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NBA Basketball Game Matchup Report

Saturday, 4/26/2008 at 10:30 PM				HOUSTON (56-29) at UTAH (56-29)
Expanded Matchup \| FoxSheet				Results			Offensive Statistics				Defensive Statistics
Teams	Line	PF	PA	SU	ATS	O/U/P	FG	FT	3PT	O/REB	FG	FT	3PT	O/REB
707: HOUSTON	185.5	96.4	92.0	56-29	47-35-3	37-48-0	36-82 44.7%	16-23 72.3%	7-21 34.0%	12-53	35-80 43.4%	17-23 73.4%	5-14 36.9%	11-50
708: UTAH	-9	105.7	98.9	56-29	47-37-1	43-42-0	40-80 49.7%	21-28 75.6%	5-13 37.5%	12-50	35-77 45.9%	22-30 74.6%	6-17 35.3%	10-47

Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.

	Power Rating
	Estimate	Edge
HOUSTON
UTAH	-8

Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.

HOUSTON - Recent ATS Trends
	Against the spread			Over/Under			Straight Up
	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996
Description	W-L	W-L	W-L	O-U	O-U	O-U	W-L	W-L	W-L
in all games	47-35	126-123	490-467	37-48	121-133	464-483	56-29	145-111	528-450
as an underdog	14-7	52-41	223-184	11-11	46-48	194-211	11-11	37-58	147-268
as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points	3-4	8-11	48-46	5-3	7-13	48-47	1-7	4-17	17-80
in road games	23-17	73-50	263-213	21-21	61-64	239-231	25-17	68-59	227-261
in a road game where where the total is between 185 and 189.5 points	4-4	17-9	55-35	4-6	13-16	45-48	6-4	20-9	47-47
in April games	7-4	14-18	67-70	4-8	15-20	61-77	7-5	17-19	73-71
second half of the season	25-12	60-54	237-218	17-23	58-61	223-224	31-9	76-44	273-205
on Saturday games	8-6	16-22	78-78	7-7	19-20	66-90	9-5	19-20	90-72
against Northwest division opponents	11-7	29-30	40-36	7-14	28-35	35-46	15-6	38-26	50-32
in the first round of the playoffs	1-2	3-7	15-19	1-2	4-6	13-21	1-2	4-6	14-20
when trailing in a playoff series	1-1	1-1	5-9	1-1	1-1	6-7	1-1	1-1	6-8
off an upset win as an underdog	5-5	16-19	73-66	6-4	17-18	69-73	6-4	15-21	78-68
when playing against a team with a winning record	25-18	54-62	251-241	17-27	47-70	218-266	24-20	51-67	210-302
when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season	14-8	27-36	133-127	10-13	29-35	117-138	14-9	29-36	118-154
versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game	20-24	49-61	129-136	20-25	53-59	121-143	22-23	58-55	120-153
versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season	11-11	25-32	78-77	12-11	29-30	64-90	14-9	34-26	77-83

UTAH - Recent ATS Trends
	Against the spread			Over/Under			Straight Up
	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996
Description	W-L	W-L	W-L	O-U	O-U	O-U	W-L	W-L	W-L
in all games	47-37	131-129	515-496	43-42	143-121	503-514	56-29	157-109	614-421
as a favorite	35-28	71-77	321-296	34-30	81-70	308-315	46-18	104-48	465-170
as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points	5-4	11-12	56-50	8-2	13-10	56-52	9-1	20-4	87-24
in home games	28-13	69-59	264-240	21-21	66-65	242-268	37-5	97-35	373-145
in a home game where where the total is between 185 and 189.5 points	0-1	9-5	57-40	2-0	10-6	56-47	1-1	10-6	75-28
in April games	7-2	18-16	77-71	4-6	20-14	71-79	7-3	20-15	89-65
second half of the season	24-14	57-56	248-222	19-20	60-55	230-241	28-11	71-45	303-181
on Saturday games	8-10	24-32	93-84	8-10	29-27	94-84	12-6	33-23	111-73
against Southwest division opponents	14-6	36-32	44-42	6-15	30-38	39-47	14-7	38-31	44-43
in the first round of the playoffs	2-1	7-3	22-20	1-2	4-6	15-27	2-1	6-4	22-20
when leading in a playoff series	1-1	4-2	17-16	1-1	3-3	14-18	1-1	4-2	19-14
revenging a home loss vs opponent	4-4	18-24	59-80	2-6	23-20	59-81	4-4	19-25	56-87
revenging a loss vs opponent	21-10	64-54	203-198	13-18	63-57	186-215	25-6	73-48	223-187
off a upset loss as a favorite	10-7	25-21	80-84	6-11	24-23	83-80	13-4	30-17	101-68
when playing against a team with a winning record	28-12	72-54	270-254	19-22	70-58	250-274	28-13	73-56	277-263
when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season	19-4	42-28	157-131	10-14	37-34	124-164	19-5	42-30	153-141

Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.

HOUSTON - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team				Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.
All Games	56-29	+13.8	47-35	37-48	96.4	48.7	44.7%	53.3	92.0	45.1	43.4%	49.7
Road Games	25-17	+6.4	23-17	21-21	95.5	47.4	44.4%	52.0	94.1	47.5	44.0%	49.7
Last 5 Games	2-3	0	2-2	2-3	89.8	45.0	40.9%	51.2	91.0	47.2	45.4%	51.6
Playoff Games	1-2	+1	1-2	1-2	86.7	42.0	40.9%	52.0	91.7	46.0	47.3%	51.0

HOUSTON Team Statistics
			Shooting		3pt Shooting		Free Throws		Rebounding
	PPG	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	PCT	FTM-A	Pct	Tot	Off	Ast	PF	Stl	TO	Bk
Team Stats (All Games)	96.4	48.7	36-82	44.7%	7-21	34.0%	16-23	72.3%	53	12	21	20	7	13	5
vs opponents surrendering	100.6	50.4	38-82	45.8%	7-18	36.1%	19-25	75.5%	50	11	22	21	7	14	5
Team Stats (Road Games)	95.5	47.4	36-81	44.4%	7-19	33.7%	17-23	75.0%	52	12	20	21	7	13	5
Stats Against (All Games)	92.0	45.1	35-80	43.4%	5-14	36.9%	17-23	73.4%	50	11	19	20	7	13	5
vs opponents averaging	100.8	50.5	38-82	46.0%	7-18	36.3%	19-25	75.9%	50	11	22	21	7	14	5
Stats Against (Road Games)	94.1	47.5	35-80	44.0%	5-14	36.0%	19-25	74.6%	50	11	20	20	7	13	5

UTAH - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team				Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.
All Games	56-29	+4	47-37	43-42	105.7	52.2	49.7%	49.7	98.9	48.5	45.9%	46.6
Home Games	37-5	+18.4	28-13	21-21	108.6	55.0	51.2%	49.4	94.6	47.2	44.9%	44.7
Last 5 Games	3-2	-2.5	2-2	3-2	92.0	46.6	45.5%	50.4	93.0	46.4	44.1%	48.6
Playoff Games	2-1	-2.5	2-1	1-2	91.7	46.0	47.3%	51.0	86.7	42.0	40.9%	52.0

UTAH Team Statistics
			Shooting		3pt Shooting		Free Throws		Rebounding
	PPG	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	PCT	FTM-A	Pct	Tot	Off	Ast	PF	Stl	TO	Bk
Team Stats (All Games)	105.7	52.2	40-80	49.7%	5-13	37.5%	21-28	75.6%	50	12	26	24	9	14	4
vs opponents surrendering	99.9	50.1	37-82	45.6%	6-18	36.2%	19-25	75.5%	51	11	22	21	7	13	5
Team Stats (Home Games)	108.6	55.0	41-80	51.2%	6-14	41.6%	21-28	75.9%	49	11	27	23	9	13	5
Stats Against (All Games)	98.9	48.5	35-77	45.9%	6-17	35.3%	22-30	74.6%	47	10	20	23	8	15	5
vs opponents averaging	99.9	50.1	37-82	45.6%	7-18	36.1%	19-25	75.7%	51	11	22	21	7	13	5
Stats Against (Home Games)	94.6	47.2	34-75	44.9%	6-18	35.5%	21-28	74.5%	45	9	18	23	7	16	4

Average power rating of opponents played: HOUSTON 95.9, UTAH 95.3

Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.

HOUSTON - Season Results
								Team Stats				Opp Stats
Date	Opponent	Score	SU	Line	ATS	Tot.	O/U	Shots	Pct	REB	TO	Shots	Pct	REB	TO
3/18/2008	BOSTON	74-94	L	-4.5	L	179.5	U	29-70	41.4%	43	16	38-88	43.2%	57	11
3/19/2008	@ NEW ORLEANS	69-90	L	6	L	187	U	28-82	34.1%	58	18	34-76	44.7%	51	12
3/21/2008	@ GOLDEN STATE	109-106	W	4	W	207	O	40-84	47.6%	51	13	43-93	46.2%	54	12
3/22/2008	@ PHOENIX	113-122	L	6.5	L	205	O	44-98	44.9%	44	5	39-69	56.5%	49	16
3/24/2008	SACRAMENTO	108-100	W	-9.5	L	197.5	O	35-70	50.0%	49	9	40-77	51.9%	37	12
3/26/2008	MINNESOTA	97-86	W	-11	T	187.5	U	40-94	42.6%	64	12	33-77	42.9%	43	14
3/30/2008	@ SAN ANTONIO	88-109	L	6.5	L	174	O	33-82	40.2%	49	6	44-83	53.0%	50	5
4/1/2008	@ SACRAMENTO	98-99	L	-2	L	202.5	U	33-82	40.2%	57	15	36-71	50.7%	42	16
4/3/2008	@ PORTLAND	95-86	W	-6.5	W	178.5	O	34-73	46.6%	40	12	33-83	39.8%	53	10
4/4/2008	@ SEATTLE	79-66	W	-10	W	197	U	31-78	39.7%	53	12	25-83	30.1%	60	18
4/6/2008	@ LA CLIPPERS	105-79	W	-9	W	183.5	O	38-79	48.1%	58	12	35-81	43.2%	41	10
4/9/2008	SEATTLE	103-80	W	-14.5	W	192.5	U	39-74	52.7%	56	17	32-88	36.4%	44	8
4/11/2008	PHOENIX	101-90	W	3.5	W	202.5	U	45-88	51.1%	54	5	35-76	46.1%	45	15
4/13/2008	@ DENVER	94-111	L	6.5	L	211.5	U	32-92	34.8%	63	17	41-85	48.2%	56	14
4/14/2008	@ UTAH	96-105	L	9	T	189	O	28-70	40.0%	43	10	37-77	48.1%	55	13
4/16/2008	LA CLIPPERS	93-75	W	-14	W	185	U	38-92	41.3%	57	5	28-75	37.3%	50	14
4/19/2008	UTAH	82-93	L	0	L	184	U	29-79	36.7%	53	12	38-73	52.1%	50	13
4/21/2008	UTAH	84-90	L	-1	L	183	U	32-77	41.6%	51	10	34-77	44.2%	53	13
4/24/2008	@ UTAH	94-92	W	9	W	185.5	O	36-81	44.4%	52	9	32-70	45.7%	50	12
4/26/2008	@ UTAH

UTAH - Season Results
								Team Stats				Opp Stats
Date	Opponent	Score	SU	Line	ATS	Tot.	O/U	Shots	Pct	REB	TO	Shots	Pct	REB	TO
3/17/2008	TORONTO	96-79	W	-13.5	W	213	U	38-69	55.1%	46	16	32-80	40.0%	44	17
3/20/2008	LA LAKERS	95-106	L	-6	L	216.5	U	36-80	45.0%	51	8	42-80	52.5%	48	6
3/22/2008	SEATTLE	115-101	W	-21	L	218.5	U	41-86	47.7%	54	10	38-79	48.1%	47	16
3/25/2008	CHARLOTTE	128-106	W	-13.5	W	207.5	O	45-84	53.6%	54	15	36-72	50.0%	37	19
3/28/2008	LA CLIPPERS	121-101	W	-16.5	W	207	O	48-83	57.8%	42	10	34-66	51.5%	34	17
3/30/2008	@ MINNESOTA	103-110	L	-6	L	209	O	41-76	53.9%	42	17	42-79	53.2%	42	13
3/31/2008	WASHINGTON	129-87	W	-9.5	W	210	O	50-84	59.5%	50	11	30-68	44.1%	30	15
4/2/2008	MINNESOTA	117-100	W	-16.5	W	211.5	O	44-74	59.5%	42	15	35-74	47.3%	38	15
4/4/2008	SAN ANTONIO	90-64	W	-3	W	196.5	U	32-78	41.0%	51	12	24-66	36.4%	44	16
4/8/2008	@ NEW ORLEANS	77-66	W	5	W	210.5	U	35-80	43.7%	55	22	27-74	36.5%	43	19
4/10/2008	@ DALLAS	94-97	L	6	W	199	U	37-80	46.2%	47	8	33-74	44.6%	41	6
4/12/2008	DENVER	124-97	W	-6	W	226	U	50-87	57.5%	49	9	35-73	47.9%	47	16
4/14/2008	HOUSTON	105-96	W	-9	T	189	O	37-77	48.1%	55	13	28-70	40.0%	43	10
4/16/2008	@ SAN ANTONIO	80-109	L	4.5	L	185.5	O	31-81	38.3%	44	14	41-69	59.4%	44	13
4/19/2008	@ HOUSTON	93-82	W	0	W	184	U	38-73	52.1%	50	13	29-79	36.7%	53	12
4/21/2008	@ HOUSTON	90-84	W	1	W	183	U	34-77	44.2%	53	13	32-77	41.6%	51	10
4/24/2008	HOUSTON	92-94	L	-9	L	185.5	O	32-70	45.7%	50	12	36-81	44.4%	52	9
4/26/2008	HOUSTON

Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.

All games in this series since 1996

UTAH is 36-25 against the spread versus HOUSTON since 1996

UTAH is 44-22 straight up against HOUSTON since 1996

36 of 59 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1996

Games over the last 3 seasons

UTAH is 12-7 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons

UTAH is 13-7 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons

10 of 19 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at UTAH since 1996

UTAH is 19-12 against the spread versus HOUSTON since 1996

UTAH is 27-6 straight up against HOUSTON since 1996

21 of 29 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1996

Games played at UTAH over the last 3 seasons.

UTAH is 5-3 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons

UTAH is 7-2 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons

4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

						Shooting		3pt shots		Free Throws		Rebounds
Date	Teams	Score	Line	Result	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	Pct	FTM-A	Pct	Tot.	OFF	TO
04/24/2008	HOUSTON	94	185.5	SU ATS	44	36-81	44.4%	6-16	37.5%	16-22	72.7%	52	16	9
	UTAH	92	-9	Over	44	32-70	45.7%	8-17	47.1%	20-33	60.6%	50	13	12
04/21/2008	UTAH	90	183	SU ATS	47	34-77	44.2%	7-17	41.2%	15-21	71.4%	53	12	13
	HOUSTON	84	-1	Under	41	32-77	41.6%	4-19	21.1%	16-26	61.5%	51	9	10
04/19/2008	UTAH	93	184	SU ATS	47	38-73	52.1%	5-10	50.0%	12-19	63.2%	50	13	13
	HOUSTON	82	0	Under	41	29-79	36.7%	6-22	27.3%	18-29	62.1%	53	18	12
04/14/2008	HOUSTON	96	189		41	28-70	40.0%	10-26	38.5%	30-36	83.3%	43	7	10
	UTAH	105	-9	SU Over	56	37-77	48.1%	3-16	18.7%	28-38	73.7%	55	16	13
01/27/2008	UTAH	97	196.5	SU ATS	41	34-72	47.2%	5-12	41.7%	24-26	92.3%	46	6	12
	HOUSTON	89	-1	Under	35	36-82	43.9%	8-24	33.3%	9-19	47.4%	50	11	12
11/01/2007	HOUSTON	106	193	SU ATS	57	39-80	48.7%	5-16	31.2%	23-30	76.7%	47	9	14
	UTAH	95	-3	Over	49	36-81	44.4%	3-14	21.4%	20-29	69.0%	55	15	20
05/05/2007	UTAH	103	184	SU ATS	53	40-78	51.3%	5-11	45.5%	18-24	75.0%	50	10	10
	HOUSTON	99	-5.5	Over	43	34-73	46.6%	7-21	33.3%	24-33	72.7%	42	9	8
05/03/2007	HOUSTON	82	183	Under	43	29-67	43.3%	6-21	28.6%	18-23	78.3%	39	7	19
	UTAH	94	-4.5	SU ATS	46	35-72	48.6%	7-15	46.7%	17-19	89.5%	43	4	11
04/30/2007	UTAH	92	183.5	ATS	44	37-79	46.8%	5-12	41.7%	13-18	72.2%	46	9	14
	HOUSTON	96	-6	SU Over	43	35-75	46.7%	12-24	50.0%	14-18	77.8%	45	10	16
04/28/2007	HOUSTON	85	184	Under	45	32-76	42.1%	6-20	30.0%	15-20	75.0%	49	11	15
	UTAH	98	-3	SU ATS	50	35-76	46.1%	2-8	25.0%	26-33	78.8%	48	11	11
04/26/2007	HOUSTON	67	188	Under	42	21-64	32.8%	6-19	31.6%	19-26	73.1%	52	9	19
	UTAH	81	-4.5	SU ATS	48	33-85	38.8%	2-15	13.3%	13-18	72.2%	55	15	11
04/23/2007	UTAH	90	185	Over	41	38-84	45.2%	1-9	11.1%	13-17	76.5%	51	11	12
	HOUSTON	98	-5	SU ATS	39	30-83	36.1%	4-24	16.7%	34-38	89.5%	56	17	9
04/21/2007	UTAH	75	188.5	Under	42	31-87	35.6%	4-17	23.5%	9-17	52.9%	58	14	11
	HOUSTON	84	-6.5	SU ATS	33	27-69	39.1%	9-27	33.3%	21-26	80.8%	53	6	14
04/18/2007	HOUSTON	91	192		47	31-74	41.9%	6-25	24.0%	23-26	88.5%	39	5	11
	UTAH	101	-8.5	SU ATS	50	36-73	49.3%	4-11	36.4%	25-35	71.4%	54	11	16
04/01/2007	UTAH	86	188	SU ATS	36	30-79	38.0%	2-7	28.6%	24-33	72.7%	59	8	8
	HOUSTON	83	-5.5	Under	32	31-80	38.7%	5-17	29.4%	16-23	69.6%	55	12	8
01/05/2007	UTAH	86	184	Over	45	32-80	40.0%	5-16	31.2%	17-23	73.9%	52	9	13
	HOUSTON	100	-3	SU ATS	54	34-82	41.5%	11-30	36.7%	21-27	77.8%	56	14	7

Team Line Action - Where the money is going!

Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.

As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring HOUSTON in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in HOUSTON games 52% of the time since 1996. (387-357)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in HOUSTON games 52.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (108-97)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in UTAH games 51.1% of the time since 1996. (408-391)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in UTAH games 51.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (119-111)
No Edge.

As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in HOUSTON games 55.5% of the time since 1996. (457-367)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in HOUSTON games 58.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (140-100)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in UTAH games 51.1% of the time since 1996. (460-441)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in UTAH games 56.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (137-107)
No Edge.

Key Player Injuries

HOUSTON

[G] Steve Francis out for the season. - Quad - 01/01/08

(!) [C] Yao Ming out for the season. - Foot - 02/26/08

[G] Rafer Alston out for at least the first two games of the playoffs. - Hamstring - 04/15/08

UTAH

No significant injuries.

The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping