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The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping


Driver Ratings

StatFox Driver Ratings are based on a weighted combination of 3 factors. The first is the drivers finishing position in recent races. The second factor is the driver's average qualifying position in recent races. Finally, the drivers ability to finish the race (DNF index) is factored. To calculate hypothetical race odds, determine the sum of the ratings of all drivers participating in a race. A driver's odds of winning are approximately equal to their rating divided by the sum of ratings of all participants.


RankDriverRating
1 Kyle Busch 114.15
2 Kevin Harvick 76.91
3 Martin Truex 64.47
4 Chase Elliott 49.85
5 Kurt Busch 45.92
6 Kyle Larson 42.55
7 Erik Jones 37.49
8 Brad Keselowski 32.99
9 Joey Logano 27.37
10 Aric Almirola 26.81
11 Denny Hamlin 17.81
12 Ryan Blaney 12.84
13 Clint Bowyer 10.79
14 Ryan Newman 9.76
15 Jimmie Johnson 7.37
16 Bowman Alex 6.46
17 Austin Dillon 6.23
18 Jamie McMurray 5.32
19 Daniel Suarez 4.07
20 Paul Menard 3.61
21 Matt Kenseth 3.31
22 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 3.15
23 Chris Buescher 3.09
24 AJ Allmendinger 2.63
25 Regan Smith 2.53
26 Harrison Rhodes 2.26
  Hermie Sadler 2.26
  Justin Marks 2.26
  Chris Cook 2.26
  Daniel Hemric 2.26
  Brendan Gaughan 2.26
32 Kasey Kahne 2.13
33 Trevor Bayne 1.85
34 William Byron 1.65
35 Ty Dillon 1.63
36 David Ragan 1.62
37 Michael McDowell 1.49
38 Landon Cassill 0.7
39 Jeffrey Earnhardt 0.69
40 JJ Yeley 0.69
41 Corey Lajoie 0.69
42 Kyle Weatherman 0.68
  Joey Gase 0.68
44 Reed Sorenson 0.68
45 BJ McLeod 0.67
46 Parker Kligerman 0.67
  Jesse Little 0.67
  David Starr 0.67
  Garrett Smithley 0.67
  Cody Ware 0.67
  Blake Jones 0.67
  Tomy Drissi 0.67
  Spencer Gallagher 0.67
  Derrike Cope 0.67
  Cole Custer 0.67
  Alon Day 0.67
  Jeb Burton 0.67
  Tanner Berryhill 0.67
  Josh Bilicki 0.67
  Ray Black II 0.67
  Stanton Barrett 0.67
62 Gray Gaulding 0.66
63 Timmy Hill 0.64
64 Bubba Wallace 0.61
65 DJ Kennington 0.56
66 Ross Chastain 0.46
67 Cole Whitt 0.44
68 Matt DiBenedetto 0.39