeff Lebo  |  Ret. Starters: 5
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 70.7 (127) Defensive - 75.2 (304)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 42.2% (245) Defensive - 46.8% (303)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 34.3% (182) Defensive - 35.7% (233)
FREE THROW %: Team - 72.6% (52) Opponent - 66.0% (51)
REBOUNDS: Team - 33.1 (252) Opponent - 37.6 (288)
StatFox Preview: Even coach Jeff Lebo said “Year two in these situations is harder then year one” allowing himself wiggle room with what appears to be a difficult road ahead. Three starters and the surprise transfer of leading scorer Toney Douglas will make for a long season in the Alabama plains. Lebo does have an outstanding recruiting class on the way with Korvotney Barber as the top prospect. Nobody who saw significant playing time was taller then 6’6, and knowing this, it is not too hard to figure that the Tigers were last in rebounding and blocked shots. Coach Lebo did nice work with limited resources and will need that same sort of magic in 2005. Otherwise, his gloomy forecast will match actual results in Auburn.
Top Team Trends

* Since '01-'02, AUBURN is 21-10 ATS in non-conference games.

* Since '01-'02, AUBURN is 4-7 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games.

* Since '01-'02, AUBURN is 8-14 ATS on Wednesday games.

* AUBURN was 2-4 ATS in January games last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 14-17  (45.2%) 14-15-0  (48.3%) 17-10-0
Home Games 9-8  (52.9%) 7-8-0  (46.7%) 7-6-0
Away Games 5-9  (35.7%) 7-7-0  (50.0%) 10-4-0
as Favorite 6-5  (54.5%) 5-6-0  (45.5%) 5-4-0
as Underdog 6-12  (33.3%) 9-9-0  (50.0%) 12-6-0
as Home Favorite 5-4  (55.6%) 4-5-0  (44.4%) 4-3-0
as Home Underdog 2-4  (33.3%) 3-3-0  (50.0%) 3-3-0
as Away Favorite 1-1  (50.0%) 1-1-0  (50.0%) 1-1-0
as Away Underdog 4-8  (33.3%) 6-6-0  (50.0%) 9-3-0
FLORIDA
Coach: Billy Donovan  |  Ret. Starters: 0
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 76.2 (29) Defensive - 63.1 (40)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 48.2% (19) Defensive - 41.0% (49)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 39.0% (22) Defensive - 31.6% (33)
FREE THROW %: Team - 70.7% (107) Opponent - 66.9% (83)
REBOUNDS: Team - 37.1 (70) Opponent - 31.4 (35)
StatFox Preview: No team in the SEC lost the quality of personnel that 10th year Coach Billy Donavan did this past season. David Lee graduated; Matt Walsh and Anthony Roberson over-estimated their value when were not drafted by the NBA. Coach Donavan will enter this year with more uncertainty then he has had in a number of seasons. Gator fans will be shocked to see this year’s edition built around defense. SF Corey Brewer has an NBA body and played terrific defense in making the all-conference freshman team. Brewer led Florida in steals in 2004. He will be joined by 6’8 Al Horford, who showed flashes of brilliance and blocked the most shots by a Florida big man in 11 years. Guard play will make or break this team, where little experience will be a problem. In the SEC East this club could finish from 2nd to 4th. Donavan’s coaching prowess has often been in question; he has the chance to prove the critics wrong this year.
Top Team Trends

* Since '01-'02, FLORIDA is 2-4 ATS against ACC opponents.

* Since '01-'02, FLORIDA is 4-2 ATS in conference tournament games.

* Since '01-'02, FLORIDA is 7-4 ATS when playing with 5 or 6 days rest.

* FLORIDA was 4-2 ATS in all neutral court games last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 24-8  (75.0%) 15-12-0  (55.6%) 14-13-0
Home Games 16-4  (80.0%) 8-8-0  (50.0%) 9-7-0
Away Games 8-4  (66.7%) 7-4-0  (63.6%) 5-6-0
as Favorite 16-5  (76.2%) 11-10-0  (52.4%) 12-9-0
as Underdog 2-2  (50.0%) 3-1-0  (75.0%) 1-3-0
as Home Favorite 12-3  (80.0%) 8-7-0  (53.3%) 8-7-0
as Away Favorite 4-2  (66.7%) 3-3-0  (50.0%) 4-2-0
as Away Underdog 2-2  (50.0%) 3-1-0  (75.0%) 1-3-0
GEORGIA
Coach: Dennis Felton  |  Ret. Starters: 4
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 60.1 (313) Defensive - 67.8 (146)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 39.5% (310) Defensive - 46.2% (286)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 29.9% (306) Defensive - 32.7% (71)
FREE THROW %: Team - 63.4% (293) Opponent - 65.6% (40)
REBOUNDS: Team - 32.0 (286) Opponent - 35.9 (217)
StatFox Preview: The effects of the NCAA probation took hold last year when Georgia posted their fewest wins in SEC action (2) since 1974, back when nobody knew they even played basketball in Athens. Last season saw the Bulldogs offensively challenged; finishing last in scoring, field goal percentage, three point shooting and scoring margin. Not exactly a winning superfecta. All five starters are back and five fresh-faced recruits are positioned to add depth for the upcoming campaign. No question the strength of this squad will be in the backcourt, where Levi Stukes, Sundiata Gaines and Channing Toney averaged the most points of any three guard group in the league. However, the frontcourt is soft, as a mixture of newcomers and experienced players will strive to at least be adequate. Year three in Dennis Felton’s project will not bare much in terms of wins and losses, just gradual improvement to the impoverished hoops program.
Top Team Trends

* Since '01-'02, GEORGIA is 12-7 ATS vs good offensive teams - scoring 77+ PPG.

* Since '01-'02, GEORGIA is 7-12 ATS on Wednesday games.

* GEORGIA was 3-6 ATS after allowing 60 points or less last season.

* GEORGIA was 6-3 ATS on Saturday games last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 8-20  (28.6%) 11-12-0  (47.8%) 7-15-1
Home Games 8-9  (47.1%) 6-6-0  (50.0%) 5-7-0
Away Games 0-11  (0.0%) 5-6-0  (45.5%) 2-8-1
as Favorite 1-1  (50.0%) 1-1-0  (50.0%) 1-1-0
as Underdog 3-18  (14.3%) 10-11-0  (47.6%) 6-14-1
as Home Favorite 1-1  (50.0%) 1-1-0  (50.0%) 1-1-0
as Home Underdog 3-7  (30.0%) 5-5-0  (50.0%) 4-6-0
as Away Underdog 0-11  (0.0%) 5-6-0  (45.5%) 2-8-1
KENTUCKY
Coach: Billy Gillispie  |  Ret. Starters: 3
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 73.6 (63) Defensive - 62.6 (35)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 46.4% (39) Defensive - 40.6% (37)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 34.3% (181) Defensive - 32.9% (79)
FREE THROW %: Team - 66.3% (235) Opponent - 69.0% (178)
REBOUNDS: Team - 35.3 (149) Opponent - 34.4 (152)
StatFox Preview: If college basketball is about strong guard play, then pencil in Kentucky for another tremendous season. The guard duo of Patrick Sparks and Rajon Rondo is as good as any in the country. Sparks is now the emotional leader of the team and was 2nd team All- SEC last year. Rondo is a future star that led the conference in steals and is the best perimeter defender in the SEC. It would be no surprise if he doubled his 8.1 scoring average in 2005-06. In the frontcourt, Coach Tubby Smith has a plentitude of big people to work with and develop an efficient group from. Since the league divided into two divisions in 1992, the Wildcats have won outright or shared 11 of the 14 titles. Add one more for Coach Smith this year with another deep venture in the tournament.
Top Team Trends

* Since '01-'02, KENTUCKY is 30-19 ATS off a win against a conference rival.

* Since '01-'02, KENTUCKY is 4-6 ATS in a NCAA tournament games.

* KENTUCKY was 3-6 ATS vs good offensive teams - scoring 77+ PPG last season.

* KENTUCKY was 7-4 ATS in non-conference games last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 28-6  (82.4%) 16-14-1  (53.3%) 17-14-0
Home Games 21-3  (87.5%) 10-10-1  (50.0%) 10-11-0
Away Games 7-3  (70.0%) 6-4-0  (60.0%) 7-3-0
as Favorite 23-3  (88.5%) 13-12-1  (52.0%) 14-12-0
as Underdog 2-3  (40.0%) 3-2-0  (60.0%) 3-2-0
as Home Favorite 18-2  (90.0%) 10-9-1  (52.6%) 9-11-0
as Home Underdog 0-1  (0.0%) 0-1-0  (0.0%) 1-0-0
as Away Favorite 5-1  (83.3%) 3-3-0  (50.0%) 5-1-0
as Away Underdog 2-2  (50.0%) 3-1-0  (75.0%) 2-2-0
LSU
Coach: Butch Pierre  |  Ret. Starters: 3
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 75.2 (38) Defensive - 71.4 (241)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 45.9% (55) Defensive - 44.4% (217)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 35.9% (111) Defensive - 37.9% (314)
FREE THROW %: Team - 73.0% (44) Opponent - 68.6% (159)
REBOUNDS: Team - 36.7 (85) Opponent - 32.2 (56)
StatFox Preview: Two of the top three scorers return for LSU in Glen Davis and Darrel Mitchell. Davis had an excellent freshman year that included finishing 4th in the SEC in rebounds(8.8). Mitchell provides senior leadership and is the Tigers best 3-point shooter. Tack Minor is the LSU PG, be he will be forced to sit out a few games due to academic inadequacies, before being eligible again. Coach John Brady’s team may have been considered the finest in the SEC except for the loss of Conference Player of the Year Brandon Bass. His all-around skills will be sorely missed in Baton Rouge this year. Tasmin Mitchell has “star quality” according Coach Brady and could be inserted into the Tigers starting line-up from day one. Twenty-plus wins and another trip to March Madness are anticipated down in the Bayou.
Top Team Trends

* Since '01-'02, LSU is 14-7 ATS on Wednesday games.

* Since '01-'02, LSU is 34-19 ATS after a conference game.

* LSU was 11-5 ATS when the total is 140 to 149.5 last season.

* LSU was 4-6 ATS in non-conference games last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 20-10  (66.7%) 19-9-0  (67.9%) 16-11-1
Home Games 16-2  (88.9%) 13-3-0  (81.3%) 10-5-1
Away Games 4-8  (33.3%) 6-6-0  (50.0%) 6-6-0
as Favorite 14-3  (82.4%) 13-4-0  (76.5%) 11-6-0
as Underdog 4-7  (36.4%) 6-5-0  (54.5%) 5-5-1
as Home Favorite 11-1  (91.7%) 10-2-0  (83.3%) 8-4-0
as Home Underdog 3-1  (75.0%) 3-1-0  (75.0%) 2-1-1
as Away Favorite 3-2  (60.0%) 3-2-0  (60.0%) 3-2-0
as Away Underdog 1-6  (14.3%) 3-4-0  (42.9%) 3-4-0
MISSISSIPPI ST
Coach: Rick Stansbury  |  Ret. Starters: 4
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 72.5 (86) Defensive - 66 (105)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 44.5% (137) Defensive - 41.0% (48)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 34.3% (184) Defensive - 31.7% (39)
FREE THROW %: Team - 66.6% (227) Opponent - 67.5% (107)
REBOUNDS: Team - 40.6 (9) Opponent - 32.1 (52)
StatFox Preview: Rick Stansbury was left to wonder what, if any number of, events had gone the Bulldogs way. What if Winsome Frazier had not broken his foot, as Mississippi State went 9-9 after that occurred after a 14-2 start. What if the Bulldogs had not gone 11-21 from the free throw line against Duke in round 2 of the tournament, which included many first attempts of one-and-one. As any coach would tell you, that was then and this is now. Coach Stansbury now has to start with a clean canvas. The cupboard is virtually empty for 2005-06, with four starters plus two key backups departing. This means that what Bulldog fans are accustomed to seeing in recent years will not be there. The glue is going to have to come from PG Jamall Edmondson. He ends up being the only returning starter and leading returning scorer, at a none to appetizing 4.8 PPG. The Bulldogs seem to be NIT bound at best this upcoming season.
Top Team Trends

* Since '01-'02, MISSISSIPPI ST is 11-6 ATS when playing with 5 or 6 days rest.

* Since '01-'02, MISSISSIPPI ST is 5-3 ATS against teams with a losing record.

* MISSISSIPPI ST was 3-6 ATS in all neutral court games last season.

* MISSISSIPPI ST was 7-11 ATS after a conference game last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 23-11  (67.6%) 14-17-0  (45.2%) 15-15-0
Home Games 16-2  (88.9%) 7-8-0  (46.7%) 6-8-0
Away Games 7-9  (43.8%) 7-9-0  (43.8%) 9-7-0
as Favorite 19-5  (79.2%) 12-12-0  (50.0%) 12-11-0
as Underdog 1-6  (14.3%) 2-5-0  (28.6%) 3-4-0
as Home Favorite 13-2  (86.7%) 7-8-0  (46.7%) 6-8-0
as Away Favorite 6-3  (66.7%) 5-4-0  (55.6%) 6-3-0
as Away Underdog 1-6  (14.3%) 2-5-0  (28.6%) 3-4-0
S CAROLINA
Coach: Dave Odom  |  Ret. Starters: 2
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 68.6 (173) Defensive - 64.6 (68)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 46.2% (46) Defensive - 41.6% (70)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 32.5% (253) Defensive - 33.7% (116)
FREE THROW %: Team - 61.3% (317) Opponent - 66.2% (56)
REBOUNDS: Team - 34.5 (186) Opponent - 34.6 (162)
StatFox Preview: Coach Dave Odom, off last season’s NIT championship squad, returns one of the most veteran teams in the conference. Three starters and two key reserves are back to help the Gamecocks move up in the standings and gain a NCAA tournament bid. Two seniors will take a couple of the starting spots, G Tarence Kinsey and C Antione Tisby. Juniors Tre Kelly grabs the other guard position, with Brandon Wallace and Renaldo Balkman filling up the forward slots. These five players accounted for 94 starts, third most in the league. What Coach Odom needs to do is have a combined effort to fill the capable shoes of Carlos Powell, who led the Gamecocks in scoring. The bench is thin and must be cultivated. With Florida in an uncertain position, the possibility exists for the players from the Palmetto state to grab the 2nd slot in the SEC East and a much desired tournament bid.
Top Team Trends

* Since '01-'02, S CAROLINA is 4-2 ATS in November games.

* Since '01-'02, S CAROLINA is 4-6 ATS after scoring 80 points or more.

* S CAROLINA was 4-6 ATS in road lined games last season.

* S CAROLINA was 7-4 ATS vs good defensive teams - allowing <=64 PPG last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 20-13  (60.6%) 15-16-0  (48.4%) 17-14-0
Home Games 17-4  (81.0%) 10-9-0  (52.6%) 9-10-0
Away Games 3-9  (25.0%) 5-7-0  (41.7%) 8-4-0
as Favorite 16-5  (76.2%) 9-12-0  (42.9%) 10-11-0
as Underdog 2-7  (22.2%) 6-3-0  (66.7%) 7-2-0
as Home Favorite 14-3  (82.4%) 9-8-0  (52.9%) 8-9-0
as Home Underdog 1-0  (100.0%) 1-0-0  (100.0%) 1-0-0
as Away Favorite 2-2  (50.0%) 0-4-0  (0.0%) 2-2-0
as Away Underdog 1-7  (12.5%) 5-3-0  (62.5%) 6-2-0
TENNESSEE
Coach: Bruce Pearl  |  Ret. Starters: 4
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 69 (167) Defensive - 68.9 (176)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 45.5% (73) Defensive - 45.6% (269)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 38.3% (30) Defensive - 36.5% (271)
FREE THROW %: Team - 68.9% (170) Opponent - 64.2% (17)
REBOUNDS: Team - 32.7 (265) Opponent - 33.3 (99)
StatFox Preview: 6-11 C Wayne Marshall needs to bring his A-game to match his potential in 2005-06. Coach John Chaney was given one more “get out of jail” card after a lapse in judgment had him send in a player to “goon it up” because he did not like how the officials were calling a game his team was playing against St. Joseph’s. Chaney will once again have at his disposal on of the most complete guards in college hoops Mardy Collins. The senior scored 17.5 PPG and grabbed 6 boards per game to go along with his 85 steals. It is imperative the Coach Chaney make changes in his offense to let it flow better instead of all the perimeter ball handling that often led to poor shot selection for the Owls. Another tough schedule may preclude Temple from making it to the “Big Dance”.
Top Team Trends

* Since '01-'02, TENNESSEE is 13-8 ATS vs good defensive teams - allowing <=64 PPG after 15+ games.

