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The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping

Kenseth seeks Kansas 3-peat on Sunday
By: Brian Graham - StatFox
Published: 10/6/2013  at  2:45:00 AM
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NASCAR Sprint Cup Series
Hollywood Casino 400

Sunday, October 6 2:00 p.m. EDT
Kansas Speedway Kansas City, KS

The Chase for the Cup shifts to Kansas City on Sunday. This intermediate track, completed in 2001, is a 1.5-mile, D-shaped oval with 15-degree turns and straights of 10.4 and 5 degrees. The frontstretch is 2,685 feet (0.51 miles) and the backstretch measures 2,207 feet, or 0.42 miles. Matt Kenseth has won the past two races at this track, joining Jeff Gordon, Tony Stewart, Greg Biffle and Jimmie Johnson as the only two-time winners in Kansas.

Odds to Win Race

(For the latest Odds, connect to Sportsbook.com)

DriverOdds
Matt Kenseth7-to-2
Jimmie Johnson4-to-1
Kyle Busch6-to-1
Kasey Kahne6-to-1
Jeff Gordon12-to-1
Brad Keselowski15-to-1
Clint Bowyer18-to-1
Kevin Harvick18-to-1
Dale Earnhardt Jr.18-to-1
Kurt Busch18-to-1
Martin Truex Jr.18-to-1
Carl Edwards18-to-1
Joey Logano20-to-1
Greg Biffle20-to-1
Denny Hamlin30-to-1
Brian Vickers30-to-1
Ryan Newman30-to-1
Jamie McMurray60-to-1
Juan Montoya75-to-1
Paul Menard75-to-1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.75-to-1
Marcos Ambrose100-to-1
Aric Almirola100-to-1
Jeff Burton100-to-1
A.J. Allmendinger100-to-1
Danica Patrick100-to-1
Mark Martin100-to-1
FIELD (Any other driver)100-to-1

Drivers to Watch

Matt Kenseth (7/2) The two-time defending champion at this track continues to dominate the 2013 season with three wins and an average finish of 4.7 over his past six starts. One of those victories was at the 1.5-mile Chicago track, and he also won at Kentucky, another 1.5-mile venue, on June 30. In his past eight starts at Kansas, Kenseth has placed seventh or better in seven of those races, with the lone exception being a failed engine in 2009. The 7-to-2 chalk won last week's race in Dover (Jimmie Johnson), and the 7-to-2 chalk will prevail again on Sunday, so be sure to put your largest wager on Kenseth to win again.

Martin Truex Jr. (18/1) - Truex Jr. has come oh-so close to winning at Kansas in his past three starts at this track, cranking out runner-up finishes in both 2012 races and placing fourth in the spring race. He's also performed well on 1.5-mile tracks recently, finishing 9th at Charlotte, 7th in Kentucky and 3rd in Atlanta. Consistency hasn't always been there for Truex in 2013, but he's still been able to record a win (Sonoma), six top-5's and a dozen top-10's this season. With favorable odds here, Truex is worthy of a small wager.

Greg Biffle (20/1) - Considering his great success at Kansas Speedway, Biffle is a quite a gift at 20-to-1. In his past 12 races at this track, he has six finishes in the top-3. This includes two wins (2007, 2010), one runner-up (2005) and three third-place showings (2004, 2008, 2009). Biffle has been consistently great all season (12 top-10's), which is why he's sixth in the points standings. Two of his dozen top-10's this season have come in the past two starts, placing 3rd at Loudon and 9th at Dover. With longshot odds for Sunday, don't be shy about placing a unit or two on the No. 16 car.

Jeff Gordon (12/1) - It's not usually a great move in October to pick a driver that hasn't won all season, but Gordon has certainly come very close to the winner's circle recently. Starting from the Brickyard, Gordon has banged out top-8 finishes in seven of 10 starts, which includes sixth-place showings on both 1.5-mile tracks (Atlanta and Chicago). It also includes last week's 4th-place finish at Dover, moving him up to fourth in the points standings. Gordon is also due to race well in Kansas after four straight finishes of 10th or worse. Leading up to this skid, Gordon had placed 5th, 4th, 2nd, 5th and 4th in his previous five Kansas starts, and don't forget that he is a two-time winner at this track. However, the odds aren't favorable enough to risk more than a unit on Gordon.

Mark Martin (100/1) - Sticking with the veteran theme, the 54-year-old Martin was getting 40-to-1 odds when he started at this track just two years ago, and now he's in the triple-digits. Although his lone top-5 of the 2013 season came in the opening race in Daytona (3rd place), Martin has done well enough at this track to throw a longshot wager on. He placed 9th in the Kansas spring race, which gives him six top-10's in 15 starts at Kansas Speedway. Included in these top-10's was a victory in 2005 and a third-place showing the following season. Martin has also put himself in advantageous starting positions in the past four starts, beginning 9th, 5th, 2nd and 8th. That 2nd-place start occurred last fall where he led the race for 60 laps before fading late. However, at 100-to-1, Martin represents the best value pick on the board.

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