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April 21st, 2006 In this issue: NBA Playoff Preview, StatFox Scuffle: NBA Playoffs First Round, FREE NBA First Round Opening Game FoxSheet (Chicago at Miami), Key Hoops Handicapping Links, NHL Playoff Previews, FREE NHL First Round Opening Game FoxSheet (Anaheim at Calgary), Key Hockey Handicapping Links

NBA Playoffs Preview

After a long 82-game schedule and several exciting playoff seeding races, the NBA’s second season is upon us. The seedings are set, and 16 teams have their eye on the ultimate basketball team prize.


Those teams who advance through each round need to take their games to the next level. With that comes the need for the handicapper to step up his/her game if they hope to succeed over the next two months.


While most of the things that the bettor has learned since November will still be beneficial, there is always that extra something that needs to go in to making NBA playoff betting profitable.


For instance, here is a look at each round in the playoffs, and the chance for upset:

NBA Seed Performance by Round since '97 Series Wins (by Seed) Game Wins (by Seed) ATS Wins (by Seed)
Better Worse Upset% Better Worse WorseWin% Better Worse Worse ATS%
East Quarterfinals (#1 vs. #8) 8 1 11.1% 29 11 27.5% 19 20 51.2%
East Quarterfinals (#2 vs. #7) 8 1 11.1% 29 11 27.5% 20 17 45.9%
East Quarterfinals (#3 vs. #6) 4 5 55.5% 21 19 47.5% 18 21 53..8%
East Quarterfinals (#4 vs. #5) 6 3 33.3% 26 20 43.5% 23 23 50.0%
East Quarterfinals (Total) 26 10 27.8% 105 61 36.7% 80 81 50.3%
West Quarterfinals (#1 vs. #8) 9 0 0.0% 30 10 25.0% 20 20 50.0%
West Quarterfinals (#2 vs. #7) 9 0 0.0% 30 10 25.0% 26 14 35.0%
West Quarterfinals (#3 vs. #6) 9 0 0.0% 30 10 25.0% 18 22 55.0%
West Quarterfinals (#4 vs. #5) 4 5 55.6% 22 20 47.6% 20 22 52.4%
West Quarterfinals (Total) 31 5 13.9% 112 50 30.9% 84 78 48.1%
East Semifinals (Total) 14 4 22.2% 63 37 37.0% 52 46 46.9%
West Semifinals (Total) 14 4 22.2% 64 35 35.4% 50 47 48.5%
East Finals (Total) 5 4 44.4% 27 27 50.0% 23 27 54.0%
West Finals (Total) 6 3 33.3% 27 22 44.9% 27 21 43.8%
NBA Finals (Total) * 2 3 60.0% 10 15 60.0% 11 12 52.2%
Total (All Rounds) 98 33 25.2% 408 247 37.7% 327 312 48.8%
* Note: In four NBA Finals Series', the teams shared the same seed number.
* Note: To determine "Better Seed", a #1 is better than a #8, a #2 better than a #3, etc

Download the complete StatFox NBA Playoff Preview to find the following:
    - Recent Team by Team Playoff Histories
    - Key Team Strength Indicators
    - In-Depth Team Capsules
    - Seed vs. Seed Matchup History
    - StatFox Playoff Predictions

Hello everybody, buckle up, its playoff time in the NBA & NHL. Sixteen teams in each league will be vying for their respective titles in each league. This is where the action really heats up. In this edition of the StatFox Scuffle, our resident experts Doug & Steve, are prepared to take their postseason handicapping to the next level as well. We will be discussing the first round of the NBA playoffs. They will reveal any strategies they like to use for the postseason, as well as any thoughts they might have on how each of the eight series' will go. So let's get to it…

Read all of StatFox Doug & StatFox Steve’s thoughts on the NBA Playoffs First Round by viewing this week’s edition of the StatFox Scuffle!

Free NBA First Round Playoff FoxSheet of the Week: Chicago at Miami

After looking dead and buried in mid-March, Chicago stormed back with a 12-2 finish, rising all the way up to the 7th seed in the East. The baby-Bulls currently ride a six game winning streak into their first round playoff duel with Miami. The opening game for this series is scheduled for Saturday night and StatFox is showcasing this contest as its FREE NBA Playoff First Round Opening Game FoxSheet! Miami is expected to be about a 6-7 point favorite, with the series line sitting at Miami –800.

The Bulls come in as the NBA’s top defensive field goal percentage team at 42.6% allowed. If you recall, they were in that same scenario last year with 47 wins when they were ousted by Washington in the first round. Meanwhile, the Heat have toiled through a long regular season in which they were barely challenged in their own division. Still, it is with great anticipation that the franchise awaits these playoffs. With Shaq and Wade healthy, Miami expects to make a run at the NBA title. They must get by the young, but confident Bulls first though.

The Saturday contest is slated for an 8:00 PM ET Tip-off. The FREE NBA FoxSheet is loaded with great Super Situations, Trends, Stats, and more. Get all of the handicapping details by visiting our FREE NBA FoxSheet of the Week.

NBA Handicapping Hot Spots

If you’re searching for more, look no further than the articles below, as they should be considered a must read for the basketball handicapper.

Free NHL First Round Playoff FoxSheet of the Week: Anaheim at Calgary

The Western Conference’s last two finals representatives collide in a first round series that starts on Friday night. StatFox has highlighted game one of the Anaheim-Calgary series as its FREE NHL Playoff First Round Opening Game FoxSheet! Calgary has been installed as a –175 money line favorite, with the total set at 5.

Be sure to visit this FREE NHL FoxSheet as the StatFox Game Simulator and Powerline offer up some very interesting projections.


NHL Handicapping Hot Spots

If you’re searching for more, look no further than the articles below, as they should be considered a must read for the hockey handicapper.

2006 StatFox NHL Playoff Preview

The long and emotional journey for the 2006 Stanley Cup begins Friday, and this year’s playoff extravaganza figures to be extra exciting, considering the Cup wasn’t handed out last year due to the lockout. We take a look at all 16 teams vying for the title, their playoff histories, key stats, and more. We also offer up our predictions.

Since the intensity and the overall play in the NHL Playoffs has generally dwarfed that of the regular season historically, much of the daily stat and trend analysis becomes less a part of the overall handicapping scheme. In fact, in many cases you’ll find that the lines are so over-inflated towards these trends, that the mere essence that made them valuable in the regular season is gone. Consequently, the bettor is left to sorting through other angles, such as situational systems, bounceback theories, momentum swings, and other aspects that have helped in past playoffs. The truth is that analyzing past postseason action can prove quite valuable. Be careful though, as unlike the NBA, the NHL playoffs have been historically less predictable, and upsets are normally commonplace in any round but the finals.


View the entire StatFox NHL Playoff Preview, featuring:
    - Recent Team by Team Playoff Histories
    - Goalie Playoff Stats and Records
    - In-Depth Team Capsules
    - Seed vs. Seed Matchup History
    - StatFox Playoff Predictions

Also, click here to read our interview with Phoenix Sports Owner and avid hockey-man, Ron Raymond!
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