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NBA Basketball Game Matchup Report

Saturday, 5/3/2008 at 7:30 PM				ORLANDO (56-31) at DETROIT (63-25)
Expanded Matchup \| FoxSheet				Results			Offensive Statistics				Defensive Statistics
Teams	Line	PF	PA	SU	ATS	O/U/P	FG	FT	3PT	O/REB	FG	FT	3PT	O/REB
703: ORLANDO	189.5	104.4	99.0	56-31	54-31-2	39-47-1	37-79 47.4%	20-28 72.4%	10-26 38.2%	10-51	37-84 44.6%	18-24 75.9%	6-18 35.8%	11-50
704: DETROIT	-6.5	97.1	89.8	63-25	51-37-0	38-47-3	37-80 46.0%	18-24 76.6%	6-16 36.8%	12-50	33-76 43.6%	19-25 74.2%	5-15 32.9%	11-48

Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.

	Power Rating
	Estimate	Edge
ORLANDO
DETROIT	-3

Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.

ORLANDO - Recent ATS Trends
	Against the spread			Over/Under			Straight Up
	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996
Description	W-L	W-L	W-L	O-U	O-U	O-U	W-L	W-L	W-L
in all games	54-31	135-111	453-484	39-47	120-133	467-453	56-31	132-123	469-490
as an underdog	17-7	61-48	204-244	13-11	61-54	216-232	13-11	41-74	142-319
as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points	1-1	9-9	40-52	2-0	10-11	41-54	0-2	4-17	24-73
in road games	28-15	68-54	217-252	20-23	64-63	226-240	28-15	53-74	183-298
in a road game where where the total is between 185 and 189.5 points	3-1	15-14	35-40	2-2	16-15	40-37	3-1	10-21	24-54
on Saturday games	9-4	26-13	78-56	7-7	20-22	71-64	9-5	24-18	79-66
when playing with 3 or more days rest	4-2	9-8	33-36	3-3	10-7	41-27	3-3	9-8	29-42
against Central division opponents	11-6	28-27	145-165	9-9	27-31	154-146	13-5	27-31	159-166
after 3 or more consecutive unders	4-3	14-18	44-52	3-4	15-17	45-50	4-3	16-16	54-44
in the second round of the playoffs	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0
after a win by 10 points or more	20-16	38-33	104-109	16-20	30-41	109-98	21-15	40-31	122-97
when playing against a team with a winning record	19-13	51-48	201-233	17-15	55-48	218-207	15-17	37-66	174-288
when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season	7-7	22-26	101-118	6-8	26-24	111-101	6-8	16-34	87-146
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=91 points/game	6-4	11-10	92-108	7-3	12-9	109-96	6-4	11-10	84-128
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=91 points/game - 2nd half of the season	1-2	4-6	40-49	2-1	5-5	52-40	1-2	4-6	35-59

DETROIT - Recent ATS Trends
	Against the spread			Over/Under			Straight Up
	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996
Description	W-L	W-L	W-L	O-U	O-U	O-U	W-L	W-L	W-L
in all games	51-37	144-137	530-504	38-47	129-151	492-540	63-25	200-86	639-425
as a favorite	43-29	116-114	349-335	32-37	112-117	334-350	56-16	178-57	508-194
as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points	9-5	27-20	73-62	7-7	22-27	68-71	12-2	41-8	115-24
in home games	28-16	71-70	264-259	17-25	69-72	258-261	36-8	113-31	376-158
in a home game where where the total is between 185 and 189.5 points	7-1	19-15	51-39	4-4	23-12	50-44	8-0	30-5	76-18
on Saturday games	4-3	16-20	71-68	2-5	17-19	72-67	5-2	23-14	84-62
against Southeast division opponents	10-8	28-34	41-45	9-9	31-33	45-44	15-3	45-19	62-27
after 3 or more consecutive unders	6-1	19-23	71-67	3-3	16-24	64-74	7-0	24-18	80-63
in the second round of the playoffs	0-0	6-7	19-18	0-0	5-8	13-23	0-0	8-5	21-16
revenging a home loss vs opponent	2-7	14-16	83-68	5-4	13-17	67-85	3-6	18-12	84-71
revenging a loss vs opponent	14-15	44-44	206-202	11-17	34-53	178-228	19-10	59-29	232-188
after allowing 85 points or less	21-10	50-46	182-173	17-12	50-44	178-174	25-6	72-27	229-139
after a win by 10 points or more	24-15	53-51	172-151	17-20	48-55	152-168	30-9	81-25	228-105
after 3 or more consecutive wins	16-12	46-46	128-116	11-16	41-53	113-133	20-8	70-26	168-87
when playing against a team with a winning record	23-14	63-66	262-269	14-23	49-81	241-288	26-11	82-49	278-274
when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season	12-8	36-45	153-167	7-13	26-56	133-190	14-6	48-34	161-170
versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game	22-16	48-50	115-109	21-16	49-47	117-108	29-9	73-25	169-66
versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season	13-11	24-31	58-64	16-8	31-24	70-53	19-5	42-13	92-34
versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game	19-12	41-40	100-99	14-17	32-49	97-102	22-9	52-29	110-95
versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season	9-7	23-27	51-60	8-8	20-30	55-57	11-5	32-18	60-54

Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.

ORLANDO - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team				Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.
All Games	56-31	-12.7	54-31	39-47	104.4	52.0	47.4%	51.2	99.0	49.7	44.6%	50.0
Road Games	28-15	+10.5	28-15	20-23	104.2	50.6	47.0%	51.0	99.9	50.9	44.0%	51.8
Last 5 Games	4-1	+3	3-2	2-3	104.0	51.2	47.2%	52.0	99.4	53.6	43.5%	46.4
Playoff Games	4-1	+3	3-2	2-3	104.0	51.2	47.2%	52.0	99.4	53.6	43.5%	46.4

ORLANDO Team Statistics
			Shooting		3pt Shooting		Free Throws		Rebounding
	PPG	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	PCT	FTM-A	Pct	Tot	Off	Ast	PF	Stl	TO	Bk
Team Stats (All Games)	104.4	52.0	37-79	47.4%	10-26	38.2%	20-28	72.4%	51	10	21	20	6	14	4
vs opponents surrendering	99.5	49.7	37-81	45.8%	7-18	36.3%	19-25	75.6%	50	11	22	21	7	14	5
Team Stats (Road Games)	104.2	50.6	37-79	47.0%	10-26	36.9%	21-28	72.6%	51	9	21	21	7	14	4
Stats Against (All Games)	99.0	49.7	37-84	44.6%	6-18	35.8%	18-24	75.9%	50	11	22	23	7	13	4
vs opponents averaging	98.9	49.5	37-81	45.5%	6-18	36.1%	19-25	75.6%	50	11	22	21	7	13	5
Stats Against (Road Games)	99.9	50.9	37-85	44.0%	6-19	34.1%	19-24	76.8%	52	12	24	24	7	13	4

DETROIT - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team				Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.
All Games	63-25	+5.7	51-37	38-47	97.1	49.7	46.0%	49.6	89.8	45.2	43.6%	48.2
Home Games	36-8	+5.8	28-16	17-25	99.6	51.3	47.1%	50.7	88.1	43.9	42.8%	47.3
Last 5 Games	4-1	+1.9	4-1	1-3	94.2	46.8	50.9%	44.8	85.0	40.2	41.4%	47.6
Playoff Games	4-2	-3.1	4-2	1-4	92.8	47.5	48.8%	45.5	85.8	39.8	41.7%	49.7

DETROIT Team Statistics
			Shooting		3pt Shooting		Free Throws		Rebounding
	PPG	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	PCT	FTM-A	Pct	Tot	Off	Ast	PF	Stl	TO	Bk
Team Stats (All Games)	97.1	49.7	37-80	46.0%	6-16	36.8%	18-24	76.6%	50	12	22	21	7	11	6
vs opponents surrendering	99.9	50	37-81	45.9%	7-18	36.4%	19-25	75.7%	50	11	22	21	7	14	5
Team Stats (Home Games)	99.6	51.3	38-80	47.1%	6-16	37.0%	18-24	75.8%	51	13	24	20	7	11	7
Stats Against (All Games)	89.8	45.2	33-76	43.6%	5-15	32.9%	19-25	74.2%	48	11	19	20	6	13	4
vs opponents averaging	99.1	49.6	37-81	45.5%	6-18	35.9%	19-25	74.8%	50	11	21	21	7	14	5
Stats Against (Home Games)	88.1	43.9	33-76	42.8%	4-14	31.0%	18-25	74.8%	47	11	18	20	6	13	4

Average power rating of opponents played: ORLANDO 95.4, DETROIT 95.2

Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.

ORLANDO - Season Results
								Team Stats				Opp Stats
Date	Opponent	Score	SU	Line	ATS	Tot.	O/U	Shots	Pct	REB	TO	Shots	Pct	REB	TO
3/25/2008	SAN ANTONIO	97-107	L	-1.5	L	190	O	35-77	45.5%	52	11	40-74	54.1%	40	10
3/28/2008	@ MILWAUKEE	103-86	W	-8.5	W	213.5	U	35-79	44.3%	55	14	35-102	34.3%	68	12
4/1/2008	NEW ORLEANS	97-98	L	2	W	210	U	37-74	50.0%	37	11	35-86	40.7%	62	11
4/5/2008	@ CLEVELAND	101-86	W	2	W	197	U	36-77	46.8%	41	11	34-88	38.6%	64	16
4/6/2008	@ NEW YORK	90-100	L	-7.5	L	212	U	32-80	40.0%	59	14	33-92	35.9%	68	8
4/9/2008	CHICAGO	115-83	W	-9.5	W	206.5	U	45-89	50.6%	58	15	34-83	41.0%	49	19
4/11/2008	MINNESOTA	101-102	L	-12	L	206.5	U	39-76	51.3%	44	13	38-85	44.7%	52	12
4/13/2008	@ CHICAGO	104-84	W	-3	W	204.5	U	34-69	49.3%	51	16	32-80	40.0%	46	18
4/15/2008	@ ATLANTA	121-105	W	2.5	W	203.5	O	47-82	57.3%	44	12	41-88	46.6%	49	16
4/16/2008	WASHINGTON	103-83	W	-8.5	W	202.5	U	41-88	46.6%	53	7	36-76	47.4%	47	12
4/20/2008	TORONTO	114-100	W	-6	W	196	O	41-77	53.2%	48	10	32-85	37.6%	46	7
4/22/2008	TORONTO	104-103	W	-6	L	200.5	O	38-89	42.7%	55	13	37-81	45.7%	46	13
4/24/2008	@ TORONTO	94-108	L	4	L	205	U	34-73	46.6%	41	14	42-85	49.4%	50	12
4/26/2008	@ TORONTO	106-94	W	2	W	204	U	37-75	49.3%	56	18	40-92	43.5%	49	9
4/28/2008	TORONTO	102-92	W	-7	W	203.5	U	35-78	44.9%	60	13	35-85	41.2%	41	6
5/3/2008	@ DETROIT

DETROIT - Season Results
								Team Stats				Opp Stats
Date	Opponent	Score	SU	Line	ATS	Tot.	O/U	Shots	Pct	REB	TO	Shots	Pct	REB	TO
3/24/2008	PHOENIX	110-105	W	0	W	207	O	40-89	44.9%	52	12	40-79	50.6%	46	14
3/26/2008	@ TORONTO	82-89	L	0	L	183.5	U	31-76	40.8%	46	14	36-73	49.3%	39	11
3/27/2008	MIAMI	85-69	W	-20.5	L	177	U	32-68	47.1%	46	11	24-67	35.8%	44	13
3/29/2008	CLEVELAND	85-71	W	-7	W	184	U	33-73	45.2%	49	11	27-74	36.5%	47	11
4/1/2008	@ MINNESOTA	94-90	W	-2.5	W	178.5	O	32-80	40.0%	52	8	32-75	42.7%	53	12
4/4/2008	NEW JERSEY	106-87	W	-10	W	189.5	O	42-80	52.5%	54	15	34-75	45.3%	40	12
4/6/2008	@ MIAMI	91-75	W	-13.5	W	171	U	35-70	50.0%	45	13	25-71	35.2%	43	11
4/8/2008	NEW YORK	94-98	L	-10	L	194	U	36-101	35.6%	60	9	41-76	53.9%	51	22
4/9/2008	@ PHILADELPHIA	94-101	L	4.5	L	183.5	O	35-81	43.2%	45	12	37-73	50.7%	49	10
4/11/2008	WASHINGTON	102-74	W	-4	W	189	U	42-84	50.0%	59	9	23-85	27.1%	54	9
4/13/2008	TORONTO	91-84	W	-5	W	185.5	U	38-78	48.7%	48	13	36-83	43.4%	45	11
4/15/2008	MINNESOTA	115-103	W	-7.5	W	191	O	40-79	50.6%	53	14	41-85	48.2%	45	11
4/16/2008	@ CLEVELAND	84-74	W	-8.5	W	178.5	U	32-83	38.6%	56	10	26-79	32.9%	61	8
4/20/2008	PHILADELPHIA	86-90	L	-9.5	L	178.5	U	32-82	39.0%	49	12	35-81	43.2%	60	12
4/23/2008	PHILADELPHIA	105-88	W	-10	W	178.5	O	45-82	54.9%	53	14	32-81	39.5%	49	10
4/25/2008	@ PHILADELPHIA	75-95	L	-5	L	180.5	U	27-66	40.9%	42	23	34-74	45.9%	50	15
4/27/2008	@ PHILADELPHIA	93-84	W	-5.5	W	179	U	34-80	42.5%	45	14	31-67	46.3%	48	19
4/29/2008	PHILADELPHIA	98-81	W	-10	W	179	P	43-74	58.1%	40	17	30-71	42.3%	43	18
5/1/2008	@ PHILADELPHIA	100-77	W	-5	W	177.5	U	39-67	58.2%	44	16	25-74	33.8%	48	11
5/3/2008	ORLANDO

Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.

All games in this series since 1996

DETROIT is 26-26 against the spread versus ORLANDO since 1996

DETROIT is 33-23 straight up against ORLANDO since 1996

29 of 52 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996

Games over the last 3 seasons

DETROIT is 8-5 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons

DETROIT is 12-3 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons

9 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at DETROIT since 1996

DETROIT is 13-12 against the spread versus ORLANDO since 1996

DETROIT is 20-8 straight up against ORLANDO since 1996

15 of 27 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996

Games played at DETROIT over the last 3 seasons.

DETROIT is 3-3 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons

DETROIT is 6-1 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons

6 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

						Shooting		3pt shots		Free Throws		Rebounds
Date	Teams	Score	Line	Result	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	Pct	FTM-A	Pct	Tot.	OFF	TO
02/19/2008	ORLANDO	103	195	SU ATS	52	36-74	48.6%	13-20	65.0%	18-23	78.3%	47	6	14
	DETROIT	85	-6	Under	45	32-83	38.6%	2-14	14.3%	19-25	76.0%	53	15	13
01/25/2008	ORLANDO	93	193	Over	49	31-70	44.3%	6-19	31.6%	25-39	64.1%	41	8	9
	DETROIT	101	-7	SU ATS	68	41-81	50.6%	5-13	38.5%	14-17	82.4%	55	15	14
01/21/2008	DETROIT	100	-2.5	Over	49	35-80	43.7%	7-13	53.8%	23-30	76.7%	48	11	11
	ORLANDO	102	192	SU ATS	55	33-65	50.8%	8-17	47.1%	28-37	75.7%	45	5	12
11/02/2007	DETROIT	116	184	SU ATS	64	43-73	58.9%	7-15	46.7%	23-30	76.7%	49	9	13
	ORLANDO	92	-4	Over	55	31-77	40.3%	8-18	44.4%	22-33	66.7%	45	10	12
04/28/2007	DETROIT	97	-4	SU	47	30-65	46.2%	6-15	40.0%	31-38	81.6%	44	10	15
	ORLANDO	93	183	Over	46	36-77	46.8%	2-8	25.0%	19-31	61.3%	51	15	14
04/26/2007	DETROIT	93	-2.5	SU ATS	48	34-78	43.6%	8-13	61.5%	17-23	73.9%	53	12	8
	ORLANDO	77	183	Under	42	31-74	41.9%	3-8	37.5%	12-21	57.1%	49	8	13
04/23/2007	ORLANDO	90	183		44	35-76	46.1%	3-8	37.5%	17-26	65.4%	52	12	9
	DETROIT	98	-8	SU Over	47	32-78	41.0%	8-19	42.1%	26-33	78.8%	51	16	6
04/21/2007	ORLANDO	92	181.5	ATS	43	36-62	58.1%	2-5	40.0%	18-36	50.0%	49	10	20
	DETROIT	100	-9.5	SU Over	51	36-73	49.3%	5-14	35.7%	23-31	74.2%	40	9	9
04/11/2007	ORLANDO	99	185	Over	46	37-74	50.0%	4-7	57.1%	21-35	60.0%	49	14	10
	DETROIT	104	-4.5	SU ATS	56	41-75	54.7%	8-15	53.3%	14-16	87.5%	38	8	11
02/23/2007	DETROIT	94	-2	SU ATS	44	28-71	39.4%	6-17	35.3%	32-37	86.5%	47	12	15
	ORLANDO	89	185.5	Under	45	29-62	46.8%	3-8	37.5%	28-36	77.8%	42	6	18
02/21/2007	ORLANDO	88	181.5	Over	43	31-66	47.0%	2-9	22.2%	24-39	61.5%	48	13	22
	DETROIT	110	-7.5	SU ATS	62	39-75	52.0%	5-17	29.4%	27-33	81.8%	44	11	13

Team Line Action - Where the money is going!

Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.

As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring DETROIT in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ORLANDO games 49.9% of the time since 1996. (372-374)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ORLANDO games 46.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (93-106)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DETROIT games 52.4% of the time since 1996. (421-382)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DETROIT games 49.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (106-109)
No Edge.

As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ORLANDO games 50.3% of the time since 1996. (403-398)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ORLANDO games 48.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (111-120)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in DETROIT games 50.4% of the time since 1996. (451-444)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in DETROIT games 54.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (134-113)
No Edge.

Key Player Injuries

ORLANDO

[F] Brian Cook is expected to miss first round of the playoffs. - Hand - 04/20/08

[C] Tony Battie is out for the season. - Rotator Cuff - 10/15/07

DETROIT

[F] Antonio McDyess is probable but may be limited Tuesday vs Philadelphia. - Nose - 04/29/08

The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping