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Colts aim for 6th straight win Sunday at Steelers
By: Zach Cohen - StatFox
Published: 10/26/2014  at  5:37:00 AM
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INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (5-2)
at PITTSBURGH STEELERS (4-3)

Kickoff: Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET
Line: Indianapolis -3, Total: 49

The sizzling-hot Colts seek a sixth straight victory when they visit the up-and-down Steelers on Sunday afternoon.

Here is the BetDSI Sportsbook betting preview for this matchup:

While Indianapolis stretched its winning streak to five games (SU and ATS) with a 27-0 victory at home against the Bengals last week, Pittsburgh continued its pattern of alternating wins and losses with a 30-23 home victory versus the Texans. Since 1992, the Steelers are 8-2 SU (5-5 ATS) in this series, including 6-1 SU (4-3 ATS) when hosting the Colts. Five of these seven games played in Pittsburgh have gone Over the total. The most recent matchup between these two teams was a 23-20 Steelers’ road victory on September 25, 2011. Pittsburgh was a 10.5-point favorite in that game. Indianapolis is 7-0 ATS versus teams that rush for at least 4.5 yards per carry over the past three seasons, and is also 13-4 ATS when playing teams that allow at least 5.65 yards per play in that time. Pittsburgh, meanwhile, is 20-7 ATS versus teams that pass for at least 7.5 yards per attempt since 1992. RB Trent Richardson (hamstring) and Arthur Jones (ankle) are questionable for the Colts, while the Steelers have three key defenders listed as questionable in LB Ryan Shazier (knee), S Shamarko Thomas (hamstring) and NT Steve McLendon (shoulder).

Can the Steelers put an end to the Colts' five-game win streak? For the answer, connect to NFL Best Bets for all the StatFox Experts picks throughout the 2014 regular season and playoffs. The experts have remained hot over the past five weeks, combining for a 58% ATS mark (45-33). StatFox Scott is 70% ATS (14-6) in Best Bets during this timeframe, and 61% ATS (17-11) on the season. StatFox Dave is 64% ATS (14-8) in Best Bets during these five weeks to improve to 56% ATS (18-14) on the season, while StatFox Brian has gone 59% ATS (10-7) in NFL Best Bets since Week 3, and continues to roll in NFL Totals with a stellar 71% record (15-6) for the season.

The Colts put on a dominant display last week, beating the Bengals 27-0 in a game that their defense was just relentless. They lost the turnover battle in the game, giving up two fumbles with zero takeaways. Even with that, Indy still got the shutout against a solid Bengals offense, holding its opponent to 1-of-13 on third-down conversions. QB Andrew Luck (2,331 pass yards, 19 TD, 7 INT) has arguably been the league’s best quarterback this season and he should be in for a big game against the Steelers. This matchup has all the makings of a shootout, and Luck will have no problem moving the ball for his offense. RB Ahmad Bradshaw (336 rush yards, 1 TD) should be in for an expanded role in this game, as RB Trent Richardson (358 rush yards, 2 TD) is dealing with a hamstring injury. Bradshaw has been one of Luck’s most productive red-zone options, catching six touchdowns on the year despite his small size. WR T.Y. Hilton (47 rec, 711 yards, 1 TD) has been on a tear recently, as he's caught 16 passes for 330 yards and a touchdown over the past two games. He has not had a game with less than 80 receiving yards over the past five weeks.

Pittsburgh is coming off of a solid performance against the Texans, winning 30-23 after trailing 13-0 in the first half. One issue the Steelers are going to have is defending this Colts team. Pittsburgh has allowed 27.0 PPG over the past two games, and it is a middling defense, allowing 230.9 passing yards per game (13th in NFL) and 114.1 rushing yards per game (17th in NFL). The Colts have a balanced attack and could give this Steelers unit a lot of trouble. Offensively, QB Ben Roethlisberger (1,858 pass yards, 10 TD, 3 INT) will need to come to play. He was good in the win over the Texans, outside of one lost fumble, throwing for 265 yards with two touchdowns and no interceptions in the game. He’ll look to his go-to-guy WR Antonio Brown (50 rec, 719 yards, 5 TD) early and often. This game could, however, come down to how effective RB Le’Veon Bell (599 rush yards, 1 TD) is running the football. Bell was explosive in the win over the Texans, catching eight passes for 88 yards and a touchdown. He had 57 yards rushing on 12 carries. Bell’s ability to run the football will open things up for Roethlisberger to pass, but it will be tough for him to get it going between the tackles against a good Colts defense.


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