Kickoff: Saturday, 3:30 p.m. ET
Line: Baylor -7.5, Total: 66.5

No. 9 TCU looks to continue its impressive run this season when it makes the short trip to Waco to take on No. 5 Baylor in a Big 12 showdown.

The Horned Frogs were unranked two weeks ago, but are now in the top-10 after a 56-0 laugher over SMU followed by defeating No. 4 Oklahoma, 37-33, last Saturday. With the win, TCU moved up to No. 9, making this only the second matchup ever at Waco among top-10 teams. The Frogs have not won a road game against a ranked team since defeating No. 18 Texas in 2012, but QB Trevone Boykin has emerged into one of the best quarterbacks in the Big 12, racking up 395 total yards and a pair of touchdown passes versus the Sooners. The Bears are coming off a 28-7 victory against Texas, despite the offense not clicking on all cylinders. QB Bryce Petty only threw for 111 yards, the least amount of yards during his time as the starting quarterback at Baylor. The Bears have been terrific against ranked teams in Waco under coach Art Briles, winning their past six games against top 25 foes. They are also 9-0 ATS at home over the past two seasons with an average score of 60 to 11 in that timeframe, but dating back to 1992, the Bears are 6-21 ATS (22%) versus good passing defenses (allowing a completion percentage of 48% or better). With Frogs DT Davion Pierson (ankle) upgraded to probable, neither team has any key new injuries to be concerned about.

Which top-5 team will suffer its first loss of the season on Saturday? For the answer, connect to College Football Best Bets for all the StatFox Experts picks throughout the 2014 regular season and bowl season. Both StatFox Brian (3-1 ATS) and StatFox Dave (4-2 ATS) are coming off strong Week 6 showings.

TCU has been very good on offense this season, ranking 12th in FBS scoring (42.8 PPG), 19th in passing (320 YPG) and 41st in rushing (196.3 YPG). QB Trevone Boykin (1,176 pass yards, 260 rush yards, 13 total TD) was terrific in the win against the Sooners. He has always been a threat to run the ball, but it is Boykin's passing that has made him so difficult to stop this season, as he's completing 62% of his throws for 7.3 YPA, both career highs. He has thrown only two interceptions this season, which is key for a TCU team that has proven to be difficult to score on. While Boykin is the leading rusher on the team, running back B.J. Catalon (46 carries, 220 yards, 4 TD) is emerging as a guy the Horned Frogs can count on. He had 87 total yards of offense against the Sooners, helping the TCU offense create some balance on that side of the ball. WR Kolby Listenbee (14 rec, 272 yards, 2 TD) has emerged as the Horned Frogs deep threat, but there are other receivers such as Josh Doctson (19 catches, 212 yards, 3 TD) and Deante' Gray (16 catches, 196 yards, 3 TD). The Horned Frogs are going to have to put up a big number of points to get outlast Baylor, but their defensive unit is one of the best in the country, with a mere 13.5 PPG allowed (7th in FBS). LB Paul Dawson (37 tackles, 2 INT, 1 sack) had the game-changing play last weekend against Oklahoma, as he took back an interception that would prove to be the difference in the game. DT Davion Pearson (10 tackles, 2.5 sacks) is an emerging force in the middle of the defense, with his 305-pound frame constantly forcing teams to double-team him. Junior S Chris Hackett (31 tackles) is the leader in the secondary, and he must be ready to help in the passing game, but also against the run.

The Bears offense has not been clicking on all cylinders the past two weeks, but is still ranked leading the nation in scoring (51.0 PPG), while ranking 8th in passing (343.2 YPG) and 18th in rushing (247.4. YPG). A back injury has slowed QB Bryce Petty (1,024 pass yards, 9 TD, 1 INT), but he is still one of the elite quarterbacks in the country. He also has three touchdowns this year running the ball, forcing defenses to creep up into the box. Joining Petty in the backfield is RB Shock Linwood (90 carries, 549 yards, 8 TD), who is emerging as one of the best running backs in the Big 12. He is more known as a speed back, but he also has the strength and power to run up the middle. His ability to wear out the defense helps open things up for the passing game, where the Bears have as much talent as any other team in the country. WR KD Cannon (24 catches, 527 yards, 5 TD) is a freshman that has shown superstar potential. He is the type of guy that demands a safety over top, which opens things up for teammates like WRs Antwan Goodley (10 catches, 183 yards, 1 TD). Like Petty, Goodley has been hampered by a quad injury, but is getting close to his All-American form from last season. The offense is once again explosive, but what the Bears showed in the win against Texas is that their defense is also very good. The unit ranks fifth in FBS points allowed (12.4 PPG), and did not allow the Longhorns to score until the final minutes of the game. LB Bryce Hager (29 tackles, 3.5 TFL) is the anchor of this unit, providing the team with leadership and a knack of finding the ball. In the secondary, S Orion Stewart (3 INT) is a rising star with the ability of reading the quarterback and making the big play. The winner of this game is in the driver’s seat for the Big 12 championship, especially the Horned Frogs who now have the tiebreaker over conference favorite Oklahoma.