Kickoff: Monday, 8:30 p.m. ET
Line: Miami -6, Total: 41.5

The Dolphins look to stay alive in the AFC playoff race with a road win over the division rival Jets on Monday night.

Miami was unable to upset the Broncos in Denver last week, losing 39-36 but it did cover the spread for the fifth time in the past six games. New York, meanwhile, will come into this one after unexpectedly playing a Monday night game against the Bills in Detroit. The Jets were blown out 38-3 in that game to drop their ATS record to 2-8-1 this year. The most recent meeting in this series was a 20-7 victory for the Jets as 7.5-point underdogs in Miami on Dec. 29, 2013, but the Dolphins are 5-1 SU and ATS when visiting the Jets since 2008. New York is 2-10 ATS off a division game over the past three seasons and 2-8 ATS in all games this season. The Dolphins, meanwhile, are 39-22 ATS in road games after covering the spread in two out of their previous three contests since 1992. CBs Cortland Finnegan (ankle) and Jamar Taylor (shoulder), and TE Charles Clay (knee) are questionable for Miami in this contest, while DT Muhammad Wilkerson (toe) and TE Jace Amaro (concussion) are questionable for New York. Jets QB Michael Vick (wrist, ankle) is likely healthy enough to play, but QB Geno Smith was announced as the starter.

Can the Dolphins roll over the hapless Jets on Monday night? For the answer, connect to NFL Best Bets for all the StatFox Experts picks throughout the 2014 regular season and playoffs. The experts have remained hot over the past 10 weeks, combining for a 56% ATS mark (85-68). StatFox Scott is 63% ATS (25-15) in Best Bets during this timeframe, and 58% ATS (28-20) on the season. StatFox Dave is 57% ATS (25-19) in Best Bets during these 10 weeks to improve to 55% ATS (29-24) on the season, while StatFox Brian continues to roll in NFL Totals with a strong 60% record (21-14) for the season. StatFox Gary is 8-2 ATS in his past three weeks of NFL Best Bets.

The Dolphins were close to pulling off an upset against the Broncos last week and QB Ryan Tannehill (2,582 pass yards, 20 TD, 8 INT) was very impressive in keeping his team toe-to-toe with Peyton Manning’s squad. Tannehill threw for 228 yards with three touchdowns and one interception in the game. He has now had a passer rating of over 100 in three of the past four games, and will be up against potentially the worst secondary in football on Monday. One player who has really stepped up his game for Miami is rookie WR Jarvis Landry (49 rec, 450 yards, 5 TD). Landry had his best game of the season against Denver, catching seven passes for 50 yards and two touchdowns. He’s now caught at least five passes in each of the past four games and has totaled four touchdowns in those games as well. He’ll have no problem getting open against the New York defense. Defensively, the Dolphins are a very tough team to play against. They struggled against the Broncos last week, but are still allowing just 211.7 passing yards per game (4th in NFL) and 104.2 rushing yards per game (11th in NFL). The Jets offense is miserable and the Dolphins will look to cause a lot of turnovers in this one.

After last week’s loss to the Bills, there is again a controversy at the quarterback position for the Jets. While veteran Michael Vick (604 pass yards, 3 TD, 2 INT) is likely the better option, New York will start second-year QB Geno Smith (1,459 pass yards, 7 TD, 10 INT) on Sunday, and he could be in for a long day against a very good Dolphins secondary. The Jets would be wise to pound away with both RBs Chris Ivory (579 rush yards, 5 TD) and Chris Johnson (400 rush yards, 1 TD), because even though the Dolphins are not bad at defending the run, they are far better stopping the pass. The Jets will likely try to wear this defense out with a lot of interior rushes in this game and they’ll do their best to stop the Dolphins’ air attack. The Jets defense is still allowing just 86.2 rushing yards per game (4th in NFL), but it’s the passing game which has given them problems all season long. This team is thin at the cornerback position and they just lack the talent required to stop some of today’s most potent offenses. The Jets gave up 38 against the Bills last game and will really need to find a way to make Ryan Tannehill uncomfortable in the pocket or he will absolutely pick them apart. The potential loss of DT Muhammad Wilkerson (49 tackles, 4.5 sacks) would be devastating for this defense if he does not play.