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Seahawks, Cards battle for NFC West lead Sunday
By: Zach Cohen - StatFox
Published: 12/21/2014  at  5:23:00 AM
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SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (10-4)
at ARIZONA CARDINALS (11-3)

Kickoff: Sunday, 8:30 p.m. ET
Line: Seattle -7.5, Total: 36

The Seahawks will be going for their fifth straight victory and the NFC West division lead when they visit the Cardinals on Sunday night.

Seattle has allowed just 27 points during its four-game win streak (SU and ATS), which included a 17-7 win as a 9.5-point home favorite over the 49ers last week. Arizona has allowed just 20 points during a two-game win surge (SU and ATS) that included a 12-6 victory as a 6-point road underdog in St. Louis last Thursday. These teams met in Seattle four weeks ago and the home team won 19-3 as a 7-point favorite. Should the Seahawks pull off the season sweep this Sunday, they will take over the top spot in the division. Although they are 3-2 (SU and ATS) against the Cardinals over the past three seasons, Arizona has won-and-covered in two straight home games against Seattle. Third-string QB Ryan Lindley will start for the Cardinals in this game, and will face the top-ranked defense in football. The Seahawks are 7-0 ATS in road games off one or more consecutive Unders over the past two seasons, and are also 6-0 ATS in road games after having won six or seven of their past eight games over the past three seasons. However, Arizona is 6-0 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better this season, and 11-2 ATS after having won four or five of its past six games over the past two seasons. Seattle's injury list is pretty thin, but both C Max Unger (knee) and OT Russell Okung (lung) are doubtful, while TE Cooper Helfet (ankle) is questionable. For the Cardinals, WR John Brown (toe), S Tyrann Mathieu (thumb) and G Paul Fanaika (ankle) are all questionable, while DE Ed Stinson (toe) landed on IR earlier in the week.

Which team will control the top spot in the division after Sunday night's game? For the answer, connect to NFL Best Bets for all the StatFox Experts picks throughout the 2014 regular season and playoffs. StatFox Dave is 55% ATS (31-25-1) in Best Bets during the past 14 weeks, while StatFox Scott is also 55% ATS (29-24-1) in Best Bets since Week 3. StatFox Gary is 65% ATS (15-8-1) in his past seven weeks of NFL Best Bets, while StatFox Brian is on a 6-3 ATS run in the past three weeks.

The Seahawks have been extremely hot as of late and their defense has been the main reason for that. Over the past four weeks, Seattle has allowed just 6.8 PPG, and they are amongst the top-five in the NFL in both passing and rushing defense. This team is more than happy grinding games out, and it is able to do so with a defense that does not allow a lot of points. It also helps to have the league’s top-ranked rushing offense (169 YPG). RB Marshawn Lynch (1,133 rush yards, 10 TD) ran for 91 yards and a touchdown in a win over the 49ers last week, and has now galloped for at least 85 yards in five of the past six games. But he could struggle to run against an Arizona defense that is allowing only 90.4 rushing yards per game (6th in NFL). QB Russell Wilson (2,897 pass yards, 18 TD, 6 INT) is the guy that is most likely to do the damage against this defense, as Arizona is allowing 259.6 passing yards per game (29th in NFL), and Wilson is a nightmare to defend with his ability to throw when he is out of the pocket. Wilson will just need to take care of the football, as Arizona will have a hard time moving the ball with its depleted offense.

The Cardinals continue to win games despite suffering injuries to their most important positions. QB Ryan Lindley (0 TD, 7 INT in career) will now be the signal caller for this team and he is not the type of guy that a coach should feel comfortable starting. That is especially the case for a team that is heading to the playoffs and could have home-field advantage throughout. Lindley’s job now will be to take care of the football and manage games because his defense will do its part in keeping games close. In last week's game in St. Louis, he completed only 4-of-10 passes for 30 yards and 0 TD, but also threw zero interceptions. The tough part for this offense is that it is also extremely weak at the running back position with top RB Andre Ellington (1,055 total yards, 5 total TD) on IR with a hip injury. RB Kerwynn Williams is the team’s new starting running back and he has now rushed for 175 yards in just two games. Williams has some good burst, but it will be extremely tough for him to find any room to run against this relentless Seahawks defense. If the Cardinals are going to win this game, they’ll need to shut down Russell Wilson. Arizona’s defense is excellent at stopping the run, but they have really struggled to slow down opposing quarterbacks. The only chance of winning this game is if it’s a defensive slugfest.


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