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The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping


Driver Ratings

StatFox Driver Ratings are based on a weighted combination of 3 factors. The first is the drivers finishing position in recent races. The second factor is the driver's average qualifying position in recent races. Finally, the drivers ability to finish the race (DNF index) is factored. To calculate hypothetical race odds, determine the sum of the ratings of all drivers participating in a race. A driver's odds of winning are approximately equal to their rating divided by the sum of ratings of all participants.


RankDriverRating
1 Kyle Larson 62.84
2 Kevin Harvick 45.39
3 Martin Truex 40.21
4 Jamie McMurray 25.34
5 Denny Hamlin 24.05
6 Clint Bowyer 22.11
7 Kyle Busch 19.53
8 Brad Keselowski 18.88
9 Chase Elliott 14.74
10 Joey Logano 12.12
11 Daniel Suarez 10.94
12 Jimmie Johnson 9.76
13 Ryan Newman 9.37
14 Matt Kenseth 9.24
15 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 8.85
16 Aric Almirola 5.93
17 Kurt Busch 5.44
18 Trevor Bayne 3.72
19 Ryan Blaney 3.7
20 Erik Jones 3.63
21 Austin Dillon 3.4
22 Kasey Kahne 3.31
23 Paul Menard 3.2
24 Ty Dillon 3.01
25 AJ Allmendinger 2.71
26 Chris Buescher 2.44
27 Dale Earnhardt, Jr. 2.39
28 Billy Johnson 2.26
  Michael McDowell 2.26
  Boris Said 2.26
  Bubba Wallace 2.26
32 Danica Patrick 1.48
33 David Ragan 1.05
34 Matt DiBenedetto 0.84
35 Gray Gaulding 0.69
36 Timmy Hill 0.69
37 Reed Sorenson 0.68
38 Ryan Sieg 0.68
39 Jeffrey Earnhardt 0.67
40 Alon Day 0.67
  Joey Gase 0.67
  Brendan Gaughan 0.67
  Josh Bilicki 0.67
  DJ Kennington 0.67
  BJ McLeod 0.67
  Cody Ware 0.67
  Regan Tommy 0.67
  Elliott Sadler 0.67
  Kevin O'Connell 0.67
  JJ Yeley 0.67
51 Landon Cassill 0.66
52 Cole Whitt 0.59
53 Corey Lajoie 0.22