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The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping


Driver Ratings

StatFox Driver Ratings are based on a weighted combination of 3 factors. The first is the drivers finishing position in recent races. The second factor is the driver's average qualifying position in recent races. Finally, the drivers ability to finish the race (DNF index) is factored. To calculate hypothetical race odds, determine the sum of the ratings of all drivers participating in a race. A driver's odds of winning are approximately equal to their rating divided by the sum of ratings of all participants.


RankDriverRating
1 AJ Allmendinger 55.94
2 Denny Hamlin 39.24
3 Christopher Bell 34.4
4 Kyle Larson 31.7
5 Ross Chastain 29.55
6 Joey Logano 27.39
7 Kurt Busch 18.23
8 Ryan Blaney 15.54
9 Chase Elliott 14.79
10 Kevin Harvick 12.82
11 Martin Truex 11.73
12 Austin Cindric 11.62
13 Erik Jones 10.96
14 Michael McDowell 10.64
15 William Byron 10.2
16 Daniel Suarez 9.55
17 Bubba Wallace 7.14
18 Chase Briscoe 6.71
19 Austin Dillon 6.6
20 Tyler Reddick 5.07
21 Chris Buescher 4.87
22 Kyle Busch 3.75
23 Justin Haley 3.65
24 Brad Keselowski 3.5
25 Alex Bowman 3.37
26 Aric Almirola 3.25
27 Cole Custer 3.21
28 Noah Gragson 2.48
29 Harrison Burton 2.31
30 Justin Allgaier 2.26
  Austin Hill 2.26
  Zane Smith 2.26
  John Hunter Nemechek 2.26
  David Ragan 2.26
35 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 2.04
36 Todd Gilliland 1.81
37 Ty Gibbs 1.67
38 Ty Dillon 1.64
39 Landon Cassill 1.34
40 Corey Lajoie 1.18
41 Josh Bilicki 0.7
42 JJ Yeley 0.7
43 Josh Williams 0.67
  Kyle Tilley 0.67
  Kimi Raikkonen 0.67
  Ryan Preece 0.67
  Garrett Smithley 0.67
  Mike Rockenfeller 0.67
  Parker Kligerman 0.67
  Daniil Kvyat 0.67
  Conor Daly 0.67
  Kaz Grala 0.67
  Scott Heckert 0.67
  Daniel Hemric 0.67
  Hezemans Loris 0.67
56 Cody Ware 0.47
57 Joey Hand 0.46
58 BJ McLeod 0.31