Welcome: Login to StatFox |  Register |  Login to FoxSheets
StatFox.com - Sports Handicapping Community

The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping

Spurs look to go up 2-0 on Mavs Wednesday
By: Freddy Wander - StatFox
Published: 4/23/2014  at  5:23:00 AM
  Print This Article    

DALLAS MAVERICKS (49-34)

at SAN ANTONIO SPURS (63-20)

NBA Playoffs - Western Conference First Round
Game 2 - San Antonio leads series 1-0
Tip-off: Wednesday, 8:05 p.m. ET
Line: San Antonio -8, Total: 198

Last seasonís Western Conference champions continue their trek back to the NBA Finals when they host the Mavericks in Game 2 of the first round on Wednesday.

Game 1 was close throughout as San Antonio defeated Dallas by a score of 90-85 while failing to cover the nine-point spread. The Spurs were down by as much as 10 points in the final quarter but then forced the Mavs to miss 12 straight shots to complete their comeback. Dallas did do well keeping San Antonio from defeating them from the three-point line though, holding them to a meager 3-for-17 from long range after allowing them to hit 16-of-34 in their previous meeting, which San Antonio won 109-100 on the road. The Mavericks also struggled getting to the foul line, making just 9-of-13 shots from the charity stripe. They are 23-19 SU on the road this season, while going an impressive 28-14 ATS (67%, 2nd in NBA). Meanwhile, their opponent has been one of the best home teams this season, posting a 33-9 SU record at AT&T Center with a 20-22 ATS mark. These two clubs have squared off 13 times over the past three seasons with the Spurs being a dominant 11-2 SU (9-4 ATS) while winning all five of the contests SU (3-2 ATS) this season. But Dallas is a tough team to beat twice in a row, going 23-10 SU and 21-12 ATS (64%) when following a loss this season. However, San Antonio is 45-24 ATS (65%) when playing only its second game in five days over the past three seasons. The only possible injury to watch for in this contest is that of Tim Duncanís knee, which has left him as probable. SG Manu Ginobili's wife gave birth to their third child on Monday, but the star reserve is still expected to play on Wednesday.

The Mavericks have depended on PF Dirk Nowitzki for his entire career, and he shot just 4-for-14 in the first game of this series, finishing with 11 points, eight boards and two blocks. That was a far cry from what he's done overall in his postseason career (129 games), where he has averaged 25.8 PPG (46% FG) and 10.2 RPG. But his 20.9 PPG (45% FG) that he has scored against San Antonio over 61 career games (56 starts) is actually his third-lowest average against any team in the league. SG Monta Ellis had one assist in just two games during the regular season and put that many up on Sunday afternoon, leading to a game-worst rating of minus-23. He also shot just 4-for-14 in the game to score 11 points, and has scored 19.7 PPG (44% FG) to go along with 4.0 APG over his 26 career games (22 starts) when facing the Spurs. PG Devin Harris was the teamís leading scorer and passer in the first contest with 19 points (8-of-16 FG, 3-of-7 threes) and five assists, which was a big improvement over his usual playoff performances, as he has put up just 9.3 PPG (45% FG) in his 49 career postseason games (31 starts). During the regular season, Ellis faced San Antonio just twice, averaging 8.0 PPG while going 4-for-17 from the field. The Mavs also got nice contributions from three other reserves, PF Brandan Wright (11 points, 3 assists, 2 steals), SG Vince Carter (10 points, 5 rebounds) and SF Jae Crowder (6 points, 4 rebounds, +16 rating in just 12 minutes)

The Spurs run one of the most efficient and non-selfish offenses in the NBA this season and they proved that once again on Sunday when they completely dominated points in the paint by a 56-32 margin, and had three players with at least 17 in the game. PF Tim Duncan dominated with 27 points (12-of-20 FG), seven rebounds and game-high +24 rating in his 212th career postseason game. In that time, he has averaged 21.9 PPG (50% FG), 11.9 RPG and 2.4 BPG while doing very well in his four games against Dallas in the regular season as well (18.5 PPG, 12.5 RPG). PG Tony Parker played 30+ minutes for the first time since March 31, as he was on the floor for 34 minutes in Game 1 and poured in 21 points (9-of-16 FG), six assists, four rebounds and a +20 rating. The postseason has always been a time when Parker shines brightest, putting up 19.1 PPG (46% FG) with 5.3 APG over his 174 career playoff games. Heís also done very well over 46 career regular-season games (17.9 PPG, 4.9 APG) against the Mavericks and will once again play a vital role in how far the Spurs go this season. SG Manu Ginobili finishes off San Antonioís big three, and he hit only 4-of-10 shots (3-of-7 threes) in Game 1 while making all six of his free-throw attempts to finish with 17 points and six boards, but he also committed four of his team's 10 turnovers. With 158 career playoff games (52 starts), Ginobili is the least experienced of the three, but he has averaged 15.6 PPG (44% FG), 4.4 RPG and 3.9 APG over that time. The Spurs got little else from their bench on Sunday though, as the other five reserves combined for just six points on 3-of-16 FG and a minus-45 rating combined. SF Kawhi Leonard (11 points, 10 boards) and C Tiago Splitter (8 points, 11 boards, 2 steals) were also big reasons why the team owned the paint in Game 1.

Live Scores and Odds
Tired of Losing? Get a Free 30 day trial.
Daily Cash Game

FoxSheets.com
The FoxSheets - the most advanced sports handicapping information available on the internet.
Sign up for professional sports betting information including fantastic trends, and Free FoxSheets.
E-mail:   

NYHigh9/19 CFB Play
msudogsNCAAF 9-19-14
puckslugCfb 9/19
CUBANOKeeshaw RL -170
doubled1512014 MLB contest 9/19