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The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping


Driver Ratings

StatFox Driver Ratings are based on a weighted combination of 3 factors. The first is the drivers finishing position in recent races. The second factor is the driver's average qualifying position in recent races. Finally, the drivers ability to finish the race (DNF index) is factored. To calculate hypothetical race odds, determine the sum of the ratings of all drivers participating in a race. A driver's odds of winning are approximately equal to their rating divided by the sum of ratings of all participants.


RankDriverRating
1 Kyle Busch 141.42
2 Kevin Harvick 130.29
3 Kurt Busch 62.02
4 Chase Elliott 43.8
5 Joey Logano 42.62
6 Martin Truex 40.27
7 Kyle Larson 28.52
8 Clint Bowyer 26.17
9 Erik Jones 18.53
10 Brad Keselowski 14.65
11 Denny Hamlin 14.41
12 Aric Almirola 12.86
13 Ryan Blaney 10.48
14 Bowman Alex 9.17
15 Jimmie Johnson 8.22
16 Daniel Suarez 8.1
17 Paul Menard 3.76
18 Ryan Newman 3.74
19 Jamie McMurray 3.69
20 Austin Dillon 3.28
21 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 3.26
22 Chris Buescher 2.63
23 Matt Kenseth 2.39
24 William Byron 2.32
25 Chris Cook 2.26
  Daniel Hemric 2.26
  Brendan Gaughan 2.26
  Harrison Rhodes 2.26
  Regan Smith 2.26
  Justin Marks 2.26
31 Kasey Kahne 2.07
32 David Ragan 2
33 AJ Allmendinger 1.9
34 Trevor Bayne 1.78
35 Michael McDowell 1.55
36 Ty Dillon 1.48
37 DJ Kennington 1.27
38 Bubba Wallace 0.88
39 Gray Gaulding 0.69
40 Reed Sorenson 0.68
41 BJ McLeod 0.67
42 Parker Kligerman 0.67
  Garrett Smithley 0.67
  Timothy Peters 0.67
  Jesse Little 0.67
  Cody Ware 0.67
  Kyle Weatherman 0.67
  Blake Jones 0.67
  Tomy Drissi 0.67
  Chad Finchum 0.67
  Spencer Gallagher 0.67
  Joey Gase 0.67
  Josh Bilicki 0.67
  Ray Black II 0.67
  Derrike Cope 0.67
  Cole Custer 0.67
57 Timmy Hill 0.65
58 Matt DiBenedetto 0.59
59 Ross Chastain 0.59
60 Cole Whitt 0.44
61 Jeffrey Earnhardt 0.37
62 Landon Cassill 0.27
  JJ Yeley 0.27
64 Corey Lajoie 0.23