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Heat try to keep rolling Monday at Wizards
By: Zach Cohen - StatFox
Published: 12/1/2014  at  5:34:00 AM
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MIAMI HEAT (9-7)

at WASHINGTON WIZARDS (10-5)

Tip-off: Monday, 7:05 p.m. ET
Line: Washington -5, Total: 188.5

The Heat look to pick up their fourth win in the past five games when they head to the nation's capital on Monday night to take on the Wizards.

Miami is coming off an 86-79 win at New York on Sunday night while also covering the 3-point spread. The club has now won three of its past four games (SU and ATS). Washington, meanwhile, should be well-rested in this one having played just once in the past four days, which was an 83-80 home win over 4-point underdog New Orleans. Despite winning that game, the Wizards have failed to cover the spread in three straight games and are 3-7-1 ATS in their past 11 contests. These teams met on opening night and the Heat came away with a 107-95 victory as 5-point home favorites. They are now 6-3 SU (5-4 ATS) in this series over the past three seasons, but the Wizards are 3-1 (SU and ATS) in Washington during that span. All four of the games played in the nation's capital have gone Over the total. Over the past three seasons, Miami is 18-8 ATS after three straight games forcing an opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers. The Wizards are, however, 37-15 ATS revenging a loss where their opponent scored 100+ points in that defeat. The Heat are still missing PF Chris Andersen (ankle), while PF Nene (foot) and SG Garrett Temple (heel) are both questionable for Washington.

Can Miami stay hot a beat a great Wizards team on the road? For the answer, connect to The Platinum Sheet for all the Expert picks throughout the entire 2014-15 season. StatFox Forecaster has a 62% ATS record (48-30) in featured games this season. StatFox Gary has a 56% ATS record (14-11) in NBA Best Bets this season, while StatFox Brian is 5-1 ATS in NBA Best Bets since Nov. 23.

The Heat struggled offensively against the Knicks on Sunday, but they were able to hold them to under 80 points and pick up a big road victory. SG Dwyane Wade (20.6 PPG, 6.2 APG, 3.7 RPG) had a vintage performance in that win, finishing with 27 points, five rebounds and five assists in 32 minutes of action. Wade had 21 points in 31 minutes in the opening night matchup between these teams, but he’ll have a tougher matchup this time around with Wizards SG Bradley Beal now healthy. The guy who really dominated in the first meeting between these teams on Oct. 29 was C Chris Bosh (21.6 PPG, 8.8 RPG), who had 26 points, 15 rebounds and four assists in 39 minutes. He had it going inside the paint (9-of-17 FG) and from behind the arc (3-of-4 threes), and Bosh should be able to find similar success in this one, especially if Nene is unable to go. SF Luol Deng (14.5 PPG, 4.9 RPG, 1.3 SPG) had 10 points and 10 rebounds in the win over New York and is averaging 14.8 PPG and 6.6 RPG over the past five contests. He is looking way more comfortable playing within this offense than he did earlier in the season, and should be in for a strong performance as he’ll be covered by the much slower Paul Pierce. PG Mario Chalmers (13.9 PPG, 4.6 APG, 1.6 SPG) will need to be on his game defensively or Wizards star John Wall will give Miami plenty of trouble.

Washington prevented its losing streak from getting to three games with a win over the Pelicans on Saturday. PG John Wall (18.1 PPG, 9.1 APG, 4.3 RPG) has not been his usual self in recent games, averaging just 8.5 PPG and 7.0 APG over the past two contests. He should be able to turn things around against a Heat team that isn’t necessarily stacked at the point guard position. Wall will need to attack the basket and get himself going early on. C Marcin Gortat (13.3 PPG, 8.9 RPG) will likely be matched up with Chris Bosh in this game, and needs to do a much better job of contesting Bosh's shots. Gortat was huge in the win over New Orleans on Saturday though, finishing with 24 points, 13 rebounds and four blocks in 41 minutes of play. He had 18 points and seven rebounds on opening night against Miami. One guy who will really need to get himself going for Washington is SG Bradley Beal (14.2 PPG, 3.2 APG, 3.2 RPG). Beal is averaging just 12.8 PPG over the past five contests and is shooting just 35.7% from three-point range in those games. Beal averaged 17.1 PPG last season and is expected to take a big step up this season. He’s likely just knocking off the rust from a wrist injury he suffered in the preseason, but Washington will need him to get hot soon to stop its recent struggles. SF Paul Pierce (13.1 PPG, 5.1 RPG) had a well-rounded game in the Oct. 29 loss at Miami with 17 points (6-for-10 FG), six rebounds, five assists and two steals.


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