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StatFox FREE Weekly Newsletter
January 21st, 2005
In this issue: NFC and AFC Championship Trends. Pro/College Basketball FREE FoxSheets and Analysis.

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College Hoops
   This Saturday's FREE College Basketball FoxSheet: Tennessee at Lousiville. Having strung together four impressive victories in a row, Louisville finds itself sitting at 15-3 and 2nd in the current StatFox College Basketball Power Ratings. On Saturday, the Cardinals take a break from Conference USA play by hosting their neighboring rival out of the SEC, Tennessee. The Volunteers are just 10-7, but seem to be coming around of late, having come up with impressive wins over both Florida and Mississippi State in recent action. Their mark of 4-8 ATS is a sign of an underachieving team however, and they will have to be at the top of their game if they hold out any hopes of knocking off Louisville.

  This regional showdown is the StatFox FREE College Basketball FoxSheet of the week! In addition to the College Basketball Power Ratings mentioned above, StatFox.com also offers an array of other FREE important analysis to satisfy your hoops handicapping appetite.

Check out our:
Game Matchups College
Scoreboard College
Team Reports College
Game Logs College
Schedules College
Sortable Team Stats College
Team News Links College
Injury Report College
Fox Den Forum



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Pro Hoops
  This Saturday's FREE Pro Basketball FoxSheet: Minnesota at Portland. A pair of struggling Western Conference teams currently on the outside of the playoff picture looking in seek to get things turned around on Saturday night as Portland hosts Minnesota. Both the Trailblazers and Timberwolves have been saddled with injuries and inconsistency so far this season. Heading into Friday's action, the two have combined to win just 40.4% of their games against the spread, a clear sign of teams that are performing below expectations.

  You get the feeling however, that it is just a matter of time before Minnesota, the 2004 Western Conference runner-up, turns it on for the stretch run. Perhaps it could start this weekend. Get a jumpstart on handicapping this game by visiting our FREE NBA FoxSheet of the week! In addition to the Pro Basketball Power Ratings mentioned above, StatFox.com also offers an array of other FREE important analysis to satisfy your hoops handicapping appetite.

Check out our:
Game Matchups Pro
Scoreboard Pro
Team Reports Pro
Game Logs Pro
Schedules Pro
Sortable Team Stats Pro
Team News Links Pro
Injury Report Pro
Fox Den Forum
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NFL Playoff Handicapping: A Look Back, A Look Ahead
Various Trends, Tips and Angles for Analyzing the Postseason

  NFL The StatFox NFL Playoff handicapping article is still online for your viewing. See the top historical playoff trends, including Conference Championship trends, by clicking here.

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Atlanta at Philadelphia – NFC Championship Game
  Philadelphia looks to finally take that next step as it hosts its third straight NFC title game and competes in its fourth straight overall. The Eagles, behind QB Donovan McNabb and off an impressive divisional playoff victory over Minnesota, appear finally ready to erase painful memories of championship games’ past. However, another standout quarterback, Michael Vick and the Falcons stand in their way. Atlanta was equally, if not more impressive in ousting St. Louis last week in the divisional round. Philadelphia has been installed as a 4-1/2 point favorite and the total has dropped from 42 to 38 as winter weather is expected to grip Pennsylvania on Sunday. Here are some of the top trends for the NFC title game, which happens to be our FREE FoxSheet of the week! See all of the in-depth FREE analysis by visiting FoxSheets.com.

Top StatFox Power Trends Favoring Atlanta:

       PHILADELPHIA is 1-5 ATS (-4.5 Units) in home games vs. awful
         passing teams averaging 150 or less passing yards/game. since
         1992. The average score was PHILADELPHIA 15.8, OPPONENT 12.3

       ATLANTA is 6-0 against the MONEY LINE (+6.6 Units) after 2
         consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers over the
         last 3 seasons. The average score was ATLANTA 22.0, OPPONENT
         18.7

       ATLANTA is 6-1 against the 1st HALF LINE (+4.9 Units) vs. good
         passing teams averaging 235 or more passing yards/game in the
         second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. The average score
         was ATLANTA 15.9, OPPONENT 11.1

       ATLANTA is 23-3 against a TEASER LINE (+13.5 Units) after gaining
         4.5 or less passing yards/attempt in last game since 1992. The
         average score was ATLANTA 22.9, OPPONENT 22.1


Top StatFox Power Trends Favoring Philadelphia:

       PHILADELPHIA is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) when playing against a
         good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) in the second half of the season
         since 1992. The average score was PHILADELPHIA 21.9, OPPONENT
         18.5

       PHILADELPHIA is 17-2 against the MONEY LINE (+16.2 Units) in
         home games versus good rushing teams - averaging >=4.5 rushing
         yards/carry since 1992. The average score was PHILADELPHIA 25.5,
         OPPONENT 18.2

       PHILADELPHIA is 17-7 against the 1st HALF LINE (+9.3 Units) after a
         win by 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons. The average score
         was PHILADELPHIA 14.1, OPPONENT 7.5

       PHILADELPHIA is 7-0 against a TEASER LINE (+7.0 Units) vs. poor
         passing teams averaging 175 or less passing yards/game. over the
         last 3 seasons. The average score was PHILADELPHIA 25.6,
         OPPONENT 13.3

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New England at Pittsburgh – AFC Championship Game
  The AFC title game is also being played in Pennsylvania, and that contest is also expected to be affected by mother nature. The game pits two teams that have combined to win 31 of their 34 games this season, marking the first time that has happened in Championship play since the 1998 season. Pittsburgh, 15-1 on the season and undefeated at Heinz Field, amazingly finds itself as a three point underdog in Sunday’s showdown. Oddsmakers have apparently put a lot of stock in Bill Belichick’s success as coach of the Patriots, their impressive win last week against Indianapolis, and the fact that the Steelers are starting a rookie quarterback. Who can argue, as the New England is the defending league champion and boasts a two time Super Bowl MVP in QB Tom Brady. The game certainly has the makings of a potential classic. Here are some of the top trends favoring each team for this week’s game. See the top StatFox Super Situations, the rest of the top Trends, plus a computer score projection and StatFox staff opinions by registering for as little as a week of FoxSheets service at just $19.99!

Top StatFox Power Trends Favoring New England:

      NEW ENGLAND is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) vs. good defensive teams who
        give up 17 or less points/game over the last 3 seasons. The average
        score was NEW ENGLAND 21.0, OPPONENT 8

      NEW ENGLAND is 16-1 against the MONEY LINE (+16.2 Units) after 3
        or more consecutive wins against the spread over the last 3 seasons.
        The average score was NEW ENGLAND 24.2, OPPONENT 14.6

     NEW ENGLAND is 7-1 against the 1st HALF LINE (+5.9 Units) vs.
        good passing teams averaging 7 or more PYA in the second half of
        the season over the last 3 seasons. The average score was NEW
        ENGLAND 14.0, OPPONENT 6.8

     NEW ENGLAND is 28-4 against a TEASER LINE (+15.3 Units) vs. good
        passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better in the second
        half of the season since 1992. The average score was NEW ENGLAND
        20.2, OPPONENT 15.7


Top StatFox Power Trends Favoring Pittsburgh:

       PITTSBURGH is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing against a top-
         level team (Win Pct. > 75%) over the last 3 seasons. The average
         score was PITTSBURGH 23.7, OPPONENT 13.6

       PITTSBURGH is 7-0 against the MONEY LINE (+9.5 Units) vs.
         good defensive teams who give up 17 or less points/game this
         season. The average score was PITTSBURGH 25.9, OPPONENT 14.3

       PITTSBURGH is 8-1 against the 1st HALF LINE (+6.9 Units) versus
         the 1rst half line in home games this season. The average score was
         PITTSBURGH 15.1, OPPONENT 6.7

       PITTSBURGH is 24-1 against a TEASER LINE (+20.8 Units) vs. good
         passing teams averaging 7 or more PYA since 1992. The average
         score was PITTSBURGH 23.8, OPPONENT 16.8 - (Rating = 1*)


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