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The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping


Driver Ratings

StatFox Driver Ratings are based on a weighted combination of 3 factors. The first is the drivers finishing position in recent races. The second factor is the driver's average qualifying position in recent races. Finally, the drivers ability to finish the race (DNF index) is factored. To calculate hypothetical race odds, determine the sum of the ratings of all drivers participating in a race. A driver's odds of winning are approximately equal to their rating divided by the sum of ratings of all participants.


RankDriverRating
1 Kyle Larson 166.91
2 Denny Hamlin 94.26
3 Chase Elliott 58.1
4 Ryan Blaney 50.02
5 Kevin Harvick 45.17
6 Kyle Busch 29.01
7 Joey Logano 28.47
8 Brad Keselowski 27.39
  Martin Truex 27.39
10 Kurt Busch 25.77
  Alex Bowman 25.77
12 Tyler Reddick 15.54
13 Austin Dillon 12.71
14 William Byron 10.75
15 Christopher Bell 9
16 Matt DiBenedetto 7.36
17 Aric Almirola 5.29
18 Chris Buescher 4.41
19 Ross Chastain 3.96
20 Erik Jones 3.82
21 Bubba Wallace 3.78
22 Chase Briscoe 3.54
23 Daniel Suarez 3.13
24 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 2.69
25 Cole Custer 2.58
26 Austin Cindric 2.26
  Justin Allgaier 2.26
  AJ Allmendinger 2.26
  Andy Lally 2.26
30 Michael McDowell 1.88
31 Corey Lajoie 1.76
32 Ryan Preece 1.64
33 Ryan Newman 1.13
34 Garrett Smithley 0.69
35 Cody Ware 0.69
36 David Starr 0.69
37 James Davison 0.68
38 Joey Gase 0.68
39 Quin Houff 0.68
40 Timmy Hill 0.67
41 Scott Heckert 0.67
  Joey Hand 0.67
  Kaz Grala 0.67
  Ty Dillon 0.67
  Ryan Ellis 0.67
  RC Enerson 0.67
  Ryan Eversley 0.67
  Chad Finchum 0.67
  Currey Bayley 0.67
  Landon Cassill 0.67
  Kyle Tilley 0.67
  Ben Rhodes 0.67
  Parker Kligerman 0.67
  JJ Yeley 0.67
55 Anthony Alfredo 0.46
56 Justin Haley 0.43
57 BJ McLeod 0.36
58 Josh Bilicki 0.2