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NBA Basketball Game Matchup Report

Sunday, 5/11/2008 at 3:35 PM				LA LAKERS (63-26) at UTAH (59-32)
Expanded Matchup \| FoxSheet				Results			Offensive Statistics				Defensive Statistics
Teams	Line	PF	PA	SU	ATS	O/U/P	FG	FT	3PT	O/REB	FG	FT	3PT	O/REB
511: LA LAKERS	210.5	108.9	101.4	63-26	53-34-2	41-47-1	40-83 47.8%	22-28 76.9%	8-21 37.9%	11-52	38-86 44.4%	18-25 75.1%	7-19 35.6%	12-51
512: UTAH	+1	105.1	98.9	59-32	48-41-2	45-46-0	40-80 49.2%	21-28 75.5%	5-14 36.9%	12-50	35-77 45.9%	23-30 74.8%	6-17 35.2%	10-47

Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.

	Power Rating
	Estimate	Edge
LA LAKERS
UTAH	-1

Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.

LA LAKERS - Recent ATS Trends
	Against the spread			Over/Under			Straight Up
	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996
Description	W-L	W-L	W-L	O-U	O-U	O-U	W-L	W-L	W-L
in all games	53-34	137-119	520-535	41-47	134-129	545-499	63-26	154-111	686-392
when the total is greater than or equal to 210	28-12	45-27	48-40	17-24	33-41	42-48	32-9	49-25	56-34
as an underdog	14-6	60-40	145-136	7-14	44-60	125-155	11-11	43-62	107-182
as a road underdog of 3 points or less	5-0	17-7	49-44	2-3	12-13	43-51	5-0	17-8	48-47
in road games	29-13	76-52	262-265	17-26	59-73	262-258	29-15	65-68	285-253
in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 210	15-1	25-7	27-12	5-12	11-22	17-23	14-3	20-13	23-17
on Sunday games	12-11	32-27	114-125	11-12	28-32	116-121	16-7	35-26	164-82
against Northwest division opponents	17-7	29-28	37-37	12-13	32-29	42-36	21-4	40-21	48-31
in the second round of the playoffs	2-0	2-0	23-18	1-2	1-2	21-21	2-1	2-1	25-18
when leading in a playoff series	4-0	4-3	34-28	1-4	3-5	30-35	4-1	5-3	45-20
revenging a loss vs opponent	21-12	66-54	186-180	18-15	64-59	195-171	26-8	73-52	235-148
when playing against a team with a winning record	27-22	68-54	290-299	24-26	61-65	289-298	33-18	64-63	352-255
when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season	15-11	35-32	179-181	13-14	31-39	170-191	21-6	33-37	220-152
versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game	26-17	56-50	136-133	22-23	55-54	126-144	32-13	62-47	159-117
versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season	14-8	32-31	83-81	11-12	30-34	75-90	18-5	34-30	97-72

UTAH - Recent ATS Trends
	Against the spread			Over/Under			Straight Up
	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996
Description	W-L	W-L	W-L	O-U	O-U	O-U	W-L	W-L	W-L
in all games	48-41	132-133	516-500	45-46	145-125	505-518	59-32	160-112	617-424
when the total is greater than or equal to 210	18-12	29-21	35-21	15-16	26-26	31-27	22-9	37-15	42-16
as a favorite	36-29	72-78	322-297	35-32	82-72	309-317	49-18	107-48	468-170
as a home favorite of 3 points or less	4-1	10-9	29-25	2-3	12-7	30-25	4-1	11-8	31-24
in home games	29-14	70-60	265-241	22-23	67-67	243-270	40-5	100-35	376-145
in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 210	12-3	16-9	18-9	7-9	13-13	15-13	15-1	23-3	25-3
on Sunday games	2-3	9-7	58-41	3-2	9-7	43-56	2-3	8-8	52-48
against Pacific division opponents	12-8	31-28	173-159	15-6	36-25	166-164	12-9	34-28	201-142
in the second round of the playoffs	0-2	3-3	11-16	1-2	4-4	10-19	1-2	5-3	16-13
when trailing in a playoff series	0-1	4-5	16-15	1-1	5-5	10-22	1-1	5-5	15-17
when playing against a team with a winning record	29-16	73-58	271-258	21-26	72-62	252-278	31-16	76-59	280-266
when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season	20-8	43-32	158-135	12-18	39-38	126-168	22-8	45-33	156-144
versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game	22-21	53-53	135-127	24-20	63-46	142-122	28-16	68-42	183-89
versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season	12-11	26-29	75-69	13-11	33-24	79-67	16-8	36-21	101-48
versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game	24-14	55-44	146-125	15-24	52-49	128-143	25-14	62-40	151-129
versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season	14-5	27-22	90-70	7-13	25-26	66-95	14-6	31-20	92-74

Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.

LA LAKERS - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team				Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.
All Games	63-26	+18.4	53-34	41-47	108.9	54.8	47.8%	52.3	101.4	51.0	44.4%	51.4
Road Games	29-15	+15.6	29-13	17-26	106.7	54.7	47.8%	51.3	101.0	50.6	44.7%	51.1
Last 5 Games	4-1	+3	4-0	1-4	107.4	55.4	48.4%	50.4	99.4	48.4	42.6%	54.6
Playoff Games	6-1	+5	6-0	2-5	112.4	56.3	49.0%	50.9	102.6	49.6	43.2%	56.0

LA LAKERS Team Statistics
			Shooting		3pt Shooting		Free Throws		Rebounding
	PPG	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	PCT	FTM-A	Pct	Tot	Off	Ast	PF	Stl	TO	Bk
Team Stats (All Games)	108.9	54.8	40-83	47.8%	8-21	37.9%	22-28	76.9%	52	11	25	21	8	14	5
vs opponents surrendering	100.4	50.3	37-82	45.8%	7-18	36.1%	19-25	75.4%	51	11	22	21	7	14	5
Team Stats (Road Games)	106.7	54.7	39-82	47.8%	8-21	36.5%	20-27	75.9%	51	10	23	20	8	13	5
Stats Against (All Games)	101.4	51.0	38-86	44.4%	7-19	35.6%	18-25	75.1%	51	12	22	23	8	14	4
vs opponents averaging	100.5	50.3	38-82	45.9%	6-18	36.1%	19-25	75.8%	50	11	22	21	7	14	5
Stats Against (Road Games)	101.0	50.6	38-85	44.7%	6-18	35.0%	18-24	75.5%	51	12	21	22	7	13	4

UTAH - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team				Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.
All Games	59-32	+4	48-41	45-46	105.1	51.8	49.2%	49.9	98.9	48.5	45.9%	46.8
Home Games	40-5	+21.4	29-14	22-23	108.1	54.8	50.9%	49.6	94.4	47.0	44.6%	45.0
Last 5 Games	2-3	-1	1-3	2-3	98.8	46.4	43.1%	52.4	102.8	51.4	47.1%	49.8
Playoff Games	5-4	-2.6	3-5	3-6	95.0	46.2	44.4%	52.3	95.1	46.8	43.7%	50.6

UTAH Team Statistics
			Shooting		3pt Shooting		Free Throws		Rebounding
	PPG	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	PCT	FTM-A	Pct	Tot	Off	Ast	PF	Stl	TO	Bk
Team Stats (All Games)	105.1	51.8	40-80	49.2%	5-14	36.9%	21-28	75.5%	50	12	26	24	8	14	4
vs opponents surrendering	99.7	49.9	37-82	45.5%	6-18	36.2%	19-25	75.4%	51	11	22	21	7	13	5
Team Stats (Home Games)	108.1	54.8	41-80	50.9%	6-15	40.7%	21-28	76.0%	50	11	27	23	9	13	5
Stats Against (All Games)	98.9	48.5	35-77	45.9%	6-17	35.2%	23-30	74.8%	47	10	20	23	8	15	5
vs opponents averaging	99.9	50.1	37-82	45.6%	7-18	36.0%	19-25	75.7%	51	11	22	21	7	13	5
Stats Against (Home Games)	94.4	47.0	34-75	44.6%	6-18	34.7%	21-28	74.5%	45	9	18	23	7	16	4

Average power rating of opponents played: LA LAKERS 96.1, UTAH 95.4

Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.

LA LAKERS - Season Results
								Team Stats				Opp Stats
Date	Opponent	Score	SU	Line	ATS	Tot.	O/U	Shots	Pct	REB	TO	Shots	Pct	REB	TO
4/2/2008	PORTLAND	104-91	W	-14	L	205	U	37-75	49.3%	48	14	34-81	42.0%	44	14
4/4/2008	DALLAS	112-108	W	-5	L	207.5	O	39-74	52.7%	40	10	43-82	52.4%	47	8
4/6/2008	@ SACRAMENTO	114-92	W	-9.5	W	223	U	41-78	52.6%	54	19	33-79	41.8%	37	16
4/8/2008	@ PORTLAND	103-112	L	-8.5	L	204.5	O	35-78	44.9%	44	11	41-81	50.6%	49	13
4/10/2008	@ LA CLIPPERS	106-78	W	-17	W	208.5	U	40-82	48.8%	54	8	30-83	36.1%	61	12
4/11/2008	NEW ORLEANS	107-104	W	-5	L	212.5	U	36-80	45.0%	53	12	41-80	51.2%	38	11
4/13/2008	SAN ANTONIO	106-85	W	-8	W	187	O	41-82	50.0%	55	13	33-79	41.8%	45	8
4/15/2008	SACRAMENTO	124-101	W	-17.5	W	217	O	43-85	50.6%	52	15	38-86	44.2%	47	19
4/20/2008	DENVER	128-114	W	-8	W	225	O	46-92	50.0%	55	12	43-96	44.8%	63	12
4/23/2008	DENVER	122-107	W	-8	W	229.5	U	46-91	50.5%	49	11	37-84	44.0%	56	14
4/26/2008	@ DENVER	102-84	W	2	W	230	U	37-80	46.2%	55	8	32-86	37.2%	59	16
4/28/2008	@ DENVER	107-101	W	-4	W	224.5	U	40-87	46.0%	56	12	39-88	44.3%	56	16
5/4/2008	UTAH	109-98	W	-8.5	W	213.5	U	33-73	45.2%	51	12	36-95	37.9%	64	13
5/7/2008	UTAH	120-110	W	-6.5	W	210.5	O	39-68	57.4%	47	15	45-101	44.6%	49	10
5/9/2008	@ UTAH	99-104	L	5	T	214.5	U	32-66	48.5%	43	18	39-78	50.0%	45	12
5/11/2008	@ UTAH

UTAH - Season Results
								Team Stats				Opp Stats
Date	Opponent	Score	SU	Line	ATS	Tot.	O/U	Shots	Pct	REB	TO	Shots	Pct	REB	TO
4/2/2008	MINNESOTA	117-100	W	-16.5	W	211.5	O	44-74	59.5%	42	15	35-74	47.3%	38	15
4/4/2008	SAN ANTONIO	90-64	W	-3	W	196.5	U	32-78	41.0%	51	12	24-66	36.4%	44	16
4/8/2008	@ NEW ORLEANS	77-66	W	5	W	210.5	U	35-80	43.7%	55	22	27-74	36.5%	43	19
4/10/2008	@ DALLAS	94-97	L	6	W	199	U	37-80	46.2%	47	8	33-74	44.6%	41	6
4/12/2008	DENVER	124-97	W	-6	W	226	U	50-87	57.5%	49	9	35-73	47.9%	47	16
4/14/2008	HOUSTON	105-96	W	-9	T	189	O	37-77	48.1%	55	13	28-70	40.0%	43	10
4/16/2008	@ SAN ANTONIO	80-109	L	4.5	L	185.5	O	31-81	38.3%	44	14	41-69	59.4%	44	13
4/19/2008	@ HOUSTON	93-82	W	0	W	184	U	38-73	52.1%	50	13	29-79	36.7%	53	12
4/21/2008	@ HOUSTON	90-84	W	1	W	183	U	34-77	44.2%	53	13	32-77	41.6%	51	10
4/24/2008	HOUSTON	92-94	L	-9	L	185.5	O	32-70	45.7%	50	12	36-81	44.4%	52	9
4/26/2008	HOUSTON	86-82	W	-9	L	186	U	31-72	43.1%	56	12	29-79	36.7%	50	10
4/29/2008	@ HOUSTON	69-95	L	1	L	182.5	U	27-74	36.5%	48	18	37-79	46.8%	55	13
5/2/2008	HOUSTON	113-91	W	-7.5	W	181	O	41-88	46.6%	56	5	30-77	39.0%	53	8
5/4/2008	@ LA LAKERS	98-109	L	8.5	L	213.5	U	36-95	37.9%	64	13	33-73	45.2%	51	12
5/7/2008	@ LA LAKERS	110-120	L	6.5	L	210.5	O	45-101	44.6%	49	10	39-68	57.4%	47	15
5/9/2008	LA LAKERS	104-99	W	-5	T	214.5	U	39-78	50.0%	45	12	32-66	48.5%	43	18
5/11/2008	LA LAKERS

Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.

All games in this series since 1996

UTAH is 31-25 against the spread versus LA LAKERS since 1996

LA LAKERS is 30-29 straight up against UTAH since 1996

31 of 55 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1996

Games over the last 3 seasons

LA LAKERS is 8-4 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons

LA LAKERS is 9-5 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons

8 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at UTAH since 1996

UTAH is 16-12 against the spread versus LA LAKERS since 1996

UTAH is 20-10 straight up against LA LAKERS since 1996

17 of 28 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1996

Games played at UTAH over the last 3 seasons.

UTAH is 3-3 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons

UTAH is 4-3 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons

4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

						Shooting		3pt shots		Free Throws		Rebounds
Date	Teams	Score	Line	Result	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	Pct	FTM-A	Pct	Tot.	OFF	TO
05/09/2008	LA LAKERS	99	214.5		43	32-66	48.5%	5-23	21.7%	30-37	81.1%	43	10	18
	UTAH	104	-5	SU Under	52	39-78	50.0%	6-16	37.5%	20-28	71.4%	45	12	12
05/07/2008	UTAH	110	210.5	Over	49	45-101	44.6%	7-18	38.9%	13-16	81.2%	49	16	10
	LA LAKERS	120	-6.5	SU ATS	63	39-68	57.4%	7-11	63.6%	35-43	81.4%	47	4	15
05/04/2008	UTAH	98	213.5	Under	41	36-95	37.9%	4-19	21.1%	22-30	73.3%	64	25	13
	LA LAKERS	109	-8.5	SU ATS	54	33-73	45.2%	5-10	50.0%	38-46	82.6%	51	8	12
03/20/2008	LA LAKERS	106	216.5	SU ATS	60	42-80	52.5%	10-22	45.5%	12-20	60.0%	48	7	6
	UTAH	95	-6	Under	45	36-80	45.0%	7-16	43.7%	16-25	64.0%	51	13	8
12/28/2007	UTAH	109	213	Over	48	41-90	45.6%	5-13	38.5%	22-30	73.3%	51	17	12
	LA LAKERS	123	-5	SU ATS	75	43-79	54.4%	11-19	57.9%	26-41	63.4%	57	13	15
11/30/2007	LA LAKERS	96	209	Over	51	34-77	44.2%	8-24	33.3%	20-24	83.3%	40	9	20
	UTAH	120	-5	SU ATS	70	46-90	51.1%	4-10	40.0%	24-32	75.0%	59	19	13
11/04/2007	UTAH	109	205.5	Over	51	40-82	48.8%	3-14	21.4%	26-36	72.2%	44	9	16
	LA LAKERS	119	-1	SU ATS	46	43-77	55.8%	3-16	18.7%	30-37	81.1%	49	6	18
02/26/2007	LA LAKERS	102	206.5	SU ATS	55	30-68	44.1%	10-22	45.5%	32-36	88.9%	50	9	10
	UTAH	94	-5	Under	50	35-86	40.7%	6-14	42.9%	18-26	69.2%	51	17	9

Team Line Action - Where the money is going!

Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.

As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring LA LAKERS in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in LA LAKERS games 49.6% of the time since 1996. (409-416)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in LA LAKERS games 50.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (106-103)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in UTAH games 51% of the time since 1996. (409-393)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in UTAH games 51.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (120-113)
No Edge.

As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in LA LAKERS games 50% of the time since 1996. (460-460)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in LA LAKERS games 49.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (120-124)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in UTAH games 50.8% of the time since 1996. (460-445)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in UTAH games 55.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (137-111)
No Edge.

Key Player Injuries

LA LAKERS

No significant injuries.

UTAH

[G] Ronnie Brewer upgraded to probable Sunday vs LA Lakers. - Hamstring - 05/04/08

The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping