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NBA Basketball Game Matchup Report

Tuesday, 5/6/2008 at 8:05 PM				CLEVELAND (49-39) at BOSTON (70-19)
Expanded Matchup \| FoxSheet				Results			Offensive Statistics				Defensive Statistics
Teams	Line	PF	PA	SU	ATS	O/U/P	FG	FT	3PT	O/REB	FG	FT	3PT	O/REB
707: CLEVELAND	181.5	96.3	96.4	49-39	41-47-0	39-48-1	36-81 43.8%	18-25 71.6%	7-19 35.9%	13-53	36-79 45.3%	19-26 74.9%	6-17 35.3%	10-49
708: BOSTON	-10	100.4	90.0	70-19	57-31-1	40-47-2	37-77 47.4%	20-26 77.1%	7-19 38.1%	10-50	32-77 41.8%	20-27 74.7%	6-18 31.6%	11-48

Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.

	Power Rating
	Estimate	Edge
CLEVELAND
BOSTON	-10

Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.

CLEVELAND - Recent ATS Trends
	Against the spread			Over/Under			Straight Up
	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996
Description	W-L	W-L	W-L	O-U	O-U	O-U	W-L	W-L	W-L
in all games	41-47	147-133	479-487	39-48	127-155	474-481	49-39	168-117	458-524
as an underdog	19-19	59-49	249-280	16-22	45-62	260-256	14-24	41-67	148-385
as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points	1-1	4-2	28-29	1-1	3-3	23-33	0-2	1-5	6-51
in road games	24-20	76-64	230-253	22-22	68-74	236-238	20-24	67-76	165-325
in a road game where where the total is between 180 and 184.5 points	2-2	13-11	35-35	0-4	11-13	32-36	1-3	12-13	28-43
on Tuesday nights	6-5	25-15	93-71	7-4	25-14	88-76	7-4	26-14	91-82
when playing with 3 or more days rest	3-4	11-11	35-32	4-3	8-14	29-37	4-3	15-7	37-30
against Atlantic division opponents	8-10	28-31	124-147	8-10	29-31	135-139	10-8	38-22	131-151
in the second round of the playoffs	0-0	8-5	8-5	0-0	3-10	3-10	0-0	7-6	7-6
revenging a loss vs opponent	18-20	62-58	250-254	20-18	53-66	249-246	22-16	71-49	213-302
off an upset win as an underdog	5-8	18-20	64-79	4-9	14-26	65-78	4-9	18-22	63-84
after a win by 10 points or more	2-9	26-35	86-104	6-5	27-34	98-91	4-7	32-29	96-101
after scoring 105 points or more	8-12	36-35	87-90	10-10	34-38	82-96	8-12	38-34	82-99
when playing against a team with a winning record	20-21	71-63	235-246	14-27	48-88	211-266	21-20	70-66	180-312
when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season	10-13	45-38	124-132	7-16	29-54	103-147	11-12	42-41	94-167
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=91 points/game	4-3	18-14	99-102	2-5	12-20	95-105	3-4	14-18	74-131
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=91 points/game - 2nd half of the season	2-3	9-11	41-43	1-4	5-15	30-53	2-3	6-14	31-55
versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game	19-11	54-38	109-86	16-14	46-47	99-95	17-13	53-40	93-109
versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season	6-6	29-23	56-48	5-7	25-28	49-54	6-6	30-23	50-57

BOSTON - Recent ATS Trends
	Against the spread			Over/Under			Straight Up
	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996
Description	W-L	W-L	W-L	O-U	O-U	O-U	W-L	W-L	W-L
in all games	57-31	136-111	486-488	40-47	122-127	492-470	70-19	127-126	454-537
as a favorite	46-27	64-55	198-219	34-38	60-59	199-212	60-14	84-37	270-153
as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points	9-6	9-6	21-19	7-7	7-7	17-21	13-2	13-2	33-7
in home games	29-15	60-64	231-260	18-26	55-70	224-257	39-6	72-55	269-228
in a home game where where the total is between 180 and 184.5 points	5-5	9-8	30-28	3-6	6-9	30-27	8-2	10-7	33-26
on Tuesday nights	6-3	14-9	56-47	5-3	15-7	55-44	6-3	10-13	40-64
against Central division opponents	13-5	28-24	153-166	5-12	22-31	156-161	15-3	22-32	136-191
in the second round of the playoffs	0-0	0-0	4-5	0-0	0-0	3-5	0-0	0-0	4-5
after allowing 85 points or less	16-13	24-21	80-84	10-17	20-24	75-87	22-7	26-20	83-87
after a win by 10 points or more	34-14	43-27	108-90	17-29	28-40	86-105	43-5	48-22	117-83
when playing against a team with a winning record	22-15	57-49	246-247	19-18	52-56	257-236	23-14	44-65	183-323
when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season	10-7	30-27	124-131	10-7	27-31	133-121	10-7	22-36	91-173

Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.

CLEVELAND - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team				Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.
All Games	49-39	+6.4	41-47	39-48	96.3	47.7	43.8%	53.1	96.4	47.7	45.3%	49.0
Road Games	20-24	+2	24-20	22-22	94.9	47.4	43.4%	51.7	98.5	48.7	46.7%	49.8
Last 5 Games	3-2	+0.8	3-2	3-2	96.0	47.8	43.8%	54.8	93.4	45.2	43.1%	47.0
Playoff Games	4-2	+1.8	4-2	3-3	95.5	47.5	43.1%	54.7	92.2	45.3	42.6%	48.0

CLEVELAND Team Statistics
			Shooting		3pt Shooting		Free Throws		Rebounding
	PPG	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	PCT	FTM-A	Pct	Tot	Off	Ast	PF	Stl	TO	Bk
Team Stats (All Games)	96.3	47.7	36-81	43.8%	7-19	35.9%	18-25	71.6%	53	13	20	21	7	13	5
vs opponents surrendering	99.6	49.7	37-81	45.7%	7-18	36.4%	19-25	75.5%	50	11	22	21	7	14	5
Team Stats (Road Games)	94.9	47.4	35-81	43.4%	7-20	37.5%	17-24	69.6%	52	13	19	22	7	14	4
Stats Against (All Games)	96.4	47.7	36-79	45.3%	6-17	35.3%	19-25	74.9%	49	10	21	20	7	13	5
vs opponents averaging	99.4	49.6	37-81	45.5%	7-18	36.2%	19-25	75.6%	50	11	22	21	7	13	5
Stats Against (Road Games)	98.5	48.7	36-78	46.7%	5-16	33.6%	20-27	74.2%	50	10	20	20	7	13	5

BOSTON - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team				Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.
All Games	70-19	+13.1	57-31	40-47	100.4	51.0	47.4%	50.3	90.0	44.7	41.8%	47.8
Home Games	39-6	+5.1	29-15	18-26	100.5	51.4	48.1%	50.8	86.9	42.6	40.8%	46.4
Last 5 Games	2-3	-12.5	2-3	4-1	98.8	51.2	46.7%	47.0	90.4	45.0	42.1%	49.0
Playoff Games	4-3	-12.5	4-3	4-3	99.1	51.0	46.0%	49.0	87.1	43.9	41.1%	48.9

BOSTON Team Statistics
			Shooting		3pt Shooting		Free Throws		Rebounding
	PPG	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	PCT	FTM-A	Pct	Tot	Off	Ast	PF	Stl	TO	Bk
Team Stats (All Games)	100.4	51.0	37-77	47.4%	7-19	38.1%	20-26	77.1%	50	10	22	23	8	14	5
vs opponents surrendering	100.1	50	37-81	45.9%	7-18	36.5%	19-25	75.6%	50	11	22	21	7	13	5
Team Stats (Home Games)	100.5	51.4	37-77	48.1%	7-18	36.5%	20-26	76.9%	51	10	24	22	9	14	5
Stats Against (All Games)	90.0	44.7	32-77	41.8%	6-18	31.6%	20-27	74.7%	48	11	19	22	7	15	5
vs opponents averaging	98.9	49.4	37-81	45.3%	6-17	36.0%	19-25	75.3%	50	11	22	21	7	14	5
Stats Against (Home Games)	86.9	42.6	31-76	40.8%	5-18	31.0%	20-26	75.3%	46	10	18	22	7	16	4

Average power rating of opponents played: CLEVELAND 95.2, BOSTON 95.3

Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.

CLEVELAND - Season Results
								Team Stats				Opp Stats
Date	Opponent	Score	SU	Line	ATS	Tot.	O/U	Shots	Pct	REB	TO	Shots	Pct	REB	TO
3/29/2008	@ DETROIT	71-85	L	7	L	184	U	27-74	36.5%	47	11	33-73	45.2%	49	11
3/30/2008	PHILADELPHIA	91-88	W	-4.5	L	192	U	38-83	45.8%	48	14	36-82	43.9%	50	13
4/2/2008	@ CHARLOTTE	118-114	W	-2.5	W	193.5	O	46-87	52.9%	55	10	43-81	53.1%	44	14
4/3/2008	CHICAGO	98-101	L	-7.5	L	197	O	38-83	45.8%	50	12	38-71	53.5%	40	17
4/5/2008	ORLANDO	86-101	L	-2	L	197	U	34-88	38.6%	64	16	36-77	46.8%	41	11
4/9/2008	NEW JERSEY	104-83	W	-8.5	W	196.5	U	36-80	45.0%	57	10	25-75	33.3%	47	15
4/11/2008	@ CHICAGO	95-100	L	-5.5	L	195.5	U	35-82	42.7%	49	12	35-77	45.5%	61	17
4/13/2008	MIAMI	84-76	W	-16	L	178.5	U	28-74	37.8%	60	12	26-66	39.4%	41	11
4/14/2008	@ PHILADELPHIA	91-90	W	6	W	187	U	37-76	48.7%	50	17	38-81	46.9%	49	12
4/16/2008	DETROIT	74-84	L	8.5	L	178.5	U	26-79	32.9%	61	8	32-83	38.6%	56	10
4/19/2008	WASHINGTON	93-86	W	-3.5	W	187	U	30-76	39.5%	54	8	33-82	40.2%	53	13
4/21/2008	WASHINGTON	116-86	W	-1.5	W	188	O	42-81	51.9%	59	10	27-72	37.5%	47	13
4/24/2008	@ WASHINGTON	72-108	L	5.5	L	192	U	29-73	39.7%	50	23	38-73	52.1%	49	11
4/27/2008	@ WASHINGTON	100-97	W	5	W	190	O	32-78	41.0%	61	18	32-70	45.7%	40	12
4/30/2008	WASHINGTON	87-88	L	-5	L	190.5	U	27-75	36.0%	53	13	31-76	40.8%	54	12
5/2/2008	@ WASHINGTON	105-88	W	2.5	W	186.5	O	40-81	49.4%	51	6	31-78	39.7%	45	9
5/6/2008	@ BOSTON
5/8/2008	@ BOSTON

BOSTON - Season Results
								Team Stats				Opp Stats
Date	Opponent	Score	SU	Line	ATS	Tot.	O/U	Shots	Pct	REB	TO	Shots	Pct	REB	TO
3/28/2008	NEW ORLEANS	112-92	W	-7	W	196.5	O	44-74	59.5%	49	6	34-78	43.6%	38	7
3/30/2008	MIAMI	88-62	W	-23	W	184	U	32-83	38.6%	63	14	17-59	28.8%	40	19
4/1/2008	@ CHICAGO	106-92	W	-7	W	198	P	35-71	49.3%	50	19	30-72	41.7%	41	16
4/2/2008	INDIANA	92-77	W	-11	W	208	U	35-79	44.3%	59	18	26-73	35.6%	49	20
4/5/2008	@ CHARLOTTE	101-78	W	-2	W	187	U	34-78	43.6%	60	13	33-78	42.3%	43	15
4/8/2008	@ MILWAUKEE	107-104	W	-8.5	L	194	O	36-73	49.3%	54	23	34-85	40.0%	52	23
4/9/2008	@ WASHINGTON	95-109	L	-2	L	191.5	O	34-76	44.7%	54	20	40-78	51.3%	42	10
4/11/2008	MILWAUKEE	102-86	W	-15	W	196	U	44-87	50.6%	53	13	31-81	38.3%	50	12
4/12/2008	@ ATLANTA	99-89	W	3.5	W	195	U	34-72	47.2%	48	12	35-81	43.2%	48	14
4/14/2008	@ NEW YORK	99-93	W	-4	W	195	U	37-77	48.1%	50	14	34-85	40.0%	54	14
4/16/2008	NEW JERSEY	105-94	W	-9.5	W	191	O	37-82	45.1%	51	13	31-71	43.7%	47	14
4/20/2008	ATLANTA	104-81	W	-15.5	W	190	U	38-81	46.9%	51	10	29-76	38.2%	52	15
4/23/2008	ATLANTA	96-77	W	-15.5	W	188.5	U	35-84	41.7%	57	12	23-60	38.3%	45	21
4/26/2008	@ ATLANTA	93-102	L	-8.5	L	189	O	32-72	44.4%	38	10	36-76	47.4%	51	11
4/28/2008	@ ATLANTA	92-97	L	-9	L	188	O	35-85	41.2%	51	10	32-67	47.8%	46	17
4/30/2008	ATLANTA	110-85	W	-14.5	W	187	O	45-84	53.6%	49	10	28-69	40.6%	39	13
5/2/2008	@ ATLANTA	100-103	L	-8.5	L	188.5	O	38-82	46.3%	46	9	33-69	47.8%	50	12
5/4/2008	ATLANTA	99-65	W	-15	W	189.5	U	40-84	47.6%	51	8	24-82	29.3%	59	16
5/6/2008	CLEVELAND
5/8/2008	CLEVELAND

Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.

All games in this series since 1996

BOSTON is 23-20 against the spread versus CLEVELAND since 1996

BOSTON is 23-21 straight up against CLEVELAND since 1996

25 of 43 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996

Games over the last 3 seasons

CLEVELAND is 7-3 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons

CLEVELAND is 8-3 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons

6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at BOSTON since 1996

BOSTON is 13-8 against the spread versus CLEVELAND since 1996

BOSTON is 16-6 straight up against CLEVELAND since 1996

13 of 21 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996

Games played at BOSTON over the last 3 seasons.

CLEVELAND is 4-1 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons

BOSTON is 3-3 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons

3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

						Shooting		3pt shots		Free Throws		Rebounds
Date	Teams	Score	Line	Result	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	Pct	FTM-A	Pct	Tot.	OFF	TO
02/27/2008	CLEVELAND	87	191.5	ATS	40	31-81	38.3%	6-19	31.6%	19-24	79.2%	51	15	15
	BOSTON	92	-10	SU Under	47	34-65	52.3%	4-12	33.3%	20-29	69.0%	44	5	19
02/05/2008	BOSTON	113	186.5	ATS	66	42-74	56.8%	9-18	50.0%	20-22	90.9%	33	7	19
	CLEVELAND	114	-3	SU Over	64	40-79	50.6%	10-21	47.6%	24-32	75.0%	48	17	18
12/02/2007	CLEVELAND	70	184.5	ATS	39	25-76	32.9%	6-23	26.1%	14-24	58.3%	56	11	17
	BOSTON	80	-15	SU Under	43	27-72	37.5%	2-14	14.3%	24-32	75.0%	58	11	15
11/27/2007	BOSTON	104	-3.5	Over	49	37-86	43.0%	10-25	40.0%	20-29	69.0%	50	10	12
	CLEVELAND	109	190	SU ATS	46	38-79	48.1%	5-20	25.0%	28-36	77.8%	57	8	12
04/01/2007	CLEVELAND	96	-3.5	Over	49	36-84	42.9%	0-8	0.0%	24-25	96.0%	44	8	12
	BOSTON	98	180.5	SU ATS	53	37-77	48.1%	2-6	33.3%	22-27	81.5%	50	8	17
01/03/2007	CLEVELAND	107	-3	SU	49	38-79	48.1%	5-13	38.5%	26-35	74.3%	48	11	14
	BOSTON	104	186.5	Over	54	40-81	49.4%	5-19	26.3%	19-23	82.6%	47	8	15

Team Line Action - Where the money is going!

Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.

As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring BOSTON in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CLEVELAND games 50.8% of the time since 1996. (390-378)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CLEVELAND games 50.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (114-111)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 48.3% of the time since 1996. (363-388)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 48% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (95-103)
No Edge.

As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CLEVELAND games 47.9% of the time since 1996. (396-431)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CLEVELAND games 46.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (115-132)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 50.7% of the time since 1996. (428-417)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 52.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (119-108)
No Edge.

Key Player Injuries

CLEVELAND

[G] Eric Snow out 4-6 weeks. - Knee - 03/11/08

BOSTON

[F] Scot Pollard out for the season. - Ankle - 03/05/08

(!) [G/F] Paul Pierce injured last game, probable Sunday vs Atlanta. - Hip - 05/04/08

The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping