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The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping


Driver Ratings

StatFox Driver Ratings are based on a weighted combination of 3 factors. The first is the drivers finishing position in recent races. The second factor is the driver's average qualifying position in recent races. Finally, the drivers ability to finish the race (DNF index) is factored. To calculate hypothetical race odds, determine the sum of the ratings of all drivers participating in a race. A driver's odds of winning are approximately equal to their rating divided by the sum of ratings of all participants.


RankDriverRating
1 Kevin Harvick 203.09
2 Kurt Busch 88.73
3 Martin Truex 75.14
4 Jimmie Johnson 66.72
5 Ryan Newman 52.71
6 Joey Logano 49.48
7 Dale Earnhardt, Jr. 38.71
8 Brad Keselowski 29.01
9 Jamie McMurray 19.31
10 Matt Kenseth 15
11 Jeff Gordon 11.73
  Paul Menard 11.73
13 Kasey Kahne 11.07
14 Aric Almirola 9.98
15 Denny Hamlin 4.74
16 Clint Bowyer 3.9
17 Danica Patrick 3.48
18 Kyle Larson 3.26
19 Carl Edwards 2.45
20 Chase Elliott 2.26
  Casey Mears 2.26
  Michael Waltrip 2.26
23 AJ Allmendinger 2.19
24 David Ragan 1.75
25 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 1.71
26 Austin Dillon 1.57
27 Greg Biffle 1.54
28 Justin Allgaier 1.27
29 Chris Buescher 1.19
30 Sam Hornish, Jr. 1.07
31 David Gilliland 0.86
32 Matt DiBenedetto 0.7
33 Bowman Alex 0.69
34 Michael Annett 0.68
35 Landon Cassill 0.68
36 Josh Wise 0.68
37 JJ Yeley 0.67
38 Scott Brian 0.67
  Reed Sorenson 0.67
  Tanner Berryhill 0.67
  Ryan Blaney 0.67
  Ron Hornaday 0.67
  Bobby Labonte 0.67
44 Mike Bliss 0.66
45 Jeb Burton 0.63
46 Cole Whitt 0.46
47 Trevor Bayne 0.44
48 Michael McDowell 0.4
49 Tony Stewart 0.3