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NBA Basketball Game Matchup Report

Saturday, 4/26/2008 at 3:00 PM				ORLANDO (54-31) at TORONTO (42-43)
Expanded Matchup \| FoxSheet				Results			Offensive Statistics				Defensive Statistics
Teams	Line	PF	PA	SU	ATS	O/U/P	FG	FT	3PT	O/REB	FG	FT	3PT	O/REB
701: ORLANDO	204	104.5	99.2	54-31	52-31-2	39-45-1	37-79 47.4%	20-28 72.3%	10-25 38.4%	9-51	37-84 44.6%	18-24 75.9%	6-18 36.0%	11-50
702: TORONTO	-2.5	100.3	97.5	42-43	41-43-1	43-42-0	38-82 46.7%	17-20 81.6%	7-18 39.1%	10-47	37-80 45.8%	16-21 77.7%	8-21 36.6%	10-49

Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.

	Power Rating
	Estimate	Edge
ORLANDO
TORONTO	-1

Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.

ORLANDO - Recent ATS Trends
	Against the spread			Over/Under			Straight Up
	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996
Description	W-L	W-L	W-L	O-U	O-U	O-U	W-L	W-L	W-L
in all games	52-31	133-111	451-484	39-45	120-131	467-451	54-31	130-123	467-490
as an underdog	16-7	60-48	203-244	13-10	61-53	216-231	12-11	40-74	141-319
as a road underdog of 3 points or less	7-2	11-8	30-38	3-6	8-11	31-37	7-2	10-9	27-42
in road games	27-15	67-54	216-252	20-22	64-62	226-239	27-15	52-74	182-298
in a road game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points	7-3	11-4	30-38	4-6	5-10	30-38	7-3	10-5	26-43
in April games	7-4	18-13	63-69	3-8	14-19	57-73	7-4	20-13	64-74
second half of the season	22-15	59-55	221-232	16-22	57-61	217-225	25-13	59-59	243-231
on Saturday games	8-4	25-13	77-56	7-6	20-21	71-63	8-5	23-18	78-66
against Atlantic division opponents	13-8	29-27	35-38	12-9	29-28	39-36	15-6	33-24	42-33
in the first round of the playoffs	1-2	2-3	12-17	2-1	5-2	19-11	2-1	2-5	10-21
when leading in a playoff series	0-2	0-2	1-5	1-1	1-1	3-3	1-1	1-1	2-4
revenging a loss vs opponent	24-9	72-52	225-235	16-17	64-65	237-218	22-11	69-61	235-249
after allowing 105 points or more	18-7	36-23	116-126	8-17	26-36	112-135	16-9	27-35	112-145
after a loss by 10 points or more	10-2	26-21	110-115	5-7	32-19	109-112	9-3	21-30	104-140
when playing against a team with a losing record	26-17	68-56	216-214	18-26	57-70	221-207	32-13	77-51	271-176
when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season	13-8	35-29	101-105	9-13	30-36	104-104	18-5	41-26	130-85
versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game	19-12	46-35	86-94	16-16	41-40	83-93	17-15	41-41	83-105
versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season	7-6	19-21	38-52	7-7	19-22	41-47	8-6	20-21	41-54

TORONTO - Recent ATS Trends
	Against the spread			Over/Under			Straight Up
	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996
Description	W-L	W-L	W-L	O-U	O-U	O-U	W-L	W-L	W-L
in all games	41-43	133-114	474-462	43-42	125-129	459-464	42-43	118-137	413-544
as a favorite	26-21	58-46	163-173	26-22	50-58	165-172	31-17	75-33	224-119
as a home favorite of 3 points or less	1-5	13-12	39-38	0-6	12-13	33-44	1-5	15-10	42-35
in home games	23-19	65-59	226-241	19-23	62-64	229-234	26-16	73-54	248-229
in a home game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points	4-2	12-10	22-27	3-3	10-12	24-26	5-1	13-9	24-26
in April games	4-7	14-19	59-70	3-8	16-19	55-76	4-7	13-22	55-86
second half of the season	16-24	56-56	214-235	19-21	58-59	215-231	17-23	54-63	198-275
on Saturday games	2-5	9-12	41-38	4-3	13-9	40-35	1-6	5-17	30-55
against Southeast division opponents	11-10	37-17	44-27	13-8	33-24	43-32	11-10	34-23	42-33
in the first round of the playoffs	2-1	3-5	12-9	2-1	5-4	12-9	1-2	3-6	8-14
when trailing in a playoff series	2-0	3-2	10-3	1-1	3-3	7-6	1-1	3-3	8-6
after a win by 10 points or more	10-16	31-28	90-88	10-16	29-32	87-90	10-16	28-33	88-94
after scoring 105 points or more	11-19	38-43	101-106	15-15	38-45	97-108	11-19	33-50	91-122
when playing against a team with a winning record	15-22	54-54	236-226	20-17	59-54	230-227	12-25	37-76	160-325
when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season	6-12	26-27	109-124	9-9	31-27	120-116	4-14	20-38	72-174
versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game	24-25	57-52	111-118	23-26	48-63	105-123	24-25	57-54	123-113
versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season	15-19	28-33	56-63	16-18	30-32	57-64	16-18	33-29	68-56
versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game	16-20	44-36	97-95	20-16	42-40	93-96	12-24	30-52	69-130
versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season	6-11	18-18	36-51	10-7	21-17	43-46	4-13	15-23	26-66

Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.

ORLANDO - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team				Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.
All Games	54-31	-14.7	52-31	39-45	104.5	52.1	47.4%	51.0	99.2	49.6	44.6%	50.1
Road Games	27-15	+9.4	27-15	20-22	104.2	50.6	46.9%	50.9	100.0	50.9	44.1%	51.8
Last 5 Games	4-1	+3.2	3-2	3-2	107.2	51.4	49.1%	48.2	99.8	52.2	45.3%	47.6
Playoff Games	2-1	+1	1-2	2-1	104.0	53.0	47.3%	48.0	103.7	55.0	44.2%	47.3

ORLANDO Team Statistics
			Shooting		3pt Shooting		Free Throws		Rebounding
	PPG	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	PCT	FTM-A	Pct	Tot	Off	Ast	PF	Stl	TO	Bk
Team Stats (All Games)	104.5	52.1	37-79	47.4%	10-25	38.4%	20-28	72.3%	51	9	21	21	6	14	4
vs opponents surrendering	99.6	49.7	37-81	45.8%	7-18	36.3%	19-25	75.6%	50	11	22	21	7	14	5
Team Stats (Road Games)	104.2	50.6	37-79	46.9%	10-26	36.9%	21-28	72.8%	51	9	21	21	7	14	4
Stats Against (All Games)	99.2	49.6	37-84	44.6%	6-18	36.0%	18-24	75.9%	50	11	22	23	7	13	4
vs opponents averaging	99	49.5	37-81	45.5%	6-18	36.1%	19-25	75.5%	50	11	22	21	7	13	5
Stats Against (Road Games)	100.0	50.9	37-85	44.1%	6-19	34.5%	19-24	76.9%	52	12	24	23	7	13	4

TORONTO - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team				Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.
All Games	42-43	-21.5	41-43	43-42	100.3	50.1	46.7%	46.6	97.5	48.6	45.8%	49.1
Home Games	26-16	-13.5	23-19	19-23	102.3	50.1	47.6%	47.5	94.7	47.0	44.6%	48.2
Last 5 Games	2-3	-2	2-3	2-3	99.8	52.4	44.4%	46.6	98.8	51.4	45.4%	50.0
Playoff Games	1-2	-1	2-1	2-1	103.7	55.0	44.2%	47.3	104.0	53.0	47.3%	48.0

TORONTO Team Statistics
			Shooting		3pt Shooting		Free Throws		Rebounding
	PPG	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	PCT	FTM-A	Pct	Tot	Off	Ast	PF	Stl	TO	Bk
Team Stats (All Games)	100.3	50.1	38-82	46.7%	7-18	39.1%	17-20	81.6%	47	10	24	20	7	11	4
vs opponents surrendering	99.6	49.8	37-81	45.6%	7-18	36.2%	19-25	75.4%	50	11	22	21	7	14	5
Team Stats (Home Games)	102.3	50.1	39-82	47.6%	7-19	39.6%	17-20	82.2%	48	10	24	19	7	10	5
Stats Against (All Games)	97.5	48.6	37-80	45.8%	8-21	36.6%	16-21	77.7%	49	10	22	18	6	13	4
vs opponents averaging	99.4	49.7	37-81	45.5%	7-18	36.1%	19-25	74.9%	51	11	21	21	7	14	5
Stats Against (Home Games)	94.7	47.0	36-80	44.6%	8-21	37.3%	16-21	76.5%	48	10	21	18	5	13	4

Average power rating of opponents played: ORLANDO 95.5, TORONTO 95.9

Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.

ORLANDO - Season Results
								Team Stats				Opp Stats
Date	Opponent	Score	SU	Line	ATS	Tot.	O/U	Shots	Pct	REB	TO	Shots	Pct	REB	TO
3/17/2008	CLEVELAND	104-90	W	-6.5	W	202.5	U	34-86	39.5%	57	10	35-80	43.7%	54	14
3/19/2008	WASHINGTON	86-87	L	-7	L	206	U	26-77	33.8%	57	13	35-82	42.7%	53	11
3/21/2008	PHILADELPHIA	113-95	W	-6.5	W	205.5	O	41-77	53.2%	49	21	38-86	44.2%	46	13
3/22/2008	@ ATLANTA	90-98	L	0	L	211	U	35-85	41.2%	47	12	36-76	47.4%	57	18
3/25/2008	SAN ANTONIO	97-107	L	-1.5	L	190	O	35-77	45.5%	52	11	40-74	54.1%	40	10
3/28/2008	@ MILWAUKEE	103-86	W	-8.5	W	213.5	U	35-79	44.3%	55	14	35-102	34.3%	68	12
4/1/2008	NEW ORLEANS	97-98	L	2	W	210	U	37-74	50.0%	37	11	35-86	40.7%	62	11
4/5/2008	@ CLEVELAND	101-86	W	2	W	197	U	36-77	46.8%	41	11	34-88	38.6%	64	16
4/6/2008	@ NEW YORK	90-100	L	-7.5	L	212	U	32-80	40.0%	59	14	33-92	35.9%	68	8
4/9/2008	CHICAGO	115-83	W	-9.5	W	206.5	U	45-89	50.6%	58	15	34-83	41.0%	49	19
4/11/2008	MINNESOTA	101-102	L	-12	L	206.5	U	39-76	51.3%	44	13	38-85	44.7%	52	12
4/13/2008	@ CHICAGO	104-84	W	-3	W	204.5	U	34-69	49.3%	51	16	32-80	40.0%	46	18
4/15/2008	@ ATLANTA	121-105	W	2.5	W	203.5	O	47-82	57.3%	44	12	41-88	46.6%	49	16
4/16/2008	WASHINGTON	103-83	W	-8.5	W	202.5	U	41-88	46.6%	53	7	36-76	47.4%	47	12
4/20/2008	TORONTO	114-100	W	-6	W	196	O	41-77	53.2%	48	10	32-85	37.6%	46	7
4/22/2008	TORONTO	104-103	W	-6	L	200.5	O	38-89	42.7%	55	13	37-81	45.7%	46	13
4/24/2008	@ TORONTO	94-108	L	4	L	205	U	34-73	46.6%	41	14	42-85	49.4%	50	12
4/26/2008	@ TORONTO
4/28/2008	TORONTO

TORONTO - Season Results
								Team Stats				Opp Stats
Date	Opponent	Score	SU	Line	ATS	Tot.	O/U	Shots	Pct	REB	TO	Shots	Pct	REB	TO
3/17/2008	@ UTAH	79-96	L	13.5	L	213	U	32-80	40.0%	44	17	38-69	55.1%	46	16
3/19/2008	MIAMI	96-54	W	-18.5	W	198.5	U	39-72	54.2%	56	10	20-78	25.6%	40	13
3/21/2008	@ CLEVELAND	83-90	L	4.5	L	191.5	U	34-86	39.5%	41	7	36-77	46.8%	58	15
3/23/2008	DENVER	100-109	L	-2.5	L	225	U	41-82	50.0%	45	11	39-81	48.1%	44	7
3/26/2008	DETROIT	89-82	W	0	W	183.5	U	36-73	49.3%	39	11	31-76	40.8%	46	14
3/28/2008	NEW YORK	103-95	W	-16	L	197	O	38-75	50.7%	54	13	33-84	39.3%	51	8
3/30/2008	NEW ORLEANS	111-118	L	2.5	L	199	O	45-86	52.3%	40	11	48-80	60.0%	36	9
3/31/2008	@ CHARLOTTE	104-100	W	-2.5	W	198	O	37-79	46.8%	56	11	38-84	45.2%	46	10
4/2/2008	@ ATLANTA	120-127	L	1	L	207	O	48-92	52.2%	38	13	47-92	51.1%	56	14
4/4/2008	CHARLOTTE	100-105	L	-9	L	206.5	U	41-90	45.6%	51	12	39-83	47.0%	50	11
4/5/2008	@ NEW JERSEY	90-99	L	-3.5	L	202.5	U	34-81	42.0%	48	10	38-80	47.5%	48	11
4/9/2008	MILWAUKEE	111-93	W	-14	W	204.5	U	45-83	54.2%	47	6	37-88	42.0%	49	14
4/11/2008	NEW JERSEY	113-85	W	-11	W	202	U	38-78	48.7%	53	9	34-81	42.0%	49	11
4/13/2008	@ DETROIT	84-91	L	5	L	185.5	U	36-83	43.4%	45	11	38-78	48.7%	48	13
4/14/2008	MIAMI	91-75	W	-18	L	181.5	U	35-76	46.1%	48	12	30-81	37.0%	47	14
4/16/2008	@ CHICAGO	97-107	L	5.5	L	211.5	U	39-90	43.3%	43	13	39-81	48.1%	59	16
4/20/2008	@ ORLANDO	100-114	L	6	L	196	O	32-85	37.6%	46	7	41-77	53.2%	48	10
4/22/2008	@ ORLANDO	103-104	L	6	W	200.5	O	37-81	45.7%	46	13	38-89	42.7%	55	13
4/24/2008	ORLANDO	108-94	W	-4	W	205	U	42-85	49.4%	50	12	34-73	46.6%	41	14
4/26/2008	ORLANDO
4/28/2008	@ ORLANDO

Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.

All games in this series since 1996

TORONTO is 25-20 against the spread versus ORLANDO since 1996

ORLANDO is 25-21 straight up against TORONTO since 1996

23 of 43 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996

Games over the last 3 seasons

TORONTO is 10-3 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons

TORONTO is 8-5 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons

7 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at TORONTO since 1996

TORONTO is 13-10 against the spread versus ORLANDO since 1996

TORONTO is 13-10 straight up against ORLANDO since 1996

12 of 22 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1996

Games played at TORONTO over the last 3 seasons.

TORONTO is 5-1 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons

TORONTO is 5-1 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons

4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

						Shooting		3pt shots		Free Throws		Rebounds
Date	Teams	Score	Line	Result	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	Pct	FTM-A	Pct	Tot.	OFF	TO
04/24/2008	ORLANDO	94	205	Under	40	34-73	46.6%	6-27	22.2%	20-27	74.1%	41	10	14
	TORONTO	108	-4	SU ATS	61	42-85	49.4%	12-34	35.3%	12-14	85.7%	50	13	12
04/22/2008	TORONTO	103	200.5	ATS	57	37-81	45.7%	11-29	37.9%	18-20	90.0%	46	7	13
	ORLANDO	104	-6	SU Over	59	38-89	42.7%	9-31	29.0%	19-23	82.6%	55	16	13
04/20/2008	TORONTO	100	196	Over	47	32-85	37.6%	9-20	45.0%	27-28	96.4%	46	8	7
	ORLANDO	114	-6	SU ATS	60	41-77	53.2%	13-29	44.8%	19-23	82.6%	48	9	10
03/04/2008	TORONTO	87	209.5	Under	41	36-88	40.9%	2-14	14.3%	13-19	68.4%	52	12	13
	ORLANDO	102	-9	SU ATS	44	40-76	52.6%	8-23	34.8%	14-20	70.0%	48	2	15
02/20/2008	ORLANDO	110	205.5	Over	50	38-84	45.2%	9-28	32.1%	25-32	78.1%	46	17	9
	TORONTO	127	-3.5	SU ATS	64	47-80	58.7%	11-20	55.0%	22-25	88.0%	43	9	8
11/07/2007	ORLANDO	105	191.5	SU ATS	52	38-76	50.0%	12-31	38.7%	17-22	77.3%	58	7	17
	TORONTO	96	-4	Over	47	34-89	38.2%	6-20	30.0%	22-26	84.6%	44	12	8
04/04/2007	TORONTO	111	188.5	SU ATS	52	35-71	49.3%	9-19	47.4%	32-39	82.1%	35	8	15
	ORLANDO	108	-5	Over	57	39-75	52.0%	6-12	50.0%	24-30	80.0%	50	12	23
03/21/2007	ORLANDO	85	194	Under	40	28-75	37.3%	5-10	50.0%	24-37	64.9%	47	6	10
	TORONTO	92	-4.5	SU ATS	45	30-71	42.3%	3-12	25.0%	29-38	76.3%	63	10	14
02/07/2007	ORLANDO	103	191	Over	52	41-81	50.6%	9-24	37.5%	12-15	80.0%	43	11	17
	TORONTO	113	-6	SU ATS	52	39-75	52.0%	5-17	29.4%	30-38	78.9%	44	9	9
12/13/2006	TORONTO	91	186	SU ATS	44	31-66	47.0%	7-17	41.2%	22-26	84.6%	43	7	14
	ORLANDO	84	-9.5	Under	44	32-85	37.6%	2-12	16.7%	18-23	78.3%	54	20	14

Team Line Action - Where the money is going!

Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.

As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring ORLANDO in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ORLANDO games 49.8% of the time since 1996. (371-374)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ORLANDO games 46.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (92-106)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TORONTO games 49.3% of the time since 1996. (371-381)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TORONTO games 54.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (112-95)
No Edge.

As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ORLANDO games 50.4% of the time since 1996. (403-396)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ORLANDO games 48.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (111-118)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TORONTO games 52.3% of the time since 1996. (420-383)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TORONTO games 52.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (120-109)
No Edge.

Key Player Injuries

ORLANDO

[C] Tony Battie is out for the season. - Rotator Cuff - 10/15/07

[F] Brian Cook is expected to miss first round of the playoffs. - Hand - 04/20/08

TORONTO

[F] Jorge Garbajosa is out for the season. - Leg - 11/29/07

The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping