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Cowboys seek 7th straight win Monday vs. Redskins
By: Zach Cohen - StatFox
Published: 10/27/2014  at  5:19:00 AM
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WASHINGTON REDSKINS (2-5)
at DALLAS COWBOYS (6-1)

Kickoff: Monday, 8:25 p.m. ET
Line: Dallas -9.5, Total: 50

The sizzling-hot Cowboys aim for a seventh straight victory when they host the Redskins on Monday night.

Here is the BetDSI Sportsbook betting preview for this matchup:

Washington snapped a four-game losing skid last week when third-string QB Colt McCoy replaced Kirk Cousins and led his team to a 19-17 victory over the Titans in the nation's capital. Dallas beat the Giants 31-21 last week for its sixth straight victory (5-1 ATS). When hosting the Redskins since 1992, the Cowboys are 18-4 SU (12-10 ATS). Last season Dallas won both games SU over Washington, but the teams split wins ATS. This Cowboys defense has surprised plenty of people this season, as they’re allowing just 19.5 PPG over their past four contests and will be eager to put the pressure on McCoy. Washington is 25-12 ATS in road games after having lost five or six of its previous seven games since 1992. However, the Redskins are also 4-13 ATS as an underdog over the past two seasons. Dallas, meanwhile, is 12-3 ATS in the first half of the season over the last two years, but only 7-16 ATS when favored under head coach Jason Garrett. Both teams will be missing key defensive players in this matchup, as Washington just placed LB Brian Orakpo (pectoral) on IR and lists CB Tracy Porter (hamstring) and LBs Akeem Jordan (knee) and Perry Riley (knee) as questionable. Dallas might not have the services of either LB Bruce Carter (quad) or CB Brandon Carr (hamstring), who are both questionable to play.

Can the Cowboys cover the monster spread versus their long-time rivals? For the answer, connect to NFL Best Bets for all the StatFox Experts picks throughout the 2014 regular season and playoffs. The experts have remained hot over the past five weeks, combining for a 58% ATS mark (45-33). StatFox Scott is 70% ATS (14-6) in Best Bets during this timeframe, and 61% ATS (17-11) on the season. StatFox Dave is 64% ATS (14-8) in Best Bets during these five weeks to improve to 56% ATS (18-14) on the season, while StatFox Brian has gone 59% ATS (10-7) in NFL Best Bets since Week 3, and continues to roll in NFL Totals with a stellar 71% record (15-6) for the season.

The Redskins wisely replaced ineffective QB Kirk Cousins (1,170 pass yards, 10 TD, 9 INT) with Colt McCoy last week and McCoy was able to do exactly what the Redskins needed. He managed the game to perfection, completing 11-of-12 throws for 128 yards (10.9 YPA) and a touchdown, and led his team to a win, which is something Cousins wasn’t able to do in any of his previous four starts. One thing McCoy won’t have to deal with in Washington is a lack of weapons, as he’ll be throwing the ball to both WRs DeSean Jackson (26 rec, 528 yards, 3 TD) and Pierre Garcon (35 rec, 396 yards, 3 TD). Jackson had just three catches for 49 yards last week, but in the previous two games, he had over 100 yards receiving and a touchdown in each. Garcon has had a touchdown in back-to-back games and is finally getting himself going after a slow start to the year. One player the Redskins will really need to establish early is RB Alfred Morris (440 rush yards, 3 TD). Morris has really struggled recently, rushing for less than 55 yards in each of the past three games. He has not had 20 carries since Week 3, and Washington would be wise to change that. The Redskins defense could have a lot of trouble with this potent Dallas offense. They’ve done well in preventing big yardage games from their opponents, but they’re allowing 31.2 PPG over their past five contests.

The Cowboys have won their past six games largely due to the dominant running of RB DeMarco Murray (187 carries, 913 yards and 7 TD, all NFL highs). Murray is the first player in league history to rush for 100+ yards in each of the first seven games of the season. He should be in for yet another big game against this miserable Redskins’ defense. QB Tony Romo (1,789 rush yards, 14 TD, 6 INT) has been great since his opening week disaster against the 49ers. He’s thrown for 13 touchdowns and just three interceptions since the start of Week 2. As long as he takes care of the football the way he has been, Dallas is going to be a contender in the NFC. He’ll continue looking for his go-to receiver in WR Dez Bryant (45 rec, 590 yards, 4 TD), who has seen 37 targets over the past three weeks. Last Sunday, Bryant had nine catches for 151 yards in the win over the Giants. Defensively, the Cowboys have been way better than anybody expected. They’re allowing 230.4 passing yards per game (12th in NFL) and 113.4 rushing yards per game (16th in NFL). They’re not dominant in either facet, but they’re solid defending both the pass and the rush, and efficiency of the Dallas offense is the reason this defense ranks second in fewest time of possession (26:27). The Cowboys are allowing just 19.5 PPG over the past four contests.


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