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ATLANTIC 10 2005-06 Preview

The loss of several quality teams from Conference USA drops its status as an elite league. Their loss is the Atlantic 10’s gain. Securing Charlotte was a real coup for this league and bumps the A-10 to 7th best among the nation’s conferences. In fact, the addition of the 49ers is even more intriguing when you consider that they have been made the favorite in the conference in most preseason publications. StatFox likes Charlotte’s chances as well, but as you can see from our projections, we place them just below George Washington due to the unfamiliarity level. It will be difficult for the 49ers to generate consistent road success playing in new arenas, some for the first time. Meanwhile, the Colonials won the old West Division of this league with a 22-8 mark, and bring back four of five starters from that group.

Not lost upon us is the fact that St. Josephs won 14 of its 16 league games last season, finishing 24-12 overall. The Hawks have lost some talent to graduation, but the wining culture that’s been established by HC Phil Martelli should keep this team in contention. Temple, Xavier, and Dayton should continue to fare well in league play and could actually be helped by the strengthening of the conference in their hopes to receive tourney bids in March. Xavier actually returns all five starters from its 17-12 2004-05 team. Elsewhere, the talent level drops off significantly. In fact, there are four teams in this league that lost over 20 games a year ago, including newcomer St. Louis, who comes over from Conference USA with Charlotte. Here are the StatFox projections for the Atlantic 10 in 2005-06:


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StatFox Projected Finish
1-George Washington [ 75-1 ]
2-Charlotte [ 200-1 ]
3-Dayton [ 200-1 ]
4-St. Joesph's [ 200-1 ]
5-Temple [ 200-1 ]
6-Xavier [ 100-1 ]
7-UMASS [ Field (50-1) ]
8-Fordham [ Field (50-1) ]
9-Richmond [ Field (50-1) ]
10-Rhode Island [ Field (50-1) ]
11-Duquense [ Field (50-1) ]
12-St. Louis [ Field (50-1) ]
13-LaSalle [ Field (50-1) ]
14-St. Bonaventure [ Field (50-1) ]
Odds Courtesy of SportsBook.com 

CHARLOTTE
Coach: Bobby Lutz  |  Ret. Starters: 2
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 77.8 (17) Defensive - 72.2 (254)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 43.2% (204) Defensive - 43.7% (185)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 36.8% (74) Defensive - 31.6% (34)
FREE THROW %: Team - 68.4% (181) Opponent - 72.3% (305)
REBOUNDS: Team - 38.3 (37) Opponent - 37.1 (274)
StatFox Preview: Charlotte and Coach Bobby Lutz will bring its well-deserved reputation into the Atlantic 10 and likely keep making a name for itself. Sure the 49er’s lost four starters from last year’s team but the one that is coming back might be the best player in his new league, power forward Curtis Withers. He crashes the boards ferociously and has a nice medium range jump shot to compliment his powerful inside game. Coach Lutz’s favored style is up and down, which lends it self to creating depth. Thus a bevy of experienced players are ready to head to the starters desk. PG Mitchell Baldwin has his handle the ball-handling chores and LeeMire Goldwire will complete the backcourt for Charlotte. Starting opposite of Withers will E.J. Drayton whose 8.7 PPG will add more scoring in the frontline. An efficacious start is expected for Coach Lutz and his 49ers in their maiden voyage thru the A-10.
Top Team Trends

* Since '01-'02, CHARLOTTE is 12-18 ATS after a non-conference game.

* Since '01-'02, CHARLOTTE is 6-12 ATS in December games.

* Since '01-'02, CHARLOTTE is 7-11 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent.

