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Eagles look to get back on track Sunday at Texans
By: Zach Cohen - StatFox
Published: 11/2/2014  at  5:05:00 AM
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PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (5-2)
at HOUSTON TEXANS (4-4)

Kickoff: Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET
Line: Philadelphia -2, Total: 48.5

The Texans look to get back above .500 with a home victory over the Eagles on Sunday.

Philadelphia took a late lead in Arizona last week but was unable to hold it, as it fell 24-20 to the Cardinals. Houston got back to .500 with a convincing 30-16 win over the Titans. The Texans have not beaten the Eagles in three meetings since entering the league in 2002. Philly is 2-1 ATS in those victories, with the most recent win-and-cover coming in a 34-24 home game on Dec. 2, 2010. Houston is allowing 271.4 passing yards per game this season (28th in NFL) and it could have trouble stopping QB Nick Foles and this pass-heavy Philadelphia offense. Houston is 22-10 ATS in home games after failing to cover in two out of its previous three games since entering the league. They Texans are, however, just 2-9 ATS after playing their previous game on the road over the past two years. This Philadelphia team has covered in four of the five games that it has been favored on the season. RB Darren Sproles (knee), CB Brandon Boykin (hamstring) and S Nate Allen (hamstring) are questionable for the Eagles, while the Texans could be missing the questionable duo of LB Brian Cushing (knee) and DB Darryl Morris (ankle).

Which team will prevail on Sunday? For the answer, connect to NFL Best Bets for all the StatFox Experts picks throughout the 2014 regular season and playoffs. The experts have remained hot over the past six weeks, combining for a 57% ATS mark (54-40). StatFox Scott is 71% ATS (17-7) in Best Bets during this timeframe, and 63% ATS (20-12) on the season. StatFox Dave is 62% ATS (16-10) in Best Bets during these six weeks to improve to 56% ATS (20-16) on the season, while StatFox Brian has gone 59% ATS (13-9) in NFL Best Bets since Week 3, and continues to roll in NFL Totals with a stellar 71% record (17-7) for the season.

The Eagles were unable to leave Arizona with a victory on Sunday, letting up a deep touchdown pass from Carson Palmer with just over a minute remaining in the game. After throwing just two interceptions last season, QB Nick Foles (2,039 pass yards, 12 TD, 9 INT) has now thrown nine picks in just seven games. He’ll need to take better care of the football going forward, and that will begin Sunday with a meeting with J.J. Watt. The Texans star has forced two turnovers this season and is capable of knocking down any pass thrown his way, so Foles will have to avoid the 6-foot-5, 289-pound defensive end. One player who should be in for a big game is WR Jeremy Maclin (39 rec, 632 yards, 6 TD), who caught 12 passes for 187 yards and two touchdowns against the Cardinals last week. He saw a lot of time against Patrick Peterson, and it didn’t affect him the slightest bit. He’s shown that he is capable of beating his defender no matter who it is, and he should be able to do find holes against this bottom-five passing defense. One guy who must step his game up for Philly is RB LeSean McCoy (505 rush yards, 1 TD). McCoy was considered an elite running back before the season, but he’s rushing for only 3.7 yards per carry. He could have trouble against a defensive line that can be dominant when locked in. This Eagles defense will need to be prepared for a matchup with RB Arian Foster, as they are allowing 116.7 rushing yards per game (21st in NFL), but Foster is no ordinary running back. They Eagles will need to be on top of their game on Sunday or they’ll have no chance of winning on the road.

The Texans defeated the Titans on Sunday and they are still very much alive in the playoff hunt. QB Ryan Fitzpatrick (1,757 pass yards, 9 TD, 7 INT) threw for 227 yards and a touchdown in the victory over Tennessee, and he’ll need to limit his turnovers once again on Sunday. It shouldn’t be hard, however, as all he’ll need to do is hand the rock to Arian Foster (766 rush yards, 7 TD). Foster has rushed for 100 or more yards in six of the seven games that he’s played in this season. He’s also rushed for two touchdowns in three of the past four games, while also catching a touchdown in two straight contests. In the passing game, WR DeAndre Hopkins (36 rec, 569 yards, 3 TD) has emerged as Fitzpatrick’s top receiver. He’s been targeted 20 times over the past two weeks, resulting in 11 catches and 203 yards. Hopkins is a downfield threat and he should give this Eagles’ secondary some trouble on Sunday. WR Andre Johnson (46 rec, 551 yards, 1 TD) will need to be more involved in this offense going forward. He had seven catches for 55 yards against the Titans, but Fitzpatrick will often have long spells during the game where he doesn’t even look to the superstar.


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