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The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping


Driver Ratings

StatFox Driver Ratings are based on a weighted combination of 3 factors. The first is the drivers finishing position in recent races. The second factor is the driver's average qualifying position in recent races. Finally, the drivers ability to finish the race (DNF index) is factored. To calculate hypothetical race odds, determine the sum of the ratings of all drivers participating in a race. A driver's odds of winning are approximately equal to their rating divided by the sum of ratings of all participants.


RankDriverRating
1 Kevin Harvick 218.64
2 Matt Kenseth 66.72
3 Denny Hamlin 65.1
4 Joey Logano 61.87
5 Brad Keselowski 60.26
6 Kurt Busch 39.24
7 Chase Elliott 36.01
8 Matt DiBenedetto 31.16
9 Ryan Blaney 15
10 Aric Almirola 14.68
11 Kyle Busch 14.02
12 Kyle Larson 12.12
13 Bowman Alex 11.73
14 Austin Dillon 9.44
  Erik Jones 9.44
  Martin Truex 9.44
17 Ryan Newman 8.72
18 Tyler Reddick 8.45
19 Chris Buescher 6.82
20 Clint Bowyer 5.83
21 Jimmie Johnson 3.4
22 John Hunter Nemechek 3.29
  Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 3.29
24 William Byron 2.83
  Cole Custer 2.83
26 Ty Dillon 2.54
  Michael McDowell 2.54
28 Corey Lajoie 2.21
29 Bubba Wallace 2.1
30 Ross Chastain 2.01
31 Christopher Bell 2
32 JJ Yeley 0.69
33 Joey Gase 0.69
34 Reed Sorenson 0.68
35 Brendan Gaughan 0.67
  Gray Gaulding 0.67
  Justin Haley 0.67
  Josh Bilicki 0.67
  David Ragan 0.67
40 Quin Houff 0.66
41 Timmy Hill 0.66
42 Garrett Smithley 0.65
43 BJ McLeod 0.64
44 Daniel Suarez 0.59
45 Ryan Preece 0.51
46 Brennan Poole 0.2