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Cowboys host red-hot Cardinals on Sunday
By: Zach Cohen - StatFox
Published: 11/2/2014  at  5:45:00 AM
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ARIZONA CARDINALS (6-1)
at DALLAS COWBOYS (6-2)

Kickoff: Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET
Line: Dallas -3, Total: 44.5

Two NFC powerhouses clash in Dallas when the Cardinals square off against the Cowboys.

Arizona QB Carson Palmer threw a 75-yard touchdown to John Brown with just 1:21 left to beat the Eagles 24-20 at home last week for its third straight win (SU and ATS). The club now faces a Dallas team that not only suffered a loss on Monday to the 9-point underdog Redskins, but may not have the services of starting QB Tony Romo, who is a game-time decision because of an injured back. The Cardinals last faced the Cowboys on Dec. 4, 2011, when they won 19-13 as home underdogs for their third straight win (SU and ATS) in this series. But this game will be played in Big D, where the Cowboys have won 12 of the past 13 games SU against Arizona. Over the past three seasons, the Cardinals are 6-0 ATS when facing a team that’s allowing 350 or more yards per game during the second half of the season. The Cowboys, however, are 3-0 ATS when facing a team that allows less than 3.5 rushing yards per carry during that span. CB Patrick Peterson (concussion) will be questionable for the Cardinals after a big collision in Week 8, as will S Tony Jefferson (concussion). For the Cowboys, LB Rolando McClain (shoulder) and CB Brandon Carr (undisclosed) are both listed as questionable.

Can the Cowboys bounce back from last week's disappointing loss? For the answer, connect to NFL Best Bets for all the StatFox Experts picks throughout the 2014 regular season and playoffs. The experts have remained hot over the past six weeks, combining for a 57% ATS mark (54-40). StatFox Scott is 71% ATS (17-7) in Best Bets during this timeframe, and 63% ATS (20-12) on the season. StatFox Dave is 62% ATS (16-10) in Best Bets during these six weeks to improve to 56% ATS (20-16) on the season, while StatFox Brian has gone 59% ATS (13-9) in NFL Best Bets since Week 3, and continues to roll in NFL Totals with a stellar 71% record (17-7) for the season.

The Cardinals played an excellent game on Sunday, going punch for punch with a talented Philadelphia team. QB Carson Palmer (1,136 pass yards, 8 TD, 1 INT) ended up gutting out a victory after a big throw with just over a minute remaining. He’s been a completely different quarterback this season than over the course of his career. He has just one interception on the year despite having a reputation as a turnover prone signal-caller. One thing that has opened up the field for Palmer is the emergence of RB Andre Ellington (464 rush yards, 2 TD). Ellington rushed for 71 yards and a touchdown in the win over Philly and is as explosive a running back as there is in this league. He’s also an excellent receiver out of the backfield, piling up 28 catches for 274 yards and a touchdown in 2014. He’ll need to play well early against a Cowboys defense that can be tough to run against once they get their adrenaline going. WR Michael Floyd (19 rec, 353 yards, 2 TD) will look to bounce back after being held without a catch against the Eagles. Luckily for Arizona, WR Larry Fitzgerald has re-emerged as a top option. He caught seven passes for 160 yards and a touchdown last game and should be able to produce against this Dallas defense. Speedy WR John Brown (22 rec, 316 yards, 4 TD) is also a valuable field stretcher. Arizona’s defensive front has been outstanding this season, allowing just 77.9 rushing yards per game (3rd in NFL). The Cardinals have also done a great job with forcing turnovers, piling up 13 takeaways in the past six games, including three last week.

The Cowboys had a golden opportunity to start the season 7-1, but they were unable to beat the Colt McCoy-led Redskins. QB Tony Romo (1,998 pass yards, 15 TD, 6 INT) was injured late in the game against Washington when he took a hit to his back, but backup QB Brandon Weeden did a nice job replacing him for a stretch, going 4-of-6 for 69 yards (11.5 YPA) and 1 TD while leading his team to 10 points on two drives. But the strength of this team remains the running of RB DeMarco Murray (1,054 rush yards, 5.1 YPC, 7 TD), who has rushed for over 100 yards in every single game this season. It will be interesting to see him face this relentless Arizona defense. He’s coming off a game in which he rushed for 141 yards and caught four passes for 80 yards, so it’s possible that there’s some wear-and-tear on the Cowboys’ superstar. He's also lost five fumbles already this year. Whoever is under center will be targeting WR Dez Bryant (48 rec, 620 yards, 5 TD) often. Bryant was held to just three catches for 30 yards against Washington, but he did catch a touchdown pass in the red zone. If Arizona is without top CB Patrick Peterson, Bryant could be in for one of his biggest performances of the season. One good sign in the loss to Washington is that TE Jason Witten (28 rec, 336 yards, 2 TD) caught five passes for 70 yards and a touchdown. If he can get himself going the second half of the year, this team could be even better than it has been offensively.


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