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StatFox FREE Weekly Newsletter
April 22nd, 2005
In this issue: 2005 NBA Playoffs - Stats, Matchups, Trends and more.

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Sacramento at Seattle
  The Western Conference first round playoff series between Seattle and Sacramento tips off on Saturday night at 10:35 PM Et and will be showcased as the StatFox FREE NBA FoxSheet of the week. Sacramento normally accustomed to home court advantage, at least in the first round, has to hit the road this year after settling in as the 6th seed. The Kings won 50 games once again, but even that isn't good enough in the tough Western Conference. On the road Sacramento finished 20-21, including losses in both trips to Seattle. Overall, the Sonics won three of four games in the head to head series this season. Seattle, champion of the Northwest Division, won 52 games en route to earning the 3rd seed. The Sonics struggled down the stretch though, winning just four of their last 14 games. Both teams were hampered by injuries throughout various parts of the year but should be near full strength for the playoffs. With only two games separating these teams in the conference standings, this series really could go either way. Seattle of course owns the home court edge, but is making just its second appearance in the playoffs since 2000. Sacramento, meanwhile, plays in the postseason for the seventh straight year. Be sure to get a jump start on this series by accessing all of the key handicapping information for it by visiting the StatFox FREE NBA FoxSheet of the week. Then stop by StatFox.com for these and many other key handicapping tools:
Game Matchups Pro
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2005 NBA Playoffs - An in-depth look
  The NBA's 2004-05 regular season flew by but it was certainly entertaining. Overall the league saw a lot of changes this season, more scoring, different teams stepping to the forefront, others finding themselves in and/or out of playoff contention unlike years' past, and key players making themselves at home in new surroundings. Now, with the NBA's second season upon us and the first round matchups set, it's time to take a look at what might lie ahead for the next two months.

  A pair of exciting and unfamiliar teams grabbed the top seeds in their respective conferences. Miami is the #1 in the East, led by the potent duo of Shaq and Flash. The Heat won 59 games, eclipsing anyone else in the conference by at least 5 games. In the West, Phoenix captured the NBA's best record by going 62-20 behind a solid mix of youth and veteran leadership. Point guard Steve Nash had an MVP-caliber season leading the potent Suns' attack. The biggest challengers to each of the top squads, not surprisingly, figure to be the #2 seeds, Detroit and San Antonio. The styles of each of those two teams directly contradict that of the top seeds. It could make things very interesting if those are the matchups in the conference finals.

  Also lurking in the background are some teams that come into the playoffs on incredible rolls, count Houston, Denver, Indiana, and New Jersey among those. None of them were able to rally enough to secure home court advantage in the first round, but each still figures to be a tough out for its opponent. Conversely, Chicago, Washington, and Seattle seem to be limping into the playoffs much due to late season injuries. Ironically, the Bulls and the team formerly the Bullets meet each other in the first round. That, along with every other series, is intriguing in one form or another. Boston and Indiana is a rematch of recent years' play, Philadelphia and Detroit are familiar postseason participants, and New Jersey is a solid, playoff experienced group that could give Miami trouble. In the West, Phoenix and Memphis play completely contradicting styles, San Antonio, with Tim Duncan just getting back in the fold, must hold off a hard charging Denver team, and finally, Sacramento and Seattle, as well as Dallas and Houston are both series' bringing together regional rivals. Here's a closer look at the matchups, and some key trends to consider when handicapping this year's NBA playoffs.

NBA Playoff Matchups Quick Reference Chart
  Here is a quick reference chart to look at analyzing each of the series from a head to head standpoint. The figures represented are each team's NBA ranking in that statistical category. Keep in mind that recent history has shown that 3pt shooting, defense, and turnovers have been the most successful statistical angles to look at in terms of NBA playoff handicapping
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Click here to view the 2005 NBA Schedule
Click here to view the 2005 NBA Matchup Chart

Top Trends
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Hottest Teams

DALLAS is on a run of 17-2 SU & 11-8 ATS in its L19 games

HOUSTON won its last seven games of the season, both SU & ATS

DENVER closed the regular season on a 22-4 SU & 19-7 ATS run

NEW JERSEY rallied to secure the East's 8th seed with a 15-4 SU & ATS run

DETROIT won 10 of its 11 games in April and was 7-4 ATS during that stretch

CHICAGO was 15-4 SU & 14-3-2 ATS in its L19 games
Coldest Teams

MEMPHIS closed the regular season by winning just once in its L6 games, both SU & ATS

SEATTLE comes into the playoffs having gone just 4-10 SU & ATS in its L14 games

SACRAMENTO was 6-5 SU in March, but just 2-8-1 ATS

Top seeded MIAMI closed the regular season by going just 5-7 SU & 4-8 ATS

WASHINGTON stumbles into the playoffs on a 4-7 SU & 2-9 ATS stretch
Best Teams in Recent Playoff Action

DETROIT was 16-7 SU & 16-6-1 ATS in the playoffs during its championship run last season

NEW JERSEY with Jason Kidd is 32-19 SU & 27-19-5 ATS in the playoffs

SACRAMENTO is .500 or better ATS in every playoff season since '99, combined 33-24-1 ATS

SAN ANTONIO is 26-18 SU & ATS in the playoffs over the last three years

WASHINGTON, though swept in its last playoff appearance in '97, was 3-0 ATS
Worst Teams in Recent Playoff Action

BOSTON was swept LY by Indiana in the first round & failed to cover any of the four games

HOUSTON is 4-10 SU & 6-8 ATS in its L3 playoff appearances

MEMPHIS was 0-4 SU & 1-3 ATS in its only franchise playoff appearance a year ago

MIAMI is on a 6-10 SU & 5-10-1 ATS run in playoff games
Miscellaneous Playoff Trends
The Good

SAN ANTONIO is 12-6 SU ATS in the 1st game of a playoff series since '97

SAN ANTONIO is 10-3 SU & 9-4 ATS when tied in a playoff series since '97

NEW JERSEY is 10-3 SU & 9-4 ATS when leading in a playoff series over the L2 years

NEW JERSEY is 6-2 SU & ATS when attempting to close out a playoff series since '97

DALLAS is 4-1 SU & ATS when tied in a playoff series over the L2 years

CHICAGO is 6-0 SU & 5-1 ATS when tied in a playoff series since '97

DETROIT is 6-0 SU & 5-1 ATS when attempting to close out a playoff series since '97

HOUSTON is 6-0 SU & 5-1 ATS in the 3rd game of a playoff series since '97

DETROIT is 4-3 SU & 5-1 ATS in the 1st game of a playoff series over the L2 years

SACRAMENTO is 8-3 SU & 10-1 ATS in the 4th game of a playoff series since '97

SACRAMENTO is 5-0 SU & ATS when trailing in a playoff series over the L2 years
The Bad

BOSTON is 0-6 SU & ATS when trailing in a playoff series over the L2 years

DALLAS is 2-6 SU & 1-7 ATS when leading in a playoff series over the L2 years

CHICAGO is 6-0 SU but 1-5 ATS in the first round of the playoffs since '97

SACRAMENTO is 0-6 SU & 1-5 ATS when tied in a playoff series over the L2 years

DETROIT is 3-8 SU ATS in the 4th game of a playoff series since '97

HOUSTON is 4-7 SU & 3-8 ATS when trailing in a playoff series since '97

SEATTLE is 4-8 SU & 3-8 ATS in the second round of the playoffs since '97

MIAMI is 4-10 SU & ATS when leading in a playoff series since '97

MIAMI is 4-10 SU & ATS when leading in a playoff series since '97

DETROIT is 9-11 SU & 7-12 ATS when leading in a playoff series since '97

PHILADELPHIA is 8-15 SU & 9-14 ATS in the second round of the playoffs since '97
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