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NBA Basketball Game Matchup Report

Saturday, 5/10/2008 at 8:00 PM				BOSTON (72-19) at CLEVELAND (49-41)
Expanded Matchup \| FoxSheet				Results			Offensive Statistics				Defensive Statistics
Teams	Line	PF	PA	SU	ATS	O/U/P	FG	FT	3PT	O/REB	FG	FT	3PT	O/REB
509: BOSTON	180	100.0	89.7	72-19	58-32-1	40-49-2	36-77 47.3%	20-26 77.1%	7-19 37.9%	10-50	32-77 41.7%	20-27 74.7%	6-18 31.4%	11-48
510: CLEVELAND	-2	95.8	96.1	49-41	42-48-0	39-50-1	35-81 43.6%	18-25 71.7%	7-19 35.6%	13-53	35-78 45.2%	19-26 74.9%	6-17 35.1%	10-49

Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.

	Power Rating
	Estimate	Edge
BOSTON	-4
CLEVELAND

Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.

BOSTON - Recent ATS Trends
	Against the spread			Over/Under			Straight Up
	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996
Description	W-L	W-L	W-L	O-U	O-U	O-U	W-L	W-L	W-L
in all games	58-32	137-112	487-489	40-49	122-129	492-472	72-19	129-126	456-537
when the total is between 170 and 179.5 points	5-0	5-0	32-27	3-2	3-2	28-32	5-0	5-0	31-29
as an underdog	10-3	70-54	280-261	5-8	60-66	286-250	9-4	41-87	176-376
as a road underdog of 3 points or less	5-4	10-12	36-36	4-5	11-11	35-35	4-5	9-13	33-39
in road games	28-16	76-47	255-228	22-21	67-57	268-213	31-13	55-71	185-309
in a road game where the total is between 170 and 179.5 points	3-0	3-0	19-9	2-1	2-1	15-14	3-0	3-0	15-14
on Saturday games	8-4	20-10	67-57	6-6	16-15	65-59	9-3	16-16	52-76
against Central division opponents	14-6	29-25	154-167	5-14	22-33	156-163	17-3	24-32	138-191
after 3 or more consecutive unders	7-4	16-12	63-46	6-5	14-15	60-50	8-3	14-16	53-60
in the second round of the playoffs	1-1	1-1	5-6	0-2	0-2	3-7	2-0	2-0	6-5
when leading in a playoff series	1-3	1-3	8-6	3-1	3-1	6-8	1-3	1-3	6-9
after allowing 85 points or less	17-14	25-22	81-85	10-19	20-26	75-89	24-7	28-20	85-87
after a win by 10 points or more	34-15	43-28	108-91	17-30	28-41	86-106	44-5	49-22	118-83
after playing 3 consecutive home games	7-1	13-6	48-35	4-3	10-8	43-38	7-1	11-8	39-45
after 3 or more consecutive wins	25-18	28-21	61-59	21-21	25-23	67-54	34-10	37-13	74-51
when playing against a team with a winning record	23-16	58-50	247-248	19-20	52-58	257-238	25-14	46-65	185-323
when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season	11-8	31-28	125-132	10-9	27-33	133-123	12-7	24-36	93-173

CLEVELAND - Recent ATS Trends
	Against the spread			Over/Under			Straight Up
	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996
Description	W-L	W-L	W-L	O-U	O-U	O-U	W-L	W-L	W-L
in all games	42-48	148-134	480-488	39-50	127-157	474-483	49-41	168-119	458-526
when the total is between 170 and 179.5 points	0-4	10-9	65-86	1-3	9-10	81-73	1-3	8-11	63-92
as a favorite	22-27	85-82	223-201	23-25	80-90	210-216	35-14	124-48	303-133
as a home favorite of 3 points or less	4-5	12-8	36-36	5-4	11-9	36-39	5-4	13-7	44-31
in home games	17-27	71-69	249-234	17-26	59-81	238-243	29-15	101-41	293-199
in a home game where the total is between 170 and 179.5 points	0-3	6-3	29-42	1-2	4-5	38-36	1-2	5-4	35-39
on Saturday games	4-6	23-22	85-86	3-7	22-24	97-76	4-6	27-19	87-88
against Atlantic division opponents	9-11	29-32	125-148	8-12	29-33	135-141	10-10	38-24	131-153
in the second round of the playoffs	1-1	9-6	9-6	0-2	3-12	3-12	0-2	7-8	7-8
when trailing in a playoff series	0-0	7-2	9-3	0-0	3-6	4-8	0-0	4-5	5-7
revenging a loss vs opponent	19-21	63-59	251-255	20-20	53-68	249-248	22-18	71-51	213-304
after a loss by 10 points or more	10-8	23-23	111-125	10-8	23-23	113-124	12-6	29-17	97-147
after scoring 85 points or less	7-9	21-26	100-137	8-8	20-28	119-115	10-6	27-22	101-150
after playing 3 consecutive road games	3-4	13-13	40-50	4-3	12-14	45-44	4-3	12-14	36-55
when playing against a team with a winning record	21-22	72-64	236-247	14-29	48-90	211-268	21-22	70-68	180-314
when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season	11-14	46-39	125-133	7-18	29-56	103-149	11-14	42-43	94-169
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=91 points/game	5-4	19-15	100-103	2-7	12-22	95-107	3-6	14-20	74-133
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=91 points/game - 2nd half of the season	3-4	10-12	42-44	1-6	5-17	30-55	2-5	6-16	31-57
versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game	20-12	55-39	110-87	16-16	46-49	99-97	17-15	53-42	93-111
versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season	7-7	30-24	57-49	5-9	25-30	49-56	6-8	30-25	50-59

Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.

BOSTON - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team				Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.
All Games	72-19	+15.1	58-32	40-49	100.0	50.9	47.3%	50.4	89.7	44.5	41.7%	47.9
Road Games	31-13	+8	28-16	22-21	100.3	50.6	46.6%	49.9	93.2	46.8	42.9%	49.3
Last 5 Games	4-1	-2	3-2	2-3	94.8	47.4	46.4%	50.4	79.6	38.2	36.4%	49.8
Playoff Games	6-3	-10.5	5-4	4-5	95.4	49.1	45.1%	49.9	83.9	42.2	39.3%	49.2

BOSTON Team Statistics
			Shooting		3pt Shooting		Free Throws		Rebounding
	PPG	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	PCT	FTM-A	Pct	Tot	Off	Ast	PF	Stl	TO	Bk
Team Stats (All Games)	100.0	50.9	36-77	47.3%	7-19	37.9%	20-26	77.1%	50	10	22	23	8	14	5
vs opponents surrendering	100	49.9	37-81	45.9%	7-18	36.4%	19-25	75.6%	50	11	22	21	7	13	5
Team Stats (Road Games)	100.3	50.6	36-77	46.6%	8-20	39.6%	20-26	77.3%	50	10	21	24	8	14	5
Stats Against (All Games)	89.7	44.5	32-77	41.7%	6-18	31.4%	20-27	74.7%	48	11	19	22	7	15	5
vs opponents averaging	98.8	49.3	37-81	45.3%	6-18	35.9%	19-25	75.2%	50	11	21	21	7	14	5
Stats Against (Road Games)	93.2	46.8	33-78	42.9%	6-19	32.3%	20-28	74.1%	49	12	20	22	7	15	5

CLEVELAND - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team				Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.
All Games	49-41	+4.4	42-48	39-50	95.8	47.4	43.6%	53.1	96.1	47.6	45.2%	49.1
Home Games	29-15	+4.4	17-27	17-26	97.8	48.0	44.2%	54.6	94.3	46.7	43.9%	48.2
Last 5 Games	2-3	-1.2	3-2	2-3	87.4	45.2	38.7%	53.2	87.6	44.4	41.8%	49.0
Playoff Games	4-4	-0.2	5-3	3-5	89.7	44.7	40.7%	53.6	89.7	44.6	42.3%	49.2

CLEVELAND Team Statistics
			Shooting		3pt Shooting		Free Throws		Rebounding
	PPG	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	PCT	FTM-A	Pct	Tot	Off	Ast	PF	Stl	TO	Bk
Team Stats (All Games)	95.8	47.4	35-81	43.6%	7-19	35.6%	18-25	71.7%	53	13	20	21	7	13	5
vs opponents surrendering	99.4	49.6	37-81	45.6%	7-18	36.3%	19-25	75.5%	50	11	22	21	7	14	5
Team Stats (Home Games)	97.8	48.0	36-82	44.2%	6-18	34.2%	19-26	73.3%	55	13	22	20	7	12	6
Stats Against (All Games)	96.1	47.6	35-78	45.2%	6-17	35.1%	19-26	74.9%	49	10	21	21	7	13	5
vs opponents averaging	99.4	49.6	37-81	45.5%	7-18	36.2%	19-25	75.7%	50	11	22	21	7	13	5
Stats Against (Home Games)	94.3	46.7	35-79	43.9%	7-19	36.8%	18-24	75.7%	48	10	21	21	6	13	5

Average power rating of opponents played: BOSTON 95.5, CLEVELAND 95.2

Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.

BOSTON - Season Results
								Team Stats				Opp Stats
Date	Opponent	Score	SU	Line	ATS	Tot.	O/U	Shots	Pct	REB	TO	Shots	Pct	REB	TO
4/1/2008	@ CHICAGO	106-92	W	-7	W	198	P	35-71	49.3%	50	19	30-72	41.7%	41	16
4/2/2008	INDIANA	92-77	W	-11	W	208	U	35-79	44.3%	59	18	26-73	35.6%	49	20
4/5/2008	@ CHARLOTTE	101-78	W	-2	W	187	U	34-78	43.6%	60	13	33-78	42.3%	43	15
4/8/2008	@ MILWAUKEE	107-104	W	-8.5	L	194	O	36-73	49.3%	54	23	34-85	40.0%	52	23
4/9/2008	@ WASHINGTON	95-109	L	-2	L	191.5	O	34-76	44.7%	54	20	40-78	51.3%	42	10
4/11/2008	MILWAUKEE	102-86	W	-15	W	196	U	44-87	50.6%	53	13	31-81	38.3%	50	12
4/12/2008	@ ATLANTA	99-89	W	3.5	W	195	U	34-72	47.2%	48	12	35-81	43.2%	48	14
4/14/2008	@ NEW YORK	99-93	W	-4	W	195	U	37-77	48.1%	50	14	34-85	40.0%	54	14
4/16/2008	NEW JERSEY	105-94	W	-9.5	W	191	O	37-82	45.1%	51	13	31-71	43.7%	47	14
4/20/2008	ATLANTA	104-81	W	-15.5	W	190	U	38-81	46.9%	51	10	29-76	38.2%	52	15
4/23/2008	ATLANTA	96-77	W	-15.5	W	188.5	U	35-84	41.7%	57	12	23-60	38.3%	45	21
4/26/2008	@ ATLANTA	93-102	L	-8.5	L	189	O	32-72	44.4%	38	10	36-76	47.4%	51	11
4/28/2008	@ ATLANTA	92-97	L	-9	L	188	O	35-85	41.2%	51	10	32-67	47.8%	46	17
4/30/2008	ATLANTA	110-85	W	-14.5	W	187	O	45-84	53.6%	49	10	28-69	40.6%	39	13
5/2/2008	@ ATLANTA	100-103	L	-8.5	L	188.5	O	38-82	46.3%	46	9	33-69	47.8%	50	12
5/4/2008	ATLANTA	99-65	W	-15	W	189.5	U	40-84	47.6%	51	8	24-82	29.3%	59	16
5/6/2008	CLEVELAND	76-72	W	-10	L	181	U	29-68	42.6%	50	21	23-75	30.7%	49	17
5/8/2008	CLEVELAND	89-73	W	-8.5	W	177.5	U	29-72	40.3%	56	12	26-73	35.6%	52	15
5/10/2008	@ CLEVELAND
5/12/2008	@ CLEVELAND

CLEVELAND - Season Results
								Team Stats				Opp Stats
Date	Opponent	Score	SU	Line	ATS	Tot.	O/U	Shots	Pct	REB	TO	Shots	Pct	REB	TO
4/2/2008	@ CHARLOTTE	118-114	W	-2.5	W	193.5	O	46-87	52.9%	55	10	43-81	53.1%	44	14
4/3/2008	CHICAGO	98-101	L	-7.5	L	197	O	38-83	45.8%	50	12	38-71	53.5%	40	17
4/5/2008	ORLANDO	86-101	L	-2	L	197	U	34-88	38.6%	64	16	36-77	46.8%	41	11
4/9/2008	NEW JERSEY	104-83	W	-8.5	W	196.5	U	36-80	45.0%	57	10	25-75	33.3%	47	15
4/11/2008	@ CHICAGO	95-100	L	-5.5	L	195.5	U	35-82	42.7%	49	12	35-77	45.5%	61	17
4/13/2008	MIAMI	84-76	W	-16	L	178.5	U	28-74	37.8%	60	12	26-66	39.4%	41	11
4/14/2008	@ PHILADELPHIA	91-90	W	6	W	187	U	37-76	48.7%	50	17	38-81	46.9%	49	12
4/16/2008	DETROIT	74-84	L	8.5	L	178.5	U	26-79	32.9%	61	8	32-83	38.6%	56	10
4/19/2008	WASHINGTON	93-86	W	-3.5	W	187	U	30-76	39.5%	54	8	33-82	40.2%	53	13
4/21/2008	WASHINGTON	116-86	W	-1.5	W	188	O	42-81	51.9%	59	10	27-72	37.5%	47	13
4/24/2008	@ WASHINGTON	72-108	L	5.5	L	192	U	29-73	39.7%	50	23	38-73	52.1%	49	11
4/27/2008	@ WASHINGTON	100-97	W	5	W	190	O	32-78	41.0%	61	18	32-70	45.7%	40	12
4/30/2008	WASHINGTON	87-88	L	-5	L	190.5	U	27-75	36.0%	53	13	31-76	40.8%	54	12
5/2/2008	@ WASHINGTON	105-88	W	2.5	W	186.5	O	40-81	49.4%	51	6	31-78	39.7%	45	9
5/6/2008	@ BOSTON	72-76	L	10	W	181	U	23-75	30.7%	49	17	29-68	42.6%	50	21
5/8/2008	@ BOSTON	73-89	L	8.5	L	177.5	U	26-73	35.6%	52	15	29-72	40.3%	56	12
5/10/2008	BOSTON
5/12/2008	BOSTON

Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.

All games in this series since 1996

BOSTON is 24-21 against the spread versus CLEVELAND since 1996

BOSTON is 25-21 straight up against CLEVELAND since 1996

25 of 45 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996

Games over the last 3 seasons

CLEVELAND is 8-4 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons

CLEVELAND is 8-5 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons

7 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at CLEVELAND since 1996

CLEVELAND is 12-10 against the spread versus BOSTON since 1996

CLEVELAND is 15-7 straight up against BOSTON since 1996

12 of 22 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996

Games played at CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons.

CLEVELAND is 3-2 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons

CLEVELAND is 5-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons

3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

						Shooting		3pt shots		Free Throws		Rebounds
Date	Teams	Score	Line	Result	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	Pct	FTM-A	Pct	Tot.	OFF	TO
05/08/2008	CLEVELAND	73	177.5	Under	36	26-73	35.6%	2-13	15.4%	19-27	70.4%	52	10	15
	BOSTON	89	-8.5	SU ATS	44	29-72	40.3%	3-14	21.4%	28-38	73.7%	56	12	12
05/06/2008	CLEVELAND	72	181	ATS	37	23-75	30.7%	4-18	22.2%	22-26	84.6%	49	13	17
	BOSTON	76	-10	SU Under	41	29-68	42.6%	4-14	28.6%	14-18	77.8%	50	8	21
02/27/2008	CLEVELAND	87	191.5	ATS	40	31-81	38.3%	6-19	31.6%	19-24	79.2%	51	15	15
	BOSTON	92	-10	SU Under	47	34-65	52.3%	4-12	33.3%	20-29	69.0%	44	5	19
02/05/2008	BOSTON	113	186.5	ATS	66	42-74	56.8%	9-18	50.0%	20-22	90.9%	33	7	19
	CLEVELAND	114	-3	SU Over	64	40-79	50.6%	10-21	47.6%	24-32	75.0%	48	17	18
12/02/2007	CLEVELAND	70	184.5	ATS	39	25-76	32.9%	6-23	26.1%	14-24	58.3%	56	11	17
	BOSTON	80	-15	SU Under	43	27-72	37.5%	2-14	14.3%	24-32	75.0%	58	11	15
11/27/2007	BOSTON	104	-3.5	Over	49	37-86	43.0%	10-25	40.0%	20-29	69.0%	50	10	12
	CLEVELAND	109	190	SU ATS	46	38-79	48.1%	5-20	25.0%	28-36	77.8%	57	8	12
04/01/2007	CLEVELAND	96	-3.5	Over	49	36-84	42.9%	0-8	0.0%	24-25	96.0%	44	8	12
	BOSTON	98	180.5	SU ATS	53	37-77	48.1%	2-6	33.3%	22-27	81.5%	50	8	17
01/03/2007	CLEVELAND	107	-3	SU	49	38-79	48.1%	5-13	38.5%	26-35	74.3%	48	11	14
	BOSTON	104	186.5	Over	54	40-81	49.4%	5-19	26.3%	19-23	82.6%	47	8	15

Team Line Action - Where the money is going!

Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.

As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring CLEVELAND in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 48.3% of the time since 1996. (363-389)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 47.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (95-104)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CLEVELAND games 50.7% of the time since 1996. (390-379)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CLEVELAND games 50.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (114-112)
No Edge.

As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 50.6% of the time since 1996. (429-418)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 52.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (120-109)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CLEVELAND games 47.9% of the time since 1996. (397-432)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CLEVELAND games 46.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (116-133)
No Edge.

Key Player Injuries

BOSTON

[F] Scot Pollard out for the season. - Ankle - 03/05/08

(!) [G/F] Paul Pierce injured last game, probable Sunday vs Atlanta. - Hip - 05/04/08

CLEVELAND

[G] Eric Snow out 4-6 weeks. - Knee - 03/11/08

The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping