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NBA Basketball Game Matchup Report

Sunday, 5/4/2008 at 1:00 PM				ATLANTA (40-48) at BOSTON (69-19)
Expanded Matchup \| FoxSheet				Results			Offensive Statistics				Defensive Statistics
Teams	Line	PF	PA	SU	ATS	O/U/P	FG	FT	3PT	O/REB	FG	FT	3PT	O/REB
531: ATLANTA	189.5	97.8	100.0	40-48	41-47-0	45-42-1	36-79 45.3%	21-28 77.4%	5-13 35.3%	12-50	38-82 46.2%	18-24 75.3%	6-17 36.6%	12-49
532: BOSTON	-14.5	100.5	90.3	69-19	56-31-1	40-46-2	36-77 47.4%	20-26 77.0%	7-19 38.3%	10-50	32-77 42.0%	20-27 74.7%	6-18 31.5%	11-48

Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.

	Power Rating
	Estimate	Edge
ATLANTA
BOSTON	-11

Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.

ATLANTA - Recent ATS Trends
	Against the spread			Over/Under			Straight Up
	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996
Description	W-L	W-L	W-L	O-U	O-U	O-U	W-L	W-L	W-L
in all games	41-47	119-132	457-498	45-42	136-115	481-452	40-48	96-156	393-571
as an underdog	20-28	86-94	285-334	23-25	95-85	311-300	14-34	54-126	169-453
as a road underdog of 12.5 to 15 points	1-1	5-4	19-22	1-1	5-4	19-20	0-2	0-9	1-40
as a road underdog of 12.5 to 18 points	1-3	5-8	22-31	1-3	5-8	22-29	0-4	0-13	2-51
as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points	1-3	5-8	22-31	1-3	5-8	22-29	0-4	0-13	2-51
in road games	17-27	57-69	220-259	20-24	62-64	224-245	12-32	32-94	135-346
in a road game where where the total is between 185 and 189.5 points	1-10	10-18	39-49	3-8	13-15	41-47	1-10	6-22	25-63
on Sunday games	5-3	14-12	44-38	4-4	16-10	40-41	3-5	9-17	36-47
against Atlantic division opponents	11-13	30-30	129-146	13-11	37-23	143-123	12-12	27-33	120-166
after 3 or more consecutive overs	7-6	17-23	56-69	8-5	19-21	64-59	6-7	10-30	44-83
in the first round of the playoffs	3-3	3-3	9-11	4-2	4-2	7-13	3-3	3-3	10-10
when tied in a playoff series	0-1	0-1	1-4	1-0	1-0	2-3	0-1	0-1	2-3
off an upset win as an underdog	6-7	23-28	70-93	7-6	28-24	79-80	4-9	19-33	65-102
when playing against a team with a winning record	23-27	59-60	219-247	25-25	61-58	229-224	18-32	40-79	161-317
when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season	12-14	31-26	111-116	16-10	32-25	109-111	9-17	20-37	79-155
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=91 points/game	6-6	15-10	86-105	5-7	12-13	93-93	4-8	9-16	69-126
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=91 points/game - 2nd half of the season	5-4	11-5	40-47	5-4	9-7	47-37	3-6	6-10	29-59
versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game	18-19	40-44	100-111	20-17	45-40	111-101	16-21	32-53	71-144
versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season	11-12	25-25	58-55	15-8	30-21	58-55	9-14	19-32	40-76

BOSTON - Recent ATS Trends
	Against the spread			Over/Under			Straight Up
	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996
Description	W-L	W-L	W-L	O-U	O-U	O-U	W-L	W-L	W-L
in all games	56-31	135-111	485-488	40-46	122-126	492-469	69-19	126-126	453-537
as a favorite	45-27	63-55	197-219	34-37	60-58	199-211	59-14	83-37	269-153
as a home favorite of 12.5 to 15 points	4-5	4-5	6-7	2-7	2-7	4-9	8-1	8-1	12-1
as a home favorite of 12.5 to 18 points	7-6	7-6	9-8	3-10	3-10	5-12	12-1	12-1	16-1
as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points	8-6	8-6	10-8	3-11	3-11	5-13	13-1	13-1	17-1
in home games	28-15	59-64	230-260	18-25	55-69	224-256	38-6	71-55	268-228
in a home game where where the total is between 185 and 189.5 points	8-2	17-12	45-57	5-5	14-16	54-50	8-2	17-13	51-54
on Sunday games	8-4	20-11	60-68	5-7	15-15	62-60	10-2	18-13	61-71
against Southeast division opponents	11-13	25-34	37-40	10-13	26-33	36-40	15-9	26-34	40-38
after 3 or more consecutive overs	1-6	10-19	51-77	4-3	16-13	69-59	4-3	9-20	45-84
in the first round of the playoffs	3-3	3-3	15-12	4-2	4-2	14-13	3-3	3-3	13-15
when tied in a playoff series	1-0	1-0	3-5	1-0	1-0	4-5	1-0	1-0	5-4
revenging a loss vs opponent	17-13	69-57	249-264	15-15	63-66	256-256	23-7	54-76	209-314
off a upset loss as a favorite	9-4	21-15	78-73	5-8	18-18	75-73	10-3	20-16	70-81
when playing against a team with a losing record	30-14	71-55	212-218	19-24	64-61	213-207	41-4	75-53	248-190
when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season	20-7	42-23	109-96	12-15	37-28	110-93	25-3	41-25	125-85
versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game	28-18	56-46	113-119	22-24	50-53	107-122	37-10	58-46	134-101
versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season	17-12	31-24	55-62	14-15	28-27	62-54	21-9	32-24	67-52

Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.

ATLANTA - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team				Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.
All Games	40-48	+3.6	41-47	45-42	97.7	48.7	45.3%	50.4	100.0	49.4	46.2%	49.1
Road Games	12-32	-9.7	17-27	20-24	93.7	46.7	43.7%	49.4	100.6	49.6	47.3%	50.0
Last 5 Games	3-2	+9.2	3-2	4-1	92.8	48.2	44.6%	46.2	98.2	52.8	45.5%	48.2
Playoff Games	3-3	+9.2	3-3	4-2	90.8	46.8	43.4%	47.2	99.2	52.2	45.7%	48.7

ATLANTA Team Statistics
			Shooting		3pt Shooting		Free Throws		Rebounding
	PPG	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	PCT	FTM-A	Pct	Tot	Off	Ast	PF	Stl	TO	Bk
Team Stats (All Games)	97.7	48.7	36-79	45.3%	5-13	35.3%	21-28	77.4%	50	12	22	20	7	14	5
vs opponents surrendering	99	49.5	37-81	45.5%	7-18	35.9%	19-25	75.5%	50	11	22	21	7	14	5
Team Stats (Road Games)	93.7	46.7	34-79	43.7%	5-13	36.5%	20-27	76.2%	49	12	19	20	7	15	5
Stats Against (All Games)	100.0	49.4	38-82	46.2%	6-17	36.6%	18-24	75.3%	49	12	22	22	8	13	5
vs opponents averaging	99.3	49.7	37-81	45.6%	7-18	36.3%	19-25	75.2%	50	11	22	21	7	14	5
Stats Against (Road Games)	100.6	49.6	38-81	47.3%	6-17	37.4%	17-23	74.6%	50	12	22	22	8	13	5

BOSTON - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team				Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.
All Games	69-19	+13.1	56-31	40-46	100.5	51.1	47.4%	50.3	90.3	44.9	42.0%	47.7
Home Games	38-6	+5.1	28-15	18-25	100.6	51.6	48.2%	50.7	87.4	43.0	41.1%	46.1
Last 5 Games	2-3	-12.5	2-3	4-1	98.2	52.8	45.5%	48.2	92.8	48.2	44.6%	46.2
Playoff Games	3-3	-12.5	3-3	4-2	99.2	52.2	45.7%	48.7	90.8	46.8	43.4%	47.2

BOSTON Team Statistics
			Shooting		3pt Shooting		Free Throws		Rebounding
	PPG	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	PCT	FTM-A	Pct	Tot	Off	Ast	PF	Stl	TO	Bk
Team Stats (All Games)	100.5	51.1	36-77	47.4%	7-19	38.3%	20-26	77.0%	50	10	23	23	8	14	5
vs opponents surrendering	100.1	50	37-81	45.9%	7-18	36.5%	19-25	75.6%	50	11	22	21	7	13	5
Team Stats (Home Games)	100.6	51.6	37-77	48.2%	7-18	36.9%	20-26	76.8%	51	10	24	22	9	14	5
Stats Against (All Games)	90.3	44.9	32-77	42.0%	6-18	31.5%	20-27	74.7%	48	11	19	22	7	15	5
vs opponents averaging	98.9	49.4	37-81	45.4%	6-18	35.9%	19-25	75.2%	50	11	22	21	7	14	5
Stats Against (Home Games)	87.4	43.0	31-76	41.1%	5-18	30.7%	20-26	75.4%	46	10	18	22	7	16	4

Average power rating of opponents played: ATLANTA 95.8, BOSTON 95.4

Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.

ATLANTA - Season Results
								Team Stats				Opp Stats
Date	Opponent	Score	SU	Line	ATS	Tot.	O/U	Shots	Pct	REB	TO	Shots	Pct	REB	TO
3/25/2008	@ CHICAGO	94-103	L	3.5	L	207	U	35-84	41.7%	54	15	41-93	44.1%	54	13
3/26/2008	MILWAUKEE	115-96	W	-7.5	W	211	P	43-75	57.3%	35	11	38-79	48.1%	53	20
3/28/2008	CHICAGO	106-103	W	-4.5	L	206	O	34-78	43.6%	57	10	37-81	45.7%	51	13
3/30/2008	NEW YORK	114-109	W	-14	L	204	O	44-85	51.8%	56	16	41-88	46.6%	46	13
3/31/2008	@ MEMPHIS	116-99	W	-3	W	208.5	O	43-77	55.8%	36	11	41-76	53.9%	44	16
4/2/2008	TORONTO	127-120	W	-1	W	207	O	47-92	51.1%	56	14	48-92	52.2%	38	13
4/4/2008	PHILADELPHIA	104-109	L	0	L	206.5	O	42-81	51.9%	45	12	40-78	51.3%	40	10
4/5/2008	@ PHILADELPHIA	92-85	W	5.5	W	204	U	34-71	47.9%	53	16	31-74	41.9%	41	11
4/8/2008	@ INDIANA	98-112	L	4	L	211.5	U	35-94	37.2%	57	11	41-80	51.2%	50	13
4/11/2008	@ NEW YORK	116-104	W	-6.5	W	210.5	O	42-76	55.3%	41	11	45-95	47.4%	56	17
4/12/2008	BOSTON	89-99	L	-3.5	L	195	U	35-81	43.2%	48	14	34-72	47.2%	48	12
4/15/2008	ORLANDO	105-121	L	-2.5	L	203.5	O	41-88	46.6%	49	16	47-82	57.3%	44	12
4/16/2008	@ MIAMI	99-113	L	-5	L	187.5	O	37-78	47.4%	51	13	44-92	47.8%	49	8
4/20/2008	@ BOSTON	81-104	L	15.5	L	190	U	29-76	38.2%	52	15	38-81	46.9%	51	10
4/23/2008	@ BOSTON	77-96	L	15.5	L	188.5	U	23-60	38.3%	45	21	35-84	41.7%	57	12
4/26/2008	BOSTON	102-93	W	8.5	W	189	O	36-76	47.4%	51	11	32-72	44.4%	38	10
4/28/2008	BOSTON	97-92	W	9	W	188	O	32-67	47.8%	46	17	35-85	41.2%	51	10
4/30/2008	@ BOSTON	85-110	L	14.5	L	187	O	28-69	40.6%	39	13	45-84	53.6%	49	10
5/2/2008	BOSTON	103-100	W	8.5	W	188.5	O	33-69	47.8%	50	12	38-82	46.3%	46	9
5/4/2008	@ BOSTON

BOSTON - Season Results
								Team Stats				Opp Stats
Date	Opponent	Score	SU	Line	ATS	Tot.	O/U	Shots	Pct	REB	TO	Shots	Pct	REB	TO
3/26/2008	PHOENIX	117-97	W	-7	W	209.5	O	45-86	52.3%	49	14	38-68	55.9%	30	21
3/28/2008	NEW ORLEANS	112-92	W	-7	W	196.5	O	44-74	59.5%	49	6	34-78	43.6%	38	7
3/30/2008	MIAMI	88-62	W	-23	W	184	U	32-83	38.6%	63	14	17-59	28.8%	40	19
4/1/2008	@ CHICAGO	106-92	W	-7	W	198	P	35-71	49.3%	50	19	30-72	41.7%	41	16
4/2/2008	INDIANA	92-77	W	-11	W	208	U	35-79	44.3%	59	18	26-73	35.6%	49	20
4/5/2008	@ CHARLOTTE	101-78	W	-2	W	187	U	34-78	43.6%	60	13	33-78	42.3%	43	15
4/8/2008	@ MILWAUKEE	107-104	W	-8.5	L	194	O	36-73	49.3%	54	23	34-85	40.0%	52	23
4/9/2008	@ WASHINGTON	95-109	L	-2	L	191.5	O	34-76	44.7%	54	20	40-78	51.3%	42	10
4/11/2008	MILWAUKEE	102-86	W	-15	W	196	U	44-87	50.6%	53	13	31-81	38.3%	50	12
4/12/2008	@ ATLANTA	99-89	W	3.5	W	195	U	34-72	47.2%	48	12	35-81	43.2%	48	14
4/14/2008	@ NEW YORK	99-93	W	-4	W	195	U	37-77	48.1%	50	14	34-85	40.0%	54	14
4/16/2008	NEW JERSEY	105-94	W	-9.5	W	191	O	37-82	45.1%	51	13	31-71	43.7%	47	14
4/20/2008	ATLANTA	104-81	W	-15.5	W	190	U	38-81	46.9%	51	10	29-76	38.2%	52	15
4/23/2008	ATLANTA	96-77	W	-15.5	W	188.5	U	35-84	41.7%	57	12	23-60	38.3%	45	21
4/26/2008	@ ATLANTA	93-102	L	-8.5	L	189	O	32-72	44.4%	38	10	36-76	47.4%	51	11
4/28/2008	@ ATLANTA	92-97	L	-9	L	188	O	35-85	41.2%	51	10	32-67	47.8%	46	17
4/30/2008	ATLANTA	110-85	W	-14.5	W	187	O	45-84	53.6%	49	10	28-69	40.6%	39	13
5/2/2008	@ ATLANTA	100-103	L	-8.5	L	188.5	O	38-82	46.3%	46	9	33-69	47.8%	50	12
5/4/2008	ATLANTA

Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.

All games in this series since 1996

ATLANTA is 26-21 against the spread versus BOSTON since 1996

BOSTON is 25-24 straight up against ATLANTA since 1996

26 of 48 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1996

Games over the last 3 seasons

BOSTON is 8-8 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons

BOSTON is 8-8 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons

8 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at BOSTON since 1996

BOSTON is 12-12 against the spread versus ATLANTA since 1996

BOSTON is 17-7 straight up against ATLANTA since 1996

16 of 24 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1996

Games played at BOSTON over the last 3 seasons.

BOSTON is 5-3 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons

BOSTON is 6-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons

6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

						Shooting		3pt shots		Free Throws		Rebounds
Date	Teams	Score	Line	Result	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	Pct	FTM-A	Pct	Tot.	OFF	TO
05/02/2008	BOSTON	100	-8.5	Over	50	38-82	46.3%	4-19	21.1%	20-25	80.0%	46	14	9
	ATLANTA	103	188.5	SU ATS	49	33-69	47.8%	1-7	14.3%	36-47	76.6%	50	13	12
04/30/2008	ATLANTA	85	187	Over	43	28-69	40.6%	4-13	30.8%	25-29	86.2%	39	8	13
	BOSTON	110	-14.5	SU ATS	58	45-84	53.6%	9-20	45.0%	11-15	73.3%	49	13	10
04/28/2008	BOSTON	92	-9	Over	48	35-85	41.2%	12-23	52.2%	10-18	55.6%	51	15	10
	ATLANTA	97	188	SU ATS	51	32-67	47.8%	4-18	22.2%	29-33	87.9%	46	8	17
04/26/2008	BOSTON	93	-8.5	Over	56	32-72	44.4%	6-17	35.3%	23-25	92.0%	38	9	10
	ATLANTA	102	189	SU ATS	56	36-76	47.4%	10-18	55.6%	20-27	74.1%	51	12	11
04/23/2008	ATLANTA	77	188.5	Under	42	23-60	38.3%	0-5	0.0%	31-40	77.5%	45	5	21
	BOSTON	96	-15.5	SU ATS	52	35-84	41.7%	7-18	38.9%	19-26	73.1%	57	13	12
04/20/2008	ATLANTA	81	190	Under	40	29-76	38.2%	3-14	21.4%	20-28	71.4%	52	16	15
	BOSTON	104	-15.5	SU ATS	49	38-81	46.9%	9-16	56.2%	19-24	79.2%	51	13	10
04/12/2008	BOSTON	99	195	SU ATS	55	34-72	47.2%	5-12	41.7%	26-29	89.7%	48	8	12
	ATLANTA	89	-3.5	Under	44	35-81	43.2%	4-18	22.2%	15-24	62.5%	48	17	14
03/02/2008	ATLANTA	88	198.5	ATS	44	32-81	39.5%	3-16	18.7%	21-28	75.0%	49	12	13
	BOSTON	98	-11.5	SU Under	41	37-83	44.6%	7-21	33.3%	17-21	81.0%	57	12	13
11/09/2007	ATLANTA	83	191.5	Under	41	30-70	42.9%	5-11	45.5%	18-25	72.0%	37	8	19
	BOSTON	106	-9	SU ATS	55	41-67	61.2%	6-10	60.0%	18-25	72.0%	43	8	18
04/10/2007	BOSTON	96	188	Over	59	36-78	46.2%	8-16	50.0%	16-20	80.0%	31	11	11
	ATLANTA	104	-2	SU ATS	51	41-68	60.3%	3-6	50.0%	19-24	79.2%	47	10	17
03/14/2007	ATLANTA	88	189.5	Over	41	24-63	38.1%	4-8	50.0%	36-44	81.8%	43	6	20
	BOSTON	109	-5.5	SU ATS	50	41-81	50.6%	6-15	40.0%	21-28	75.0%	51	11	17
01/24/2007	ATLANTA	82	184.5	SU ATS	29	30-83	36.1%	2-12	16.7%	20-28	71.4%	62	15	10
	BOSTON	76	-4	Under	44	25-79	31.6%	3-15	20.0%	23-30	76.7%	60	13	13
01/15/2007	BOSTON	96	181	ATS	40	34-75	45.3%	9-17	52.9%	19-23	82.6%	45	12	20
	ATLANTA	100	-5.5	SU Over	47	39-79	49.4%	3-11	27.3%	19-25	76.0%	46	15	16

Team Line Action - Where the money is going!

Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.

As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring ATLANTA in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ATLANTA games 52% of the time since 1996. (396-365)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ATLANTA games 54.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (117-96)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 48.3% of the time since 1996. (363-388)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 48% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (95-103)
No Edge.

As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ATLANTA games 49.7% of the time since 1996. (410-415)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ATLANTA games 47.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (107-119)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 50.6% of the time since 1996. (427-417)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 52.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (118-108)
No Edge.

Key Player Injuries

ATLANTA

[C] Zaza Pachulia is "?" Wednesday vs Boston. - Possible Suspension - 04/29/08

[F] Marvin Williams is "?" Wednesday vs Boston. - Possible Suspension - 04/29/08

[G] Speedy Claxton out for the season. - Knee - 11/04/07

BOSTON

[F] Scot Pollard out for the season. - Ankle - 03/05/08

[C] Kendrick Perkins is "?" Wednesday vs Atlanta. - Possible Suspension - 04/29/08

(!) [F] Kevin Garnett is "?" Wednesday vs Atlanta. - Possible Suspension - 04/29/08

The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping