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No. 3 Ole Miss visits No. 14 Texas A&M on Saturday
By: Freddy Wander - StatFox
Published: 10/11/2014  at  5:46:00 AM
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OLE MISS REBELS (5-0)
at TEXAS A&M AGGIES (5-1)

Kickoff: Saturday, 9:00 p.m. ET
Line: Texas A&M -2, Total: 62

Another tough SEC battle ensues on Saturday night as No. 3 Ole Miss visits No. 14 Texas A&M.

Ole Miss has been one of the more surprising teams coming out of the SEC with a perfect record so far, and its win over Alabama last week vaulted the school squarely into the playoff picture. The Rebels are 5-0 ATS and were four-point underdogs when they hosted the Crimson Tide last Saturday when they outscored Alabama 20-3 in the second half and forced two turnovers in the 23-17 win. In the Crimson Tide’s final attempt to take a lead, DB Senquez Wilson intercepted a pass in the end zone with 37 seconds left on the clock that clinched the upset. The Aggies were hoping to remain perfect last week, but ran into a tough Mississippi State team that was too hot to handle as they lost 48-31 as 2.5-point underdogs in a game where the two teams totaled 1,085 yards of offense. The ATS loss brought them to 3-3 ATS on the year, which includes failing to cover the spread in three of the past four contests. Although Texas A&M is a solid 5-1 SU, this team has had issues with turnovers and has coughed up the pigskin nine times while forcing opponents to turn the ball over just six times. Each of the past two meetings between these teams has ended with the Aggies taking a three-point victory on the road while failing to cover the spread. Last season, A&M won 41-38 as a seven-point favorite in an offensive battle where the teams combined for 56 first downs and 1,049 total yards. Bettors should take note that Ole Miss is 22-9 ATS (71%) in all games over the past three seasons, while the Aggies are 10-1 ATS (91%) in home games after allowing 525 or more total yards in their previous game since 1992. In injury news, DB Trae Elston (suspension) will miss the first half of this game for the Rebels, while LB A.J. Hilliard (ankle) is out indefinitely for the Aggies.

Can Ole Miss remain undefeated for the season? For the answer, connect to College Football Best Bets for all the StatFox Experts picks throughout the 2014 regular season and bowl season. Both StatFox Brian (3-1 ATS) and StatFox Dave (4-2 ATS) are coming off strong Week 6 showings.

Ole Miss has put up some big numbers through the air (318.6 YPG, 22nd in FBS) as it is totaling 35.8 PPG by scoring 35 or more points in three of five games on the year. QB Bo Wallace (1,522 pass yards, 14 TD, 6 INT) was amazing against Alabama last week with 3 TD and 0 INT while passing for 251 yards (8.1 YPA). He’s thrown for more than 310 yards three times already on the year, but can have trouble with turnovers as he has twice thrown multiple picks. HB Jaylen Walton (238 rush yards, 3 TD) leads the rushing attack and is coming off two consecutive games with double-digit carries, while change-of-pace HB I’Tavius Mathers (152 rush yards, 2 TD) had just two rushing attempts last week. Wallace has plenty of talent in his receiving corps, such as WRs Laquon Treadwell (362 rec. yards, 4 TD), Cody Core (315 rec. yards, 4 TD) and Vince Sanders (302 rec. yards, 3 TD). These players are all legitimate red-zone threats while having at least 20 receptions on the year. The defense of this program continues to shine, as the unit has allowed the nation's second-fewest points (10.2 PPG) while limiting opponents to 278 total YPG and 4.1 yards per play. The Rebels will continue to lean on DB Senquez Wilson (17 tackles, 4 INTs, 1 TD) to headline the secondary.

Texas A&M continues to rely heavily on its passing game which ranks fifth in FBS (395.2 YPG) while still doing well on the ground (188 YPG) and scoring a bloated 47.8 PPG (3rd in nation). The emergence of QB Kenny Hill (2,110 pass yards, 21 TD, 5 INT) has given this program tons of hope, as he has thrown for at least 300 yards in four of his six games, but has thrown all five of his picks in the past three weeks. He does also contribute somewhat to the ground game with 171 yards rushing (5.0 YPC). HBs Trey Williams (287 rush yards, 4 TD) and Tra Carson (244 rush yards, 4 TD) have split carries in the backfield while combining to average 6.2 YPC. Carson seems to be taking over as more of the feature back though, with 11 attempts in the last game compared to just four by Williams. WR Josh Reynolds (402 rec. yards, 7 TD) has been the big playmaker through the air for this offense, as he is averaging 17.5 yards per catch while both WRs Malcome Kennedy (378 rec. yards, 2 TD) and Ricky Seals-Jones (293 rec. yards, 3 TD) have at least 30 receptions. The defense has not looked great over the past two weeks, allowing 38.0 PPG to two tough offenses, but and has still given up only 20.5 PPG (29th in FBS) overall this year. Freshman DL Myles Garrett (30 tackles, 6.5 sacks) and LB Howard Matthews (39 tackles) hope they can get this unit back on track this weekend.


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