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Ravens seek 3rd straight win Sunday vs. Panthers
By: Zach Cohen - StatFox
Published: 9/28/2014  at  2:54:00 AM
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CAROLINA PANTHERS (2-1)
at BALTIMORE RAVENS (2-1)

Kickoff: Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET
Line: Baltimore -3.5, Total: 40.5

A pair of 2-1 teams square off on Sunday when the Panthers head north to take on the Ravens.

Here is the BetDSI Sportsbook "Against the Grain Picks" for BetDSI's top Week 4 wagers:

Carolina lost 37-19 at home against the Steelers on Sunday night, as it allowed Pittsburgh to run for 264 yards on 7.8 YPC. The Panthers now face a Baltimore running game that has rumbled for a hefty 317 yards on 4.6 YPC during its two-game win streak. The Ravens went into Cleveland last week and won 23-21 on a field goal by Justin Tucker as time expired. They will have their work cut out for them defensively, facing a Panthers offense that is throwing for 259.7 yards per game (10th in NFL). Carolina is 3-1 SU and ATS all-time versus Baltimore, and over the past three seasons, the club is 8-1 ATS as a road underdog. The Panthers are also 20-8 ATS after gaining 50 or less rushing yards in their previous game since joining the NFL in 1995. The Ravens, however, are 9-4 ATS coming off a division game and 3-0 ATS off two straight division games over the past three seasons. Baltimore RB Bernard Pierce (thigh) and Carolina RB DeAngelo Williams (thigh) are both expected to return to action after sitting out Week 3, but the Panthers will be missing two other running backs in Jonathan Stewart (knee) and Mike Tolbert (leg).

Can the Ravens pick up their third straight win on Sunday? For the answer, connect to NFL Best Bets for all the StatFox Experts picks throughout the 2014 regular season and playoffs. The experts were on fire in Week 3, combining for a 13-3 ATS mark (81%), while going 8-1 (89%) in NFL Totals. StatFox Dave was 5-0 ATS in Best Bets to improve to 60% ATS (9-6) on the season. StatFox Scott was 4-0 ATS in Best Bets and 3-0 in Totals in Week 3, while StatFox Brian had his third straight perfect week of Totals at 3-0, and is now 9-0 for the season.

Cam Newton (531 pass yards, 7.7 YPA, 2 TD, 0 INT) was 24-of-35 for 250 yards with a touchdown and zero interceptions in a 37-19 home loss to the Steelers last week, but he also lost a fumble in the game. Newton has thrown the ball well since returning in Week 2 from his cracked ribs, but he has rushed just six times all year. He should have a good game from a throwing standpoint, as he’s up against a Ravens defense that has not defended the pass well all season, allowing 5.84 net yards per pass attempt (26th in NFL). One major bright spot for the Panthers this season has been WR Kelvin Benjamin (16 rec, 253 yards, 2 TD). The rookie wideout caught eight passes for 115 yards and a touchdown in the loss to the Steelers, and has been the Panthers’ top option on the outside this year and should be in for a big game against the Ravens. Carolina, however, will need to get its ground game going. The club is rushing for just 72.3 yards per game as a team (29th in NFL), but that could be boosted if RB DeAngelo Williams (72 yards on 5.1 YPC in Week 1) is to return from a thigh injury. The Panthers have been excellent defending the pass this year, allowing just 201.7 yards per game through the air (8th in NFL). They will need to keep up that relentless play with a matchup against Ravens QB Joe Flacco (728 pass yards, 6.0 YPA, 4 TD, 2 INT), who has 122 passing attempts this season (4th in NFL).

The Ravens came away with a gusty 23-21 victory over the Browns in Cleveland on Sunday. Their running attack was excellent in the win, totaling 160 yards and a touchdown as a group. They should run the ball plenty against a Panthers team that is allowing 145.3 yards per game on the ground (27th in NFL) and just got shredded by the Steelers running backs. RB Lorenzo Taliaferro (91 rush yards, 5.1 YPC, 1 TD) should be the guy who gets the bulk of the workload after rushing for 91 yards and a touchdown on 18 carries against Cleveland, but RB Bernard Pierce (113 rush yards, 4.0 YPC) and Justin Forsett (189 rush yards, 6.3 YPC, 1 TD) will also be involved in the ground game. WR Steve Smith Sr. (18 rec, 290 yards, 1 TD) continues to be a huge playmaker for the Ravens with 16.1 yards per reception. He caught five passes for 101 yards in the win over the Browns last week, and will be playing with some extra intensity on Sunday when he faces his former team. One player who needs to break out of his recent funk is WR Torrey Smith (6 rec, 85 yards, 0 TD), who had just two catches for 25 yards against the Browns. He is having a very disappointing season after compiling 1,128 receiving yards in 2013. Baltimore’s defense has been average this season (352 total YPG, 16th in NFL), but has been much better versus the run (88 YPG on 3.6 YPC, both 8th in NFL) than defending the pass (264 YPG, 25th in NFL). As long as the Ravens can make Cam Newton uncomfortable in the pocket, they will have a very good chance to win the game.


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