- Sports Handicapping Community

The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping

Ambrose seeks 3-peat at The Glen Sunday
By: Brian Graham - StatFox
Published: 8/11/2013  at  4:16:00 AM
  Print This Article    

NASCAR Sprint Cup Series
Cheez-It 355 at the Glen

Sunday, August 11 Ė 1:00 p.m. EDT
Watkins Glen International Ė Watkins Glen, NY

The NASCAR circuit moves to upstate New York to battle the tricky road course in Watkins Glen, NY. The 2.45-mile course was completed in 1948 and is comprised of 11 turns. These include the inner loop, outer loop, and the tough-to-navigate boot, which consists of the chute, toe and heel. The surface of the track is both asphalt and concrete. Tony Stewart has five wins in the past 11 races at this track, but he is out indefinitely with a broken leg. Marcos Ambrose is the heavy 4-to-1 favorite as the two-time defending champion at The Glen.

Odds to Win Race

Marcos Ambrose4-to-1
Juan Montoya7-to-1
Kurt Busch7-to-1
Kyle Busch7-to-1
Jeff Gordon8-to-1
Jimmie Johnson8-to-1
FIELD (Any other driver)9-to-1
Brad Keselowski10-to-1
Kevin Harvick15-to-1
Clint Bowyer18-to-1
Martin Truex Jr.20-to-1
Kasey Kahne20-to-1
Ryan Newman30-to-1
Greg Biffle30-to-1
Joey Logano30-to-1
Carl Edwards30-to-1
Denny Hamlin40-to-1
Jamie McMurray40-to-1
Matt Kenseth50-to-1
Brian Vickers60-to-1
Paul Menard60-to-1
A.J. Allmendinger75-to-1
Owen Kelly100-to-1
Danica Patrick100-to-1
Dale Earnhardt Jr.100-to-1
Ron Fellows100-to-1
Aric Almirola100-to-1
Jeff Burton100-to-1
Boris Said100-to-1

Drivers to Watch

Brad Keselowski (10/1) - If anybody is going to knock off Ambrose, we'll pick the driver that has finished second to Ambrose in the past two years. Keselowski led for 37 laps in last year's race, giving him three top-10 finishes in seven career starts on road courses. Last year's Sprint Cup points champion is also getting back into the Chase for the Cup with a 4th-place showing at Loudon and a 6th-place finish last week at Pocono. With Stewart injured, Keselowski is our pick to take home the checkered flag on Sunday.

Kevin Harvick (15/1) - Harvick has an average finish of 13.1 in 12 races at Watkins Glen, but that doesnít tell the whole story. Heís placed in the top-7 in six of these starts, which includes his victory in 2006. Harvick has been slumping lately, placing 19th and 17th in his past two starts, but that followed an impressive run of nine consecutive top-10 finishes, which included his win at Charlotte. With Harvick's solid career on road courses (five top-5ís, 11 top-10ís, 14.8 average finish), he presents the best value on the board here at 15-to-1 odds.

Juan Montoya (7/1) - The road course specialist has been outstanding in his career at The Glen. In between suffering an accident in his first start at this track in 2007 and his start from the pole last year, he has placed fourth, sixth, first and seventh. In 13 career road courses overall, Montoya has eight top-10ís which includes two victories. And although he hasnít been a huge factor in 2013, sitting in 23rd place, he has knocked out top-9 finishes in four of his past 13 starts. At 7-to-1 heís certainly worthy of a small wager.

Jeff Gordon (8/1) - From 1997 to 2001, Gordon won four of the five races at WGI, but hasnít fared any better than ninth place in his past 11 starts at The Glen. But the reason heís on this list is because of the roll heís been on lately. In his past six starts of 2013, heís tallied top-10 finishes in five of them, capped off by last weekís runner-up at Pocono. The odds arenít great here, but with nine wins and 19 top-5ís in his road course career, you should drop a unit bet on Gordon to cover yourself.

Dale Earnhardt Jr. (100/1) - While itís true that road courses are not Juniorís specialty (zero wins, 22.1 average finish in 27 starts), the odds are too favorable to completely overlook No. 88. He hasn't been lower than seventh in the points standings all year thanks to a dozen top-10's and five top-5 showings, the most recent of which came last week. He also placed 12th in the latest road course in Sonoma. His 22.7 average finish at The Glen is rough, but consider that he does have a pair of top-fives on this track and compiled laps led in four of his 13 starts at this course. At 100-to-1, heís clearly the best longshot pick on the board.

Live Scores and Odds
Tired of Losing? Get a Free 30 day trial.
Daily Cash Game
The FoxSheets - the most advanced sports handicapping information available on the internet.
Sign up for professional sports betting information including fantastic trends, and Free FoxSheets.