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NBA Basketball Game Matchup Report

Saturday, 4/26/2008 at 5:30 PM				LA LAKERS (59-25) at DENVER (50-34)
Expanded Matchup \| FoxSheet				Results			Offensive Statistics				Defensive Statistics
Teams	Line	PF	PA	SU	ATS	O/U/P	FG	FT	3PT	O/REB	FG	FT	3PT	O/REB
703: LA LAKERS	230	109.0	101.5	59-25	49-34-1	40-43-1	40-83 47.7%	21-28 77.0%	8-21 37.9%	11-52	38-86 44.5%	18-25 75.1%	7-19 36.0%	12-51
704: DENVER	-1.5	110.7	107.4	50-34	44-40-0	46-36-2	40-86 46.9%	23-31 75.0%	7-19 35.3%	11-54	41-89 45.8%	18-25 73.2%	8-21 36.5%	13-54

Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.

	Power Rating
	Estimate	Edge
LA LAKERS	-3
DENVER

Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.

LA LAKERS - Recent ATS Trends
	Against the spread			Over/Under			Straight Up
	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996
Description	W-L	W-L	W-L	O-U	O-U	O-U	W-L	W-L	W-L
in all games	49-34	133-119	516-535	40-43	133-125	544-495	59-25	150-110	682-391
when the total is greater than or equal to 210	24-12	41-27	44-40	16-20	32-37	41-44	28-8	45-24	52-33
as an underdog	13-6	59-40	144-136	7-12	44-58	125-153	10-10	42-61	106-181
as a road underdog of 3 points or less	4-0	16-7	48-44	2-2	12-12	43-50	4-0	16-8	47-47
in road games	27-13	74-52	260-265	17-23	59-70	262-255	27-14	63-67	283-252
in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 210	13-1	23-7	25-12	5-9	11-19	17-20	12-2	18-12	21-16
in April games	6-4	21-15	67-77	5-5	18-18	82-62	9-1	23-13	100-52
second half of the season	24-16	59-58	233-250	19-21	58-64	247-230	31-9	70-52	327-176
on Saturday games	1-0	6-5	29-31	0-1	8-3	36-25	1-0	6-5	36-26
when playing with 2 days rest	6-3	13-16	59-74	2-7	16-13	68-63	7-2	15-14	83-52
against Northwest division opponents	13-7	25-28	33-37	11-9	31-25	41-32	17-3	36-20	44-30
in the first round of the playoffs	2-0	8-6	26-22	1-1	7-7	23-25	2-0	6-8	32-16
when leading in a playoff series	1-0	1-3	31-28	0-1	2-2	29-32	1-0	2-2	42-19
after allowing 105 points or more	15-19	45-48	126-138	14-20	45-49	130-136	20-14	52-43	157-115
after a win by 10 points or more	21-17	47-33	174-171	17-20	38-42	170-165	25-13	51-30	239-115
after scoring 105 points or more	28-25	67-56	199-208	26-26	63-61	203-199	37-16	78-48	269-148
after playing 3 consecutive home games	6-5	23-12	73-53	5-5	15-19	60-65	8-3	23-12	82-46
after 3 or more consecutive wins	14-13	23-27	137-155	14-13	29-21	162-126	18-9	26-24	196-103
when playing against a team with a winning record	23-22	64-54	286-299	23-22	60-61	288-294	29-17	60-62	348-254
when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season	11-11	31-32	175-181	12-10	30-35	169-187	17-5	29-36	216-151
versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game	32-11	68-48	135-132	20-23	62-54	136-127	36-7	73-43	188-87
versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season	19-4	42-27	74-65	10-13	36-33	74-64	19-4	40-29	94-49
versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game	22-17	52-50	132-133	21-19	54-50	125-140	28-12	58-46	155-116
versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season	10-8	28-31	79-81	10-8	29-30	74-86	14-4	30-29	93-71

DENVER - Recent ATS Trends
	Against the spread			Over/Under			Straight Up
	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996
Description	W-L	W-L	W-L	O-U	O-U	O-U	W-L	W-L	W-L
in all games	44-40	133-124	467-478	46-36	132-121	476-461	50-34	141-117	398-565
when the total is greater than or equal to 210	26-26	52-50	61-65	30-20	57-43	66-56	32-20	61-41	70-56
as a favorite	32-24	76-66	165-156	31-23	81-57	168-144	42-14	98-44	223-99
as a home favorite of 3 points or less	4-2	6-7	28-23	4-2	7-6	24-26	4-2	6-7	32-20
in home games	24-17	66-61	242-227	22-17	69-54	235-226	33-8	83-44	262-215
in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 210	13-12	29-25	35-32	13-10	29-23	34-30	19-6	38-16	45-22
in April games	3-7	16-22	67-67	4-5	14-23	64-68	5-5	20-18	61-76
second half of the season	20-19	63-57	228-234	24-13	67-52	240-213	23-16	67-54	192-282
on Saturday games	3-9	13-25	68-86	6-6	19-20	77-81	6-6	19-20	66-94
when playing with 2 days rest	6-7	18-22	73-70	8-4	20-19	77-65	7-6	21-19	62-83
against Pacific division opponents	6-14	25-35	144-140	10-9	25-35	145-137	10-10	28-33	114-184
in the first round of the playoffs	0-2	3-9	7-15	1-1	1-11	5-17	0-2	2-10	4-18
when trailing in a playoff series	0-1	1-6	4-9	0-1	0-7	3-10	0-1	1-6	2-11
revenging a loss vs opponent	16-16	59-54	261-267	17-15	51-62	243-284	19-13	58-56	201-351
after allowing 105 points or more	25-22	60-56	159-159	27-20	62-54	160-158	27-20	65-52	144-183
after a loss by 10 points or more	12-7	37-23	158-148	12-7	29-31	144-157	13-6	35-25	119-199
after scoring 105 points or more	29-32	72-68	150-140	33-26	80-58	153-134	34-27	79-62	149-146
when playing against a team with a winning record	21-23	64-60	243-241	22-22	60-63	243-241	21-23	59-65	167-335
when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season	12-13	32-34	109-128	14-11	31-35	121-117	12-13	29-37	76-170
versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game	21-25	51-54	111-119	26-19	58-46	116-114	28-18	62-44	120-114
versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season	11-14	27-30	58-65	14-10	30-27	59-64	15-10	33-25	61-64
versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game	16-19	44-48	111-117	17-17	49-43	117-111	19-16	49-44	86-149
versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season	10-11	26-26	54-65	10-10	27-25	64-53	12-9	29-24	45-78

Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.

LA LAKERS - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team				Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.
All Games	59-25	+15.3	49-34	40-43	109.0	54.7	47.7%	52.4	101.5	51.1	44.5%	51.2
Road Games	27-14	+14.5	27-13	17-23	107.0	54.8	47.8%	51.3	101.4	50.6	44.8%	51.0
Last 5 Games	5-0	+4	4-1	3-2	117.4	59.4	49.3%	52.8	102.2	50.2	45.2%	49.8
Playoff Games	2-0	+2	2-0	1-1	125.0	58.5	50.3%	52.0	110.5	52.5	44.4%	59.5

LA LAKERS Team Statistics
			Shooting		3pt Shooting		Free Throws		Rebounding
	PPG	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	PCT	FTM-A	Pct	Tot	Off	Ast	PF	Stl	TO	Bk
Team Stats (All Games)	109.0	54.7	40-83	47.7%	8-21	37.9%	21-28	77.0%	52	11	25	21	8	14	5
vs opponents surrendering	100.3	50.3	37-82	45.8%	7-18	36.2%	19-25	75.5%	51	11	22	21	7	14	5
Team Stats (Road Games)	107.0	54.8	40-83	47.8%	8-21	36.9%	20-26	76.5%	51	10	23	21	8	13	5
Stats Against (All Games)	101.5	51.1	38-86	44.5%	7-19	36.0%	18-25	75.1%	51	12	22	23	8	14	4
vs opponents averaging	100.3	50.2	37-82	45.8%	6-18	36.1%	19-25	75.8%	50	11	22	21	7	13	5
Stats Against (Road Games)	101.4	50.6	38-85	44.8%	6-18	35.6%	18-24	75.5%	51	12	21	22	7	13	4