* CHARLOTTE was 4-8 ATS off a win against a conference rival last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 21-8  (72.4%) 10-16-0  (38.5%) 14-10-0
Home Games 13-3  (81.3%) 6-8-0  (42.9%) 6-7-0
Away Games 8-5  (61.5%) 4-8-0  (33.3%) 8-3-0
as Favorite 15-4  (78.9%) 7-12-0  (36.8%) 10-7-0
as Underdog 3-4  (42.9%) 3-4-0  (42.9%) 4-3-0
as Home Favorite 10-2  (83.3%) 5-7-0  (41.7%) 5-6-0
as Home Underdog 1-1  (50.0%) 1-1-0  (50.0%) 1-1-0
as Away Favorite 5-2  (71.4%) 2-5-0  (28.6%) 5-1-0
as Away Underdog 2-3  (40.0%) 2-3-0  (40.0%) 3-2-0
DAYTON
Coach: Brian Gregory  |  Ret. Starters: 4
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 64.7 (254) Defensive - 61.6 (25)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 41.2% (276) Defensive - 40.8% (45)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 37.8% (43) Defensive - 32.6% (63)
FREE THROW %: Team - 72.3% (63) Opponent - 73.1% (317)
REBOUNDS: Team - 33.7 (228) Opponent - 32.0 (51)
StatFox Preview: All things considered the off-season turned out pretty well for Dayton. Coach Brian Gregory was reported to be a candidate for the DePaul opening, yet decided to stay. Promising PG Trent Meacham decided to go back to his home state of Illinois and will be missed, yet there's lots of young talent still available for the Flyers. Dayton ends up returning 11 of top 13 scorers back. The return of dynamic senior F Monty Scott, who averaged 11 PPG and super sophomores Brian Roberts, Norman Plummer were among the teams top scorers. Dayton lost only one starter from last year’s team that finished behind A-10 West champ George Washington. Reports out of Dayton have all the sophomore class that accounted for 51% of the scoring and 50% of the rebounds, bulking up to better withstand the rigors of A-10 hoops. Coach Gregory learned his craft from Michigan State’s Tom Izzo. That means tough defense and rebounding, along with sharing the ball to distribute scoring. 2005-06 is set for Dayton to return to 20+ victories.
Top Team Trends

* Since '01-'02, DAYTON is 11-6 ATS against teams with a losing record after 15 or more games.

* Since '01-'02, DAYTON is 24-13 ATS off a win against a conference rival.

* Since '01-'02, DAYTON is 4-7 ATS after scoring 80 points or more.

* DAYTON was 6-3 ATS vs poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 PPG last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 18-11  (62.1%) 11-15-0  (42.3%) 10-16-0
Home Games 13-4  (76.5%) 5-9-0  (35.7%) 4-10-0
Away Games 5-7  (41.7%) 6-6-0  (50.0%) 6-6-0
as Favorite 14-2  (87.5%) 8-8-0  (50.0%) 4-12-0
as Underdog 1-9  (10.0%) 3-7-0  (30.0%) 6-4-0
as Home Favorite 10-2  (83.3%) 5-7-0  (41.7%) 4-8-0
as Home Underdog 0-2  (0.0%) 0-2-0  (0.0%) 0-2-0
as Away Favorite 4-0  (100.0%) 3-1-0  (75.0%) 0-4-0
as Away Underdog 1-7  (12.5%) 3-5-0  (37.5%) 6-2-0
DUQUESNE
Coach: Ron Everhart  |  Ret. Starters: 4
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 67.1 (215) Defensive - 74.6 (297)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 41.9% (257) Defensive - 43.8% (190)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 32.4% (254) Defensive - 36.7% (276)
FREE THROW %: Team - 76.4% (7) Opponent - 68.7% (166)
REBOUNDS: Team - 34.7 (172) Opponent - 37.4 (283)
StatFox Preview: Veteran Coach Danny Nee has his posterior firmly planted on the proverbial hot seat. His four years at this Pittsburgh school have produced a 39-78 record. The man that hired him, AD Brian Colleary, resigned in May of this year. Last year’s leading scorer G Brian McCallister was arrested for possession of marijuana with intent to deliver and has been suspended indefinitely. McCallister also lead the team in steals and was 2nd in assists. The good news after having the second most losses in school history is C Kieron Achara, forwards DeVario Hudson and Chauncey Duke, who saw most of the minutes from last year’s team. return. Nee is hoping that transfer Ryan Lambert and JUCO import Vantrell Rivers can blend right in for the Dukes. 6’10 Ronnie Thomas is expected to provide immediate help up front. The key is McCallister, if does not return, it could be another long season for Duquesne.
Top Team Trends

* Since '01-'02, DUQUESNE is 4-2 ATS against Big East conference opponents.

* Since '01-'02, DUQUESNE is 6-10 ATS revenging a home loss vs opponent.

* Since '01-'02, DUQUESNE is 7-12 ATS against teams with a winning record after 15 or more games.

* DUQUESNE was 5-3 ATS vs poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 PPG last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 8-22  (26.7%) 11-14-1  (44.0%) 12-13-0
Home Games 5-9  (35.7%) 5-6-0  (45.5%) 5-6-0
Away Games 3-13  (18.8%) 6-8-1  (42.9%) 7-7-0
as Favorite 3-1  (75.0%) 3-1-0  (75.0%) 2-2-0
as Underdog 3-18  (14.3%) 8-12-1  (40.0%) 9-11-0
as Home Favorite 3-1  (75.0%) 3-1-0  (75.0%) 2-2-0
as Home Underdog 0-6  (0.0%) 2-4-0  (33.3%) 2-4-0
as Away Underdog 3-12  (20.0%) 6-8-1  (42.9%) 7-7-0
FORDHAM
Coach: Dereck Whittenburg  |  Ret. Starters: 5
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 63.1 (284) Defensive - 64.5 (65)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 42.2% (243) Defensive - 43.8% (191)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 33.8% (204) Defensive - 31.5% (30)
FREE THROW %: Team - 64.2% (282) Opponent - 64.0% (13)
REBOUNDS: Team - 33.7 (227) Opponent - 34.3 (148)
StatFox Preview: Life is good in the Bronx if you are Coach Derek Whittenburg. In his 2nd season at the helm, he brought Fordham back from the depths of total obscurity, to respectability, with 13 wins on the season. That is the most for the Rams since the 2000-01 campaign. Fordham’s surprise came from 6’8 Bryant Dunston, who came out of nowhere to find Atlantic 10 success. Dunston was the Rookie of the Year and is now considered one of the building blocks for Fordham’s future. He will be joined by the backcourt scoring duo of Marcus Stout and Jermaine Anderson, who both posted double digit scoring averages. Sophomore PG Kevin Anderson also is back to direct the three-guard attack for Fordham. Whittenburg inked three recruits, with Tony Bethel and Demetrius Phillips expected to provide immediate impact. An over .500 record will be no shock for the Rams this season.
Top Team Trends

* Since '01-'02, FORDHAM is 4-2 ATS vs poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ PPG.

* Since '01-'02, FORDHAM is 5-8 ATS off a win against a conference rival.

* FORDHAM was 4-2 ATS against teams with a losing record after 15 or more games last season.

* FORDHAM was 5-3 ATS on Saturday games last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 13-16  (44.8%) 13-10-1  (56.5%) 12-12-0
Home Games 10-4  (71.4%) 9-3-0  (75.0%) 5-7-0
Away Games 3-12  (20.0%) 4-7-1  (36.4%) 7-5-0
as Favorite 6-1  (85.7%) 5-2-0  (71.4%) 2-5-0
as Underdog 6-11  (35.3%) 8-8-1  (50.0%) 10-7-0
as Home Favorite 5-1  (83.3%) 4-2-0  (66.7%) 1-5-0
as Home Underdog 4-2  (66.7%) 5-1-0  (83.3%) 4-2-0
as Away Favorite 1-0  (100.0%) 1-0-0  (100.0%) 1-0-0
as Away Underdog 2-9  (18.2%) 3-7-1  (30.0%) 6-5-0
GEORGE WASHINGTON
Coach: Karl Hobbs  |  Ret. Starters: 2
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 76.9 (22) Defensive - 67.4 (135)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 47.6% (27) Defensive - 42.6% (116)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 36.2% (92) Defensive - 34.4% (165)
FREE THROW %: Team - 69.3% (156) Opponent - 65.8% (46)
REBOUNDS: Team - 36.7 (86) Opponent - 33.7 (116)
StatFox Preview: George Washington was the lone entrant into the NCAA Tournament from the A-10. This team lost long time starter T.J. Thompson to graduation but four other starters, including seniors Pops Mensah-Bonsu and Mike Hall, return. Those two and Omar Williams formulate a loaded frontcourt for the Colonials. 6’5 J.R. Pinnock is the candidate to take Thompson’s slot in the backcourt, with selfless PG Carl Elliott dishing and scoring for GW. Coach Carl Hobbs knows his team is the favorite to repeat as A-10 champions and has the weapons in place to do just that. Look for at least a return trip to the big dance
Top Team Trends

* Since '01-'02, GEORGE WASHINGTON is 10-6 ATS vs poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 PPG.

* Since '01-'02, GEORGE WASHINGTON is 22-11 ATS on Saturday games.

* GEORGE WASHINGTON was 3-5 ATS in non-conference games last season.

* GEORGE WASHINGTON was 6-3 ATS after allowing 60 points or less last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 22-8  (73.3%) 15-12-0  (55.6%) 14-12-1
Home Games 13-3  (81.3%) 8-6-0  (57.1%) 8-5-1
Away Games 9-5  (64.3%) 7-6-0  (53.8%) 6-7-0
as Favorite 16-5  (76.2%) 12-9-0  (57.1%) 10-10-1
as Underdog 3-3  (50.0%) 3-3-0  (50.0%) 4-2-0
as Home Favorite 9-3  (75.0%) 6-6-0  (50.0%) 6-5-1
as Home Underdog 2-0  (100.0%) 2-0-0  (100.0%) 2-0-0
as Away Favorite 7-2  (77.8%) 6-3-0  (66.7%) 4-5-0
as Away Underdog 1-3  (25.0%) 1-3-0  (25.0%) 2-2-0
LASALLE
Coach: John Giannini  |  Ret. Starters: 3
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 62.7 (289) Defensive - 68.2 (155)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 40.5% (296) Defensive - 43.0% (140)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 32.8% (242) Defensive - 33.4% (101)
FREE THROW %: Team - 72.8% (46) Opponent - 70.1% (236)
REBOUNDS: Team - 30.7 (310) Opponent - 38.1 (295)
StatFox Preview: Dr. John Giannini took over a real mess at LaSalle, replacing former Billy Hahn, who was released after two separate rape scandals involving three different La Salle players. What the good doctor did was nearly a miracle. He guided the Explorers to 10 wins, which turned out to be three more then he had scholarship players. The key to this year’s continued success is Co-Atlantic 10 Player of the Year Steven Smith. The 6’8 power player went to Chicago to find out his NBA value and realized one more year of college hoops could help him realize his dream of being a 1st round draft choice. Beyond Smith the pickings are slim, with Jermaine Thomas and 6-2 sophomore Darnell Harris both scoring in double figures. The possibility of a .500 season exists for LaSalle, but with the entire A-10 upgraded, that may be too much to ask, even with Smith on the court.
Top Team Trends

* Since '01-'02, LASALLE is 4-2 ATS after scoring 80 points or more.

* Since '01-'02, LASALLE is 5-3 ATS as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points.

* Since '01-'02, LASALLE is 8-17 ATS against teams with a winning record after 15 or more games.

* LASALLE was 7-3 ATS after scoring 60 points or less last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 10-19  (34.5%) 12-12-2  (50.0%) 16-10-0
Home Games 4-9  (30.8%) 3-8-1  (27.3%) 6-6-0
Away Games 6-10  (37.5%) 9-4-1  (69.2%) 10-4-0
as Favorite 3-2  (60.0%) 1-3-1  (25.0%) 3-2-0
as Underdog 5-16  (23.8%) 11-9-1  (55.0%) 13-8-0
as Home Favorite 2-2  (50.0%) 0-3-1  (0.0%) 3-1-0
as Home Underdog 2-6  (25.0%) 3-5-0  (37.5%) 3-5-0
as Away Favorite 1-0  (100.0%) 1-0-0  (100.0%) 0-1-0
as Away Underdog 3-10  (23.1%) 8-4-1  (66.7%) 10-3-0
MASSACHUSETTS
Coach: Travis Ford  |  Ret. Starters: 2
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 64.4 (264) Defensive - 65.8 (97)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 43.4% (194) Defensive - 40.6% (39)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 31.9% (267) Defensive - 32.7% (69)
FREE THROW %: Team - 67.4% (209) Opponent - 69.3% (192)
REBOUNDS: Team - 34.4 (189) Opponent - 34.7 (168)
StatFox Preview: For UMass alums, the best news is that former Coach Steve Lappas is gone. His 50-65 record in four years never endeared him for those that still dream about the 1996 Final Four team. In comes a bundle of energy in 35-year old Travis Ford. The youthful Ford is a Rick Pitino disciple, which is music to Minutemen fans ears. Former beloved coach John Calipari fit that same MO. Ford who favors the up-tempo style, has a few players that fit that mold in Rashaun Freeman and Maurice Maxwell, who both scored better then 10 points per game. Stephane Lamse and Art Bowers filled out the other two starting spots. Perimeter shooting was a large problem for UMass and Ford hopes he has addressed that with 6-4 JUCO scoring machine named James Life. Like most coaches who played point guard in college, Ford found his guy in 6’0 Chris Lowe. The renewed energy will return to the Massachusetts campus, along with more victories under Travis Ford.
Top Team Trends

* Since '01-'02, MASSACHUSETTS is 12-19 ATS off a loss against a conference rival.

* Since '01-'02, MASSACHUSETTS is 6-10 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games.

* MASSACHUSETTS was 3-6 ATS off a win against a conference rival last season.

* MASSACHUSETTS was 4-7 ATS vs poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 PPG last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 16-12  (57.1%) 12-13-0  (48.0%) 12-13-0
Home Games 12-6  (66.7%) 6-9-0  (40.0%) 8-7-0
Away Games 4-6  (40.0%) 6-4-0  (60.0%) 4-6-0
as Favorite 9-3  (75.0%) 4-8-0  (33.3%) 8-4-0
as Underdog 5-8  (38.5%) 8-5-0  (61.5%) 4-9-0
as Home Favorite 7-3  (70.0%) 3-7-0  (30.0%) 6-4-0
as Home Underdog 3-2  (60.0%) 3-2-0  (60.0%) 2-3-0
as Away Favorite 2-0  (100.0%) 1-1-0  (50.0%) 2-0-0
as Away Underdog 2-6  (25.0%) 5-3-0  (62.5%) 2-6-0
RHODE ISLAND
Coach: Jim Baron  |  Ret. Starters: 4
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 57.9 (323) Defensive - 64.1 (56)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 37.1% (328) Defensive - 42.1% (86)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 30.0% (305) Defensive - 36.5% (270)
FREE THROW %: Team - 64.8% (270) Opponent - 68.2% (140)
REBOUNDS: Team - 37.1 (71) Opponent - 32.8 (77)
StatFox Preview: The University of Rhode Island starts its 100th year of basketball this season, with nobody happier to see it start than Coach Jim Barron. Last year G Dawan Robinson and forward Jamaal Wise were both gone for the season after just one game. The 2004-05 season became a washout after that for the Rams. The positive out of this was the emergence of freshmen Parfait Bitee, Will Daniels and Jon Lucky who started in the latter part of the season for Coach Barron. If Robinson and Wise can return to full health, the Rams can turn things around quickly. Rhode Island also added JUCO dandy Darnell Harris who could further fuel a real resurgence in Rams basketball this winter.
Top Team Trends

* Since '01-'02, RHODE ISLAND is 10-6 ATS revenging a home loss vs opponent.

* Since '01-'02, RHODE ISLAND is 5-3 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points.

* RHODE ISLAND was 3-5 ATS on Saturday games last season.

* RHODE ISLAND was 6-9 ATS after a conference game last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 6-22  (21.4%) 8-15-1  (34.8%) 12-12-0
Home Games 5-9  (35.7%) 2-8-0  (20.0%) 4-6-0
Away Games 1-13  (7.1%) 6-7-1  (46.2%) 8-6-0
as Favorite 2-4  (33.3%) 0-6-0  (0.0%) 3-3-0
as Underdog 2-15  (11.8%) 7-9-1  (43.8%) 8-9-0
as Home Favorite 2-3  (40.0%) 0-5-0  (0.0%) 2-3-0
as Home Underdog 2-3  (40.0%) 2-3-0  (40.0%) 2-3-0
as Away Favorite 0-1  (0.0%) 0-1-0  (0.0%) 1-0-0
as Away Underdog 0-12  (0.0%) 5-6-1  (45.5%) 6-6-0
RICHMOND
Coach: Chris Mooney  |  Ret. Starters: 4
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 66.7 (225) Defensive - 69.3 (186)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 44.6% (125) Defensive - 43.0% (146)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 35.2% (144) Defensive - 36.4% (265)
FREE THROW %: Team - 63.5% (291) Opponent - 67.7% (115)
REBOUNDS: Team - 33.3 (244) Opponent - 36.8 (255)
StatFox Preview: Chris Mooney arrives in a classic good news-bad news situation. The good news is the 32-year coach takes over a program that has had solid success for a number of years. Seniors C Kevin Steenberge and F Jermaine Bucknor are dependable scorers who will be counted on to once again make strong contributions upfront. The bad news is virtually the entire backcourt that was in place or was recruited by former coach Jerry Wainwright has fallen victim to a variety of circumstances that include transferring, unable to be allowed into school and trouble with the law. Mooney will seek to alter his backcourt dilemma by instituting a Princeton style offense. Last year’s near .500 record would appear to be an ambitious goal this program in transition.
Top Team Trends

* Since '01-'02, RICHMOND is 5-9 ATS when playing with 5 or 6 days rest.

* Since '01-'02, RICHMOND is 7-14 ATS off a loss against a conference rival.

* Since '01-'02, RICHMOND is 8-4 ATS vs poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 PPG.

* RICHMOND was 4-7 ATS in non-conference games last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 14-15  (48.3%) 10-17-2  (37.0%) 16-12-1
Home Games 10-4  (71.4%) 3-9-2  (25.0%) 9-4-1
Away Games 4-11  (26.7%) 7-8-0  (46.7%) 7-8-0
as Favorite 10-4  (71.4%) 3-9-2  (25.0%) 10-3-1
as Underdog 4-10  (28.6%) 7-7-0  (50.0%) 5-9-0
as Home Favorite 8-2  (80.0%) 1-7-2  (12.5%) 7-2-1
as Home Underdog 2-1  (66.7%) 2-1-0  (66.7%) 1-2-0
as Away Favorite 2-2  (50.0%) 2-2-0  (50.0%) 3-1-0
as Away Underdog 2-9  (18.2%) 5-6-0  (45.5%) 4-7-0
ST BONAVENTURE
Coach: Mark Schmidt  |  Ret. Starters: 3
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 61.4 (303) Defensive - 77.4 (317)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 39.0% (315) Defensive - 49.1% (327)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 30.5% (296) Defensive - 36.1% (254)
FREE THROW %: Team - 65.3% (264) Opponent - 71.6% (285)
REBOUNDS: Team - 32.6 (268) Opponent - 37.3 (277)
StatFox Preview: Eight new faces will take the floor for the Bonnies this year after last season’s nearly unmentionable campaign. Coach Anthony Solomon brought in six recruits and has two transfers that he will attempt to blend in with last year’s five starters. Senior guards Ahmad Smith and Wade Dunston are the two leading returning scorers and are most likely to keep their positions. The rest will be up for grabs as coach Solomon will have the daunting task of trying to create a cohesive unit with all these different players. With just nine wins in two years, the Bonnies faithful will be looking for better results in 2005-06. However, it could be years before this program fully recovers from its recent woes.
Top Team Trends

* Since '01-'02, ST BONAVENTURE is 14-23 ATS in road lined games.

* Since '01-'02, ST BONAVENTURE is 3-5 ATS revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more.

* Since '01-'02, ST BONAVENTURE is 5-8 ATS vs good defensive teams - allowing <=64 PPG after 15+ games.

* ST BONAVENTURE was 5-10 ATS off a loss against a conference rival last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 2-26  (7.1%) 10-16-1  (38.5%) 13-14-0
Home Games 2-12  (14.3%) 4-9-0  (30.8%) 7-6-0
Away Games 0-14  (0.0%) 6-7-1  (46.2%) 6-8-0
as Favorite 0-2  (0.0%) 0-2-0  (0.0%) 0-2-0
as Underdog 1-24  (4.0%) 10-14-1  (41.7%) 13-12-0
as Home Favorite 0-2  (0.0%) 0-2-0  (0.0%) 0-2-0
as Home Underdog 1-10  (9.1%) 4-7-0  (36.4%) 7-4-0
as Away Underdog 0-14  (0.0%) 6-7-1  (46.2%) 6-8-0
ST JOSEPHS
Coach: Phil Martelli  |  Ret. Starters: 4
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 63.7 (276) Defensive - 58.6 (9)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 42.6% (231) Defensive - 39.9% (22)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 37.1% (66) Defensive - 34.4% (162)
FREE THROW %: Team - 65.9% (243) Opponent - 64.1% (15)
REBOUNDS: Team - 35.0 (160) Opponent - 32.1 (53)
StatFox Preview: Head Coach Phil Martelli may be able to yuk it up with the best of them, but don’t be fooled, this guy is a basketball guru. Last year’s team lost on the final shot of the NIT Championship to South Carolina 60-57. The previous year, Martelli had an up-tempo squad with the likes of Jameer Nelson and Delonte West. Last season he changed the team to a more controlled pace to better utilize the skills of sweet-shooting lefty Pat Carroll and the inside presence Dwayne Jones. With the losses of Carroll and Jones, Martelli landed arguably the best recruiting class in the A-10. Four of the Top 250 seniors in the land will be on campus at St. Joe’s. This group of talented freshman will be expected to combine with G Dwayne Lee who is the leading returning scorer for the Hawks. Chet Stachitas will be asked to fill the shooting shoes of Carroll. This team will only get better under the guidance of Martelli and will be tougher as the season progresses.
Top Team Trends

* Since '01-'02, ST JOSEPHS is 27-16 ATS off a win against a conference rival.

* Since '01-'02, ST JOSEPHS is 4-2 ATS after allowing 80 points or more.

* Since '01-'02, ST JOSEPHS is 4-2 ATS vs poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ PPG after 15+ games.

* ST JOSEPHS was 4-2 ATS in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.5 last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 24-12  (66.7%) 20-14-0  (58.8%) 11-22-1
Home Games 16-5  (76.2%) 11-8-0  (57.9%) 5-13-1
Away Games 8-7  (53.3%) 9-6-0  (60.0%) 6-9-0
as Favorite 17-2  (89.5%) 12-7-0  (63.2%) 5-14-0
as Underdog 6-9  (40.0%) 8-7-0  (53.3%) 6-8-1
as Home Favorite 14-1  (93.3%) 10-5-0  (66.7%) 3-12-0
as Home Underdog 1-3  (25.0%) 1-3-0  (25.0%) 2-1-1
as Away Favorite 3-1  (75.0%) 2-2-0  (50.0%) 2-2-0
as Away Underdog 5-6  (45.5%) 7-4-0  (63.6%) 4-7-0
TEMPLE
Coach: Fran Dunphy  |  Ret. Starters: 3
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 63.8 (274) Defensive - 61.4 (24)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 38.9% (316) Defensive - 40.1% (25)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 27.5% (325) Defensive - 32.3% (51)
FREE THROW %: Team - 66.4% (233) Opponent - 67.4% (103)
REBOUNDS: Team - 36.2 (105) Opponent - 36.3 (241)
StatFox Preview: Temple’s hopes of returning back to the NCAA tournament will rest on the frontcourt’s ability to put the ball in the basket. Mark Tyndale and junior wingman Dustin Salisbery need to score more consistently, instead of having one good effort and one bad effort.
Top Team Trends

* Since '01-'02, TEMPLE is 14-23 ATS in non-conference games.

* Since '01-'02, TEMPLE is 3-5 ATS after playing 3 consecutive road games.

* Since '01-'02, TEMPLE is 3-6 ATS vs good offensive teams - scoring 77+ PPG after 15+ games.

* TEMPLE was 2-4 ATS vs poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 PPG after 15+ games last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 16-14  (53.3%) 15-15-0  (50.0%) 12-17-0
Home Games 9-5  (64.3%) 7-7-0  (50.0%) 5-9-0
Away Games 7-9  (43.8%) 8-8-0  (50.0%) 7-8-0
as Favorite 13-7  (65.0%) 9-11-0  (45.0%) 8-12-0
as Underdog 3-7  (30.0%) 6-4-0  (60.0%) 4-5-0
as Home Favorite 9-4  (69.2%) 6-7-0  (46.2%) 5-8-0
as Home Underdog 0-1  (0.0%) 1-0-0  (100.0%) 0-1-0
as Away Favorite 4-3  (57.1%) 3-4-0  (42.9%) 3-4-0
as Away Underdog 3-6  (33.3%) 5-4-0  (55.6%) 4-4-0
XAVIER
Coach: Sean Miller  |  Ret. Starters: 2
2004-05 TEAM STATS (NAT'L RANK)
SCORING (PPG): Offensive - 70.1 (140) Defensive - 65 (79)
FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 45.4% (76) Defensive - 43.5% (174)
3PT FIELD GOAL %: Offensive - 35.1% (152) Defensive - 37.6% (302)
FREE THROW %: Team - 73.2% (37) Opponent - 67.7% (113)
REBOUNDS: Team - 33.6 (229) Opponent - 30.4 (18)
StatFox Preview: The Musketeers after missing post-season play for the first time in nine years look to be headed back. All five starters return for 2nd year head coach Sean Miller. The best of the bunch is Stanley Burrell, who has “a star in the making” quality about him. The sophomore’s 12.5 PPG in ’04 could be only the beginning for him. Justin Gaqe and Justin Doellman both cracked the 10 PPG barrier and could be on All A-10 teams. The key to the franchise is senior PG Dedrick Finn, whose head was not in every game for Xavier. That drove Coach Miller crazy, since he was a heady point guard back in the day at Pittsburgh. The Musketeers welcome three Ohio recruits, with B.J. Raymond being the Toledo Blade Player of the Year, listed as the one player who could see the floor first. Xavier will be an A-10 title contender right from the get-go.
Top Team Trends

Since '01-'02, XAVIER is 14-7 ATS against teams with a losing record after 15 or more games.

Since '01-'02, XAVIER is 4-2 ATS in a NCAA tournament games.

Since '01-'02, XAVIER is 9-4 ATS off a loss against a conference rival.

XAVIER was 4-7 ATS vs good defensive teams - allowing <=64 PPG last season.

Game Situation Report for the 2004-05 Season
SituationSU W-LATS W-LO/U/P
All Games 17-12  (58.6%) 14-11-1  (56.0%) 12-11-1
Home Games 13-4  (76.5%) 8-5-1  (61.5%) 7-6-0
Away Games 4-8  (33.3%) 6-6-0  (50.0%) 5-5-1
as Favorite 11-6  (64.7%) 9-7-1  (56.3%) 8-7-0
as Underdog 2-6  (25.0%) 4-4-0  (50.0%) 3-4-1
as Home Favorite 9-3  (75.0%) 7-4-1  (63.6%) 5-6-0
as Home Underdog 1-1  (50.0%) 1-1-0  (50.0%) 2-0-0
as Away Favorite 2-3  (40.0%) 2-3-0  (40.0%) 3-1-0
as Away Underdog 1-5  (16.7%) 3-3-0  (50.0%) 1-4-1