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No. 5 Oregon visits No. 20 Utah on Saturday night
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Published: 11/8/2014  at  5:24:00 AM
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OREGON DUCKS (8-1)
at UTAH UTES (6-2)

Kickoff: Saturday, 10:00 p.m. ET
Line: Oregon -8, Total: 60

No. 5 Oregon looks to remain in the driver’s seat in the Pac-12 as it hits the road Saturday night to take on No. 20 Utah.

The Ducks have bounced back nicely from a home loss to Arizona early in the season, winning their past four games by an average of 21.0 PPG. Oregon (5-4 ATS) is known for its offense, and has been able to build off high-scoring outputs in the past two seasons, going 9-1 ATS after scoring 24+ points in the first half in the previous game. The team has not won a game scoring less than 20 points since defeating California, 15-13, in 2010. The Utes are looking to bounce back from a 19-16 overtime loss to Arizona State last week. Both 2014 losses for Utah (7-1 ATS) have been on a field goal to end the game, but the school is 18-8 ATS at home in the second half of the season under head coach Kyle Whittingham. Last season, the Ducks won a 44-21 matchup in Eugene against the Utes. Oregon outgained Utah, 433-297 last season, but was dominated in a lot of other areas in the game, namely time of possession (Utah 35:57, Oregon 24:03). The Ducks may be thin on both lines with OLs Matt Pierson (knee) and Andre Yruretagoyena both doubtful with knee injuries while DLs Arik Armstead (ankle) and Alex Balducci (leg) are both listed as questionable. The one injury of note for the Utes is S Tevin Carter, who is questionable with an undisclosed injury.

Can Oregon win comfortably on the road versus a strong Utah team? For the answer, connect to College Football Best Bets for all the StatFox Experts picks throughout the 2014 regular season and bowl season. StatFox Gary is heating up with a 67% ATS mark (8-4) in Best Bets over the past four weeks.

The Ducks offense is back to dominating, ranking 6th in the nation in scoring (45.4 PPG), 16th in passing (305.8 YPG) and 25th in rushing (228 YPG). The guy that gets all the hype, and rightfully so, is quarterback QB Marcus Mariota (2,541 pass yards, 410 rush yards, 33 total TD). While he does not look to run the ball as much as he did earlier in his career, Mariota still provides the big plays with his feet when he decides to run. The offense has another emerging star in RB Royce Freeman (155 carries, 846 yards, 13 TD). Freeman is a big physical back (230 pounds) who has the ability to punish defenses. With so many of the Ducks offensive players being known for speed, defenses are caught off-guard by the physical presence in the backfield. RB Thomas Tyner (76 carries, 342 yards, 3 TD) and Byron Marshall (539 rec yards, 307 rush yards, 5 total TD) are two players that can produce big gains out of the backfield, giving Mariota a lot of help in his decision-making. WR Devon Allen (29 catches, 517 yards, 6 TD) is a receiver who has world-class speed. He still needs to improve on his fundamentals, but when he catches the ball, he has a legitimate chance to take it the distance. The Oregon defense allows a pedestrian 24.8 PPG (57th in nation), but played much better last week against Stanford, holding the Cardinal to only 16 points and 132 rushing yards. DB Erick Dargan (65 tackles, 5 INT, 2.5 TFL) is the playmaker on the unit who has the ability to cover a lot of ground in the secondary.

Utah is two field goals away from being undefeated. The Utes rank 40th in scoring (33.4 PPG), 42nd in rushing (198.1 YPG) and 111th in passing (175.3 YPG). QB Travis Wilson (1,084 pass yards, 9 TD, 0 INT) has been impressive after nearly retiring from football early in the offseason. He is not asked to go out and throw for a ton of yards, but he rarely makes mistakes and keeps his offense on the right path. Utah's top playmaker on the offensive side of the football is RB Devontae Booker (183 carries, 990 yards, 8 TD). Defenses have focused on Booker all season long, but he has continued to dominate, rushing for at least 100 yards in five consecutive games. The air attack took a big hit though, when top WR Dres Anderson (22 catches, 355 yards, 4 TD) was declared out for the season last week. That will force WR Kenneth Scott (26 catches, 258 yards, 3 TD) to assume the No. 1 receiver role. The offense is going to have to score some points, but if the Utes are going to get the victory, it will come down to their defense. Utah allows only 21.3 PPG (27th in nation) on the season, and held one of the best offenses in the country, Arizona State, to 19 points last week. DEs Nate Orchard (12 sacks, 55 tackles, 14.5 TFL) and Hunter Dimick (9.5 sacks, 39 tackles, 11 TFL) comprise an elite pass-rushing duo that will have a huge role in this game. The pair will have to remain disciplined and not allow Mariota to get outside of the pocket. LB Gionni Paul (52 tackles, 4 INT, 2 sacks) is also a talented defensive player to look out for.


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