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Driver Ratings

StatFox Driver Ratings are based on a weighted combination of 3 factors. The first is the drivers finishing position in recent races. The second factor is the driver's average qualifying position in recent races. Finally, the drivers ability to finish the race (DNF index) is factored. To calculate hypothetical race odds, determine the sum of the ratings of all drivers participating in a race. A driver's odds of winning are approximately equal to their rating divided by the sum of ratings of all participants.


RankDriverRating
1 Martin Truex 92.98
2 Chase Elliott 57.02
3 Kyle Larson 53.79
4 William Byron 48.4
5 Ross Chastain 37.63
6 Ty Gibbs 36.55
7 Ryan Blaney 30.08
8 Tyler Reddick 22.54
9 Denny Hamlin 19.31
10 Alex Bowman 16.08
  Chris Buescher 16.08
12 Chase Briscoe 11.07
13 AJ Allmendinger 9.76
14 Kyle Busch 8.45
15 Brad Keselowski 7.62
16 Bubba Wallace 6.49
17 Noah Gragson 6.43
18 Joey Logano 6.27
19 Daniel Suarez 5.4
20 Ryan Preece 3.33
21 Christopher Bell 2.83
22 Carson Hocevar 2.79
23 Erik Jones 2.75
24 Kamui Kobayashi 2.26
  Daniel Hemric 2.26
  David Ragan 2.26
  Shane Van Gisbergen 2.26
28 Josh Berry 2
29 John Hunter Nemechek 1.96
30 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 1.61
31 Austin Cindric 1.57
  Michael McDowell 1.57
33 Corey Lajoie 1.47
34 Todd Gilliland 1.44
35 Austin Dillon 1.34
36 Ty Dillon 0.67
  Anthony Alfredo 0.67
  BJ McLeod 0.67
  Derek Kraus 0.67
  Riley Herbst 0.67
  Austin Hill 0.67
  Timmy Hill 0.67
  Jimmie Johnson 0.67
  Corey Heim 0.67
  David Starr 0.67
  Cody Ware 0.67
  Josh Williams 0.67
  JJ Yeley 0.67
49 Justin Haley 0.55
50 Harrison Burton 0.54
51 Kaz Grala 0.53
52 Zane Smith 0.38