* Since '01-'02, TENNESSEE is 3-5 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games.

* TENNESSEE was 2-4 ATS after allowing 80 points or more last season.

* TENNESSEE was 7-3 ATS in road lined games last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 14-17  (45.2%) 11-15-0  (42.3%) 11-14-1
Home Games 11-8  (57.9%) 3-11-0  (21.4%) 7-6-1
Away Games 3-9  (25.0%) 8-4-0  (66.7%) 4-8-0
as Favorite 5-3  (62.5%) 2-6-0  (25.0%) 2-5-1
as Underdog 4-14  (22.2%) 9-9-0  (50.0%) 9-9-0
as Home Favorite 4-3  (57.1%) 1-6-0  (14.3%) 2-4-1
as Home Underdog 2-5  (28.6%) 2-5-0  (28.6%) 5-2-0
as Away Favorite 1-0  (100.0%) 1-0-0  (100.0%) 0-1-0
as Away Underdog 2-9  (18.2%) 7-4-0  (63.6%) 4-7-0
VANDERBILT
Coach: Kevin Stallings  |  Ret. Starters: 3
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 71.2 (119) Defensive - 64.9 (77)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 46.4% (40) Defensive - 41.9% (80)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 38.5% (26) Defensive - 34.3% (150)
FREE THROW %: Team - 67.7% (199) Opponent - 64.3% (18)
REBOUNDS: Team - 33.2 (246) Opponent - 33.3 (101)
StatFox Preview: A mixed bag is what is in store for Kevin Stallings 7th campaign in Nashville. The losses include C Dawid Przybyszewski and swingman Corey Smith, along with defensive ace Jason Holwerda. At a school known more for brains than quickness, Coach Stallings feels this will be his most athletic squad. The Commodores catalyst is G Mario Moore, who led the in scoring and assists. Julian Terrell is back, but must show improvement after a lackluster 2004 season. Ted Skuchas will push Terrell for playing time. Shan Foster, who had the second most starts for Vandy, is a 6-6 forward who averaged 9.2 PPG as a freshman. G Alex Gordon has the stroke to be a zone buster. He shot more than twice as many treys (116) as two-pointers, hitting 35.8 percent. He also is a solid defensive player. DeMarre Carroll, a 6-7 forward, had five starts as a freshman and shot an even 50% from the field. With the Commodores off back-to-back 20-win seasons for the 1st time since 1993-94, expectations are rising for more, and a return to the Big Dance.
Top Team Trends

Since '01-'02, VANDERBILT is 22-12 ATS in non-conference games.

Since '01-'02, VANDERBILT is 2-4 ATS against teams with a losing record after 15 or more games.

Since '01-'02, VANDERBILT is 8-14 ATS off a win against a conference rival.

VANDERBILT was 4-2 ATS against teams with a losing record last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 20-14  (58.8%) 18-14-1  (56.3%) 14-19-0
Home Games 17-4  (81.0%) 13-6-1  (68.4%) 9-11-0
Away Games 3-10  (23.1%) 5-8-0  (38.5%) 5-8-0
as Favorite 17-5  (77.3%) 14-7-1  (66.7%) 9-13-0
as Underdog 2-9  (18.2%) 4-7-0  (36.4%) 5-6-0
as Home Favorite 16-3  (84.2%) 13-5-1  (72.2%) 8-11-0
as Home Underdog 0-1  (0.0%) 0-1-0  (0.0%) 1-0-0
as Away Favorite 1-2  (33.3%) 1-2-0  (33.3%) 1-2-0
as Away Underdog 2-8  (20.0%) 4-6-0  (40.0%) 4-6-0