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The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping


Driver Ratings

StatFox Driver Ratings are based on a weighted combination of 3 factors. The first is the drivers finishing position in recent races. The second factor is the driver's average qualifying position in recent races. Finally, the drivers ability to finish the race (DNF index) is factored. To calculate hypothetical race odds, determine the sum of the ratings of all drivers participating in a race. A driver's odds of winning are approximately equal to their rating divided by the sum of ratings of all participants.


RankDriverRating
1 Brad Keselowski 108.05
2 Kevin Harvick 66.72
3 Joey Logano 40.86
4 Kurt Busch 37.92
5 Martin Truex 33.81
6 Denny Hamlin 30.87
7 Chase Elliott 19.7
8 Kyle Larson 18.53
9 Carl Edwards 14.88
10 Kyle Busch 14.77
11 Matt Kenseth 14.29
12 Jamie McMurray 13.46
13 Kasey Kahne 12.5
14 Ryan Newman 12.03
15 Austin Dillon 11.43
16 Jeff Gordon 10.2
17 Jimmie Johnson 6.79
18 Tony Stewart 5.11
19 Trevor Bayne 4.64
20 Ryan Blaney 4.05
21 AJ Allmendinger 3.86
22 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 3.36
23 Greg Biffle 2.73
24 Danica Patrick 2.57
25 Michael Waltrip 2.26
26 Paul Menard 2
27 Clint Bowyer 1.89
28 Ty Dillon 1.85
29 Casey Mears 1.03
30 Aric Almirola 0.86
31 Michael McDowell 0.84
32 Chris Buescher 0.71
33 Scott Brian 0.7
34 Matt DiBenedetto 0.69
35 Michael Annett 0.68
36 David Gilliland 0.67
  Bobby Labonte 0.67
38 Reed Sorenson 0.66
39 Landon Cassill 0.55
40 David Ragan 0.45
41 Regan Smith 0.31
42 Cole Whitt 0.27