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NBA Basketball Game Matchup Report

Tuesday, 5/13/2008 at 7:05 PM				ORLANDO (57-34) at DETROIT (66-26)
Expanded Matchup \| FoxSheet				Results			Offensive Statistics				Defensive Statistics
Teams	Line	PF	PA	SU	ATS	O/U/P	FG	FT	3PT	O/REB	FG	FT	3PT	O/REB
517: ORLANDO	186.5	103.9	98.7	57-34	55-34-2	41-49-1	37-78 47.4%	20-28 72.2%	10-25 38.3%	10-51	37-83 44.5%	18-24 76.3%	6-18 35.6%	11-50
518: DETROIT	-6	96.9	89.8	66-26	54-38-0	40-49-3	37-80 45.9%	18-24 76.9%	6-16 36.6%	12-49	33-76 43.7%	19-25 73.9%	5-15 33.4%	11-48

Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.

	Power Rating
	Estimate	Edge
ORLANDO
DETROIT	-3

Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.

ORLANDO - Recent ATS Trends
	Against the spread			Over/Under			Straight Up
	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996
Description	W-L	W-L	W-L	O-U	O-U	O-U	W-L	W-L	W-L
in all games	55-34	136-114	454-487	41-49	122-135	469-455	57-34	133-126	470-493
as an underdog	17-9	61-50	204-246	14-12	62-55	217-233	13-13	41-76	142-321
as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points	6-5	21-16	68-69	7-4	22-17	70-65	4-7	14-25	50-90
in road games	28-17	68-56	217-254	21-24	65-64	227-241	28-17	53-76	183-300
in a road game where where the total is between 185 and 189.5 points	3-2	15-15	35-41	3-2	17-15	41-37	3-2	10-22	24-55
on Tuesday nights	8-3	15-13	60-63	5-6	13-15	60-58	8-3	14-14	65-64
when playing with 2 days rest	9-5	22-21	62-86	6-8	19-24	81-61	10-5	22-22	70-80
against Central division opponents	12-9	29-30	146-168	11-11	29-33	156-148	14-8	28-34	160-169
in the second round of the playoffs	1-3	1-3	1-3	2-2	2-2	2-2	1-3	1-3	1-3
when trailing in a playoff series	1-2	1-3	6-8	2-1	4-2	11-4	1-2	1-5	6-10
revenging a home loss vs opponent	11-3	27-19	79-97	10-4	29-20	96-83	10-4	24-25	78-109
revenging a loss vs opponent	26-10	74-53	227-236	18-18	66-66	239-219	24-12	71-62	237-250
off a upset loss as a favorite	12-5	25-19	71-80	7-10	17-28	71-77	11-6	24-21	72-89
when playing against a team with a winning record	20-16	52-51	202-236	19-17	57-50	220-209	16-20	38-69	175-291
when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season	8-10	23-29	102-121	8-10	28-26	113-103	7-11	17-37	88-149
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=91 points/game	7-7	12-13	93-111	9-5	14-11	111-98	7-7	12-13	85-131
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=91 points/game - 2nd half of the season	2-5	5-9	41-52	4-3	7-7	54-42	2-5	5-9	36-62

DETROIT - Recent ATS Trends
	Against the spread			Over/Under			Straight Up
	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996	Current	Last 3	Since 1996
Description	W-L	W-L	W-L	O-U	O-U	O-U	W-L	W-L	W-L
in all games	54-38	147-138	533-505	40-49	131-153	494-542	66-26	203-87	642-426
as a favorite	45-29	118-114	351-335	33-38	113-118	335-351	58-16	180-57	510-194
as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points	6-1	16-13	71-66	2-5	14-15	70-67	6-1	22-7	91-48
in home games	30-16	73-70	266-259	18-26	70-73	259-262	38-8	115-31	378-158
in a home game where where the total is between 185 and 189.5 points	8-1	20-15	52-39	5-4	24-12	51-44	9-0	31-5	77-18
on Tuesday nights	7-6	19-22	72-68	10-2	25-14	69-69	10-3	31-10	83-67
when playing with 2 days rest	11-4	23-15	87-70	6-7	17-19	67-86	13-2	31-8	104-61
against Southeast division opponents	13-9	31-35	44-46	11-11	33-35	47-46	18-4	48-20	65-28
in the second round of the playoffs	3-1	9-8	22-19	2-2	7-10	15-25	3-1	11-6	24-17
when leading in a playoff series	3-1	9-10	18-25	2-2	13-9	26-22	3-1	14-8	27-22
off an upset win as an underdog	2-4	6-13	52-62	3-3	9-10	51-63	4-2	12-7	65-54
when playing against a team with a winning record	26-15	66-67	265-270	16-25	51-83	243-290	29-12	85-50	281-275
when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season	15-9	39-46	156-168	9-15	28-58	135-192	17-7	51-35	164-171
versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game	22-13	44-41	103-100	16-19	34-51	99-104	25-10	55-30	113-96
versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season	12-8	26-28	54-61	10-10	22-32	57-59	14-6	35-19	63-55

Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.

ORLANDO - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team				Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.
All Games	57-34	-15.9	55-34	41-49	103.9	51.8	47.4%	51.1	98.7	49.5	44.5%	49.8
Road Games	28-17	+8.5	28-17	21-24	103.2	50.2	46.8%	50.9	99.7	50.7	44.1%	51.6
Last 5 Games	2-3	-2.2	2-3	2-3	93.4	48.0	46.0%	51.0	91.8	45.8	43.4%	44.8
Playoff Games	5-4	-0.2	4-5	4-5	98.3	49.7	46.8%	50.6	96.0	49.7	43.7%	46.1

ORLANDO Team Statistics
			Shooting		3pt Shooting		Free Throws		Rebounding
	PPG	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	PCT	FTM-A	Pct	Tot	Off	Ast	PF	Stl	TO	Bk
Team Stats (All Games)	103.9	51.8	37-78	47.4%	10-25	38.3%	20-28	72.2%	51	10	21	21	6	14	4
vs opponents surrendering	99.1	49.5	37-81	45.7%	7-18	36.2%	19-25	75.5%	50	11	22	21	7	13	5
Team Stats (Road Games)	103.2	50.2	37-78	46.8%	9-26	36.8%	20-28	72.4%	51	9	21	21	7	14	4
Stats Against (All Games)	98.7	49.5	37-83	44.5%	6-18	35.6%	18-24	76.3%	50	11	22	23	7	12	4
vs opponents averaging	98.8	49.4	37-81	45.4%	6-18	36.1%	19-25	75.6%	50	11	22	21	7	13	5
Stats Against (Road Games)	99.7	50.7	37-85	44.1%	6-18	34.1%	19-24	77.2%	52	12	24	23	7	13	5

DETROIT - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team				Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.
All Games	66-26	+8.5	54-38	40-49	96.9	49.5	45.9%	49.4	89.8	45.3	43.7%	48.3
Home Games	38-8	+7.8	30-16	18-26	99.4	51.1	47.0%	50.6	87.8	43.8	42.8%	47.4
Last 5 Games	4-1	+3.8	4-1	2-3	93.4	46.0	46.5%	45.4	88.4	44.8	43.8%	48.6
Playoff Games	7-3	-0.3	7-3	3-6	92.4	46.4	46.8%	45.6	88.0	43.0	43.6%	49.3

DETROIT Team Statistics
			Shooting		3pt Shooting		Free Throws		Rebounding
	PPG	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	PCT	FTM-A	Pct	Tot	Off	Ast	PF	Stl	TO	Bk
Team Stats (All Games)	96.9	49.5	36-80	45.9%	6-16	36.6%	18-24	76.9%	49	12	22	21	7	11	6
vs opponents surrendering	99.8	49.9	37-81	45.8%	7-18	36.3%	19-25	75.7%	50	11	22	21	7	14	5
Team Stats (Home Games)	99.4	51.1	38-80	47.0%	6-16	36.9%	18-24	76.3%	51	13	24	20	7	11	7
Stats Against (All Games)	89.8	45.3	33-76	43.7%	5-15	33.4%	19-25	73.9%	48	11	19	20	6	13	4
vs opponents averaging	99.2	49.6	37-81	45.5%	6-18	36.0%	19-25	74.7%	51	11	21	21	7	14	5
Stats Against (Home Games)	87.8	43.8	33-76	42.8%	5-15	31.0%	18-24	74.4%	47	11	18	20	6	13	4

