Kickoff: Wednesday, 8:00 p.m. ET
Line: Toledo -7, Total: 55

Two of the top MAC teams go head-to-head on Wednesday night when Bowling Green visits Toledo.

The Falcons have dominated their conference opponents to the tune of a 5-1 record while taking their victories by an average of 10.2 PPG in that time. They are just 2-4 ATS in those contests while absorbing their one SU conference loss as three-point favorites in a 26-14 defeat against Western Michigan on Oct. 18. Bowling Green was a two-touchdown favorite last week against Kent State and pulled out a 30-20 victory behind 527 yards of total offense. The Falcons also forced five turnovers for the second straight game, giving them a hefty 24 takeaways this season. The Rockets were a perfect 5-0 SU (but only 1-4 ATS) in their first five conference matchups, but suffered their first loss against a divisional opponent in Northern Illinois last week. Surprisingly they were able to cover the 3.5-point spread, but fell despite outgaining their opponent 472-416 in a turnover-free, 27-24 loss. Toledo has had only three giveaways in its past four games while averaging more than 450 yards of total offense in that time. These programs played an exciting game against each other last season with the Rockets opening the scoring with 21 straight points, only to a allow the Falcons to score the next 25 and claim a four-point lead with only six minutes left in the game. Toledo was able to regain its composure with a late TD pass and finished with a 28-25 win as a four-point underdog. The Rockets gained a solid 242 yards on the ground (5.9 YPC) in the game while there was only one turnover between the schools. Bettors should keep an eye on a few trends, as Bowling Green is a tremendous 11-1 ATS (92%) after outgaining its opponent by 175+ total yards in its previous game while Toledo is a solid 22-9 ATS (71%) after a two-game road trip since 1992. Injuries could really change the flow of this game, as the Falcons may be limited in the backfield with both HBs Travis Greene (ankle) and Fred Coppet (undisclosed) listed as questionable. The quarterback situation is troublesome for the Rockets, as QB Phillip Ely (knee) is out for the season and QB Logan Woodside (leg) is questionable.

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The Falcons have been a solid all-around offensive team with 280 YPG through the air (28th in nation) and 175.4 YPG on the ground, leading to 32.6 PPG. QB James Knapke (2,443 pass yards, 12 TD, 10 INT) took over the starter’s job in just the second game with a season-ending injury to QB Matt Johnson, and has thrown a pick in all but one game. He has been asked to sling the ball around quite a bit though, and has attempted 41.4 passes per game while hitting on 58.4% of them for 6.6 YPA. If neither HBs Travis Greene (644 rush yards, 8 TD) nor Fred Coppet (513 rush yards, 5 TD) can go on Wednesday, the offense will remain in capable hands as HB Andre Givens (415 rush yards, 8 TD) has excelled as the starter in the past two weeks while gaining an average of 129 YPG (5.0 YPC) and has scored at least one touchdown in his past four games. WRs Roger Lewis (858 rec yards, 5 TD), Ryan Burbrink (610 rec yards, 3 TD) and Ronnie Moore (515 rec yards, 4 TD) give this team a lethal trio of wideouts who each have at least 40 receptions on the season. Lewis has five triple-digit receiving games on the year and has been outstanding as a freshman with 14.3 yards per catch. Despite a solid record, the Bowling Green defense has done everything it could to lose games while allowing 32.2 PPG to the opposition. But the Falcons are doing much better in their past four games where they have allowed just 17.3 PPG. Their recent play has been thanks to the contributions from DB Nick Johnson (51 tackles, 4 INT), DL Bryan Thomas (28 tackles, 5 sacks) and LB Gabe Martin (79 tackles, 9.5 TFL, 2 INT).

Toledo has great balance in its offensive production between a great rushing attack (247.1 YPG, 17th in nation) and a solid passing game (247.3 YPG) while scoring 33.4 PPG. The team hopes that QB Logan Woodside (1,720 pass yards, 14 TD, 5 INT) will be able to suit up for this one as he has had multiple TD passes in four games this year while also contributing 118 yards (2.8 YPC) and three scores on the ground. If he is unable to go, the likely replacement will be WR Dwight Macon (140 rec yards, 1 TD) who was a quarterback in high school and performed very well both passing the ball (8-for-11, 140 yards, 1 TD) and rushing the ball (97 yards, 2 TDs) as he replaced Woodside last week. HB Kareem Hunt (985 rush yards, 8 TD) has gone over 100 yards in every game he has started this year while averaging 8.1 YPC and scoring just once over the past three contests. He has had at least one rush of over 20 yards in each of his performances while HB Terry Swanson (702 rush yards, 6 TD) has done well in both the starter and backup roles. WRs Corey Jones (753 rec yards, 4 TD) and Alonzo Russell (609 rec yards, 7 TD) have accounted for 53% of the team's receptions and 11-of-19 touchdowns through the air while Jones is coming off his fourth 100-yard performance of the season. Just like their opponent, the Rockets have put forth a poor defensive effort while allowing 31.6 PPG, as LBs Trent Voss (57 tackles, 4 sacks), Junior Sylvestre (81 tackles, 2 sacks) and DL Orion Jones (25 tackles, 5 sacks) lead this side of the ball.