Kickoff: Sunday, 1:05 p.m. ET
Line: Kansas City -3, Total: 42

The Chargers look to wrap up the final playoff spot in the AFC when they visit the Chiefs on Sunday.

San Diego outscored the 49ers 28-7 in the second half last Saturday and eventually won 38-35 in overtime. The Chargers can now make the playoffs with a victory over K.C., which lost 20-12 as 2.5-point road underdogs in Pittsburgh last week. The Chiefs still have an outside chance at that final playoff spot, but would need a win plus the Ravens (vs. Browns) and Texans (vs. Jaguars) to both lose. On Oct. 19, Kansas City beat San Diego 23-20 as a 3-point road underdog. Prior to that victory, however, the Chargers had won four straight meetings SU with the Chiefs, including the past two trips to Arrowhead Stadium. Four of the past five meetings in this head-to-head series have finished Over the total. Kansas City is 0-7 ATS in the past three seasons after having lost four of its past five games, but San Diego is 0-6 ATS after a road game where both teams scored 24+ points in that time. Both rosters are riddled with injuries, including Chargers RB Ryan Mathews (ankle), who is questionable and teammate WR Keenan Allen (ankle), who is listed as doubtful for Sunday. The Chiefs could also be missing top WR Dwayne Bowe, who sprained his shoulder in last week's loss.

Will the Chargers secure the conference's final playoff berth with a win? For the answer, connect to NFL Best Bets for all the StatFox Experts picks throughout the 2014 regular season and playoffs. StatFox Gary is coming off a perfect 5-0 ATS record in Best Bets for Week 16, and is now 71% ATS (20-8-1) in Best Bets since Week 9. StatFox Dave is 56% ATS (32-25-2) in Best Bets during since Week 3, while StatFox Scott is 54% ATS (31-26-1) during this same timeframe. StatFox Brian is 54% (28-24) in NFL Totals this season.

The Chargers dug themselves a deep hole against the 49ers last week, but had a miraculous comeback to keep themselves very much alive in the playoff race. San Diego now controls its own destiny after huge performances from both QB Philip Rivers (3,995 pass yards, 31 TD, 16 INT) and TE Antonio Gates (65 rec, 754 yards, 12 TD). Rivers struggled early in the game throwing some costly interceptions, but he ended up tossing two touchdown passes in the fourth quarter which ultimately tied the game up and sent it to overtime. He finished with 356 passing yards, four touchdowns and three interceptions. Gates looked like his vintage self in this one, catching seven passes for 92 yards and two touchdowns. WR Eddie Royal (58 rec, 683 yards, 7 TD) also made some timely plays in this one, catching 10 passes for 94 yards and a touchdown. Defensively, this team is going to need to be a lot better. They allowed 35 points against a 49ers offense that has struggled for the majority of this season, and their 26th-ranked rushing defense will need to be ready to stop Jamaal Charles on Sunday.

The Chiefs have really collapsed down the stretch, losing four of their past five games (SU and ATS). They must now beat the Chargers and hope for a loss by both the Ravens and the Texans if they are going to make the playoffs. RB Jamaal Charles (979 rush yards, 9 TD) is the main player that this offense really relies on in this game. The Chargers are allowing 125.0 rushing yards per game and Charles should be able to find some holes here. He rushed for 95 yards and a touchdown in their last meeting. QB Alex Smith (3,265 pass yards, 18 TD, 6 INT) will be asked to do what he always does, which is take care of the football and complete high percentage throws. Smith threw for 311 yards with no touchdowns or interceptions in a loss to the Steelers last week. His 45 passing attempts in that game was extremely high for a quarterback like him, so the Chiefs will definitely try to scale him back in this one. The Chiefs defense is allowing just 200.2 passing yards per game (2nd in NFL) this season. They’ll need to be ready to defend the pass in this one, as Philip Rivers could pick them apart in what is really an elimination game for Kansas City.