Average power rating of opponents played: ORLANDO 95.7, DETROIT 95.4

Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.

ORLANDO - Season Results
								Team Stats				Opp Stats
Date	Opponent	Score	SU	Line	ATS	Tot.	O/U	Shots	Pct	REB	TO	Shots	Pct	REB	TO
4/5/2008	@ CLEVELAND	101-86	W	2	W	197	U	36-77	46.8%	41	11	34-88	38.6%	64	16
4/6/2008	@ NEW YORK	90-100	L	-7.5	L	212	U	32-80	40.0%	59	14	33-92	35.9%	68	8
4/9/2008	CHICAGO	115-83	W	-9.5	W	206.5	U	45-89	50.6%	58	15	34-83	41.0%	49	19
4/11/2008	MINNESOTA	101-102	L	-12	L	206.5	U	39-76	51.3%	44	13	38-85	44.7%	52	12
4/13/2008	@ CHICAGO	104-84	W	-3	W	204.5	U	34-69	49.3%	51	16	32-80	40.0%	46	18
4/15/2008	@ ATLANTA	121-105	W	2.5	W	203.5	O	47-82	57.3%	44	12	41-88	46.6%	49	16
4/16/2008	WASHINGTON	103-83	W	-8.5	W	202.5	U	41-88	46.6%	53	7	36-76	47.4%	47	12
4/20/2008	TORONTO	114-100	W	-6	W	196	O	41-77	53.2%	48	10	32-85	37.6%	46	7
4/22/2008	TORONTO	104-103	W	-6	L	200.5	O	38-89	42.7%	55	13	37-81	45.7%	46	13
4/24/2008	@ TORONTO	94-108	L	4	L	205	U	34-73	46.6%	41	14	42-85	49.4%	50	12
4/26/2008	@ TORONTO	106-94	W	2	W	204	U	37-75	49.3%	56	18	40-92	43.5%	49	9
4/28/2008	TORONTO	102-92	W	-7	W	203.5	U	35-78	44.9%	60	13	35-85	41.2%	41	6
5/3/2008	@ DETROIT	72-91	L	6.5	L	190	U	30-74	40.5%	51	13	36-84	42.9%	53	6
5/5/2008	@ DETROIT	93-100	L	5.5	L	185	O	32-73	43.8%	49	19	36-76	47.4%	41	8
5/7/2008	DETROIT	111-86	W	-5	W	187	O	42-78	53.8%	52	11	31-77	40.3%	43	10
5/10/2008	DETROIT	89-90	L	-5.5	L	188.5	U	34-73	46.6%	43	12	36-79	45.6%	46	9
5/13/2008	@ DETROIT

DETROIT - Season Results
								Team Stats				Opp Stats
Date	Opponent	Score	SU	Line	ATS	Tot.	O/U	Shots	Pct	REB	TO	Shots	Pct	REB	TO
4/4/2008	NEW JERSEY	106-87	W	-10	W	189.5	O	42-80	52.5%	54	15	34-75	45.3%	40	12
4/6/2008	@ MIAMI	91-75	W	-13.5	W	171	U	35-70	50.0%	45	13	25-71	35.2%	43	11
4/8/2008	NEW YORK	94-98	L	-10	L	194	U	36-101	35.6%	60	9	41-76	53.9%	51	22
4/9/2008	@ PHILADELPHIA	94-101	L	4.5	L	183.5	O	35-81	43.2%	45	12	37-73	50.7%	49	10
4/11/2008	WASHINGTON	102-74	W	-4	W	189	U	42-84	50.0%	59	9	23-85	27.1%	54	9
4/13/2008	TORONTO	91-84	W	-5	W	185.5	U	38-78	48.7%	48	13	36-83	43.4%	45	11
4/15/2008	MINNESOTA	115-103	W	-7.5	W	191	O	40-79	50.6%	53	14	41-85	48.2%	45	11
4/16/2008	@ CLEVELAND	84-74	W	-8.5	W	178.5	U	32-83	38.6%	56	10	26-79	32.9%	61	8
4/20/2008	PHILADELPHIA	86-90	L	-9.5	L	178.5	U	32-82	39.0%	49	12	35-81	43.2%	60	12
4/23/2008	PHILADELPHIA	105-88	W	-10	W	178.5	O	45-82	54.9%	53	14	32-81	39.5%	49	10
4/25/2008	@ PHILADELPHIA	75-95	L	-5	L	180.5	U	27-66	40.9%	42	23	34-74	45.9%	50	15
4/27/2008	@ PHILADELPHIA	93-84	W	-5.5	W	179	U	34-80	42.5%	45	14	31-67	46.3%	48	19
4/29/2008	PHILADELPHIA	98-81	W	-10	W	179	P	43-74	58.1%	40	17	30-71	42.3%	43	18
5/1/2008	@ PHILADELPHIA	100-77	W	-5	W	177.5	U	39-67	58.2%	44	16	25-74	33.8%	48	11
5/3/2008	ORLANDO	91-72	W	-6.5	W	190	U	36-84	42.9%	53	6	30-74	40.5%	51	13
5/5/2008	ORLANDO	100-93	W	-5.5	W	185	O	36-76	47.4%	41	8	32-73	43.8%	49	19
5/7/2008	@ ORLANDO	86-111	L	5	L	187	O	31-77	40.3%	43	10	42-78	53.8%	52	11
5/10/2008	@ ORLANDO	90-89	W	5.5	W	188.5	U	36-79	45.6%	46	9	34-73	46.6%	43	12
5/13/2008	ORLANDO

Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.

All games in this series since 1996

DETROIT is 29-27 against the spread versus ORLANDO since 1996

DETROIT is 36-24 straight up against ORLANDO since 1996

31 of 56 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996

Games over the last 3 seasons

DETROIT is 11-6 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons

DETROIT is 15-4 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons

11 of 19 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at DETROIT since 1996

DETROIT is 15-12 against the spread versus ORLANDO since 1996

DETROIT is 22-8 straight up against ORLANDO since 1996

16 of 29 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996

Games played at DETROIT over the last 3 seasons.

DETROIT is 5-3 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons

DETROIT is 8-1 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons

7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

						Shooting		3pt shots		Free Throws		Rebounds
Date	Teams	Score	Line	Result	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	Pct	FTM-A	Pct	Tot.	OFF	TO
05/10/2008	DETROIT	90	188.5	SU ATS	44	36-79	45.6%	4-13	30.8%	14-15	93.3%	46	12	9
	ORLANDO	89	-5.5	Under	55	34-73	46.6%	10-18	55.6%	11-17	64.7%	43	10	12
05/07/2008	DETROIT	86	187	Over	42	31-77	40.3%	2-10	20.0%	22-28	78.6%	43	9	10
	ORLANDO	111	-5	SU ATS	54	42-78	53.8%	11-24	45.8%	16-23	69.6%	52	7	11
05/05/2008	ORLANDO	93	185	Over	40	32-73	43.8%	11-26	42.3%	18-23	78.3%	49	15	19
	DETROIT	100	-5.5	SU ATS	50	36-76	47.4%	4-12	33.3%	24-28	85.7%	41	8	8
05/03/2008	ORLANDO	72	190	Under	42	30-74	40.5%	2-15	13.3%	10-20	50.0%	51	9	13
	DETROIT	91	-6.5	SU ATS	43	36-84	42.9%	3-8	37.5%	16-18	88.9%	53	11	6
02/19/2008	ORLANDO	103	195	SU ATS	52	36-74	48.6%	13-20	65.0%	18-23	78.3%	47	6	14
	DETROIT	85	-6	Under	45	32-83	38.6%	2-14	14.3%	19-25	76.0%	53	15	13
01/25/2008	ORLANDO	93	193	Over	49	31-70	44.3%	6-19	31.6%	25-39	64.1%	41	8	9
	DETROIT	101	-7	SU ATS	68	41-81	50.6%	5-13	38.5%	14-17	82.4%	55	15	14
01/21/2008	DETROIT	100	-2.5	Over	49	35-80	43.7%	7-13	53.8%	23-30	76.7%	48	11	11
	ORLANDO	102	192	SU ATS	55	33-65	50.8%	8-17	47.1%	28-37	75.7%	45	5	12
11/02/2007	DETROIT	116	184	SU ATS	64	43-73	58.9%	7-15	46.7%	23-30	76.7%	49	9	13
	ORLANDO	92	-4	Over	55	31-77	40.3%	8-18	44.4%	22-33	66.7%	45	10	12
04/28/2007	DETROIT	97	-4	SU	47	30-65	46.2%	6-15	40.0%	31-38	81.6%	44	10	15
	ORLANDO	93	183	Over	46	36-77	46.8%	2-8	25.0%	19-31	61.3%	51	15	14
04/26/2007	DETROIT	93	-2.5	SU ATS	48	34-78	43.6%	8-13	61.5%	17-23	73.9%	53	12	8
	ORLANDO	77	183	Under	42	31-74	41.9%	3-8	37.5%	12-21	57.1%	49	8	13
04/23/2007	ORLANDO	90	183		44	35-76	46.1%	3-8	37.5%	17-26	65.4%	52	12	9
	DETROIT	98	-8	SU Over	47	32-78	41.0%	8-19	42.1%	26-33	78.8%	51	16	6
04/21/2007	ORLANDO	92	181.5	ATS	43	36-62	58.1%	2-5	40.0%	18-36	50.0%	49	10	20
	DETROIT	100	-9.5	SU Over	51	36-73	49.3%	5-14	35.7%	23-31	74.2%	40	9	9
04/11/2007	ORLANDO	99	185	Over	46	37-74	50.0%	4-7	57.1%	21-35	60.0%	49	14	10
	DETROIT	104	-4.5	SU ATS	56	41-75	54.7%	8-15	53.3%	14-16	87.5%	38	8	11
02/23/2007	DETROIT	94	-2	SU ATS	44	28-71	39.4%	6-17	35.3%	32-37	86.5%	47	12	15
	ORLANDO	89	185.5	Under	45	29-62	46.8%	3-8	37.5%	28-36	77.8%	42	6	18
02/21/2007	ORLANDO	88	181.5	Over	43	31-66	47.0%	2-9	22.2%	24-39	61.5%	48	13	22
	DETROIT	110	-7.5	SU ATS	62	39-75	52.0%	5-17	29.4%	27-33	81.8%	44	11	13

Team Line Action - Where the money is going!

Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.

As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring ORLANDO in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ORLANDO games 49.9% of the time since 1996. (374-375)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ORLANDO games 47% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (95-107)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DETROIT games 52.5% of the time since 1996. (423-383)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DETROIT games 49.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (108-110)
No Edge.

As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ORLANDO games 50.2% of the time since 1996. (404-400)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ORLANDO games 47.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (112-122)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in DETROIT games 50.3% of the time since 1996. (452-446)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in DETROIT games 54% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (135-115)
No Edge.

Key Player Injuries

ORLANDO

(!) [C] Dwight Howard is upgraded to probable Monday vs. Detroit - Thumb - 05/04/08

[F] Brian Cook missed last game "?" Monday vs. Detroit - Hand - 05/03/08

[C] Tony Battie is out for the season. - Rotator Cuff - 10/15/07

DETROIT

No significant injuries.

The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping