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NBA Basketball Game Matchup Report

Sunday, 4/27/2008 at 1:00 PM				CLEVELAND (47-38) at WASHINGTON (44-41)
Expanded Matchup \| FoxSheet				Results			Offensive Statistics				Defensive Statistics
Teams	Line	PF	PA	SU	ATS	O/U/P	FG	FT	3PT	O/REB	FG	FT	3PT	O/REB
709: CLEVELAND	190	96.3	96.6	47-38	39-46-0	37-47-1	36-81 43.9%	18-25 71.4%	7-19 35.6%	13-53	36-79 45.4%	19-25 74.8%	6-17 35.4%	10-49
710: WASHINGTON	-5	98.6	99.0	44-41	47-37-1	43-41-1	36-81 44.6%	19-24 78.0%	7-20 35.4%	12-50	37-80 46.0%	17-23 75.1%	8-21 38.4%	11-50

Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.

	Power Rating
	Estimate	Edge
CLEVELAND
WASHINGTON	-4

Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.

CLEVELAND - Recent ATS Trends
	Against the spread			Over/Under			Straight Up
	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996
Description	W-L	W-L	W-L	O-U	O-U	O-U	W-L	W-L	W-L
in all games	39-46	145-132	477-486	37-47	125-154	472-480	47-38	166-116	456-523
as an underdog	17-19	57-49	247-280	14-22	43-62	258-256	12-24	39-67	146-385
as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points	5-4	20-10	53-58	3-6	12-18	48-58	4-5	14-16	36-75
in road games	22-20	74-64	228-253	20-22	66-74	234-238	18-24	65-76	163-325
in a road game where where the total is between 185 and 189.5 points	6-6	17-14	50-49	4-8	14-18	50-49	5-7	15-17	36-64
in April games	5-6	19-19	72-66	3-8	16-23	59-76	6-5	26-13	69-72
second half of the season	18-22	65-57	224-236	15-25	51-72	212-239	22-18	76-48	219-257
on Sunday games	7-6	16-21	44-54	3-10	12-26	36-64	9-4	20-18	52-50
when playing with 2 days rest	6-7	32-22	90-87	7-6	27-27	86-90	8-5	35-19	96-88
against Southeast division opponents	10-11	31-35	44-40	11-10	32-35	40-45	13-8	41-26	53-32
in the first round of the playoffs	2-1	7-5	9-7	1-2	6-7	8-9	2-1	10-3	11-6
when leading in a playoff series	1-1	8-5	8-5	1-1	7-7	7-7	1-1	9-5	9-5
revenging a loss vs opponent	16-20	60-58	248-254	18-18	51-66	247-246	20-16	69-49	211-302
after allowing 105 points or more	13-11	28-23	98-96	11-13	30-21	92-105	11-13	27-24	80-119
after a loss by 10 points or more	9-8	22-23	110-125	9-8	22-23	112-124	11-6	28-17	96-147
after scoring 85 points or less	6-8	20-25	99-136	7-7	19-27	118-114	9-5	26-21	100-149
when playing against a team with a winning record	18-20	69-62	233-245	12-26	46-87	209-265	19-19	68-65	178-311
when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season	8-12	43-37	122-131	5-15	27-53	101-146	9-11	40-40	92-166

WASHINGTON - Recent ATS Trends
	Against the spread			Over/Under			Straight Up
	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996
Description	W-L	W-L	W-L	O-U	O-U	O-U	W-L	W-L	W-L
in all games	47-37	129-122	456-493	43-41	134-123	480-457	44-41	129-130	424-545
as a favorite	20-17	63-61	185-196	21-16	70-59	200-175	24-13	87-42	259-130
as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points	4-6	16-17	49-56	6-4	23-10	60-43	5-5	21-12	64-42
in home games	23-19	58-65	215-255	22-20	67-61	249-218	26-16	80-49	262-221
in a home game where where the total is between 185 and 189.5 points	3-1	4-6	27-39	1-3	5-6	33-35	3-1	6-5	37-32
in April games	5-6	22-18	66-72	6-5	16-25	69-69	6-5	16-25	52-88
second half of the season	20-21	65-59	228-237	22-19	64-61	237-219	20-21	57-68	198-277
on Sunday games	7-2	18-10	51-52	3-6	12-16	52-50	5-4	14-14	41-62
when playing with 2 days rest	9-2	26-19	77-84	5-6	20-26	77-87	8-3	26-20	65-103
against Central division opponents	10-10	36-29	164-151	10-11	32-35	154-159	10-11	32-35	144-183
in the first round of the playoffs	1-2	5-7	11-10	1-2	6-7	11-11	1-2	3-10	7-15
when trailing in a playoff series	1-1	4-3	9-6	1-1	5-3	9-7	1-1	3-5	5-11
after allowing 85 points or less	3-7	10-15	55-69	6-4	13-13	62-64	3-7	11-15	49-77
after a win by 10 points or more	15-11	34-34	91-99	13-13	38-32	94-96	15-11	37-33	91-106
after scoring 105 points or more	14-14	47-55	119-138	17-10	61-42	130-123	13-15	49-55	131-134
when playing against a team with a winning record	20-19	53-54	215-246	19-20	57-51	232-224	16-24	42-68	151-324
when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season	13-14	32-31	112-120	13-14	31-33	119-113	10-17	19-45	69-166

Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.

CLEVELAND - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team				Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.
All Games	47-38	+5.5	39-46	37-47	96.3	47.6	43.9%	53.1	96.6	47.8	45.4%	49.1
Road Games	18-24	-0.9	22-20	20-22	94.5	47.0	43.4%	51.5	98.8	48.9	46.9%	50.2
Last 5 Games	3-2	+2	3-2	1-4	89.2	43.6	42.6%	54.8	90.8	41.6	43.0%	50.8
Playoff Games	2-1	+1	2-1	1-2	93.7	44.0	43.9%	54.3	93.3	45.0	43.2%	49.7

CLEVELAND Team Statistics
			Shooting		3pt Shooting		Free Throws		Rebounding
	PPG	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	PCT	FTM-A	Pct	Tot	Off	Ast	PF	Stl	TO	Bk
Team Stats (All Games)	96.3	47.6	36-81	43.9%	7-19	35.6%	18-25	71.4%	53	13	20	21	7	13	5
vs opponents surrendering	99.7	49.8	37-81	45.7%	7-18	36.3%	19-25	75.6%	50	11	22	21	7	14	5
Team Stats (Road Games)	94.5	47.0	35-81	43.4%	7-19	37.0%	17-24	69.4%	51	13	18	22	7	14	4
Stats Against (All Games)	96.6	47.8	36-79	45.4%	6-17	35.4%	19-25	74.8%	49	10	21	20	7	13	5
vs opponents averaging	99.5	49.7	37-81	45.6%	7-18	36.2%	19-25	75.6%	50	11	22	21	7	13	5
Stats Against (Road Games)	98.8	48.9	37-78	46.9%	5-16	33.8%	20-27	74.0%	50	10	21	20	7	13	5

WASHINGTON - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team				Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.
All Games	44-41	+12.6	47-37	43-41	98.6	48.0	44.6%	50.1	99.0	48.2	46.0%	50.0
Home Games	26-16	+0.3	23-19	22-20	100.6	50.9	45.9%	49.5	96.4	48.0	45.6%	48.2
Last 5 Games	2-3	-1	2-3	2-3	96.0	48.4	44.5%	53.8	98.8	46.6	45.1%	51.8
Playoff Games	1-2	-1	1-2	1-2	93.3	45.0	43.2%	49.7	93.7	44.0	43.9%	54.3

WASHINGTON Team Statistics
			Shooting		3pt Shooting		Free Throws		Rebounding
	PPG	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	PCT	FTM-A	Pct	Tot	Off	Ast	PF	Stl	TO	Bk
Team Stats (All Games)	98.6	48.0	36-81	44.6%	7-20	35.4%	19-24	78.0%	50	12	20	20	8	13	5
vs opponents surrendering	99.6	49.8	37-81	45.7%	7-18	36.1%	19-25	75.5%	50	11	22	21	7	14	5
Team Stats (Home Games)	100.6	50.9	37-81	45.9%	7-20	36.5%	19-24	78.1%	49	12	21	19	8	12	5
Stats Against (All Games)	99.0	48.2	37-80	46.0%	8-21	38.4%	17-23	75.1%	50	11	24	20	6	13	4
vs opponents averaging	99.3	49.7	37-81	45.5%	7-18	36.2%	19-25	75.0%	50	11	22	21	7	14	5
Stats Against (Home Games)	96.4	48.0	36-79	45.6%	9-22	39.6%	16-22	74.1%	48	11	23	20	6	15	4

Average power rating of opponents played: CLEVELAND 95.3, WASHINGTON 95.9

Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.

CLEVELAND - Season Results
								Team Stats				Opp Stats
Date	Opponent	Score	SU	Line	ATS	Tot.	O/U	Shots	Pct	REB	TO	Shots	Pct	REB	TO
3/19/2008	DETROIT	89-73	W	-1.5	W	183	U	36-81	44.4%	51	7	31-78	39.7%	46	11
3/21/2008	TORONTO	90-83	W	-4.5	W	191.5	U	36-77	46.8%	58	15	34-86	39.5%	41	7
3/22/2008	@ MILWAUKEE	98-108	L	-4.5	L	203.5	O	34-91	37.4%	59	13	42-81	51.9%	50	10
3/26/2008	NEW ORLEANS	99-100	L	-2	L	195.5	O	41-82	50.0%	54	13	35-80	43.7%	41	8
3/29/2008	@ DETROIT	71-85	L	7	L	184	U	27-74	36.5%	47	11	33-73	45.2%	49	11
3/30/2008	PHILADELPHIA	91-88	W	-4.5	L	192	U	38-83	45.8%	48	14	36-82	43.9%	50	13
4/2/2008	@ CHARLOTTE	118-114	W	-2.5	W	193.5	O	46-87	52.9%	55	10	43-81	53.1%	44	14
4/3/2008	CHICAGO	98-101	L	-7.5	L	197	O	38-83	45.8%	50	12	38-71	53.5%	40	17
4/5/2008	ORLANDO	86-101	L	-2	L	197	U	34-88	38.6%	64	16	36-77	46.8%	41	11
4/9/2008	NEW JERSEY	104-83	W	-8.5	W	196.5	U	36-80	45.0%	57	10	25-75	33.3%	47	15
4/11/2008	@ CHICAGO	95-100	L	-5.5	L	195.5	U	35-82	42.7%	49	12	35-77	45.5%	61	17
4/13/2008	MIAMI	84-76	W	-16	L	178.5	U	28-74	37.8%	60	12	26-66	39.4%	41	11
4/14/2008	@ PHILADELPHIA	91-90	W	6	W	187	U	37-76	48.7%	50	17	38-81	46.9%	49	12
4/16/2008	DETROIT	74-84	L	8.5	L	178.5	U	26-79	32.9%	61	8	32-83	38.6%	56	10
4/19/2008	WASHINGTON	93-86	W	-3.5	W	187	U	30-76	39.5%	54	8	33-82	40.2%	53	13
4/21/2008	WASHINGTON	116-86	W	-1.5	W	188	O	42-81	51.9%	59	10	27-72	37.5%	47	13
4/24/2008	@ WASHINGTON	72-108	L	5.5	L	192	U	29-73	39.7%	50	23	38-73	52.1%	49	11
4/27/2008	@ WASHINGTON

WASHINGTON - Season Results
								Team Stats				Opp Stats
Date	Opponent	Score	SU	Line	ATS	Tot.	O/U	Shots	Pct	REB	TO	Shots	Pct	REB	TO
3/19/2008	@ ORLANDO	87-86	W	7	W	206	U	35-82	42.7%	53	11	26-77	33.8%	57	13
3/21/2008	@ MIAMI	103-86	W	-13.5	W	189.5	U	41-77	53.2%	44	12	31-67	46.3%	43	13
3/23/2008	DETROIT	95-83	W	5.5	W	188.5	U	38-72	52.8%	40	10	34-79	43.0%	46	11
3/25/2008	@ PORTLAND	82-102	L	-2	L	186	U	29-81	35.8%	43	7	39-79	49.4%	57	13
3/26/2008	@ SEATTLE	104-99	W	-7.5	L	204	U	38-82	46.3%	39	9	39-85	45.9%	57	13
3/28/2008	@ SACRAMENTO	114-108	W	3.5	W	206.5	O	41-89	46.1%	52	14	36-74	48.6%	45	19
3/30/2008	@ LA LAKERS	120-126	L	7	W	211	O	41-88	46.6%	51	7	43-87	49.4%	54	8
3/31/2008	@ UTAH	87-129	L	9.5	L	210	O	30-68	44.1%	30	15	50-84	59.5%	50	11
4/2/2008	MILWAUKEE	109-110	L	-11.5	L	209	O	43-77	55.8%	42	16	46-84	54.8%	45	16
4/4/2008	MIAMI	109-95	W	-16.5	L	183	O	38-73	52.1%	46	10	33-72	45.8%	36	12
4/5/2008	@ CHICAGO	99-87	W	7	W	206	U	39-82	47.6%	58	18	33-77	42.9%	39	9
4/9/2008	BOSTON	109-95	W	2	W	191.5	O	40-78	51.3%	42	10	34-76	44.7%	54	20
4/11/2008	@ DETROIT	74-102	L	4	L	189	U	23-85	27.1%	54	9	42-84	50.0%	59	9
4/12/2008	PHILADELPHIA	109-93	W	-1.5	W	194	O	40-84	47.6%	53	11	36-77	46.8%	43	15
4/14/2008	INDIANA	117-110	W	-2.5	W	205	O	43-95	45.3%	73	12	37-79	46.8%	43	12
4/16/2008	@ ORLANDO	83-103	L	8.5	L	202.5	U	36-76	47.4%	47	12	41-88	46.6%	53	7
4/19/2008	@ CLEVELAND	86-93	L	3.5	L	187	U	33-82	40.2%	53	13	30-76	39.5%	54	8
4/21/2008	@ CLEVELAND	86-116	L	1.5	L	188	O	27-72	37.5%	47	13	42-81	51.9%	59	10
4/24/2008	CLEVELAND	108-72	W	-5.5	W	192	U	38-73	52.1%	49	11	29-73	39.7%	50	23
4/27/2008	CLEVELAND

Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.

All games in this series since 1996

WASHINGTON is 32-22 against the spread versus CLEVELAND since 1996

WASHINGTON is 29-27 straight up against CLEVELAND since 1996

29 of 54 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1996

Games over the last 3 seasons

WASHINGTON is 13-10 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons

CLEVELAND is 15-9 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons

13 of 24 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at WASHINGTON since 1996

WASHINGTON is 17-9 against the spread versus CLEVELAND since 1996

WASHINGTON is 19-9 straight up against CLEVELAND since 1996

16 of 26 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996

Games played at WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons.

WASHINGTON is 7-4 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons

WASHINGTON is 7-5 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons

6 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

						Shooting		3pt shots		Free Throws		Rebounds
Date	Teams	Score	Line	Result	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	Pct	FTM-A	Pct	Tot.	OFF	TO
04/24/2008	CLEVELAND	72	192	Under	33	29-73	39.7%	2-16	12.5%	12-23	52.2%	50	15	23
	WASHINGTON	108	-5.5	SU ATS	49	38-73	52.1%	8-19	42.1%	24-33	72.7%	49	5	11
04/21/2008	WASHINGTON	86	188	Over	40	27-72	37.5%	3-16	18.7%	29-40	72.5%	47	11	13
	CLEVELAND	116	-1.5	SU ATS	53	42-81	51.9%	10-19	52.6%	22-33	66.7%	59	14	10
04/19/2008	WASHINGTON	86	187	Under	46	33-82	40.2%	6-24	25.0%	14-17	82.4%	53	10	13
	CLEVELAND	93	-3.5	SU ATS	46	30-76	39.5%	5-19	26.3%	28-37	75.7%	54	7	8
03/13/2008	CLEVELAND	99	192	ATS	54	34-81	42.0%	13-32	40.6%	18-24	75.0%	58	18	17
	WASHINGTON	101	-3.5	SU Over	46	36-74	48.6%	7-19	36.8%	22-32	68.7%	43	7	9
02/22/2008	WASHINGTON	89	188	ATS	42	32-70	45.7%	4-13	30.8%	21-29	72.4%	44	3	8
	CLEVELAND	90	-3.5	SU Under	43	34-76	44.7%	12-32	37.5%	10-17	58.8%	51	13	13
01/23/2008	WASHINGTON	85	188	Over	46	32-82	39.0%	7-22	31.8%	14-20	70.0%	38	9	9
	CLEVELAND	121	-4.5	SU ATS	52	47-83	56.6%	7-22	31.8%	20-24	83.3%	58	13	5
12/05/2007	CLEVELAND	86	189.5	Over	34	32-74	43.2%	10-20	50.0%	12-14	85.7%	33	6	14
	WASHINGTON	105	-9.5	SU ATS	53	44-83	53.0%	4-12	33.3%	13-16	81.2%	53	13	12
04/30/2007	CLEVELAND	97	-7	SU	44	32-75	42.7%	5-16	31.2%	28-31	90.3%	50	10	10
	WASHINGTON	90	191.5	Under	47	34-80	42.5%	6-19	31.6%	16-18	88.9%	44	6	12
04/28/2007	CLEVELAND	98	-5	SU ATS	61	38-76	50.0%	6-13	46.2%	16-18	88.9%	53	14	14
	WASHINGTON	92	188.5	Over	44	36-83	43.4%	7-22	31.8%	13-16	81.2%	37	11	7
04/25/2007	WASHINGTON	102	186	ATS	48	38-90	42.2%	6-22	27.3%	20-28	71.4%	45	13	5
	CLEVELAND	109	-11	SU Over	51	40-84	47.6%	3-12	25.0%	26-33	78.8%	66	16	14
04/22/2007	WASHINGTON	82	189	Under	41	29-79	36.7%	6-19	31.6%	18-25	72.0%	46	11	11
	CLEVELAND	97	-12.5	SU ATS	48	32-72	44.4%	3-14	21.4%	30-39	76.9%	60	10	11
04/06/2007	CLEVELAND	99	-5.5	SU Under	45	34-77	44.2%	2-9	22.2%	29-37	78.4%	42	13	11
	WASHINGTON	94	197	ATS	53	38-74	51.4%	6-18	33.3%	12-22	54.5%	55	9	23

Team Line Action - Where the money is going!

Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.

As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring CLEVELAND in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CLEVELAND games 50.8% of the time since 1996. (389-376)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CLEVELAND games 50.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (113-109)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in WASHINGTON games 50.9% of the time since 1996. (387-374)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in WASHINGTON games 47.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (98-109)
No Edge.

As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CLEVELAND games 47.9% of the time since 1996. (395-430)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CLEVELAND games 46.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (114-131)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in WASHINGTON games 50.6% of the time since 1996. (423-413)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in WASHINGTON games 53.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (126-111)
No Edge.

Key Player Injuries

CLEVELAND

[G/F] Sasha Pavlovic is out 2-3 weeks. - Ankle - 04/15/08

[G] Eric Snow out 4-6 weeks. - Knee - 03/11/08

WASHINGTON

(!) [G] Gilbert Arenas injured last game, probable but may be limited Monday vs Cleveland. - Wrist - 04/21/08

[F] Etan Thomas is out for the season. - Heart - 10/10/07

The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping