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The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping


Driver Ratings

StatFox Driver Ratings are based on a weighted combination of 3 factors. The first is the drivers finishing position in recent races. The second factor is the driver's average qualifying position in recent races. Finally, the drivers ability to finish the race (DNF index) is factored. To calculate hypothetical race odds, determine the sum of the ratings of all drivers participating in a race. A driver's odds of winning are approximately equal to their rating divided by the sum of ratings of all participants.


RankDriverRating
1 Kevin Harvick 168.95
2 Kurt Busch 93.73
3 Joey Logano 83.29
4 Dale Earnhardt, Jr. 55.08
5 Martin Truex 49.26
6 Jimmie Johnson 48.62
7 Brad Keselowski 27.93
8 Kyle Busch 23.62
9 Ryan Newman 20.82
10 Matt Kenseth 16.94
11 Jamie McMurray 14.87
12 Denny Hamlin 12.25
13 Jeff Gordon 10.68
14 Paul Menard 9.37
15 Kasey Kahne 8.72
16 Clint Bowyer 6.36
17 Aric Almirola 3.81
18 Carl Edwards 3.7
19 Kyle Larson 3
20 Greg Biffle 2.71
21 Austin Dillon 2.51
22 Casey Mears 2.46
23 Chase Elliott 2.26
24 Danica Patrick 2.09
25 AJ Allmendinger 1.85
26 David Ragan 1.66
27 Sam Hornish, Jr. 1.13
28 Tony Stewart 1.03
29 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 1.01
30 Ryan Blaney 0.77
31 Trevor Bayne 0.74
32 Michael McDowell 0.7
33 Landon Cassill 0.7
34 Bowman Alex 0.69
35 Matt DiBenedetto 0.68
36 Michael Annett 0.67
37 Josh Wise 0.67
38 Derek White 0.67
  Reed Sorenson 0.67
  Tanner Berryhill 0.67
  Will Kimmel III 0.67
  Bobby Labonte 0.67
  Justin Marks 0.67
  Ron Hornaday 0.67
45 Mike Bliss 0.65
46 JJ Yeley 0.65
47 Brendan Gaughan 0.64
48 Jeb Burton 0.63
49 David Gilliland 0.42
50 Justin Allgaier 0.41
51 Cole Whitt 0.4
52 Brett Moffitt 0.38