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The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping


Driver Ratings

StatFox Driver Ratings are based on a weighted combination of 3 factors. The first is the drivers finishing position in recent races. The second factor is the driver's average qualifying position in recent races. Finally, the drivers ability to finish the race (DNF index) is factored. To calculate hypothetical race odds, determine the sum of the ratings of all drivers participating in a race. A driver's odds of winning are approximately equal to their rating divided by the sum of ratings of all participants.


RankDriverRating
1 Kyle Busch 124.51
2 Kevin Harvick 98.75
3 Martin Truex 82.65
4 Joey Logano 61.96
5 Clint Bowyer 57.87
6 Denny Hamlin 29.97
7 Aric Almirola 27.25
8 Kurt Busch 22.49
9 Kyle Larson 21.12
10 Brad Keselowski 17.72
11 Chase Elliott 13.9
12 Erik Jones 13.21
13 Jimmie Johnson 11.14
14 Bowman Alex 9.49
15 Ryan Blaney 7.56
16 Paul Menard 4.11
17 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 3.9
18 Daniel Suarez 3.58
  Austin Dillon 3.58
20 Jamie McMurray 3.1
21 Ryan Newman 2.98
22 William Byron 2.74
23 Chris Buescher 2.66
24 AJ Allmendinger 2.3
  Bubba Wallace 2.3
26 Justin Marks 2.26
  Chris Cook 2.26
  Daniel Hemric 2.26
  David Gilliland 2.26
  Brendan Gaughan 2.26
31 David Ragan 1.91
32 Kasey Kahne 1.87
33 Matt Kenseth 1.6
34 Michael McDowell 1.31
35 Ty Dillon 1.2
36 Trevor Bayne 1.17
37 DJ Kennington 0.91
38 Gray Gaulding 0.7
39 Matt DiBenedetto 0.69
40 Corey Lajoie 0.69
41 JJ Yeley 0.69
42 Harrison Rhodes 0.67
43 Reed Sorenson 0.67
44 Cody Ware 0.67
  Kyle Weatherman 0.67
  Garrett Smithley 0.67
  Mark Thompson 0.67
  Danica Patrick 0.67
  Timothy Peters 0.67
  Jesse Little 0.67
  Chad Finchum 0.67
  Joey Gase 0.67
  Parker Kligerman 0.67
  Ray Black II 0.67
  Tomy Drissi 0.67
  Cole Custer 0.67
57 Timmy Hill 0.66
58 BJ McLeod 0.66
59 Cole Whitt 0.52
60 Ross Chastain 0.51
61 Jeffrey Earnhardt 0.4
62 Landon Cassill 0.27