DENVER - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team				Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.
All Games	50-34	-10.2	44-40	46-36	110.7	56.1	46.9%	53.9	107.4	55.3	45.8%	54.5
Home Games	33-8	+7.2	24-17	22-17	113.0	57.2	46.6%	57.4	102.5	51.9	43.6%	54.0
Last 5 Games	2-3	-2	1-4	1-3	109.8	58.4	46.2%	57.8	115.8	55.4	46.7%	54.0
Playoff Games	0-2	-2	0-2	1-1	110.5	52.5	44.4%	59.5	125.0	58.5	50.3%	52.0

DENVER Team Statistics
			Shooting		3pt Shooting		Free Throws		Rebounding
	PPG	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	PCT	FTM-A	Pct	Tot	Off	Ast	PF	Stl	TO	Bk
Team Stats (All Games)	110.7	56.1	40-86	46.9%	7-19	35.3%	23-31	75.0%	54	11	24	21	9	14	7
vs opponents surrendering	100	50.1	37-82	45.7%	6-18	36.1%	19-25	75.6%	50	11	22	21	7	13	5
Team Stats (Home Games)	113.0	57.2	40-87	46.6%	7-19	35.2%	26-33	76.2%	57	12	27	21	9	14	8
Stats Against (All Games)	107.4	55.3	41-89	45.8%	8-21	36.5%	18-25	73.2%	54	13	26	24	8	16	5
vs opponents averaging	100.1	50.1	37-82	45.8%	7-18	36.2%	19-25	75.7%	50	11	22	21	7	13	5
Stats Against (Home Games)	102.5	51.9	39-89	43.6%	7-21	35.6%	18-25	71.6%	54	12	25	25	8	16	5

Average power rating of opponents played: LA LAKERS 95.9, DENVER 95.5

Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.

LA LAKERS - Season Results
								Team Stats				Opp Stats
Date	Opponent	Score	SU	Line	ATS	Tot.	O/U	Shots	Pct	REB	TO	Shots	Pct	REB	TO
3/18/2008	@ DALLAS	102-100	W	6	W	211	U	37-89	41.6%	55	9	32-72	44.4%	53	14
3/20/2008	@ UTAH	106-95	W	6	W	216.5	U	42-80	52.5%	48	6	36-80	45.0%	51	8
3/21/2008	SEATTLE	130-105	W	-16.5	W	220.5	O	51-84	60.7%	43	9	42-90	46.7%	46	16
3/23/2008	GOLDEN STATE	111-115	L	-7	L	233.5	U	39-95	41.1%	65	18	38-89	42.7%	51	11
3/24/2008	@ GOLDEN STATE	123-119	W	-2.5	W	228.5	O	46-102	45.1%	60	16	45-103	43.7%	64	15
3/26/2008	CHARLOTTE	95-108	L	-13	L	214	U	34-83	41.0%	47	13	39-78	50.0%	56	18
3/28/2008	MEMPHIS	111-114	L	-13.5	L	216	O	41-104	39.4%	55	10	40-81	49.4%	57	15
3/30/2008	WASHINGTON	126-120	W	-7	L	211	O	43-87	49.4%	54	8	41-88	46.6%	51	7
4/2/2008	PORTLAND	104-91	W	-14	L	205	U	37-75	49.3%	48	14	34-81	42.0%	44	14
4/4/2008	DALLAS	112-108	W	-5	L	207.5	O	39-74	52.7%	40	10	43-82	52.4%	47	8
4/6/2008	@ SACRAMENTO	114-92	W	-9.5	W	223	U	41-78	52.6%	54	19	33-79	41.8%	37	16
4/8/2008	@ PORTLAND	103-112	L	-8.5	L	204.5	O	35-78	44.9%	44	11	41-81	50.6%	49	13
4/10/2008	@ LA CLIPPERS	106-78	W	-17	W	208.5	U	40-82	48.8%	54	8	30-83	36.1%	61	12
4/11/2008	NEW ORLEANS	107-104	W	-5	L	212.5	U	36-80	45.0%	53	12	41-80	51.2%	38	11
4/13/2008	SAN ANTONIO	106-85	W	-8	W	187	O	41-82	50.0%	55	13	33-79	41.8%	45	8
4/15/2008	SACRAMENTO	124-101	W	-17.5	W	217	O	43-85	50.6%	52	15	38-86	44.2%	47	19
4/20/2008	DENVER	128-114	W	-8	W	225	O	46-92	50.0%	55	12	43-96	44.8%	63	12
4/23/2008	DENVER	122-107	W	-8	W	229.5	U	46-91	50.5%	49	11	37-84	44.0%	56	14
4/26/2008	@ DENVER
4/28/2008	@ DENVER

DENVER - Season Results
								Team Stats				Opp Stats
Date	Opponent	Score	SU	Line	ATS	Tot.	O/U	Shots	Pct	REB	TO	Shots	Pct	REB	TO
3/18/2008	@ DETROIT	120-136	L	4.5	L	212	O	43-76	56.6%	33	13	55-91	60.4%	48	18
3/19/2008	@ PHILADELPHIA	113-115	L	3	W	223	O	44-92	47.8%	44	13	47-78	60.3%	57	21
3/21/2008	@ NEW JERSEY	125-114	W	-5	W	226	O	48-89	53.9%	44	9	42-83	50.6%	55	18
3/23/2008	@ TORONTO	109-100	W	2.5	W	225	U	39-81	48.1%	44	7	41-82	50.0%	45	11
3/24/2008	@ MEMPHIS	120-106	W	-9	W	228.5	U	43-86	50.0%	49	12	42-97	43.3%	59	14
3/27/2008	DALLAS	118-105	W	-8.5	W	214.5	O	43-88	48.9%	50	9	41-81	50.6%	49	17
3/29/2008	GOLDEN STATE	119-112	W	-8	L	240	U	46-100	46.0%	69	12	42-104	40.4%	57	13
3/31/2008	@ PHOENIX	117-132	L	5.5	L	235	O	48-91	52.7%	47	10	44-91	48.4%	57	10
4/1/2008	PHOENIX	126-120	W	-7.5	L	238	O	40-78	51.3%	52	16	47-89	52.8%	50	17
4/5/2008	SACRAMENTO	115-118	L	-16.5	L	229	O	41-90	45.6%	58	22	41-88	46.6%	54	21
4/6/2008	@ SEATTLE	147-151	L	-12.5	L	227	O	54-107	50.5%	59	14	61-116	52.6%	64	15
4/8/2008	@ LA CLIPPERS	117-99	W	-12.5	W	218.5	U	43-84	51.2%	60	10	38-86	44.2%	46	10
4/10/2008	@ GOLDEN STATE	114-105	W	4	W	238	U	42-83	50.6%	53	15	42-100	42.0%	62	18
4/12/2008	@ UTAH	97-124	L	6	L	226	U	35-73	47.9%	47	16	50-87	57.5%	49	9
4/13/2008	HOUSTON	111-94	W	-6.5	W	211.5	U	41-85	48.2%	56	14	32-92	34.8%	63	17
4/16/2008	MEMPHIS	120-111	W	-14	L	231	P	44-95	46.3%	67	14	43-103	41.7%	54	12
4/20/2008	@ LA LAKERS	114-128	L	8	L	225	O	43-96	44.8%	63	12	46-92	50.0%	55	12
4/23/2008	@ LA LAKERS	107-122	L	8	L	229.5	U	37-84	44.0%	56	14	46-91	50.5%	49	11
4/26/2008	LA LAKERS
4/28/2008	LA LAKERS

Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.

All games in this series since 1996

LA LAKERS is 27-17 against the spread versus DENVER since 1996

LA LAKERS is 35-12 straight up against DENVER since 1996

23 of 42 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996

Games over the last 3 seasons

LA LAKERS is 10-2 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons

LA LAKERS is 8-4 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons

7 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at DENVER since 1996

DENVER is 11-11 against the spread versus LA LAKERS since 1996

LA LAKERS is 13-10 straight up against DENVER since 1996

11 of 20 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996

Games played at DENVER over the last 3 seasons.

LA LAKERS is 4-1 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons

DENVER is 3-2 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons

3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

						Shooting		3pt shots		Free Throws		Rebounds
Date	Teams	Score	Line	Result	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	Pct	FTM-A	Pct	Tot.	OFF	TO
04/23/2008	DENVER	107	229.5	Under	49	37-84	44.0%	4-19	21.1%	29-36	80.6%	56	15	14
	LA LAKERS	122	-8	SU ATS	59	46-91	50.5%	12-28	42.9%	18-24	75.0%	49	12	11
04/20/2008	DENVER	114	225	Over	56	43-96	44.8%	5-12	41.7%	23-37	62.2%	63	19	12
	LA LAKERS	128	-8	SU ATS	58	46-92	50.0%	9-20	45.0%	27-32	84.4%	55	13	12
01/21/2008	DENVER	99	225	Under	57	39-87	44.8%	5-12	41.7%	16-22	72.7%	56	12	16
	LA LAKERS	116	-2.5	SU ATS	67	40-84	47.6%	11-25	44.0%	25-34	73.5%	51	11	12
12/05/2007	LA LAKERS	111	221	SU ATS	62	40-84	47.6%	10-26	38.5%	21-32	65.6%	53	11	15
	DENVER	107	-8	Under	58	36-80	45.0%	3-14	21.4%	32-43	74.4%	57	12	15
11/29/2007	DENVER	99	220	Over	57	40-90	44.4%	4-18	22.2%	15-23	65.2%	51	13	18
	LA LAKERS	127	-5	SU ATS	55	48-95	50.5%	9-22	40.9%	22-31	71.0%	63	17	14
04/09/2007	LA LAKERS	111	217	ATS	58	41-94	43.6%	9-22	40.9%	20-28	71.4%	53	14	11
	DENVER	115	-6.5	SU Over	65	35-78	44.9%	6-20	30.0%	39-49	79.6%	61	15	16
04/03/2007	DENVER	111	217	SU ATS	63	40-83	48.2%	5-10	50.0%	26-36	72.2%	54	10	14
	LA LAKERS	105	-3.5	Under	58	40-90	44.4%	3-17	17.6%	22-26	84.6%	53	7	14
03/15/2007	LA LAKERS	86	212.5	Under	51	34-83	41.0%	3-22	13.6%	15-23	65.2%	46	13	13
	DENVER	113	-5	SU ATS	51	41-76	53.9%	10-15	66.7%	21-28	75.0%	53	10	14
01/05/2007	DENVER	104	217.5	Over	55	39-92	42.4%	7-16	43.7%	19-24	79.2%	53	17	14
	LA LAKERS	123	-6.5	SU ATS	68	47-96	49.0%	13-28	46.4%	16-22	72.7%	60	14	13

Team Line Action - Where the money is going!

Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.

As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring DENVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in LA LAKERS games 49.6% of the time since 1996. (408-414)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in LA LAKERS games 51% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (105-101)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DENVER games 48.5% of the time since 1996. (365-388)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DENVER games 52.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (108-98)
No Edge.

As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in LA LAKERS games 50.1% of the time since 1996. (459-458)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in LA LAKERS games 49.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (119-122)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in DENVER games 49.3% of the time since 1996. (397-408)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in DENVER games 47.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (110-122)
No Edge.

Key Player Injuries

LA LAKERS

No significant injuries.

DENVER

[F/C] Nene Hilario missed last game, "?" Wednesday vs LA Lakers. - Groin - 04/20/08

The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping