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2014 College Football Preview: SEC
By: Steve Bennett - StatFox
Published: 8/20/2014  at  4:44:00 AM
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To get you prepared for the upcoming college football season, we continue our run of all FBS conference previews over the next several weeks. For complete coverage, download your copy of the 2014 StatFox Edge Football Preview. Next up is the SEC, which remained intact from last season.

Here is the BetDSI Sportsbook breakdown of odds for the first week of the college football season:

Odds to Win SEC

(For the latest Odds, connect to Sportsbook.ag)
7-to-5: Alabama
15-to-4: Georgia
4-to-1: Auburn
7-to-1: South Carolina
15-to-2: LSU
15-to-1: Ole Miss
18-to-1: Florida
33-to-1: Missouri
55-to-1: Mississippi State
65-to-1: Texas A&M
110-to-1: Tennessee
225-to-1: Arkansas
225-to-1: Vanderbilt
225-to-1: Kentucky

ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE


2013 Statistics:
SU Record: 11-2 (7-1 in SEC)
ATS Record: 7-6 (54%)
Over/Under: 6-6-1
Points Scored: 38.2 PPG (17th in FBS)
Points Allowed: 13.9 PPG (4th in FBS)
Odds to Win 2015 BCS National Championship: 13/2

2014 Preview:
Offense: Starters Returning: 7
Defense: Starters Returning: 5
The Tide will replace AJ McCarron with either former Florida State back-up QB Jacob Coker (6.9 YPA, 0 TD, 1 INT), a classic pocket passer, or dual-threat senior QB Blake Sims (5.8 YPA, 2 TD, 0 INT), a former running back. Regardless, Bama will lean heavily on the ground game with RBs T.J. Yeldon (1,235 rush yds, 14 TD) and bruiser Derrick Henry (382 rush yds, 10.9 YPC). The Tide also bring back WR Amari Cooper (736 rec yds, 4 TD), one of the nation’s top deep threats. The defense lost a lot of talent, but as usual, has a plethora of young stars ready to step up. Sophomore DE A’Shawn Robinson (5.5 sacks) and ILB Trey DePriest (65 tackles) are potential stars. All-America candidate S Landon Collins (70 tackles) is the only returning starter in the secondary, but CB Eddie Jackson can shut down receivers.

GEORGIA BULLDOGS


2013 Statistics:
SU Record: 8-5 (5-3 in SEC)
ATS Record: 3-9-1 (25%)
Over/Under: 8-4-1
Points Scored: 36.7 PPG (21st in FBS)
Points Allowed: 29.0 PPG (T-79th in FBS)
Odds to Win 2015 BCS National Championship: 13/1

2014 Preview:
Offense: Starters Returning: 5
Defense: Starters Returning: 9
The Bulldogs are poised for big things as long as Heisman candidate RB Todd Gurley (1,430 total yds, 16 TD before a torn ACL) stays healthy. QB Hutson Mason (8.8 YPA, 5 TD, 3 INT) picked up valuable experience in two starts after Aaron Murray tore his ACL. He also gets to work with top receiver Malcolm Mitchell, who tore his ACL in last year’s opener. Georgia was young and inexperienced on defense last year, but they’re loaded with raw talent for new defensive coordinator Jeremy Pruitt to mold. ILB Ramik Wilson (133 tackles, 4 sacks) will anchor the defense, with OLB Jordan Jenkins (5 sacks) poised to become a star. Pruitt oversaw an elite secondary at Florida State, and that’s where the Bulldogs need the most work after S Josh Harvey-Clemons was dismissed, and CB Tray Matthews transferred.

AUBURN TIGERS


2013 Statistics:
SU Record: 12-2 (8-1 in SEC)
ATS Record: 12-2 (86%)
Over/Under: 8-6
Points Scored: 39.5 PPG (12th in FBS)
Points Allowed: 24.7 PPG (48th in FBS)
Odds to Win 2015 BCS National Championship: 17/2

2014 Preview:
Offense: Starters Returning: 8
Defense: Starters Returning: 6
The Tigers lost their two best players in RB Tre Mason and OT Greg Robinson, but Gus Malzahn has more than enough talent to make up for it. QB Nick Marshall (1,976 pass yds, 1,068 rush yds, 26 total TD) is a rising superstar, and Malzahn plans on airing it out more this season. He has an outstanding top receiver in WR Sammie Coates (902 rec yds, 21.5 avg, 7 TD). They also have the talent to replace Mason between senior RBs Corey Grant (647 rush yds, 9.8 YPC, 6 TD) and Cameron Artis-Payne (610 rush yds, 6.7 YPC, 6 TD), and five-star recruit RB Roc Thomas. Defensively, DE Carl Lawson (4 sacks) is poised to take over for Dee Ford as Auburn’s top pass-rushing threat after an impressive freshman season. LBs Cassanova McKinzy (75 tackles, 8 TFL) and Kris Frost (59 tackles, 6 TFL) lead a solid linebacking corps.

Here is the BetDSI Sportsbook 2014 season preview for Auburn:

SOUTH CAROLINA GAMECOCKS


2013 Statistics:
SU Record: 11-2 (6-2 in SEC)
ATS Record: 7-6 (54%)
Over/Under: 6-7
Points Scored: 34.1 PPG (32nd in FBS)
Points Allowed: 20.3 PPG (12th in FBS)
Odds to Win 2015 BCS National Championship: 25/1

2014 Preview:
Offense: Starters Returning: 8
Defense: Starters Returning: 6
If the Gamecocks are going to be in the SEC title game hunt, it’s going to be because of RB Mike Davis (1,535 total yds, 11 TD). The scat back emerged as a star last year and will be leaned on to carry the offense now that QB Connor Shaw is gone. QB Dylan Thompson (8.8 YPA, 4 TD, 3 INT) replaces Shaw. Thompson is more of a classic pocket passer, so much in the Spurrier mold that the ol’ ball coach rotated him in for Shaw at times the past two seasons. He and Davis will benefit from one of the nation’s best offensive lines. The defense will have a much different look now that Jadeveon Clowney is no longer there. LB Skai Moore (4 INT, 56 tackles) leads a solid linebacking corps, but the Gamecocks are thin at cornerback and have no heir apparent to Clowney and departed DT Kelcy Quarles.

LSU TIGERS


2013 Statistics:
SU Record: 10-3 (5-3 in SEC)
ATS Record: 5-7-1 (42%)
Over/Under: 8-4-1
Points Scored: 35.8 PPG (T-23rd in FBS)
Points Allowed: 22.0 PPG (21st in FBS)
Odds to Win 2015 BCS National Championship: 25/1

2014 Preview:
Offense: Starters Returning: 5
Defense: Starters Returning: 7
While the offensive line should be one of the nation’s best, the Tigers will have to replace starters at quarterback, running back, and two receiver spots. Dual-threat QB Anthony Jennings (6.2 YPA, 3 total TD) was able to replace Zach Mettenberger, who tore his ACL last November. True freshman QB Brandon Harris, another athletic signal caller, could win the starting job. They might lean on top recruit RB Leonard Fournette to carry the rushing load early on. The LSU defense is young but has a chance to be one of the nation’s best once again. DEs Jermauria Rasco (4 sacks, 56 tackles) and Danielle Hunter (3 sacks, 57 tackles) have shown flashes of being a dominant pass-rush tandem. Also, CBs Tre’Davious White (55 tackles) and Rashard Robinson (3 PD) both have shutdown potential in the secondary.

OLE MISS REBELS


2013 Statistics:
SU Record: 8-5 (3-5 in SEC)
ATS Record: 7-6 (54%)
Over/Under: 6-7
Points Scored: 30.0 PPG (57th in FBS)
Points Allowed: 23.7 PPG (37th in FBS)
Odds to Win 2015 BCS National Championship: 45/1

2014 Preview:
Offense: Starters Returning: 6
Defense: Starters Returning: 9
The Rebels could ride their defense to SEC West contention. Their front four includes a healthy DE C.J. Johnson (6.5 sacks in 2012) and DT Robert Nkemdiche (2 sacks), the nation’s top recruit in 2013. They return All-American S Cody Prewitt (6 INT) while S Anthony Alford and hybrid Tony Conner (66 tackles) are two of the best athletes in the conference. A big year for the defense would take the pressure off erratic junior QB Bo Wallace (3,346 pass yds, 18 TD, 10 INT; 355 rush yds, 6 TD), who has solid weapons, including reigning SEC freshman of the year WR Laquon Treadwell (608 rec yds, 5 TD). Ole Miss also brings back top two RBs Jaylen Walton (523 rush yds) and I’Tavius Mathers (563 rush yds). On the O-Line, they have a rising star in LT Laremy Tunsil and get LG Aaron Morris back from a torn ACL.

FLORIDA GATORS


2013 Statistics:
SU Record: 4-8 (3-5 in SEC)
ATS Record: 4-8 (33%)
Over/Under: 4-8
Points Scored: 18.8 PPG (T-113th in FBS)
Points Allowed: 21.1 PPG (15th in FBS)
Odds to Win 2015 BCS National Championship: 40/1

2014 Preview:
Offense: Starters Returning: 7
Defense: Starters Returning: 6
The Gators’ first step to recovering from a nightmare 2013 season will be getting QB Jeff Driskel (7.8 YPA, 2 TD, 3 INT) on track. He should be fully recovered from a broken leg suffered last September, and has former Duke assistant Kurt Roper’s shotgun-heavy system to make Driskel more comfortable. Speedy sophomore RB Kelvin Taylor (508 rush yds, 4 TD) has a chance to emerge as a star to pair with leading RB Mack Brown (543 rush yds, 4 TD) in the backfield. While the offense imploded last season, the defense held its own and returns plenty of talent. DE Dante Fowler Jr. (3.5 sacks, 3 FF) is being counted on to upgrade the pass rush, while CB Vernon Hargreaves III (3 INT) leads a secondary short on experience, but long on talent. LB Michael Taylor (62 tackles) should keep the run defense on track.

MISSOURI TIGERS


2013 Statistics:
SU Record: 12-2 (7-2 in SEC)
ATS Record: 11-3 (79%)
Over/Under: 8-6
Points Scored: 39.1 PPG (13th in FBS)
Points Allowed: 23.1 PPG (34th in FBS)
Odds to Win 2015 BCS National Championship: 110/1

2014 Preview:
Offense: Starters Returning: 5
Defense: Starters Returning: 4
Missouri reloads after last year’s run to the SEC title game. Injuries to James Franklin allowed Gary Pinkel to break in QB Maty Mauk (8.1 YPA, 11 TD, 2 INT), who thrived as a downfield thrower. He’ll have to establish chemistry with a new receiving corps. L’Damian Washington (NFL) and Dorial Green-Beckham (dismissed from team) are gone, leaving WRs Bud Sasser (361 rec yds) and Jimmie Hunt (253 rec yds) as Mauk’s likely top targets. The run game should remain strong with RBs Russell Hansbrough (685 rush yds, 6.0 YPC) and Marcus Murphy (601 rush yds, 6.5 YPC, 9 TD) carrying the load. Defensively, the pass rush remains fierce with DEs Markus Golden (6.5 sacks) and Shane Ray (4.5 sacks, 2 FF) emerging as stars. A big question is whether Mizzou can keep taking the ball away (+16 TO margin last year).

MISSISSIPPI STATE BULLDOGS


2013 Statistics:
SU Record: 7-6 (3-5 in SEC)
ATS Record: 8-5 (62%)
Over/Under: 5-8
Points Scored: 27.7 PPG (T-70th in FBS)
Points Allowed: 23.0 PPG (33rd in FBS)
Odds to Win 2015 BCS National Championship: 120/1

2014 Preview:
Offense: Starters Returning: 8
Defense: Starters Returning: 8
Dual-threat QB Dak Prescott (1,940 pass yds, 10 TD, 829 rush yds, 13 TD) has the starting job all to himself this year. If he can avoid injuries, he should emerge as one of the SEC’s top playmakers. He showed plenty of chemistry with WR Jameon Lewis (923 rec yds, 5 TD), who went for 220 yards in the Bulldogs’ Liberty Bowl win over Rice. RB Josh Robinson (459 rush yds, 5.9 YPC) is poised for a breakout year if a rebuilt offensive line holds up in front of him. LB Benardrick McKinney (70 tackles, 3.5 sacks) anchors a strong run defense. MSU’s pass rush is lacking, but has the kind of quality cover corners in CBs Taveze Calhoun (3 INT), Jamerson Love (3 INT) and Will Redmond (23 tackles) to hold opposing passing games in check.

TEXAS A&M AGGIES


2013 Statistics:
SU Record: 9-4 (4-4 in SEC)
ATS Record: 5-8 (39%)
Over/Under: 9-4
Points Scored: 44.2 PPG (5th in FBS)
Points Allowed: 32.2 PPG (96th in FBS)
Odds to Win 2015 BCS National Championship: 100/1

2014 Preview:
Offense: Starters Returning: 6
Defense: Starters Returning: 7
There’s no chance the Aggies will be able to replace Johnny Manziel’s playmaking. Either sophomore QB Kenny Hill (16-for-22, 183 yds, 1 TD) or true freshman QB Kyle Allen will run their offense. But it will likely be RB Trey Williams (407 rush yds, 6 TD) becoming the focal point of the offense, especially with Mike Evans also playing on Sundays now. WR Malcome Kennedy (658 rec yards, 7 TD) returns, though sophomore WR Ricky Seals-Jones (3 rec, 84 yds) has the upside to be the new No. 1. The O-Line is excellent, with LT Cedric Ogbuehi capably filling Jake Matthews’ shoes. The Aggies allowed an SEC-worst 222.3 rushing YPG, and they’ll likely struggle again after dismissing DT Isaiah Golden and LB Darian Claiborne. In the secondary, A&M is short on talent aside from shutdown CB Deshazor Everett (73 tackles).

TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS


2013 Statistics:
SU Record: 5-7 (2-6 in SEC)
ATS Record: 5-7 (42%)
Over/Under: 5-5-2
Points Scored: 23.8 PPG (95th in FBS)
Points Allowed: 29.0 PPG (T-79th in FBS)
Odds to Win 2015 BCS National Championship: 200/1

2014 Preview:
Offense: Starters Returning: 5
Defense: Starters Returning: 5
The Vols offense will have a much different look in Butch Jones’ second season. They lost all five linemen and have an uninspired competition between QBs Justin Worley (6.3 YPA, 10 TD, 8 INT) and Joshua Dobbs (5.7 YPA, 2 TD, 6 INT). The winner of that battle will have plenty of weapons at receiver, including potential breakout star WR Marquez North (38 rec, 496 yds), top recruit Josh Malone and JUCO transfer Von Pearson. The defense, especially in the secondary, will undergo wholesale changes after opponents ran past them for most of last season. The potential emergence of DE Corey Vereen (13 tackles) would be a big help to the lackluster pass defense. The linebacking corps is solid, led by LB A.J. Johnson (106 tackles, 8.5 TFL).

ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS


2013 Statistics:
SU Record: 3-9 (0-8 in SEC)
ATS Record: 4-8 (33%)
Over/Under: 7-5
Points Scored: 20.7 PPG (106th in FBS)
Points Allowed: 30.8 PPG (89th in FBS)
Odds to Win 2015 BCS National Championship: 100/1 (Field)

2014 Preview:
Offense: Starters Returning: 7
Defense: Starters Returning: 6
Bret Bielema’s first year was predictably rough, but the pieces are there for a solid improvement in Year 2. Bielema’s run-first offense will be led by RB Alex Collins (1,026 rush yds, 5.4 YPC), the second Razorback ever to hit 1,000 yards as a freshman, and RB Jonathan Williams (900 rush yds, 6.0 YPC). QB Brandon Allen (6.0 YPA, 13 TD, 10 INT) had a shaky first year as a starter but should improve, especially if his shoulder is fully healthy. Robb Smith is their fourth defensive coordinator in four years, and he inherits a group that will likely struggle. DE Trey Flowers (5 sacks, 13.5 TFL, 3 FF) is a bright spot and should lead a solid pass rush. The secondary is experienced with CBs Tevin Mitchel, Carroll Washington and Will Hines (11 PD combined), but short on talent. Linebacker also continues to be a trouble spot.

VANDERBILT COMMODORES


2013 Statistics:
SU Record: 9-4 (4-4 in SEC)
ATS Record: 7-6 (54%)
Over/Under: 8-5
Points Scored: 30.1 PPG (56th in FBS)
Points Allowed: 24.6 PPG (46th in FBS)
Odds to Win 2015 BCS National Championship: 1,000/1

2014 Preview:
Offense: Starters Returning: 7
Defense: Starters Returning: 3
New Head Coach: Derek Mason
With the lack of a clear-cut favorite at quarterback, new coach Derek Mason will likely rely on the running game similar to the Stanford program he left. Five-foot-7 RB Jerron Seymour (716 rush yds, 14 TD) and RB Brian Kimbrow (341 rush yds) will likely see heavy workloads. QB Patton Robinette (7.3 YPA, 4 TD, 5 INT) will battle redshirt freshman QB Johnny McCrary and LSU transfer QB Stephen Rivers (0-for-2 career) to start, but the receiving corps is barren after the departures of Jordan Matthews and Jonathan Krause, who combined for 74% of Vandy’s receiving yards. Mason will convert the Commodores to a 3-4 front in this transitional year for the defense. They do have an anchor for the D-Line though, with NT Vince Taylor (18 tackles).

KENTUCKY WILDCATS


2013 Statistics:
SU Record: 2-10 (0-8 in SEC)
ATS Record: 4-8 (33%)
Over/Under: 5-7
Points Scored: 20.5 PPG (108th in FBS)
Points Allowed: 31.2 PPG (90th in FBS)
Odds to Win 2015 BCS National Championship: 100/1 (Field)

2014 Preview:
Offense: Starters Returning: 8
Defense: Starters Returning: 8
Neal Brown brought the Air Raid offense to Lexington, and improved QB play will allow UK to soar in 2014. Sophomore QB Patrick Towles (5.8 YPA in 2012), a former four-star recruit, has the edge over freshmen QBs Drew Barker and Reese Phillips. The Wildcats should be able to run behind a veteran O-Line and talented backs, including RB Jojo Kemp (482 rush yds, 3 TD) and Nebraska transfer RB Braylon Heard (6.0 YPC in career). DC Mark Stoops brings back the bulk of last year’s unit, one that was overmatched at times but has some raw talent. The pass-rush duo of DEs Za’Darius Smith (6 sacks) and Alvin Dupree (7 sacks, 2 FF) could be one of the SEC’s best, and the return of CB J.D. Harmon from academic suspension bolsters the secondary. Replacing MLB Avery Williamson will be a challenge.

All 2014 College Football Previews:

American Athletic Conference
Conference USA
MAC
Mountain West
Sun Belt
ACC
Big 12
Big Ten
Pac-12
SEC
Independents - August 22

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