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The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping


Driver Ratings

StatFox Driver Ratings are based on a weighted combination of 3 factors. The first is the drivers finishing position in recent races. The second factor is the driver's average qualifying position in recent races. Finally, the drivers ability to finish the race (DNF index) is factored. To calculate hypothetical race odds, determine the sum of the ratings of all drivers participating in a race. A driver's odds of winning are approximately equal to their rating divided by the sum of ratings of all participants.


RankDriverRating
1 Kevin Harvick 152.89
2 Kurt Busch 86.12
3 Martin Truex 72.59
4 Joey Logano 68.76
5 Dale Earnhardt, Jr. 59.45
6 Jimmie Johnson 50.56
7 Jamie McMurray 26.31
8 Brad Keselowski 23.89
9 Ryan Newman 17.42
10 Kasey Kahne 14.68
11 Matt Kenseth 13.04
12 Jeff Gordon 10.91
13 Paul Menard 10.26
14 Aric Almirola 6.98
15 Denny Hamlin 6.49
16 Clint Bowyer 6.33
17 Kyle Larson 4
18 Carl Edwards 3.4
19 Kyle Busch 3.17
20 Danica Patrick 2.94
21 Greg Biffle 2.66
22 Chase Elliott 2.26
23 Casey Mears 2.03
24 Austin Dillon 1.95
25 AJ Allmendinger 1.62
26 Sam Hornish, Jr. 1.1
27 David Ragan 1.03
28 Tony Stewart 0.9
29 Michael McDowell 0.7
30 Bowman Alex 0.7
31 Matt DiBenedetto 0.69
32 Landon Cassill 0.68
33 Michael Annett 0.68
34 Josh Wise 0.67
35 Reed Sorenson 0.67
  Tanner Berryhill 0.67
  Ron Hornaday 0.67
  Justin Marks 0.67
  Bobby Labonte 0.67
40 JJ Yeley 0.66
41 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 0.65
42 Mike Bliss 0.65
43 Trevor Bayne 0.65
44 Jeb Burton 0.64
45 David Gilliland 0.47
  Cole Whitt 0.47
47 Justin Allgaier 0.46
48 Ryan Blaney 0.4