 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Here is a list of the 36 deciding playoff games over the past nine seasons, with their spreads and totals included. Home teams are in CAPS: |
 |
5/3/97 - First Round, SEATTLE (-8.5, 206) 116, Phoenix 92 |
|
5/4/97 - First Round, MIAMI (-12.5, 179) 91, Orlando 83 |
|
5/4/97 - First Round, ATLANTA (-6, 174) 84, Detroit 79 |
|
5/17/97 - Second Round, HOUSTON (-5, 199) 96, Seattle 91 |
|
5/18/97 - Second Round, MIAMI (-3.5, 173.5) 101, New York 90 |
|
5/2/98 - First Round, SEATTLE (-10, 190) 97, Minnesota 84 |
|
5/3/98 - First Round, UTAH (-12.5, 187.5) 84, Houston 70 |
|
5/3/98 - First Round, UTAH (-12.5, 187.5) 84, Houston 70 |
|
5/3/98 - First Round, MIAMI (-4, 174) 81, New York 98 |
|
5/31/98 - Conference Finals, CHICAGO (-7.5, 185) 88, Indiana 83 |
|
5/16/99 - First Round, UTAH (-8.5, 188) 99, Sacramento 92 |
|
5/16/99 - First Round, ATLANTA (-4, 163) 87, Detroit 75 |
|
5/16/99 - First Round, MIAMI (-5, 165) 77, New York 78 |
|
5/4/00 - First Round, INDIANA (-6, 191.5) 96, Milwaukee 95 |
|
5/5/00 - First Round, UTAH (-8, 184) 96, Seattle 93 |
|
5/5/00 - First Round, LA LAKERS (-10, 202.5) 113, Sacramento 86 |
|
5/21/00 - Second Round, MIAMI (-2.5, 165) 82, New York 83 |
|
6/4/00 - Conference Finals, LA LAKERS (-5, 186.5) 89, Portland 84 |
|
5/3/01 - First Round, UTAH (-2.5, 188) 83, Dallas 84 |
|
5/4/01 - First Round, NEW YORK (-4, 176) 89, Toronto 93 |
|
5/20/01 - Second Round, MILWAUKEE (-5, 192) 104, Char Hornets 95 |
|
5/20/01 - Second Round, PHILADELPHIA (-5.5, 185) 88, Toronto 87 |
|
6/3/01 - Conference Finals, PHILADELPHIA (-3.5, 180) 108, Milwaukee 91 |
|
5/2/02 - First Round, NEW JERSEY (-5.5, 176.5) 120, Indiana 109 |
|
5/2/02 - First Round, DETROIT (-6.5, 170) 85, Toronto 82 |
|
5/3/02 - First Round, SAN ANTONIO (-8, 178.5) 101, Seattle 78 |
|
5/3/02 - First Round, BOSTON (-4.5, 178.5) 120, Philadelphia 87 |
|
6/2/02 - Conference Finals, SACRAMENTO (-2, 193) 106, La Lakers 112 |
|
5/4/03 - First Round, DALLAS (-6, 197.5) 107, Portland 95 |
|
5/4/03 - First Round, DETROIT (-6, 181.5) 108, Orlando 93 |
|
5/17/03 - Second Round, DALLAS (-3.5, 217.5) 112, Sacramento 99 |
|
5/4/04 - First Round, MIAMI (-4.5, 168) 85, New Orleans 77 |
|
5/19/04 - Second Round, MINNESOTA (-5, 186.5) 83, Sacramento 80 |
|
5/20/04 - Second Round, DETROIT (-5, 165) 90, New Jersey 69 |
|
5/7/05 - First Round, DALLAS (-4, 196) 116, Houston 76 |
|
5/7/05 - First Round, BOSTON (-4, 182) 70, Indiana 97 |
|
6/6/05 - Conference Finals, MIAMI (-2, 177) 82, Detroit 88 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
 |
|
|
 Brought to you by BetUS.com -Great bonuses and service
11 years and running!
2005 NBA Finals
NBA Finals: FREE FOXSHEET SAN ANTONIO vs DETROIT GAME 7
With the anticipation of the first NBA Finals Game 7 in over a decade, we've decided to open up the FoxSheets for tonight's game to all StatFox Visitors today.
Click here to view the FREE NBA Finals Game 7 ATS FoxSheet
Click here to view the FREE NBA Finals Game 7 MONEY LINE FoxSheet
Click here to view the FREE NBA Finals Game 7 1ST HALF LINE FoxSheet
Click here to view the FREE NBA Finals Game 7 TEASER LINE FoxSheet
NBA Deciding Playoff Games
 Brought to you by WagerWeb.com - it's common cents!
With the basketball world primed for a Game 7 between San Antonio and Detroit in the NBA Finals, we thought it would be an opportune time to go back through the StatFox database and analyze past decisive playoff series contests and how they might relate to the big game on Thursday. The one-game title contest, scheduled for 9:00 PM ET, will be the first game 7 in the finals since 1994 when Houston edged the Knicks.
Of course, none of it would have been possible without a gritty road effort by the Pistons in San Antonio in Tuesday night's sixth game. Detroit held the Spurs scoreless over the final 2:18 to break open a one-point game and eventually win 95-86. In the process, it became the first road team since the Finals went to a 2-3-2 format to force a Game 7 after being down, 3-2, in the series.
The odds of the defending champions making it two straight titles however are still long, as they'll need to win back to back games in a city where, prior to Tuesday, had not been victorious since '97. They also face the prospects of being a 5-point underdog, and since '97, only one team has won facing a spread equal or more to that in a decisive playoff game. That team was the New York Knicks, who upended Miami in a first round game five in '99. However, what the Pistons lack from a historical perspective, they might make up for in experience, as they have played six deciding playoff games in the last nine seasons as opposed to just one for the Spurs. The Pistons are 4-2 SU & ATS in those games while San Antonio is 1-0 SU & ATS by virtue of its 101-78 defeat of Seattle in the opening round of 2002.
Here are the top trends favoring each team in winning the 2005 NBA title on Thursday night: |
|
 |
DETROIT is 9-0 against the money line (+10.3 Units) when attempting to close out a playoff series over the last 3 seasons. The average score was DETROIT 90.6, OPPONENT 79.9 |
|
|
SAN ANTONIO is 11-0 against the money line (+11.0 Units) in home games off a upset loss as a favorite this season. The average score was SAN ANTONIO 100.7, OPPONENT 82.3 |
| Overall in decisive games, home teams have won 28 of 36 deciding playoff games straight up over the last nine seasons. During that span, the ATS results are split 17-17 with two pushes. However, if you take away three upsets of Miami by New York, the numbers are far more dominant for the hosts: 28-5 SU, 17-14 ATS. In terms of totals, there have been 22 of those 36 games that have gone UNDER. Not surprising, taking into account the increased defensive effort and the pressure a deciding game presents. In fact, the last seven games have all been UNDERS. (see left column for details) |
|
|
|
 |
|
|
 Brought to you by BetCRIS - where the line originates
2005 StatFox Edge is coming - RELEASED JULY 1st!!!
The third edition of the StatFox Edge football annual will be released via www.StatFoxEdge.com on July 1st and on store shelves July 5th. This year's magazine is loaded with everything of the past two years' versions and more, including team previews and predictions, key stats, ATS records, and over 2,000 EXCLUSIVE FOXSHEETS COLLEGE & PRO TRENDS! Plus, the following key handicapping articles: |
|
|
Systems Handicapping: Defined and 10 Key Systems to Follow in 2005 |
|
|
The StatFox Outplay Factor: What, How, and Why? |
|
|
Coastal Dynasties?: StatFox Stacks USC/NE Up Against Recent Powers |
|
|
Recruiting Rankings: Their Importance and Predictive Power |
|
|
The Bowl Article: Updated Trends For Every Bowl Game |
|
|
BCS Follies: A History of the Problems and a Proposed Solution |
| The 2005 StatFox Edge Football Annual is a must-read for any football fan and/or handicapper! Get your copy on July 1st by visiting www.StatFoxEdge.com or by picking one up off your local store shelf. |
|
|
|
|
|
