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PGA Championship prop bets
By: Freddy Wander - StatFox
Published: 8/7/2014  at  1:44:00 AM
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PGA Championship Prop Bets

Tees Off: Thursday, August 7
Valhalla Golf Club – Louisville, KY

Top 20 Finish: Adam Scott (Even)
While the payout is better if you go for top-10, this bet seems like easy money from the No. 2 player in the World Golf Rankings. Scott has finished in the top-20 in 11 of the past 12 majors going back to the PGA Championship in 2011, and ha been in the top-11 in each of the past three years at this event. He has been so consistent that he has not missed a cut since May 20, 2012 (38 events), which is the longest streak currently on the PGA Tour. Also, since the start of last season, he has been in the top-20 in 21-of-28 (75%) events. This bet provides great odds for how consistent Scott has been.

Winning Margin: Playoff (+225)
The PGA Championship has been played at Valhalla Golf Club twice (1996 and 2000) with each installment ending in a playoff. Rory McIlroy has been fantastic, and has been able to run away from the field in his past two events, but it is nearly impossible to keep up this type of run against such tough competition. Some top golfers will make a run at this major, leaving plenty of talent at the top of the leaderboard. The ending to this tourney should be very exciting and a playoff is certainly likely enough for this attempt to more than double your wager.

Will Sergio Garcia Finish in the Top 20: No (+110)
Garcia is a fantastic player to watch and he has been playing amazing golf lately with runner-up finishes in his past three starts on the PGA Tour. The problem is that he typically does not do well in majors. Besides his second-place finish at the British Open just a few weeks ago, Garcia placed in 35th at the U.S. Open and failed to make the cut at The Masters. He is probably the best current golfer without a major to his name and he has not been too close over the past three years, failing to crack the top-20 in 8-of-11 events. While Garcia is a fan favorite, his 34th place finish at Valhalla back in 2000 and poor finishes at majors recently are cause for concern.

Highest Placed Finisher in Group B?: Henrik Stenson (+300)
Unlike Garcia, Stenson has seemingly stepped up his game when he is among the best in the world under the pressure of the four golf majors. While he has yet to take home a trophy in any of these illustrious events, Stenson has finished in the top-four in three of his past five tries while placing third at the PGA Championship last year. In that same timeframe, the other top players in this group (Phil Mickelson, Keegan Bradley, Matt Kuchar, Bubba Watson) do have two major wins, but have also combined to miss the cut five times and finish outside of the top-20 another six times. Stenson is just too consistent and composed to not put up another big effort this week.

Top American?: Jim Furyk (+1200)
Furyk has been on a hot streak in majors of late, finishing in the top-14 in each of his past four tries which included a runner-up finish at this event in 2013. While there are many bigger-name picks in this group (Keegan Bradley, Rickie Fowler, Bubba Watson and Jordan Spieth), Furyk has five more career victories than those four players combined, and has 21 career top-10 finishes in his 76 starts at major events. This 44-year-old has plenty of high-level golf left in him, and it should not surprise anyone if he is the top American come Sunday afternoon.


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