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NASCAR tackles Talladega on Sunday
By: Brian Graham - StatFox
Published: 10/20/2013  at  2:18:00 AM
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NASCAR Sprint Cup Series
Camping World RV Sales 500

Sunday, October 20 1:00 p.m. EDT
Talladega Superspeedway Talladega, AL

Talladega takes center stage for the NASCAR circuit on Sunday afternoon for the Camping World RV Sales 500. This tri-oval superspeedway is 2.66 miles long with 33-degree banking on the turns, 16.5 degrees on the frontstretch (4,300 feet) and 2-degree banking on the 4,000-foot backstretch. This is arguably the most unpredictable track on the circuit, with 10 different winners in the past 12 races, leading to favorable odds for all the drivers. David Ragan shocked the field with a win here in May despite being tabbed with 100-to-1 odds.

Odds to Win Race

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Kyle Busch10-to-1
Jimmie Johnson10-to-1
Matt Kenseth10-to-1
Jeff Gordon10-to-1
Dale Earnhardt Jr.10-to-1
Kevin Harvick10-to-1
Brad Keselowski15-to-1
Kasey Kahne15-to-1
Kurt Busch15-to-1
Clint Bowyer15-to-1
Carl Edwards18-to-1
Greg Biffle20-to-1
Jamie McMurray20-to-1
Joey Logano20-to-1
Denny Hamlin25-to-1
Martin Truex Jr.25-to-1
FIELD (Any other driver)30-to-1
Ryan Newman30-to-1
Jeff Burton40-to-1
Aric Almirola40-to-1
Ricky Stenhouse, Jr.40-to-1
Michael Waltrip40-to-1
Paul Menard40-to-1
Austin Dillon40-to-1
Danica Patrick40-to-1
Juan Montoya40-to-1
David Ragan40-to-1
Sam Hornish Jr.50-to-1
David Gilliland60-to-1
Trevor Bayne75-to-1
Marcos Ambrose75-to-1
Justin Allgaier100-to-1
Dave Blaney100-to-1
Casey Mears100-to-1

Drivers to Watch

Jimmie Johnson (10/1) - We always pounce on Johnson whenever he gets double-digit odds. He won two of the three restrictor plate races this season, taking home the checkered flag in both Daytona starts, and placing 5th in the May race at Talladega. In the past eight races at this track, Johnson has four top-2 starts and four top-7 finishes. As he usually does this time of year, Johnson is consistently racing at the front of the pack, tallying five straight top-6 finishes. With 17 career victories at tracks at least two miles long, Johnson our pick to win again on Sunday.

Clint Bowyer (15/1) - Based on his recent success at Talladega, Bowyer represents the best value on the board here at 15-to-1. In his past seven starts at this track, he has two victories, a runner-up, a 6th-place finish and a 7th-place showing. Hes also in the midst of a monster season with eight top-5's and 15 top-10's. Although he hasn't placed better than 9th in eight straight races, he did perform well in his two other restrictor plate races in 2013, finishing 4th and 11th at Daytona.

Matt Kenseth (10/1) - The restrictor plate king has finished 3rd, 1st and 8th in his past three starts at Talladega Superspeedway, but he curiously has not been a factor in either race at Daytona, with engine failure to start the year, and a 33rd-place showing in the July Daytona race. However, it's no surprise that Kenseth continues to leads the Chase for the Cup, cranking out three wins and three other top-7 finishes in his past eight races this season. With double-digit odds, Kenseth is certainly worthy of a small wager for Sunday.

David Ragan (40/1) - His win in May at this track may have come with triple-digit odds, but it wasn't a fluke, considering he placed 7th and 4th at Talladega in 2012, making him third in driver points over the past four starts at this track. Ragan has only one other top-15 finish all season (12th at Bristol), but he did lead for a lap at Daytona. He also won at Daytona in 2011, showing that his darkhorse odds could once again pay off for Sunday.

Michael Waltrip (40/1) - Superspeedways are the only time to consider Waltrip, as he has won once at Talladega (2003) and three times at Daytona (2001, 2002, 2003) in his career. While these victories came at least a decade ago, Waltrip led for 19 laps at Talladega last spring and could've won at Talladega last fall if Tony Stewart didn't wreck him on the final lap. Waltrip then placed fourth at the May Talladega race. At 40-to-1 odds, Waltrip is worth a one-unit wager for Sunday.

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